Start Josh Downs. Downs is projected for 8.9 PPR points vs 7.6 for Jahan Dotson, and faces the 7th-softest defense against WRs this week.
Updated Nov 7, 4:39 PM ET
| Josh Downs WR · IND | Jahan Dotson WR · ATL | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 9, avg of sources) | 8.9 | 7.6 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 7.2 | 5.7 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 11.0 | 9.1 |
| StatChasers projection | 9.1 (WR48) | 7.0 (WR55) |
| Opponent | vs DAL | vs CIN |
| Opponent vs. position | 7th-softest (35.6 pts/g allowed) | 14th-softest (32.9 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 19% target share (last 3) | 15% target share (last 3) |
| Position | WR | WR |
| Our call | SIT · Bench | SIT · Bench |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
Start Josh Downs. Downs projects for 8.9 PPR points vs DAL, against 7.6 for Jahan Dotson vs CIN: a 1.3-point edge.
The projection is the average of every source that carries each player this week, and a player listed Out or Doubtful is never the start.
Josh Downs is projected to score more: 8.9 PPR points to 7.6 for Jahan Dotson.
The sources range from 7.2 to 11.0 for Downs and from 5.7 to 9.1 for Dotson. The ranges overlap, so Dotson outscoring Downs is a realistic result.
Josh Downs is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Downs at 7.2 PPR points, against 5.7 for Jahan Dotson.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Josh Downs has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Downs at 11.0 PPR points, against 9.1 for Jahan Dotson.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Josh Downs plays DAL and Jahan Dotson plays CIN in Week 9.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Downs faces the 7th-softest defense against WRs and Dotson faces the 14th-softest defense against WRs, so Josh Downs has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games Josh Downs has drawn 19% of his team's targets, and Jahan Dotson 15% of his team's targets.
Josh Downs has the bigger role, and volume is the steadiest thing a projection rests on.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets, which here is Josh Downs.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Josh Downs nor Jahan Dotson has an injury designation for Week 9.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Josh Downs is projected by 6 of them and Jahan Dotson by 6.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.