Too close to call: Jonah Coleman (14.9) and Luther Burden III (14.9) project within 0.0 PPR points of each other in Week 9, and Jonah Coleman faces the 2nd-softest defense against RBs.
Updated Nov 7, 4:39 PM ET
| Jonah Coleman RB · DEN | Luther Burden III WR · CHI | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 9, avg of sources) | 14.9 | 14.9 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 13.7 | 13.9 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 16.6 | 15.8 |
| StatChasers projection | 16.6 (RB10) | 15.3 (WR15) |
| Opponent | vs CAR | vs TB |
| Opponent vs. position | 2nd-softest (28.3 pts/g allowed) | 8th-toughest (28.0 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 39% carry share (last 3) | 22% target share (last 3) |
| Position | RB | WR |
| Our call | START · Strong RB1 | START · WR2 |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
It is a coin flip. Jonah Coleman projects for 14.9 PPR points and Luther Burden III for 14.9, within 0.0 of each other.
Break the tie with the floor if you are favored this week, and with the ceiling if you need a big game to win.
They are projected almost level: 14.9 PPR points for Jonah Coleman and 14.9 for Luther Burden III.
The sources range from 13.7 to 16.6 for Coleman and from 13.9 to 15.8 for Burden III. Either result is well inside both ranges.
Luther Burden III is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Burden III at 13.9 PPR points, against 13.7 for Jonah Coleman.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Jonah Coleman has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Coleman at 16.6 PPR points, against 15.8 for Luther Burden III.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Jonah Coleman plays CAR and Luther Burden III plays TB in Week 9.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Coleman faces the 2nd-softest defense against RBs and Burden III faces the 8th-toughest defense against WRs, so Jonah Coleman has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games Jonah Coleman has drawn 39% of his team's carries, and Luther Burden III 22% of his team's targets.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets, which here is Luther Burden III.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Jonah Coleman nor Luther Burden III has an injury designation for Week 9.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Jonah Coleman is projected by 6 of them and Luther Burden III by 6.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.