Too close to call: Trey McBride (15.1) and Jonah Coleman (14.9) project within 0.2 PPR points of each other in Week 9, and Trey McBride faces the 5th-toughest defense against TEs.
Updated Nov 7, 4:39 PM ET
| Trey McBride TE · ARI | Jonah Coleman RB · DEN | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 9, avg of sources) | 15.1 | 14.9 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 14.2 | 13.7 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 16.2 | 16.6 |
| StatChasers projection | 16.2 (TE3) | 16.6 (RB10) |
| Opponent | vs SEA | vs CAR |
| Opponent vs. position | 5th-toughest (10.2 pts/g allowed) | 2nd-softest (28.3 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 25% target share (last 3) | 39% carry share (last 3) |
| Position | TE | RB |
| Our call | START · Strong TE1 | START · Strong RB1 |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
It is a coin flip. Trey McBride projects for 15.1 PPR points and Jonah Coleman for 14.9, within 0.2 of each other.
Break the tie with the floor if you are favored this week, and with the ceiling if you need a big game to win.
They are projected almost level: 15.1 PPR points for Trey McBride and 14.9 for Jonah Coleman.
The sources range from 14.2 to 16.2 for McBride and from 13.7 to 16.6 for Coleman. Either result is well inside both ranges.
Trey McBride is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has McBride at 14.2 PPR points, against 13.7 for Jonah Coleman.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Jonah Coleman has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Coleman at 16.6 PPR points, against 16.2 for Trey McBride.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Trey McBride plays SEA and Jonah Coleman plays CAR in Week 9.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, McBride faces the 5th-toughest defense against TEs and Coleman faces the 2nd-softest defense against RBs, so Jonah Coleman has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games Trey McBride has drawn 25% of his team's targets, and Jonah Coleman 39% of his team's carries.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets, which here is Trey McBride.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Trey McBride nor Jonah Coleman has an injury designation for Week 9.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Trey McBride is projected by 5 of them and Jonah Coleman by 6.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.