Start Travis Kelce. Kelce is projected for 10.8 PPR points vs 7.8 for Mike Gesicki, and faces the 9th-softest defense against TEs this week.
Updated Oct 30, 7:29 AM ET
| Travis Kelce TE · KC | Mike Gesicki TE · CIN | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 8, avg of sources) | 10.8 | 7.8 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 9.3 | 7.0 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 11.6 | 8.3 |
| StatChasers projection | 11.6 (TE6) | 7.3 (TE21) |
| Opponent | vs DEN | vs TEN |
| Opponent vs. position | 9th-softest (16.0 pts/g allowed) | 8th-toughest (10.8 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 19% target share (last 3) | 7% target share (last 3) |
| Position | TE | TE |
| Our call | START · Strong TE1 | SIT · Bench |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
Start Travis Kelce. Kelce projects for 10.8 PPR points vs DEN, against 7.8 for Mike Gesicki vs TEN: a 3.0-point edge.
The projection is the average of every source that carries each player this week, and a player listed Out or Doubtful is never the start.
Travis Kelce is projected to score more: 10.8 PPR points to 7.8 for Mike Gesicki.
The sources range from 9.3 to 11.6 for Kelce and from 7.0 to 8.3 for Gesicki. Even Gesicki's highest projection is below Kelce's lowest.
Travis Kelce is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Kelce at 9.3 PPR points, against 7.0 for Mike Gesicki.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Travis Kelce has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Kelce at 11.6 PPR points, against 8.3 for Mike Gesicki.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Travis Kelce plays DEN and Mike Gesicki plays TEN in Week 8.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Kelce faces the 9th-softest defense against TEs and Gesicki faces the 8th-toughest defense against TEs, so Travis Kelce has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games Travis Kelce has drawn 19% of his team's targets, and Mike Gesicki 7% of his team's targets.
Travis Kelce has the bigger role, and volume is the steadiest thing a projection rests on.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets, which here is Travis Kelce.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Travis Kelce nor Mike Gesicki has an injury designation for Week 8.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Travis Kelce is projected by 5 of them and Mike Gesicki by 5.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.