Final2021 Week 12

EverBank Stadium, Jacksonville, FL

Atlanta Falcons vs Jacksonville Jaguars, Week 12 2021

Atlanta Falcons

AwayWon

21

Jacksonville Jaguars

Home

14

Scoring by quarter
TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Falcons777021
Jaguars038314

ATL 21JAX 14 Final

  • Passing leader

    Trevor Lawrence

    JAX · QB

    18.0PPR pts

    23/42, 228 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT

  • Top fantasy scorer

    Cordarrelle Patterson

    ATL · RB

    27.5PPR pts

    16 ATT, 108 YDS, 2 TD, 2 REC, 27 REC YDS

  • Jaguars leader

    James Robinson

    JAX · RB

    12.5PPR pts

    17 ATT, 86 YDS, 3 REC, 29 REC YDS

  • Defensive playmaker

    Tyson Campbell

    JAX

    1 INT, 3 TKL

Falcons 21, Jaguars 14: Atlanta beats Jacksonville

Atlanta led 14–3 at halftime and won 21–14, though Jacksonville took the second half 11–7. Jacksonville outgained the Falcons 357–332, but the Falcons averaged 5.6 yards per play.

The Jaguars went 9-for-16 on third down and committed two turnovers.

Key advantages

  • +0.6 yards/play ATL 5.6 · JAX 5.0
  • +1 turnover margin ATL 1 · JAX 2 turnovers
  • +1:44 time of possession ATL 30:52 · JAX 29:08

Game Highlights

Official NFL highlights · Opens from YouTube

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Why the Falcons Won

Atlanta won the efficiency, turnover, and time of possession battles.

Team stats comparison, Falcons vs Jaguars
FalconsStatJaguars
5.6Yards per play5.0
1Turnovers2
30:52Time of possession29:08
Other team stats
332Total yards357
59Plays71
42%Third-down conversion56%

Scoring Summary

The Falcons scored three touchdowns; the Jaguars scored one touchdown and two field goals.

Scoring plays, Falcons vs Jaguars
TimeTeamPlayATLJAX
1st quarter
0:38ATLCordarrelle Patterson 7-yard TD run Takes leadYounghoe Koo XP70
2nd quarter
6:40ATLCordarrelle Patterson 12-yard TD run Extends leadYounghoe Koo XP140
0:45JAXMatthew Wright 22-yard FG143
3rd quarter
7:47ATLMatt Ryan → Russell Gage, 12-yard TD Extends leadYounghoe Koo XP213
0:22JAXTrevor Lawrence → Tavon Austin, 7-yard TDTrevor Lawrence → James O'Shaughnessy, 2-pt conversion2111
4th quarter
6:28JAXMatthew Wright 34-yard FG2114

Fantasy Points: Falcons vs Jaguars, Week 12 2021

Fantasy leaders

  1. Cordarrelle PattersonATLRB27.5 PTSRB4
  2. Russell GageATLWR18.2 PTSWR14
  3. Trevor LawrenceJAXQB17.0 PTSQB11
  4. James RobinsonJAXRB11.5 PTSRB22

Player Stats

Quarterbacks

Quarterback statistics
PlayerFPTSFINCMP/ATTPass YDSTDINTRush ATTRush YDSRush TDRateStart/Sit
Trevor LawrenceJAXQB17.0QB1123/4222811539068.4Start/Sit →
Matt RyanATLQB11.2QB2319/291901146081.1

WRs, RBs, & TEs

Receiver, running back and tight end statistics
PlayerFPTSFINPOSRush ATTRush YDSRush TDTGTRECRec YDSRec TDStart/Sit
Cordarrelle PattersonATLRB27.5RB4RB16108232270
Russell GageATLWR18.2WR14WR———76621
James RobinsonJAXRB11.5RB22RB1786043290
Tavon AustinJAXWR10.1WR37WR———22211
Laquon TreadwellJAXWR9.3WR39WR———84530Start/Sit →
Marvin JonesJAXWR8.3WR44WR———74430
Laviska ShenaultJAXWR8.3WR45WR———95330
James O'ShaughnessyJAXTE7.9TE20TE———53290
Mike DavisATLRB7.1RB37RB516043250
Kyle PittsATLTE4.6TE28TE———62260
Tajae SharpeATLWR4.2WR76WR———32220
Chris ManhertzJAXTE2.1TE40TE———21110Start/Sit →
Wayne GallmanATLRB1.9RB63RB4190————
Dan ArnoldJAXTE1.9TE44TE———1190
Parker HesseATLTE1.7TE47TE———1170
Carlos HydeJAXRB1.6RB65RB61601000
Olamide ZaccheausATLWR1.5WR103WR———2150Start/Sit →
John BrownJAXWR0.0—WR———1000
Dare OgunbowaleJAXRB0.0—RB———1000Start/Sit →

Fantasy Usage

Atlanta Falcons

Snap Share

  1. Kyle PittsTE47 snaps78%
  2. Tajae SharpeWR46 snaps77%
  3. Russell GageWR46 snaps77%
  4. Mike DavisRB30 snaps50%
  5. Olamide ZaccheausWR30 snaps50%

Target Share26 targets

  1. Russell Gage27%, 7 targets
  2. Kyle Pitts23%, 6 targets
  3. Mike Davis15%, 4 targets
  4. Cordarrelle Patterson12%, 3 targets
  5. Tajae Sharpe12%, 3 targets
  6. Other12%, 3 targets

Carry Share29 carries

  1. Cordarrelle Patterson55%, 16 carries
  2. Mike Davis17%, 5 carries
  3. Matt Ryan14%, 4 carries
  4. Wayne Gallman14%, 4 carries

Jacksonville Jaguars

Snap Share

  1. Marvin JonesWR71 snaps97%
  2. Laquon TreadwellWR63 snaps86%
  3. James O'ShaughnessyTE59 snaps81%
  4. Laviska ShenaultWR53 snaps73%
  5. James RobinsonRB38 snaps52%

Target Share41 targets

  1. Laviska Shenault22%, 9 targets
  2. Laquon Treadwell20%, 8 targets
  3. Marvin Jones17%, 7 targets
  4. James O'Shaughnessy12%, 5 targets
  5. James Robinson10%, 4 targets
  6. Other20%, 8 targets

Carry Share28 carries

  1. James Robinson61%, 17 carries
  2. Carlos Hyde21%, 6 carries
  3. Trevor Lawrence18%, 5 carries
View full usage tableHide full usage table
Offensive snaps and share for the skill positions
PlayerSNAPSSNAP %TGTTGT %CAR
Marvin JonesJAXWR7197%717%0
Laquon TreadwellJAXWR6386%820%0
James O'ShaughnessyJAXTE5981%512%0
Kyle PittsATLTE4778%623%0
Tajae SharpeATLWR4677%312%0
Russell GageATLWR4677%727%0
Laviska ShenaultJAXWR5373%922%0
James RobinsonJAXRB3852%410%17
Mike DavisATLRB3050%415%5
Olamide ZaccheausATLWR3050%28%0
Lee SmithATLTE2948%00%0
Cordarrelle PattersonATLRB2948%312%16
Carlos HydeJAXRB3244%12%6
Parker HesseATLTE2338%14%0
Chris ManhertzJAXTE2737%25%0
Tavon AustinJAXWR1318%25%0
Wayne GallmanATLRB58%00%4
Dan ArnoldJAXTE57%12%0
John BrownJAXWR34%12%0
Christian BlakeATLWR23%00%0
Dare OgunbowaleJAXRB11%12%0

Fantasy Points vs Expected

Expected points (xFP) are what a player's pass attempts, carries and targets are worth at the league's average rates; the difference is what the player made of them.

  • Biggest overperformer+12.2Cordarrelle Patterson27.5 PTS vs 15.3 xFP
  • Biggest underperformer−6.9Laviska Shenault Jr.8.3 PTS vs 15.2 xFP
  • Highest expected volume21.7 xFPTrevor Lawrence18.0 PTS scored
Usage and expected fantasy points
PlayerPTSxFPvs xFPSnap%UsageRte%Pass attCarCar%TgtTgt%
Trevor LawrenceJAX · QB18.021.7−3.7100%42 att—42518%00%
James RobinsonJAX · RB12.517.6−5.152%61% car—01761%410%
Cordarrelle PattersonATL · RB27.515.3+12.248%55% car—01655%311%
Matt RyanATL · QB11.215.3−4.1100%29 att—29414%00%
Laviska Shenault Jr.JAX · WR8.315.2−6.973%22% tgt—000%922%
Laquon TreadwellJAX · WR9.313.5−4.286%20% tgt—000%820%
Marvin Jones Jr.JAX · WR8.311.8−3.597%17% tgt—000%717%
Russell Gage Jr.ATL · WR18.211.8+6.477%25% tgt—000%725%
Kyle Pitts Sr.ATL · TE4.610.1−5.578%21% tgt—000%621%
Mike DavisATL · RB7.19.9−2.850%17% car—0517%414%
James O'ShaughnessyJAX · TE7.98.4−0.581%12% tgt—000%512%
Carlos HydeJAX · RB1.65.5−3.944%21% car—0621%12%
Tajae SharpeATL · WR4.25.1−0.977%11% tgt—000%311%
Chris ManhertzJAX · TE2.13.4−1.337%5% tgt—000%25%
Keith SmithATL · RB3.63.4+0.2—7% tgt—000%27%
Olamide ZaccheausATL · WR1.53.4−1.950%7% tgt—000%27%
Tavon AustinJAX · WR10.13.4+6.718%5% tgt—000%25%
Wayne GallmanATL · RB1.92.6−0.78%14% car—0414%00%
Dan ArnoldJAX · TE1.91.7+0.27%2% tgt—000%12%
Dare OgunbowaleJAX · RB0.01.7−1.71%2% tgt—000%12%
John BrownJAX · WR0.01.7−1.74%2% tgt—000%12%
Parker HesseATL · TE1.71.70.038%4% tgt—000%14%

Team totals: Falcons 28 targets and 29 carries; Jaguars 41 targets and 28 carries. Shares are from the box score. Snap counts are from the weekly player logs (Sleeper), and include plays wiped out by penalties. Route counts, air yards and red-zone touches appear when the tracking feed is connected. League-average rates from the 2021 season: 1.68 PPR points per target (67% catch rate), 0.64 per carry and 0.44 per pass attempt. They don't adjust for field position or target depth.

Fantasy Verdicts

Matt Ryan

ATL · QB · 11.2 pts on 15.3 expected

19 of 29 passing for 190 yards, 1 touchdown, 1 interception; 4 carries for 6 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 15.3 expected.

Trevor Lawrence

JAX · QB · 18.0 pts on 21.7 expected

23 of 42 passing for 228 yards, 1 touchdown, 1 interception; 5 carries for 39 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 21.7 expected.

Start/Sit: Trevor Lawrence →

Cordarrelle Patterson Ran hot

ATL · RB · 27.5 pts on 15.3 expected

3 targets (11% of the team's), 2 catches for 27 yards; 16 carries (55% of the team's) for 108 yards and 2 touchdowns.

Verdict: The opportunities were worth 15.3 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.

Russell Gage Jr. Ran hot

ATL · WR · 18.2 pts on 11.8 expected

7 targets (25% of the team's), 6 catches for 62 yards and 1 touchdown.

Verdict: The opportunities were worth 11.8 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.

James Robinson Volume, no payoff

JAX · RB · 12.5 pts on 17.6 expected

4 targets (10% of the team's), 3 catches for 29 yards; 17 carries (61% of the team's) for 86 yards.

Verdict: The role was there, worth 17.6 points at league-average rates; the production wasn't.

Laviska Shenault Jr. Unlucky

JAX · WR · 8.3 pts on 15.2 expected

9 targets (22% of the team's), 5 catches for 33 yards.

Verdict: The role was there, worth 15.2 points at league-average rates; the production wasn't.

Kyle Pitts Sr. Unlucky

ATL · TE · 4.6 pts on 10.1 expected

6 targets (21% of the team's), 2 catches for 26 yards.

Verdict: The role was there, worth 10.1 points at league-average rates; the production wasn't.

Tavon Austin Ran hot

JAX · WR · 10.1 pts on 3.4 expected

2 targets (5% of the team's), 2 catches for 21 yards and 1 touchdown.

Verdict: The opportunities were worth 3.4 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.

Stock Up, Stock Down

Atlanta Falcons

  • Stock up: Tajae Sharpe played 77% of the snaps, up from a 46% season average.
  • Stock up: Parker Hesse played 38% of the snaps, up from a 11% season average.

Jacksonville Jaguars

  • Stock up: Laquon Treadwell played 86% of the snaps, up from a 33% season average.
  • Stock up: James O'Shaughnessy played 81% of the snaps, up from a 43% season average.
  • Stock down: Dan Arnold played 7% of the snaps, down from a 55% season average.

Fantasy Matchups

Fantasy points allowed per game by position, 2021 through Week 18.

Fantasy points allowed per game by position, Falcons defense and Jaguars defense
Points allowed toFalcons DJaguars D
QBs18.818.0
RBs24.621.8
WRs36.636.2
TEs12.411.9

Regular season, summed from each game's box score and scored with this page's rules.

How the Game Swung

Jacksonville opened at 46% win probability and fell below 2% in the third quarter.

Jaguars win probability

Jaguars win probability by game minuteJaguars started at 46%, stood at 11% at halftime and finished at 0%, across 6 scoring plays.Q1Q2Q3Q4100%50%0%

Key Swings

  1. −22Patterson 7-yd TD run46% → 24%Q1 0:38
  2. −15Patterson 12-yd TD run23% → 8%Q2 6:40
  3. +5Wright 22-yd FG6% → 11%Q2 0:45
  4. −7Ryan → Gage, 12-yd TD8% → 1%Q3 7:47
  5. +6Lawrence → Austin, 7-yd TD<1% → 6%Q3 0:22

Swing in Jaguars win probability, in points

Play Calling and Possessions

Play calling, Falcons vs Jaguars
Atlanta FalconsMeasureJacksonville Jaguars
59Plays71
51%Pass rate61%
6.1Yds / dropback5.0
5.1Yds / carry5.0
5/12Third downs9/16

Efficiency edge Atlanta ran 12 fewer plays but gained 1.1 more yards per dropback.

  • Top targets
  • ATL Gage 25% · Pitts 21% · Davis 14%
  • JAX Shenault 22% · Treadwell 20% · Jones 17%

Possession Results

How each possession ended, Falcons vs Jaguars
ResultATLJAX
Touchdowns31
Field goals02
Punts53
Turnovers12
Turnovers on downs02

ATL turnover edge: +1

  • The Falcons opened the scoring on their second possession, a 9-play, 81-yard drive that ended in a touchdown.
  • The Falcons drained the clock with two second-half drives of four to six minutes.
All 20 possessions, drive by drive
Drive chart
TeamStartPlaysYardsTimeResult
ATLQ1 15:009224:57Punt
JAXQ1 10:038234:08Punt
ATLQ1 5:559815:17Touchdown
JAXQ1 0:387373:16Interception
ATLQ2 12:227443:55Punt
JAXQ2 8:27290:43Fumble
ATLQ2 7:444291:04Touchdown
JAXQ2 6:4014705:55Field goal
ATLQ2 0:45270:26Interception
JAXQ2 0:19490:19Downs
JAXQ3 15:005252:12Punt
ATLQ3 12:489885:01Touchdown
JAXQ3 7:47371:27Punt
ATLQ3 6:20392:14Punt
JAXQ3 4:069723:44Touchdown
ATLQ3 0:226292:25Punt
JAXQ4 12:5714746:29Field goal
ATLQ4 6:288224:14Punt
JAXQ4 2:147110:55Downs
ATLQ4 1:192-21:19End of game
About these numbers

Possessions that ended with the clock running out at the half or the end of the game aren't counted.

Personnel groupings, average depth of target and pass rate over expected appear when the tracking feed is connected.

Falcons vs Jaguars Head-to-Head

The Falcons and Jaguars first met in 1996 and have played 9 times since.

All-time series
5–4Falcons lead, 9 meetings since 1996
Postseason
0No playoff meetings
Largest Falcons win
41–142011
Largest Jaguars win
30–71999

Since 2021

1–1 Series tied

2 meetings since the 2021 season, regular season and playoffs.

Oldest to newest. F = Falcons win, J = Jaguars win, outlined = this game.

Recent Meetings

Season to Date (Through Week 18)

The 2021 regular season, from each game's box score.

Season to date, Falcons vs Jaguars
FalconsStatJaguars
7-10Record3-14
18.4Points per game14.9
303.8Yards per game305.4
5.1Yards per play5.0
27.0Points allowed per game26.9
364.4Yards allowed per game353.1

Falcons vs Jaguars Odds and Results

How this game finished against the betting lines.

Spread
ATL −1.5Falcons covered by 5.5
Total
46Under: 35 points scored (by 11)

Expected vs Actual Scoring

Implied team totals against the actual score
TeamImpliedActualDifference
Falcons23.821−2.8
Jaguars22.314−8.3

Both offenses finished under the market's expectation, which matches the low fantasy output in the Fantasy tab.

Betting Trends

Each team's 2021 season through this game. Over/under is overs first.

Atlanta Falcons

Against the spread
5–6
Over/under
5–6
ATS as favorite
3–2
ATS as underdog
2–4
ATS on the road
4–2

Jacksonville Jaguars

Against the spread
4–7
Over/under
2–9
ATS as favorite
0–1
ATS as underdog
4–6
ATS at home
2–5

Lines: ESPN's consensus, captured at kickoff. Individual sportsbooks varied.

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Betting availability depends on your state.

Falcons and Jaguars in Fantasy

The two teams don't meet again this season. If you roster a Falcon or a Jaguar, these answer the week-to-week question.

Keep Exploring

2021 Game Logs for Players in This Game

Falcons vs Jaguars Game FAQ

Who won the 2021 Falcons vs Jaguars Week 12 game?

The Atlanta Falcons beat the Jacksonville Jaguars 21–14 in Week 12 of the 2021 season. The game was played at EverBank Stadium in Jacksonville, FL, on November 28, 2021. See the Falcons' 2021 schedule.

What was the final score of Falcons vs Jaguars?

The final score was Falcons 21, Jaguars 14. The Falcons led 14–3 at halftime, and the second half went Falcons 7, Jaguars 11.

What happened in the Falcons vs Jaguars game?

Atlanta led 14–3 at halftime and won 21–14, though Jacksonville took the second half 11–7. Jacksonville outgained the Falcons 357–332, but the Falcons averaged 5.6 yards per play. Cordarrelle Patterson led all players with 2 catches for 27 yards, plus 16 carries for 108 rushing yards and 2 touchdowns. The Jaguars committed 2 turnovers, the Falcons 1.

Who scored the most fantasy points in Falcons vs Jaguars?

Cordarrelle Patterson led the game with 27.5 PPR fantasy points, the RB4 of Week 12, on 2 catches for 27 yards, plus 16 carries for 108 rushing yards and 2 touchdowns. Russell Gage was next with 18.2 (WR14).

Who led Falcons vs Jaguars in passing, rushing and receiving?

Trevor Lawrence (JAX) led all passers with 23 of 42 for 228 yards, a touchdown and an interception. Cordarrelle Patterson (ATL) led in rushing with 16 carries for 108 yards and 2 touchdowns. Russell Gage (ATL) led in receiving with 6 catches for 62 yards and a touchdown.

How many fantasy points did Cordarrelle Patterson score against the Jaguars?

Cordarrelle Patterson scored 27.5 points in PPR leagues, 26.5 in half-PPR and 25.5 in standard scoring against the Jaguars in Week 12 of the 2021 season, on 2 catches for 27 yards, plus 16 carries for 108 rushing yards and 2 touchdowns. He handled 55% of his team's carries.

Who outperformed and underperformed expected fantasy points in Falcons vs Jaguars?

Cordarrelle Patterson outperformed his expected fantasy points the most, scoring 27.5 PPR points on 15.3 xFP (+12.2). Laviska Shenault Jr. fell furthest short, with 8.3 points on 15.2 xFP (−6.9). A gap either way reflects efficiency and touchdowns in one game; it is not a forecast. For matchups ahead, see fantasy points allowed by position.

Who had the highest expected fantasy points in Falcons vs Jaguars?

Trevor Lawrence had the most fantasy opportunity in the game, worth 21.7 expected PPR points (xFP) at league-average rates, and scored 18.0. Expected points measure the volume of a player's pass attempts, carries and targets, not how well he used them.

How did the Falcons beat the Jaguars?

The Falcons beat the Jaguars 21–14 because they averaged 5.6 yards per play to 5.0 and won the turnover battle 2–1.

Which team won the turnover battle in Falcons vs Jaguars?

The Falcons won the turnover battle 2–1: the Jaguars gave the ball away 2 times and the Falcons 1 time. The Falcons won the game.

What is the all-time Falcons vs Jaguars record?

The Falcons lead the all-time series 5–4 across 9 meetings since 1996.

When did the Falcons and Jaguars last play before this game?

Before Week 12 of 2021, they last met in the 2019 season on December 22, 2019, when the Falcons beat the Jaguars 24–12.

What was the closing spread for Falcons vs Jaguars?

The consensus closing spread at kickoff was Falcons −1.5, making the Atlanta Falcons 1.5-point favorites, with a closing total of 46. That implied about 23.8 points for the Falcons and 22.3 for the Jaguars.

Did Falcons vs Jaguars go over or under the total?

The game went under. The consensus closing total was 46, and the teams combined for 35 points, 11 under the number.

Who covered the spread in Falcons vs Jaguars?

The Falcons covered by 5.5 against the closing line of Falcons −1.5. The final margin was 7 points.