Final2021 Week 11

Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, GA

New England Patriots vs Atlanta Falcons, Week 11 2021

New England Patriots

AwayWon

25

Atlanta Falcons

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0

Scoring by quarter
TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Patriots31001225
Falcons00000

NE 25ATL 0 Final

  • Passing leader

    Mac Jones

    NE · QB

    11.4PPR pts

    22/26, 207 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT

  • Top fantasy scorer

    Nelson Agholor

    NE · WR

    15.0PPR pts

    5 REC, 40 YDS, 1 TD

  • Falcons leader

    Russell Gage Jr.

    ATL · WR

    9.9PPR pts

    5 REC, 49 YDS

  • Defensive playmaker

    Kyle Van Noy

    NE

    1 INT, 1 TD, 2 SACK, 8 TKL

Patriots 25, Falcons 0: New England leads from start to finish

New England led 13–0 at halftime and outscored Atlanta 12–0 after the break to win 25–0. The Patriots finished with a 308–165 edge in total offense and averaged 5.2 yards per play.

Atlanta never got on the board.

The gap showed up everywhere. The Falcons went 2-for-11 on third down and committed four turnovers, while the Patriots kept the ball for 32:43.

Key advantages

  • +2.0 yards/play NE 5.2 · ATL 3.2
  • +3 turnover margin NE 1 · ATL 4 turnovers
  • +143 total yards NE 308 · ATL 165

Game Highlights

Official NFL highlights · Opens from YouTube

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Why the Patriots Won

New England won the efficiency, turnover, third-down, and time of possession battles.

Team stats comparison, Patriots vs Falcons
PatriotsStatFalcons
5.2Yards per play3.2
1Turnovers4
308Total yards165
Other team stats
59Plays52
33%Third-down conversion18%
32:43Time of possession27:17

Scoring Summary

The Patriots scored two touchdowns and four field goals; the Falcons did not score.

Scoring plays, Patriots vs Falcons
TimeTeamPlayNEATL
1st quarter
5:14NENick Folk 32-yard FG Takes lead30
2nd quarter
13:44NEMac Jones → Nelson Agholor, 19-yard TD Extends leadNick Folk XP100
0:00NENick Folk 44-yard FG Extends lead130
3rd quarter
No scoring
4th quarter
6:39NENick Folk 53-yard FG Extends lead160
1:55NENick Folk 33-yard FG Extends lead190
1:22NEKyle Van Noy 35-yard interception return TD Extends leadXP missed250

Fantasy Points: Patriots vs Falcons, Week 11 2021

Fantasy leaders

  1. Nelson AgholorNEWR15.0 PTSWR25
  2. Mac JonesNEQB11.4 PTSQB17
  3. Russell GageATLWR9.9 PTSWR35
  4. Kendrick BourneNEWR8.9 PTSWR42

Player Stats

Quarterbacks

Quarterback statistics
PlayerFPTSFINCMP/ATTPass YDSTDINTRush ATTRush YDSRush TDRateStart/Sit
Mac JonesNEQB11.4QB1722/262071161096.6Start/Sit →
Matt RyanATLQB4.1QB2819/2815302———51.6
Josh RosenATLQB-0.8—1/3501———2.8

WRs, RBs, & TEs

Receiver, running back and tight end statistics
PlayerFPTSFINPOSRush ATTRush YDSRush TDTGTRECRec YDSRec TDStart/Sit
Nelson AgholorNEWR15.0WR25WR———55401
Russell GageATLWR9.9WR35WR———85490
Kendrick BourneNEWR8.9WR42WR17044420Start/Sit →
Rhamondre StevensonNERB8.5RB24RB126901160Start/Sit →
Jakobi MeyersNEWR7.9WR45WR———64390Start/Sit →
Damien HarrisNERB7.5RB27RB105601190
Kyle PittsATLTE5.9TE25TE———53290
Qadree OllisonATLRB5.4RB38RB93403200
Olamide ZaccheausATLWR5.3WR61WR———53230Start/Sit →
Mike DavisATLRB5.1RB40RB31043200
Hunter HenryNETE4.5TE31TE———32250Start/Sit →
Tajae SharpeATLWR4.1WR74WR———42210
Brandon BoldenNERB3.6RB45RB11022150
N'Keal HarryNETE3.4TE34TE———22140
Jonnu SmithNETE2.7TE40TE———21170Start/Sit →
Parker HesseATLTE1.5TE53TE———1150
Wayne GallmanATLRB-0.3—RB1-30————

Fantasy Usage

New England Patriots

Snap Share

  1. Jakobi MeyersWR56 snaps88%
  2. Nelson AgholorWR49 snaps77%
  3. Jonnu SmithTE33 snaps52%
  4. Hunter HenryTE32 snaps50%
  5. Kendrick BourneWR29 snaps45%

Target Share26 targets

  1. Jakobi Meyers23%, 6 targets
  2. Nelson Agholor19%, 5 targets
  3. Kendrick Bourne15%, 4 targets
  4. Hunter Henry12%, 3 targets
  5. Brandon Bolden8%, 2 targets
  6. Other23%, 6 targets

Carry Share30 carries

  1. Rhamondre Stevenson40%, 12 carries
  2. Damien Harris33%, 10 carries
  3. Mac Jones20%, 6 carries
  4. Brandon Bolden3%, 1 carries
  5. Kendrick Bourne3%, 1 carries

Atlanta Falcons

Snap Share

  1. Kyle PittsTE44 snaps81%
  2. Russell GageWR40 snaps74%
  3. Tajae SharpeWR37 snaps69%
  4. Mike DavisRB26 snaps48%
  5. Qadree OllisonRB26 snaps48%

Target Share30 targets

  1. Russell Gage27%, 8 targets
  2. Olamide Zaccheaus17%, 5 targets
  3. Kyle Pitts17%, 5 targets
  4. Mike Davis13%, 4 targets
  5. Tajae Sharpe13%, 4 targets
  6. Other13%, 4 targets

Carry Share13 carries

  1. Qadree Ollison69%, 9 carries
  2. Mike Davis23%, 3 carries
  3. Wayne Gallman8%, 1 carries
View full usage tableHide full usage table
Offensive snaps and share for the skill positions
PlayerSNAPSSNAP %TGTTGT %CAR
Jakobi MeyersNEWR5688%623%0
Kyle PittsATLTE4481%517%0
Nelson AgholorNEWR4977%519%0
Russell GageATLWR4074%827%0
Tajae SharpeATLWR3769%413%0
Jonnu SmithNETE3352%28%0
Hunter HenryNETE3250%312%0
Mike DavisATLRB2648%413%3
Qadree OllisonATLRB2648%310%9
Olamide ZaccheausATLWR2546%517%0
Kendrick BourneNEWR2945%415%1
Lee SmithATLTE2241%00%0
N'Keal HarryNETE2641%28%0
Damien HarrisNERB2539%14%10
Rhamondre StevensonNERB2234%14%12
Brandon BoldenNERB1727%28%1
Marvin HallATLWR1222%00%0
Parker HesseATLTE1120%13%0
Frank DarbyATLWR611%00%0
Wayne GallmanATLRB24%00%1
Matthew SlaterNEWR23%00%0
Feleipe FranksATLTE12%00%0

Fantasy Points vs Expected

Expected points (xFP) are what a player's pass attempts, carries and targets are worth at the league's average rates; the difference is what the player made of them.

  • Biggest overperformer+6.6Nelson Agholor15.0 PTS vs 8.4 xFP
  • Biggest underperformer−8.2Matt Ryan4.1 PTS vs 12.3 xFP
  • Highest expected volume15.3 xFPMac Jones11.4 PTS scored
Usage and expected fantasy points
PlayerPTSxFPvs xFPSnap%UsageRte%Pass attCarCar%TgtTgt%
Mac JonesNE · QB11.415.3−3.9100%26 att—26620%00%
Russell Gage Jr.ATL · WR9.913.5−3.674%26% tgt—000%826%
Matt RyanATL · QB4.112.3−8.293%28 att—2800%00%
Qadree OllisonATL · RB5.410.8−5.448%56% car—0956%310%
Jakobi MeyersNE · WR7.910.1−2.288%23% tgt—000%623%
Rhamondre StevensonNE · RB8.59.4−0.934%40% car—01240%14%
Mike DavisATL · RB5.18.7−3.648%19% car—0319%413%
Kyle Pitts Sr.ATL · TE5.98.4−2.581%16% tgt—000%516%
Nelson AgholorNE · WR15.08.4+6.677%19% tgt—000%519%
Olamide ZaccheausATL · WR5.38.4−3.146%16% tgt—000%516%
Damien HarrisNE · RB7.58.1−0.639%33% car—01033%14%
Kendrick BourneNE · WR8.97.4+1.545%15% tgt—013%415%
Tajae SharpeATL · WR4.16.7−2.669%13% tgt—000%413%
Hunter HenryNE · TE4.55.1−0.650%12% tgt—000%312%
Brandon BoldenNE · RB3.64.0−0.427%8% tgt—013%28%
Keith SmithATL · RB2.93.6−0.7—19% car—0319%13%
Jonnu SmithNE · TE2.73.4−0.752%8% tgt—000%28%
N'Keal HarryNE · TE3.43.40.041%8% tgt—000%28%
Parker HesseATL · TE1.51.7−0.220%3% tgt—000%13%
Josh RosenATL · QB-0.81.3−2.16%3 att—300%00%
Wayne GallmanATL · RB-0.30.6−0.94%6% car—016%00%
Feleipe FranksATL · TE-1.00.4−1.42%0% tgt—100%00%

Team totals: Patriots 26 targets and 30 carries; Falcons 31 targets and 16 carries. Shares are from the box score. Snap counts are from the weekly player logs (Sleeper), and include plays wiped out by penalties. Route counts, air yards and red-zone touches appear when the tracking feed is connected. League-average rates from the 2021 season: 1.68 PPR points per target (67% catch rate), 0.64 per carry and 0.44 per pass attempt. They don't adjust for field position or target depth.

Fantasy Verdicts

Mac Jones

NE · QB · 11.4 pts on 15.3 expected

22 of 26 passing for 207 yards, 1 touchdown, 1 interception; 6 carries for 1 yard.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 15.3 expected.

Start/Sit: Mac Jones →

Matt Ryan Unlucky

ATL · QB · 4.1 pts on 12.3 expected

19 of 28 passing for 153 yards, 2 interceptions.

Verdict: The role was there, worth 12.3 points at league-average rates; the production wasn't.

Jakobi Meyers

NE · WR · 7.9 pts on 10.1 expected

6 targets (23% of the team's), 4 catches for 39 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 10.1 expected.

Start/Sit: Jakobi Meyers →

Rhamondre Stevenson

NE · RB · 8.5 pts on 9.4 expected

1 target (4% of the team's), 1 catch for 6 yards; 12 carries (40% of the team's) for 69 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 9.4 expected.

Start/Sit: Rhamondre Stevenson →

Russell Gage Jr.

ATL · WR · 9.9 pts on 13.5 expected

8 targets (26% of the team's), 5 catches for 49 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 13.5 expected.

Qadree Ollison Unlucky

ATL · RB · 5.4 pts on 10.8 expected

3 targets (10% of the team's), 2 catches for 0 yards; 9 carries (56% of the team's) for 34 yards.

Verdict: The role was there, worth 10.8 points at league-average rates; the production wasn't.

Nelson Agholor Ran hot

NE · WR · 15.0 pts on 8.4 expected

5 targets (19% of the team's), 5 catches for 40 yards and 1 touchdown.

Verdict: The opportunities were worth 8.4 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.

Hunter Henry

NE · TE · 4.5 pts on 5.1 expected

3 targets (12% of the team's), 2 catches for 25 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 5.1 expected.

Start/Sit: Hunter Henry →

Stock Up, Stock Down

New England Patriots

  • Stock down: Hunter Henry played 50% of the snaps, down from a 71% season average.

Atlanta Falcons

  • Stock up: Qadree Ollison led the backfield with 48% of the snaps after trailing Mike Davis before this game.
  • Stock up: Tajae Sharpe played 69% of the snaps, up from a 44% season average.
  • Stock down: Mike Davis lost the backfield lead: 48% of the snaps to Qadree Ollison's 48%.

Fantasy Matchups

Fantasy points allowed per game by position, 2021 through Week 18.

Fantasy points allowed per game by position, Patriots defense and Falcons defense
Points allowed toPatriots DFalcons D
QBs13.418.8
RBs21.524.6
WRs28.736.6
TEs6.912.4

Regular season, summed from each game's box score and scored with this page's rules.

How the Game Swung

Atlanta opened at 30% win probability and fell below 2% in the third quarter.

Falcons win probability

Falcons win probability by game minuteFalcons started at 30%, stood at 4% at halftime and finished at 0%, across 6 scoring plays.Q1Q2Q3Q4100%50%0%

Key Swings

  1. −8Folk 32-yd FG32% → 24%Q1 5:14
  2. −15Jones → Agholor, 19-yd TD24% → 10%Q2 13:44
  3. −4Folk 44-yd FG8% → 4%Q2 0:00

Swing in Falcons win probability, in points

Play Calling and Possessions

Play calling, Patriots vs Falcons
New England PatriotsMeasureAtlanta Falcons
59Plays52
49%Pass rate69%
6.0Yds / dropback3.5
4.5Yds / carry2.5
4/12Third downs2/11

Efficiency edge New England ran 7 more plays and gained 2.5 more yards per dropback.

  • Top targets
  • NE Meyers 23% · Agholor 19% · Bourne 15%
  • ATL Gage 26% · Pitts 16% · Zaccheaus 16%

Possession Results

How each possession ended, Patriots vs Falcons
ResultNEATL
Touchdowns10
Field goals40
Punts45
Turnovers14
Turnovers on downs01
Missed field goals01

NE turnover edge: +3

  • The Patriots opened the scoring on their second possession, a 9-play, 52-yard drive that ended in a field goal.
  • The Patriots drained the clock with two second-half drives of four to six minutes.
All 22 possessions, drive by drive
Drive chart
TeamStartPlaysYardsTimeResult
NEQ1 15:005273:17Punt
ATLQ1 11:43311:51Punt
NEQ1 9:529524:38Field goal
ATLQ1 5:146163:01Punt
NEQ1 2:137763:29Touchdown
ATLQ2 13:4414477:25Missed FG
NEQ2 6:19342:12Punt
ATLQ2 4:073-82:19Punt
NEQ2 1:487411:48Field goal
ATLQ3 15:004191:56Punt
NEQ3 13:04352:03Punt
ATLQ3 11:01321:29Punt
NEQ3 9:328454:28Interception
ATLQ3 5:048364:12Downs
NEQ3 0:52381:01Punt
ATLQ4 14:515272:51Interception
NEQ4 12:008435:21Field goal
ATLQ4 6:393211:30Interception
NEQ4 5:098353:14Field goal
ATLQ4 1:55350:33Interception
ATLQ4 1:22100:10Interception
NEQ4 1:122-41:12End of game
About these numbers

The Patriots' interception touchdown is counted as a Falcons interception, not as a Patriots possession. Possessions that ended with the clock running out at the half or the end of the game aren't counted.

Personnel groupings, average depth of target and pass rate over expected appear when the tracking feed is connected.

Patriots vs Falcons Head-to-Head

The Patriots and Falcons first met in 1972 and have played 17 times since.

All-time series
11–6Patriots lead, 17 meetings since 1972
Postseason
1–0Patriots won in 2016
Largest Patriots win
25–02021
Largest Falcons win
34–01992

Since 2021

2–0 Patriots lead

2 meetings since the 2021 season, regular season and playoffs.

Oldest to newest. P = Patriots win, F = Falcons win, outlined = this game.

Recent Meetings

Season to Date (Through Week 18)

The 2021 regular season, from each game's box score.

Season to date, Patriots vs Falcons
PatriotsStatFalcons
10-7Record7-10
27.2Points per game18.4
353.4Yards per game303.8
5.7Yards per play5.1
17.8Points allowed per game27.0
310.8Yards allowed per game364.4

Patriots vs Falcons Odds and Results

How this game finished against the betting lines.

Spread
NE −7Patriots covered by 18
Total
47Under: 25 points scored (by 22)

Expected vs Actual Scoring

Implied team totals against the actual score
TeamImpliedActualDifference
Patriots27.025−2.0
Falcons20.00−20.0

Both offenses finished under the market's expectation, which matches the low fantasy output in the Fantasy tab.

Betting Trends

Each team's 2021 season through this game. Over/under is overs first.

New England Patriots

Against the spread
7–4
Over/under
5–6
ATS as favorite
5–3
ATS as underdog
2–1
ATS on the road
4–1

Atlanta Falcons

Against the spread
4–6
Over/under
5–5
ATS as favorite
2–2
ATS as underdog
2–4
ATS at home
1–4

Lines: ESPN's consensus, captured at kickoff. Individual sportsbooks varied.

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Betting availability depends on your state.

Patriots and Falcons in Fantasy

The two teams don't meet again this season. If you roster a Patriot or a Falcon, these answer the week-to-week question.

Keep Exploring

2021 Game Logs for Players in This Game

Patriots vs Falcons Game FAQ

Who won the 2021 Patriots vs Falcons Week 11 game?

The New England Patriots beat the Atlanta Falcons 25–0 in Week 11 of the 2021 season. The game was played at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, GA, on November 18, 2021. See the Patriots' 2021 schedule.

What was the final score of Patriots vs Falcons?

The final score was Patriots 25, Falcons 0. The Patriots led 13–0 at halftime, and the second half went Patriots 12, Falcons 0.

What happened in the Patriots vs Falcons game?

New England led 13–0 at halftime and outscored Atlanta 12–0 after the break to win 25–0. The Patriots finished with a 308–165 edge in total offense and averaged 5.2 yards per play. Nelson Agholor led all players with 5 catches for 40 yards and a touchdown. The Falcons committed 4 turnovers, the Patriots 1.

Who scored the most fantasy points in Patriots vs Falcons?

Nelson Agholor led the game with 15.0 PPR fantasy points, the WR25 of Week 11, on 5 catches for 40 yards and a touchdown. Mac Jones was next with 11.4 (QB17).

Who led Patriots vs Falcons in passing, rushing and receiving?

Mac Jones (NE) led all passers with 22 of 26 for 207 yards, a touchdown and an interception. Rhamondre Stevenson (NE) led in rushing with 12 carries for 69 yards. Russell Gage (ATL) led in receiving with 5 catches for 49 yards.

Who outperformed and underperformed expected fantasy points in Patriots vs Falcons?

Nelson Agholor outperformed his expected fantasy points the most, scoring 15.0 PPR points on 8.4 xFP (+6.6). Matt Ryan fell furthest short, with 4.1 points on 12.3 xFP (−8.2). A gap either way reflects efficiency and touchdowns in one game; it is not a forecast. For matchups ahead, see fantasy points allowed by position.

Who had the highest expected fantasy points in Patriots vs Falcons?

Mac Jones had the most fantasy opportunity in the game, worth 15.3 expected PPR points (xFP) at league-average rates, and scored 11.4. Expected points measure the volume of a player's pass attempts, carries and targets, not how well he used them.

How did the Patriots beat the Falcons?

The Patriots beat the Falcons 25–0 because they averaged 5.2 yards per play to 3.2, won the turnover battle 4–1, and outgained them 308–165.

Which team won the turnover battle in Patriots vs Falcons?

The Patriots won the turnover battle 4–1: the Falcons gave the ball away 4 times and the Patriots 1 time. The Patriots won the game.

What is the all-time Patriots vs Falcons record?

The Patriots lead the all-time series 11–6 across 17 meetings since 1972, including a 1–0 record in the postseason.

Have the Patriots and Falcons played in the Super Bowl?

Yes, once: the Patriots won Super Bowl LI 34–28 over the Falcons after the 2016 season.

When did the Patriots and Falcons last play before this game?

Before Week 11 of 2021, they last met in the 2017 season on October 22, 2017, when the Patriots beat the Falcons 23–7.

What was the closing spread for Patriots vs Falcons?

The consensus closing spread at kickoff was Patriots −7, making the New England Patriots 7-point favorites, with a closing total of 47. That implied about 27.0 points for the Patriots and 20.0 for the Falcons.

Did Patriots vs Falcons go over or under the total?

The game went under. The consensus closing total was 47, and the teams combined for 25 points, 22 under the number.

Who covered the spread in Patriots vs Falcons?

The Patriots covered by 18 against the closing line of Patriots −7. The final margin was 25 points.