Jacksonville Jaguars vs Kansas City Chiefs, Divisional Round 2022
Jacksonville Jaguars
Away
20
Kansas City Chiefs
HomeWon, advanced
27
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaguars | 7 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 20 |
| Chiefs | 7 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 27 |
JAX 20KC 27 Final
Passing leader
14.3PPR pts
24/39, 217 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
Top fantasy scorer
35.8PPR pts
14 REC, 98 YDS, 2 TD
Jaguars leader
20.0PPR pts
7 REC, 52 YDS, 1 TD
Defensive playmaker
Jaylen Watson
1 INT, 4 TKL
Chiefs 27, Jaguars 20: Kansas City wins the 2022 Divisional Round
Kansas City led 17–10 at halftime to win 27–20. The Chiefs finished with a narrow 362–349 edge in total offense.
The Jaguars went 7-for-13 on third down and committed two turnovers, while the Chiefs kept the ball for 35:01 and finished without a giveaway.
The Chiefs went on to win Super Bowl LVII.
Key advantages
- +2 turnover margin KC 0 turnovers
- +13 total yards KC 362 · JAX 349
- +10:02 time of possession KC 35:01 · JAX 24:59
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Why the Chiefs Won
Kansas City won the turnover and time of possession battles.
| Jaguars | Stat | Chiefs |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Turnovers | 0 |
| 349 | Total yards | 362 |
| 24:59 | Time of possession | 35:01 |
| Other team stats | ||
| 5.8 | Yards per play | 5.4 |
| 60 | Plays | 67 |
| 54% | Third-down conversion | 50% |
Scoring Summary
The Chiefs scored three touchdowns and two field goals; the Jaguars scored two touchdowns and two field goals.
| Time | Team | Play | JAX | KC |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st quarter | ||||
| 7:56 | KC | Patrick Mahomes → Travis Kelce, 8-yard TD Takes leadHarrison Butker XP | 0 | 7 |
| 5:04 | JAX | Trevor Lawrence → Christian Kirk, 10-yard TD Ties gameRiley Patterson XP | 7 | 7 |
| 2nd quarter | ||||
| 14:09 | KC | Harrison Butker 50-yard FG Takes lead | 7 | 10 |
| 3:54 | KC | Chad Henne → Travis Kelce, 1-yard TD Extends leadHarrison Butker XP | 7 | 17 |
| 0:27 | JAX | Riley Patterson 41-yard FG | 10 | 17 |
| 3rd quarter | ||||
| 0:08 | KC | Harrison Butker 50-yard FG Extends lead | 10 | 20 |
| 4th quarter | ||||
| 11:49 | JAX | Travis Etienne Jr. 4-yard TD runRiley Patterson XP | 17 | 20 |
| 7:08 | KC | Patrick Mahomes → Marquez Valdes-Scantling, 6-yard TD Extends leadHarrison Butker XP | 17 | 27 |
| 0:25 | JAX | Riley Patterson 48-yard FG | 20 | 27 |
Playoff game: these points don't count in most season-long fantasy leagues.
Fantasy Points vs Expected
Expected points (xFP) are what a player's pass attempts, carries and targets are worth at the league's average rates; the difference is what the player made of them.
- Biggest overperformer+7.5Travis Kelce35.8 PTS vs 28.3 xFP
- Biggest underperformer−4.9Jamal Agnew0.7 PTS vs 5.6 xFP
- Highest expected volume28.3 xFPTravis Kelce35.8 PTS scored
| Player | PTS | xFP | vs xFP | Snap% | Usage | Rte% | Pass att | Car | Car% | Tgt | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Travis KelceKC · TE | 35.8 | 28.3 | +7.5 | — | 49% tgt | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 17 | 49% |
| Christian KirkJAX · WR | 20.0 | 24.0 | −4.0 | — | 37% tgt | — | 0 | 1 | 5% | 14 | 37% |
| Trevor LawrenceJAX · QB | 14.3 | 18.4 | −4.1 | — | 39 att | — | 39 | 3 | 16% | 0 | 0% |
| Patrick MahomesKC · QB | 16.6 | 14.6 | +2.0 | — | 30 att | — | 30 | 3 | 10% | 0 | 0% |
| Kadarius ToneyKC · WR | 10.0 | 12.3 | −2.3 | — | 20% tgt | — | 0 | 1 | 3% | 7 | 20% |
| Zay JonesJAX · WR | 13.3 | 11.7 | +1.6 | — | 18% tgt | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 7 | 18% |
| Travis Etienne Jr.JAX · RB | 17.0 | 11.4 | +5.6 | — | 53% car | — | 0 | 10 | 53% | 3 | 8% |
| Evan EngramJAX · TE | 8.1 | 10.0 | −1.9 | — | 16% tgt | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 6 | 16% |
| Isiah PachecoKC · RB | 11.1 | 9.4 | +1.7 | — | 40% car | — | 0 | 12 | 40% | 1 | 3% |
| Jerick McKinnonKC · RB | 2.5 | 7.1 | −4.6 | — | 37% car | — | 0 | 11 | 37% | 0 | 0% |
| JaMycal HastyJAX · RB | 5.3 | 5.9 | −0.6 | — | 21% car | — | 0 | 4 | 21% | 2 | 5% |
| Jamal AgnewJAX · WR | 0.7 | 5.6 | −4.9 | — | 8% tgt | — | 0 | 1 | 5% | 3 | 8% |
| Marvin Jones Jr.JAX · WR | 3.1 | 5.0 | −1.9 | — | 8% tgt | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 3 | 8% |
| Noah GrayKC · TE | 3.7 | 4.0 | −0.3 | — | 6% tgt | — | 0 | 1 | 3% | 2 | 6% |
| Chad HenneKC · QB | 4.8 | 3.6 | +1.2 | — | 7 att | — | 7 | 1 | 3% | 0 | 0% |
| Blake BellKC · TE | 1.4 | 3.3 | −1.9 | — | 6% tgt | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 2 | 6% |
| JuJu Smith-SchusterKC · WR | 4.9 | 3.3 | +1.6 | — | 6% tgt | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 2 | 6% |
| Marquez Valdes-ScantlingKC · WR | 7.6 | 3.3 | +4.3 | — | 6% tgt | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 2 | 6% |
| Skyy MooreKC · WR | 1.3 | 2.3 | −1.0 | — | 3% car | — | 0 | 1 | 3% | 1 | 3% |
| Justin WatsonKC · WR | 2.2 | 1.7 | +0.5 | — | 3% tgt | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1 | 3% |
Team totals: Jaguars 38 targets and 19 carries; Chiefs 35 targets and 30 carries. Shares are from the box score. Snap counts aren't available for this game. Route counts, air yards and red-zone touches appear when the tracking feed is connected. League-average rates from the 2022 season: 1.67 PPR points per target (67% catch rate), 0.64 per carry and 0.42 per pass attempt. They don't adjust for field position or target depth.
Fantasy Verdicts
Trevor Lawrence
24 of 39 passing for 217 yards, 1 touchdown, 1 interception; 3 carries for 26 yards.
Verdict: The points matched the role, 18.4 expected.
Patrick Mahomes
22 of 30 passing for 195 yards, 2 touchdowns; 3 carries for 8 yards.
Verdict: The points matched the role, 14.6 expected.
Christian Kirk Volume, no payoff
14 targets (37% of the team's), 7 catches for 52 yards and 1 touchdown; 1 carry (5% of the team's) for 18 yards.
Verdict: The points matched the role, 24.0 expected.
Season high in targets (14).
Zay Jones
7 targets (18% of the team's), 5 catches for 83 yards.
Verdict: The points matched the role, 11.7 expected.
Best score since Week 15.
Travis Kelce Ran hot
17 targets (49% of the team's), 14 catches for 98 yards and 2 touchdowns.
Verdict: The opportunities were worth 28.3 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.
Best fantasy game of the season.
Kadarius Toney
7 targets (20% of the team's), 5 catches for 36 yards; 1 carry (3% of the team's) for 14 yards.
Verdict: The points matched the role, 12.3 expected.
Season high in targets (7).
Travis Etienne Jr. Ran hot
3 targets (8% of the team's), 3 catches for 18 yards; 10 carries (53% of the team's) for 62 yards and 1 touchdown.
Verdict: The opportunities were worth 11.4 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.
Fantasy Matchups
Fantasy points allowed per game by position, 2022 through Week 18.
| Points allowed to | Jaguars D | Chiefs D |
|---|---|---|
| QBs | 18.0 | 20.1 |
| RBs | 22.3 | 21.7 |
| WRs | 31.6 | 32.6 |
| TEs | 13.5 | 12.1 |
Regular season, summed from each game's box score and scored with this page's rules.
How the Game Swung
Kansas City opened at 76% win probability and passed 98% in the fourth quarter on the way to the win.
Chiefs win probability
Key Swings
- +14Mahomes → Kelce, 8-yd TD75% → 89%Q1 7:56
- −15Lawrence → Kirk, 10-yd TD89% → 74%Q1 5:04
- +14Henne → Kelce, 1-yd TD80% → 94%Q2 3:54
- −18Etienne 4-yd TD run98% → 79%Q4 11:49
- +18Mahomes → Valdes-Scantling, 6-yd TD81% → 99%Q4 7:08
Swing in Chiefs win probability, in points
Play Calling and Possessions
| Jacksonville Jaguars | Measure | Kansas City Chiefs |
|---|---|---|
| 60 | Plays | 67 |
| 68% | Pass rate | 55% |
| 5.0 | Yds / dropback | 5.9 |
| 7.6 | Yds / carry | 4.8 |
| 7/13 | Third downs | 6/12 |
Efficiency edge Kansas City ran 7 more plays and gained 0.9 more yards per dropback.
- Top targets
- JAX Kirk 37% · Jones 18% · Engram 16%
- KC Kelce 49% · Toney 20% · Bell 6%
Possession Results
| Result | JAX | KC |
|---|---|---|
| Touchdowns | 2 | 3 |
| Field goals | 2 | 2 |
| Punts | 4 | 4 |
| Turnovers | 2 | 0 |
KC turnover edge: +2
- The Chiefs opened the scoring on their first possession, a 12-play, 83-yard drive that ended in a touchdown.
- The Chiefs scored touchdowns on two of their first three drives.
All 21 possessions, drive by drive
| Team | Start | Plays | Yards | Time | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JAX | Q1 15:00 | 3 | 6 | 1:04 | Punt |
| KC | Q1 13:56 | 12 | 83 | 6:00 | Touchdown |
| JAX | Q1 7:56 | 5 | 39 | 2:52 | Touchdown |
| KC | Q1 5:04 | 11 | 43 | 5:55 | Field goal |
| JAX | Q2 14:09 | 7 | 36 | 4:10 | Punt |
| KC | Q2 9:59 | 12 | 98 | 6:05 | Touchdown |
| JAX | Q2 3:54 | 11 | 52 | 3:27 | Field goal |
| KC | Q2 0:27 | 1 | -1 | 0:27 | End of half |
| KC | Q3 15:00 | 6 | 13 | 2:58 | Punt |
| JAX | Q3 12:02 | 7 | 25 | 3:36 | Punt |
| KC | Q3 8:26 | 3 | 9 | 2:18 | Punt |
| JAX | Q3 6:08 | 6 | 11 | 3:43 | Punt |
| KC | Q3 2:25 | 5 | 29 | 2:17 | Field goal |
| JAX | Q3 0:08 | 7 | 75 | 3:19 | Touchdown |
| KC | Q4 11:49 | 10 | 75 | 4:41 | Touchdown |
| JAX | Q4 7:08 | 8 | 49 | 1:39 | Fumble |
| KC | Q4 5:29 | 3 | 9 | 1:11 | Punt |
| JAX | Q4 4:18 | 2 | 4 | 0:30 | Interception |
| KC | Q4 3:48 | 5 | 20 | 2:44 | Punt |
| JAX | Q4 1:04 | 6 | 37 | 0:39 | Field goal |
| KC | Q4 0:25 | 1 | -1 | 0:25 | End of game |
About these numbers
Possessions that ended with the clock running out at the half or the end of the game aren't counted.
Personnel groupings, average depth of target and pass rate over expected appear when the tracking feed is connected.
Jaguars vs Chiefs Head-to-Head
The Jaguars and Chiefs first met in 1997 and have played 17 times since.
- All-time series
- 10–7Chiefs lead, 17 meetings since 1997
- Postseason
- 1–0Chiefs won in 2022
- Largest Jaguars win
- 24–101997
- Largest Chiefs win
- 28–22013
Since 2021
3–1 Chiefs lead
4 meetings since the 2021 season, regular season and playoffs.
Oldest to newest. C = Chiefs win, J = Jaguars win, outlined = this game.
Recent Meetings
- 2025 Wk 5 Chiefs at Jaguars, 2025 Wk 5 recap JAX 31 KC 28 JAX W
- 2023 Wk 2 Chiefs at Jaguars, 2023 Wk 2 recap KC 17 JAX 9 KC W
- 2022 Divisional Round Jaguars at Chiefs KC 27 JAX 20 KC W
- 2022 Wk 10 Jaguars at Chiefs, 2022 Wk 10 recap KC 27 JAX 17 KC W
Season to Date (Through Week 18)
The 2022 regular season, from each game's box score.
| Jaguars | Stat | Chiefs |
|---|---|---|
| 9-8 | Record | 14-3 |
| 23.8 | Points per game | 29.2 |
| 357.4 | Yards per game | 413.6 |
| 5.7 | Yards per play | 6.4 |
| 20.6 | Points allowed per game | 21.7 |
| 353.3 | Yards allowed per game | 328.2 |
Jaguars vs Chiefs Odds and Results
How this game finished against the betting lines.
- Spread
- KC −9.5Chiefs failed to cover by 2.5
- Total
- 52Under: 47 points scored (by 5)
Expected vs Actual Scoring
| Team | Implied | Actual | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chiefs | 30.8 | 27 | −3.8 |
| Jaguars | 21.3 | 20 | −1.3 |
Both offenses finished under the market's expectation, which matches the low fantasy output in the Fantasy tab.
Betting Trends
Last 2 meetings: Jaguars 1–1 ATS, unders 2–0.
Each team's 2022 season through this game. Over/under is overs first.
Jacksonville Jaguars
- Against the spread
- 10–9
- Over/under
- 9–10
- ATS as favorite
- 1–4
- ATS as underdog
- 9–5
- ATS on the road
- 5–5
Kansas City Chiefs
- Against the spread
- 7–11
- Over/under
- 8–10
- ATS as favorite
- 6–10
- ATS as underdog
- 1–1
- ATS at home
- 3–6
Lines: ESPN's consensus, captured at kickoff. Individual sportsbooks varied.
21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Betting availability depends on your state.
Jaguars and Chiefs in Fantasy
The two teams don't meet again this season. If you roster a Jaguar or a Chief, these answer the week-to-week question.
- Start/Sit ToolShould your Jaguars or Chiefs player start this week? Compare the decision against your other options.
- Fantasy Football ProjectionsSee the latest weekly and rest-of-season projections for Jaguars and Chiefs players.
- Fantasy Points Allowed by PositionHow the Jaguars and Chiefs defenses have treated QBs, RBs, WRs and TEs.
- Strength of ScheduleWhere each team's remaining games fall in your fantasy playoff run.
- Redraft CommandConnect your league for personalized lineup, trade and roster advice.
Keep Exploring
2022 Game Logs for Players in This Game
Jaguars vs Chiefs Game FAQ
Who won the 2022 Jaguars vs Chiefs Divisional Round game?
The Kansas City Chiefs beat the Jacksonville Jaguars 27–20 in the Divisional Round of the 2022 playoffs. The game was played at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, MO, on January 21, 2023. See the Chiefs' 2022 schedule.
What was the final score of Jaguars vs Chiefs?
The final score was Chiefs 27, Jaguars 20. The Chiefs led 17–10 at halftime, and the second half went Jaguars 10, Chiefs 10.
What happened in the Jaguars vs Chiefs game?
Kansas City led 17–10 at halftime to win 27–20. The Chiefs finished with a narrow 362–349 edge in total offense. The Jaguars committed 2 turnovers, the Chiefs none.
How did the Chiefs beat the Jaguars?
The Chiefs beat the Jaguars 27–20 because they won the turnover battle 2–0 and outgained them 362–349.
Which team won the turnover battle in Jaguars vs Chiefs?
The Chiefs won the turnover battle 2–0: the Jaguars gave the ball away 2 times and the Chiefs not at all. The Chiefs won the game.
What is the all-time Jaguars vs Chiefs record?
The Chiefs lead the all-time series 10–7 across 17 meetings since 1997, including a 1–0 record in the postseason.
When did the Jaguars and Chiefs last play before this game?
Before the 2022 Divisional Round, they last met in the 2022 season on November 13, 2022, when the Chiefs beat the Jaguars 27–17.
Have the Jaguars and Chiefs met in the playoffs?
Yes, 1 time, most recently in the 2022 playoffs. The Jaguars are 0–1 against the Chiefs in the postseason.
What is the Jaguars vs Chiefs record since 2021?
The Chiefs lead 3–1 across 4 meetings since the 2021 season, including this game.
What was the closing spread for Jaguars vs Chiefs?
The consensus closing spread at kickoff was Chiefs −9.5, making the Kansas City Chiefs 9.5-point favorites, with a closing total of 52. That implied about 30.8 points for the Chiefs and 21.3 for the Jaguars.
Did Jaguars vs Chiefs go over or under the total?
The game went under. The consensus closing total was 52, and the teams combined for 47 points, 5 under the number.
Who covered the spread in Jaguars vs Chiefs?
The Jaguars covered as 9.5-point underdogs against the closing line of Chiefs −9.5. The final margin was 7 points.