Final2021 Week 4

Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, MA

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs New England Patriots, Week 4 2021

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

AwayWon

19

New England Patriots

Home

17

Scoring by quarter
TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Buccaneers337619
Patriots0701017

TB 19NE 17 Final

  • Passing leader

    Mac Jones

    NE · QB

    17.9PPR pts

    31/40, 275 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT

  • Top fantasy scorer

    Leonard Fournette

    TB · RB

    16.9PPR pts

    20 ATT, 92 YDS, 3 REC, 47 REC YDS

  • Patriots leader

    Jakobi Meyers

    NE · WR

    16.8PPR pts

    8 REC, 70 YDS

  • Defensive playmaker

    Antoine Winfield Jr.

    TB

    1 INT, 7 TKL

Buccaneers 19, Patriots 17: Tampa Bay rallies from 1 down at halftime

Tampa Bay erased a 7–6 halftime deficit, outscoring New England 13–10 after the break to win 19–17. The Buccaneers finished with a 381–294 edge in total offense.

The Patriots went 2-for-9 on third down and committed two turnovers, while the Buccaneers kept the ball for 33:55 and finished without a giveaway.

Key advantages

  • +2 turnover margin TB 0 turnovers
  • +87 total yards TB 381 · NE 294
  • +25% third-down rate TB 47% · NE 22%

Game Highlights

Official NFL highlights · Opens from YouTube

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Why the Buccaneers Won

Tampa Bay won the turnover, third-down, and time of possession battles.

Team stats comparison, Buccaneers vs Patriots
BuccaneersStatPatriots
0Turnovers2
381Total yards294
47%Third-down conversion22%
Other team stats
5.1Yards per play5.4
74Plays54
33:55Time of possession26:05

Scoring Summary

The Buccaneers scored one touchdown and four field goals; the Patriots scored two touchdowns and one field goal.

Scoring plays, Buccaneers vs Patriots
TimeTeamPlayTBNE
1st quarter
4:49TBRyan Succop 29-yard FG Takes lead30
2nd quarter
8:28NEMac Jones → Hunter Henry, 11-yard TD Takes leadNick Folk XP37
0:13TBRyan Succop 44-yard FG67
3rd quarter
3:29TBRonald Jones II 8-yard TD run Takes leadRyan Succop XP137
4th quarter
14:57NEMac Jones → Jonnu Smith, 1-yard TD Takes leadNick Folk XP1314
7:58TBRyan Succop 27-yard FG Takes lead1614
4:34NENick Folk 27-yard FG Takes lead1617
1:57TBRyan Succop 48-yard FG Game winner1917

Fantasy Points: Buccaneers vs Patriots, Week 4 2021

Fantasy leaders

  1. Mac JonesNEQB17.9 PTSQB19
  2. Leonard FournetteTBRB16.8 PTSRB15
  3. Jakobi MeyersNEWR16.8 PTSWR21
  4. Mike EvansTBWR14.5 PTSWR28

Player Stats

Quarterbacks

Quarterback statistics
PlayerFPTSFINCMP/ATTPass YDSTDINTRush ATTRush YDSRush TDRateStart/Sit
Mac JonesNEQB17.9QB1931/40275211-10101.6Start/Sit →
Tom BradyTBQB11.1QB2722/432690043070.8

WRs, RBs, & TEs

Receiver, running back and tight end statistics
PlayerFPTSFINPOSRush ATTRush YDSRush TDTGTRECRec YDSRec TDStart/Sit
Leonard FournetteTBRB16.8RB15RB2091053470
Jakobi MeyersNEWR16.8WR21WR———128700Start/Sit →
Mike EvansTBWR14.5WR28WR———127750Start/Sit →
Antonio BrownTBWR13.3WR31WR———117630
Hunter HenryNETE13.2TE12TE———54321Start/Sit →
Brandon BoldenNERB11.1RB28RB10066510
Kendrick BourneNEWR10.8WR44WR———55580Start/Sit →
Jonnu SmithNETE10.4TE15TE———53141Start/Sit →
Nelson AgholorNEWR8.9WR57WR14053550
Ronald JonesTBRB8.5RB41RB6251————
Chris GodwinTBWR8.5WR58WR———53550
Cameron BrateTBTE4.9TE30TE———62290
Damien HarrisNERB4.6RB50RB4-4022300
N'Keal HarryNETE2.0TE46TE———11100
Tyler JohnsonTBWR0.0—WR———2000
O.J. HowardTBTE0.0—TE———1000
Codey McElroyTBTE0.0—TE———1000
J.J. TaylorNERB-2.0—RB1001100

Fantasy Usage

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Snap Share

  1. Chris GodwinWR73 snaps94%
  2. Mike EvansWR69 snaps88%
  3. Leonard FournetteRB64 snaps82%
  4. O.J. HowardTE51 snaps65%
  5. Cameron BrateTE50 snaps64%

Target Share43 targets

  1. Mike Evans28%, 12 targets
  2. Antonio Brown26%, 11 targets
  3. Cameron Brate14%, 6 targets
  4. Leonard Fournette12%, 5 targets
  5. Chris Godwin12%, 5 targets
  6. Other9%, 4 targets

Carry Share30 carries

  1. Leonard Fournette67%, 20 carries
  2. Ronald Jones20%, 6 carries
  3. Tom Brady13%, 4 carries

New England Patriots

Snap Share

  1. Jakobi MeyersWR56 snaps95%
  2. Nelson AgholorWR43 snaps73%
  3. Hunter HenryTE40 snaps68%
  4. Kendrick BourneWR36 snaps61%
  5. Damien HarrisRB36 snaps61%

Target Share42 targets

  1. Jakobi Meyers29%, 12 targets
  2. Brandon Bolden14%, 6 targets
  3. Nelson Agholor12%, 5 targets
  4. Hunter Henry12%, 5 targets
  5. Jonnu Smith12%, 5 targets
  6. Other21%, 9 targets

Carry Share8 carries

  1. Damien Harris50%, 4 carries
  2. Brandon Bolden13%, 1 carries
  3. Nelson Agholor13%, 1 carries
  4. J.J. Taylor13%, 1 carries
  5. Mac Jones13%, 1 carries
View full usage tableHide full usage table
Offensive snaps and share for the skill positions
PlayerSNAPSSNAP %TGTTGT %CAR
Jakobi MeyersNEWR5695%1229%0
Chris GodwinTBWR7394%512%0
Mike EvansTBWR6988%1228%0
Leonard FournetteTBRB6482%512%20
Nelson AgholorNEWR4373%512%1
Hunter HenryNETE4068%512%0
O.J. HowardTBTE5165%12%0
Cameron BrateTBTE5064%614%0
Kendrick BourneNEWR3661%512%0
Damien HarrisNERB3661%25%4
Antonio BrownTBWR4051%1126%0
Jonnu SmithNETE2847%512%0
Brandon BoldenNERB1932%614%1
N'Keal HarryNETE1525%12%0
Tyler JohnsonTBWR1722%25%0
Ronald JonesTBRB1317%00%6
J.J. TaylorNERB47%12%1
Codey McElroyTBTE45%12%0
Jaydon MickensTBWR34%00%0
Matthew SlaterNEWR12%00%0

Fantasy Points vs Expected

Expected points (xFP) are what a player's pass attempts, carries and targets are worth at the league's average rates; the difference is what the player made of them.

  • Biggest overperformer+4.8Hunter Henry13.2 PTS vs 8.4 xFP
  • Biggest underperformer−10.4Tom Brady11.1 PTS vs 21.5 xFP
  • Highest expected volume21.5 xFPTom Brady11.1 PTS scored
Usage and expected fantasy points
PlayerPTSxFPvs xFPSnap%UsageRte%Pass attCarCar%TgtTgt%
Tom BradyTB · QB11.121.5−10.4100%43 att—43413%00%
Leonard FournetteTB · RB16.921.3−4.482%67% car—02067%512%
Jakobi MeyersNE · WR16.821.1−4.395%29% tgt—200%1229%
Mike EvansTB · WR14.520.2−5.788%28% tgt—000%1228%
Antonio BrownTB · WR13.318.5−5.251%26% tgt—000%1126%
Mac JonesNE · QB17.918.2−0.3100%40 att—40113%00%
Brandon BoldenNE · RB11.110.7+0.432%14% tgt—0113%614%
Cameron BrateTB · TE4.910.1−5.264%14% tgt—000%614%
Nelson AgholorNE · WR8.99.1−0.273%13% car—0113%512%
Chris Godwin Jr.TB · WR8.58.4+0.194%12% tgt—000%512%
Hunter HenryNE · TE13.28.4+4.868%12% tgt—000%512%
Jonnu SmithNE · TE10.48.4+2.047%12% tgt—000%512%
Kendrick BourneNE · WR10.88.4+2.461%12% tgt—000%512%
Damien HarrisNE · RB4.65.9−1.361%50% car—0450%25%
Ronald JonesTB · —8.53.9+4.617%20% car—0620%00%
Tyler JohnsonTB · WR0.03.4−3.422%5% tgt—000%25%
J.J. TaylorNE · RB-1.02.3−3.37%13% car—0113%12%
Codey McElroyTB · TE0.01.7−1.75%2% tgt—000%12%
N'Keal HarryNE · TE2.01.7+0.325%2% tgt—000%12%
O.J. HowardTB · TE0.01.7−1.765%2% tgt—000%12%

Team totals: Buccaneers 43 targets and 30 carries; Patriots 42 targets and 8 carries. Shares are from the box score. Snap counts are from the weekly player logs (Sleeper), and include plays wiped out by penalties. Route counts, air yards and red-zone touches appear when the tracking feed is connected. League-average rates from the 2021 season: 1.68 PPR points per target (67% catch rate), 0.64 per carry and 0.44 per pass attempt. They don't adjust for field position or target depth.

Fantasy Verdicts

Tom Brady Unlucky

TB · QB · 11.1 pts on 21.5 expected

22 of 43 passing for 269 yards; 4 carries for 3 yards.

Verdict: The role was there, worth 21.5 points at league-average rates; the production wasn't.

Mac Jones

NE · QB · 17.9 pts on 18.2 expected

31 of 40 passing for 275 yards, 2 touchdowns, 1 interception; 1 carry for -1 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 18.2 expected.

Start/Sit: Mac Jones →

Leonard Fournette Volume, no payoff

TB · RB · 16.9 pts on 21.3 expected

5 targets (12% of the team's), 3 catches for 47 yards; 20 carries (67% of the team's) for 92 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 21.3 expected.

Mike Evans Unlucky

TB · WR · 14.5 pts on 20.2 expected

12 targets (28% of the team's), 7 catches for 75 yards.

Verdict: The role was there, worth 20.2 points at league-average rates; the production wasn't.

Start/Sit: Mike Evans →

Jakobi Meyers

NE · WR · 16.8 pts on 21.1 expected

2 of 2 passing for 45 yards; 12 targets (29% of the team's), 8 catches for 70 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 21.1 expected.

Start/Sit: Jakobi Meyers →

Brandon Bolden

NE · RB · 11.1 pts on 10.7 expected

6 targets (14% of the team's), 6 catches for 51 yards; 1 carry (13% of the team's) for 0 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 10.7 expected.

Trend: Season high in targets (6).

Antonio Brown Unlucky

TB · WR · 13.3 pts on 18.5 expected

11 targets (26% of the team's), 7 catches for 63 yards.

Verdict: The role was there, worth 18.5 points at league-average rates; the production wasn't.

Trend: Season high in targets (11).

Cameron Brate Unlucky

TB · TE · 4.9 pts on 10.1 expected

6 targets (14% of the team's), 2 catches for 29 yards.

Verdict: The role was there, worth 10.1 points at league-average rates; the production wasn't.

Stock Up, Stock Down

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

  • Stock up: Leonard Fournette played 82% of the snaps, up from a 50% season average.
  • Stock up: Cameron Brate played 64% of the snaps, up from a 35% season average.
  • Stock up: O.J. Howard played 65% of the snaps, up from a 15% season average.

New England Patriots

  • Stock up: Damien Harris played 61% of the snaps, up from a 42% season average.

Fantasy Matchups

Fantasy points allowed per game by position, 2021 through Week 18.

Fantasy points allowed per game by position, Buccaneers defense and Patriots defense
Points allowed toBuccaneers DPatriots D
QBs17.513.4
RBs21.721.5
WRs34.828.7
TEs13.36.9

Regular season, summed from each game's box score and scored with this page's rules.

How the Game Swung

New England opened at 32% win probability and fell below 2% in overtime.

Patriots win probability

Patriots win probability by game minutePatriots started at 32%, stood at 41% at halftime and finished at 0%, across 8 scoring plays.Q1Q2Q3Q4100%50%0%

Key Swings

  1. +24Jones → Henry, 11-yd TD25% → 49%Q2 8:28
  2. −30Jones 8-yd TD run45% → 14%Q3 3:29
  3. +33Jones → Smith, 1-yd TD13% → 46%Q4 14:57
  4. +30Folk 27-yd FG25% → 55%Q4 4:34
  5. −45Succop 48-yd FG63% → 18%Q4 1:57

Swing in Patriots win probability, in points

Play Calling and Possessions

Play calling, Buccaneers vs Patriots
Tampa Bay BuccaneersMeasureNew England Patriots
74Plays54
59%Pass rate85%
5.9Yds / dropback6.4
4.0Yds / carry-0.1
9/19Third downs2/9

Efficiency edge Tampa Bay ran 20 more plays and gained 4.1 more yards per carry.

  • Top targets
  • TB Evans 28% · Brown 26% · Brate 14%
  • NE Meyers 29% · Bolden 14% · Henry 12%

Possession Results

How each possession ended, Buccaneers vs Patriots
ResultTBNE
Touchdowns12
Field goals41
Punts44
Turnovers02
Missed field goals11

TB turnover edge: +2

  • The Buccaneers opened the scoring on their second possession, a 10-play, 71-yard drive that ended in a field goal.
All 22 possessions, drive by drive
Drive chart
TeamStartPlaysYardsTimeResult
NEQ1 15:005122:06Punt
TBQ1 12:546342:59Punt
NEQ1 9:55331:13Punt
TBQ1 8:4210713:53Field goal
NEQ1 4:494171:10Interception
TBQ1 3:3910483:50Missed FG
NEQ2 14:4911746:21Touchdown
TBQ2 8:28653:34Punt
NEQ2 4:545193:05Punt
TBQ2 1:498691:36Field goal
NEQ2 0:131-10:13End of half
TBQ3 15:00312:14Punt
NEQ3 12:463101:35Fumble
TBQ3 11:11381:30Punt
NEQ3 9:413-172:24Punt
TBQ3 7:178523:48Touchdown
NEQ3 3:297773:32Touchdown
TBQ4 14:5715686:59Field goal
NEQ4 7:588663:24Field goal
TBQ4 4:347452:37Field goal
NEQ4 1:576381:02Missed FG
TBQ4 0:553-30:55End of game
About these numbers

Possessions that ended with the clock running out at the half or the end of the game aren't counted.

Personnel groupings, average depth of target and pass rate over expected appear when the tracking feed is connected.

Buccaneers vs Patriots Head-to-Head

The Buccaneers and Patriots first met in 1976 and have played 11 times since.

All-time series
8–3Patriots lead, 11 meetings since 1976
Postseason
0No playoff meetings
Largest Buccaneers win
27–71997
Largest Patriots win
35–72009

Since 2021

1–1 Series tied

2 meetings since the 2021 season, regular season and playoffs.

Oldest to newest. B = Buccaneers win, P = Patriots win, outlined = this game.

Recent Meetings

Season to Date (Through Week 18)

The 2021 regular season, from each game's box score.

Season to date, Buccaneers vs Patriots
BuccaneersStatPatriots
13-4Record10-7
30.1Points per game27.2
405.9Yards per game353.4
6.1Yards per play5.7
20.8Points allowed per game17.8
331.5Yards allowed per game310.8

Buccaneers vs Patriots Odds and Results

How this game finished against the betting lines.

Spread
TB −6.5Buccaneers failed to cover by 4.5
Total
49Under: 36 points scored (by 13)

Expected vs Actual Scoring

Implied team totals against the actual score
TeamImpliedActualDifference
Buccaneers27.819−8.8
Patriots21.317−4.3

Both offenses finished under the market's expectation, which matches the low fantasy output in the Fantasy tab.

Betting Trends

Each team's 2021 season through this game. Over/under is overs first.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Against the spread
1–3
Over/under
3–1
ATS as favorite
1–3
ATS on the road
0–2

New England Patriots

Against the spread
2–2
Over/under
0–4
ATS as favorite
1–2
ATS as underdog
1–0
ATS at home
1–2

Lines: ESPN's consensus, captured at kickoff. Individual sportsbooks varied.

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Betting availability depends on your state.

Buccaneers and Patriots in Fantasy

The two teams don't meet again this season. If you roster a Buccaneer or a Patriot, these answer the week-to-week question.

Keep Exploring

2021 Game Logs for Players in This Game

Buccaneers vs Patriots Game FAQ

Who won the 2021 Buccaneers vs Patriots Week 4 game?

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers beat the New England Patriots 19–17 in Week 4 of the 2021 season. The game was played at Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, MA, on October 3, 2021. See the Buccaneers' 2021 schedule.

What was the final score of Buccaneers vs Patriots?

The final score was Buccaneers 19, Patriots 17. The Patriots led 7–6 at halftime, and the second half went Buccaneers 13, Patriots 10.

What happened in the Buccaneers vs Patriots game?

Tampa Bay erased a 7–6 halftime deficit, outscoring New England 13–10 after the break to win 19–17. The Buccaneers finished with a 381–294 edge in total offense. Mac Jones led all players with 31 of 40 passing for 275 yards and 2 touchdowns, plus a carry for -1 rushing yards. The Patriots committed 2 turnovers, the Buccaneers none.

What was the game-winning score in Buccaneers vs Patriots?

Ryan Succop's 48-yard field goal with 1:57 left in the fourth quarter gave the Buccaneers a 19–17 lead they never gave up. It was the final score of the game.

Who scored the most fantasy points in Buccaneers vs Patriots?

Mac Jones led the game with 17.9 PPR fantasy points, the QB19 of Week 4, on 31 of 40 passing for 275 yards and 2 touchdowns, plus a carry for -1 rushing yards. Leonard Fournette was next with 16.8 (RB15). See Mac Jones's 2021 game log.

Who led Buccaneers vs Patriots in passing, rushing and receiving?

Mac Jones (NE) led all passers with 31 of 40 for 275 yards, 2 touchdowns and an interception. Leonard Fournette (TB) led in rushing with 20 carries for 91 yards. Mike Evans (TB) led in receiving with 7 catches for 75 yards.

Who outperformed and underperformed expected fantasy points in Buccaneers vs Patriots?

Hunter Henry outperformed his expected fantasy points the most, scoring 13.2 PPR points on 8.4 xFP (+4.8). Tom Brady fell furthest short, with 11.1 points on 21.5 xFP (−10.4). A gap either way reflects efficiency and touchdowns in one game; it is not a forecast. For matchups ahead, see fantasy points allowed by position.

Who had the highest expected fantasy points in Buccaneers vs Patriots?

Tom Brady had the most fantasy opportunity in the game, worth 21.5 expected PPR points (xFP) at league-average rates, and scored 11.1. Expected points measure the volume of a player's pass attempts, carries and targets, not how well he used them.

How did the Buccaneers beat the Patriots?

The Buccaneers beat the Patriots 19–17 because they won the turnover battle 2–0 and outgained them 381–294. Ryan Succop's 48-yard field goal put them ahead for good.

Which team won the turnover battle in Buccaneers vs Patriots?

The Buccaneers won the turnover battle 2–0: the Patriots gave the ball away 2 times and the Buccaneers not at all. The Buccaneers won the game.

What is the all-time Buccaneers vs Patriots record?

The Patriots lead the all-time series 8–3 across 11 meetings since 1976.

When did the Buccaneers and Patriots last play before this game?

Before Week 4 of 2021, they last met in the 2017 season on October 5, 2017, when the Patriots beat the Buccaneers 19–14.

What was the closing spread for Buccaneers vs Patriots?

The consensus closing spread at kickoff was Buccaneers −6.5, making the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 6.5-point favorites, with a closing total of 49. That implied about 27.8 points for the Buccaneers and 21.3 for the Patriots.

Did Buccaneers vs Patriots go over or under the total?

The game went under. The consensus closing total was 49, and the teams combined for 36 points, 13 under the number.

Who covered the spread in Buccaneers vs Patriots?

The Patriots covered as 6.5-point underdogs against the closing line of Buccaneers −6.5. The final margin was 2 points.