Aaron Rodgers 2026 fantasy outlook and rest-of-season projection
- Age
- 42
- Height / weight
- 6'2", 223 lb
- Experience
- 22nd season
- Drafted
- 2005 R1, #24
2026 Season
- PPR PPG
- 16.3
- Pos rank
- QB2
- Rostered
- 13%
Week 5 vs. Colts, Sun Oct 11, 1:00 PM ET 5th vs. QBs, favorable
Aaron Rodgers Rest-of-Season Outlook
QB1 every week
Preseason Projection vs. Reality
He finished QB18 last season at 14.6 points per game.
Our Take After Week 4
Through 4 games he's QB2 at 16.3 PPR points per game, against 14.6 over 16 games last season (QB18). He's running ahead of last season's pace.
Last season he ranked 15th of 41 in passing volume (31.1 attempts per game), 22nd of 41 in efficiency (0.020 EPA per play) and 35th of 41 in rushing (3.8 rush yards per game). Rushing is the soft spot. DK Metcalf and Roman Wilson are his top two targets.
The job is secure: he's the listed starter and one of the best at his position. The main risk is health, and Mason Rudolph is next on the depth chart if he misses time.
The next favorable matchup is the Colts in Week 5 (5th against QBs).
Read our preseason outlook (June 2026)
Published June 17, 2026. Kept for reference; the take above replaces it.
The 2025 tape frames the bet cleanly: Rodgers finished QB15 with 226.1 fantasy points across 16 games, throwing 24 touchdowns against just seven picks but generating only 6.67 yards per attempt and a 42.3% success rate with a flat 0.02 EPA per play. He pushed deep on a mere 9.1% of throws and released the ball in 2.59 seconds, the profile of a quarterback emptying short and dodging contact rather than stretching the field. That efficiency floor caps the fantasy ceiling even when the volume holds.
At 42 and reportedly playing his final season, he reunites with Mike McCarthy and inherits modest help in Michael Pittman and rookie Germie Bernard. The 2024 QB8 finish shows what a healthier supporting cast once unlocked, but expectations have shrunk. He drafts near QB28 and is best left on the waiver wire as a superflex depth piece or matchup streamer, not a weekly starter.
What Drives His Outlook
His 2025 rank among the 41 quarterbacks who played at least six games. Each bar is one quarterback, best on the left; his is highlighted.
Passing volume
Efficiency
Rushing
- Success rate
- 42.3%
- CPOE
- 0.0
- Sacks taken
- 29
- Pressure rate
- 15.6%
- Bad-throw rate
- 17.3%
- Deep-attempt rate
- 9.1%
What Could Change His Value
Upside
- A soft spotThe Colts in Week 5 is a top-10 matchup for QBs.Wk 5 IND, 5thWk 6 TB, 23rdWk 7 NO, 17thWk 8 CLE, 14th
Risk
- HealthHis role is secure; if he misses time, Mason Rudolph is next on the depth chart.
- Limited rushing3.8 rush yards per game, 35th of 41 QBs in 2025.
- A tough matchupThe Buccaneers in Week 6 (23rd) is among the stingiest defenses against QBs.
All Aaron Rodgers stats & analysis
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Aaron Rodgers Fantasy Outlook FAQ
What is Aaron Rodgers's fantasy outlook for the rest of the 2026 season?
Aaron Rodgers projects as a qB1 every week for the rest of the 2026 season: a weekly starter in superflex and 2QB, 12-team 1QB and 10-team 1QB leagues. His rushing (3.8 rush yards per game, 35th of 41 QBs in 2025) holds him back. See his live rank in Redraft Command.
What is Aaron Rodgers's rest-of-season fantasy ranking?
Aaron Rodgers is the QB2 in PPR points per game through Week 4. That puts him in QB1 territory, a weekly starter in 12-team 1QB leagues.
What is Aaron Rodgers's projected role going forward?
Aaron Rodgers is the listed starting QB, with Mason Rudolph next on the depth chart. Nothing on the chart threatens the job, so the role is his to lose on performance.
Will Aaron Rodgers get more pass attempts?
Aaron Rodgers's pass attempts are holding steady: 37.0 a game over his last two games against 38.3 for the season. Game script drives much of that, and trailing teams throw more.
What is Aaron Rodgers's fantasy football upside?
Aaron Rodgers's upside: his ceiling this season is 24.0 PPR points (Week 4, QB1) and the Colts in Week 5 is a top-10 matchup for QBs.
What could hurt Aaron Rodgers's fantasy value?
Aaron Rodgers's risks: Mason Rudolph is next on the depth chart if he is benched or hurt, his rushing (3.8 rush yards per game, 35th of 41 QBs in 2025) limits his scoring and the Buccaneers in Week 6 is a tough matchup. See his injury status and history.
How difficult is Aaron Rodgers's remaining fantasy schedule?
Favorable: of his next seven games, 2 come against a top-10 matchup for QBs and 1 against one of the stingiest defenses, by PPR points allowed to the position.