Bo Nix 2026 fantasy outlook and rest-of-season projection
- Age
- 26
- Height / weight
- 6'2", 217 lb
- Experience
- 3rd season
- Drafted
- 2024 R1, #12
2026 Season
- PPR PPG
- 15.6
- Pos rank
- QB19
- Rostered
- 75%
Week 4 at 49ers, Sun Oct 4, 4:25 PM ET 25th vs. QBs, tough
Bo Nix Rest-of-Season Outlook
Volume-driven QB2 with streaming weeks
Preseason Projection vs. Reality
He finished QB7 last season at 18.6 points per game.
Our Take After Week 4
Through 3 games he's QB19 at 15.6 PPR points per game, against 18.6 over 17 games last season (QB7). He's running behind last season's pace.
Last season he ranked 1st of 41 in passing volume (36.0 attempts per game), 13th of 41 in efficiency (0.089 EPA per play) and 17th of 41 in rushing (20.9 rush yards per game). His points come from his passing volume. Rushing is the soft spot. Jaylen Waddle and Courtland Sutton are his top two targets.
The main risk is the job itself. He's the listed starter with Jarrett Stidham next on the depth chart, and a benching or an injury would take his value to zero overnight.
The next favorable matchup is the Cardinals in Week 7 (4th against QBs).
Read our preseason outlook (June 2026)
Published June 16, 2026. Kept for reference; the take above replaces it.
Nix piled up 612 attempts in 2025, the league lead, yet the efficiency stayed modest: a 0.089 EPA per play, 43.9% success rate, and a minus-1.2 CPOE that placed him eighth among our advanced-stat tracking. He cleared 304.8 fantasy points behind 25 passing scores, 11 picks, and just 11.4% of his throws traveling deep, so the ceiling is propped up by sheer pass count rather than splash plays.
The rushing layer keeps him steady, 356 yards and five touchdowns on 83 carries, the kind of floor that survives cold passing stretches. He absorbed only 22 sacks behind a 19.1% pressure rate, and a refreshed receiving corps led by Courtland Sutton plus the addition of Jaylen Waddle should sharpen the completion math. Monitor the offseason ankle, but a back-end QB1 finish remains the realistic baseline.
What Drives His Outlook
His 2025 rank among the 41 quarterbacks who played at least six games. Each bar is one quarterback, best on the left; his is highlighted.
Passing volume
Efficiency
Rushing
- Success rate
- 43.9%
- CPOE
- −1.2
- Sacks taken
- 22
- Pressure rate
- 19.1%
- Bad-throw rate
- 15.9%
- Deep-attempt rate
- 11.4%
What Could Change His Value
Upside
- A soft spotThe Cardinals in Week 7 is a top-10 matchup for QBs.Wk 4 SF, 25thWk 5 LAC, 15thWk 6 SEA, 28thWk 7 ARI, 4th
- Heavy passing volume36.0 attempts per game, 1st of 41 QBs in 2025.
- Strong efficiency0.089 EPA per play, 13th of 41 QBs in 2025.
Risk
- Job securityJarrett Stidham is next on the depth chart; a benching or injury hands him the job.
- Tough matchupsThe 49ers in Week 4 (25th) and the Seahawks in Week 6 (28th) are among the stingiest defenses against QBs.
- Pressure and sacks22 sacks and a 19.1% pressure rate in 2025.
QBs like Bo Nix
Bo Nix Fantasy Outlook FAQ
What is Bo Nix's fantasy outlook for the rest of the 2026 season?
Bo Nix projects as a volume-driven QB2 with streaming weeks for the rest of the 2026 season: a weekly starter in superflex and 2QB leagues and a streamer in 1QB leagues. His passing volume (36.0 attempts per game, 1st of 41 QBs in 2025) supports that. His rushing (20.9 rush yards per game, 17th of 41 QBs in 2025) holds him back. See his live rank in Redraft Command.
What is Bo Nix's rest-of-season fantasy ranking?
Bo Nix is the QB19 in PPR points per game through Week 4. That puts him in QB2 territory, a streamer in 12-team 1QB leagues.
What is Bo Nix's projected role going forward?
Bo Nix is the listed starting QB, with Jarrett Stidham next on the depth chart. Nothing on the chart threatens the job, so the role is his to lose on performance.
Will Bo Nix get more pass attempts?
Bo Nix's pass attempts are holding steady: 32.5 a game over his last two games against 31.0 for the season. Game script drives much of that, and trailing teams throw more.
What is Bo Nix's fantasy football upside?
Bo Nix's upside: his ceiling this season is 25.1 PPR points (Week 3, QB5), his passing volume (36.0 attempts per game, 1st of 41 QBs in 2025) gives him a weekly floor to build on and the Cardinals in Week 7 is a top-10 matchup for QBs.
What could hurt Bo Nix's fantasy value?
Bo Nix's risks: Jarrett Stidham is next on the depth chart if he is benched or hurt, his rushing (20.9 rush yards per game, 17th of 41 QBs in 2025) limits his scoring and the 49ers in Week 4 and the Seahawks in Week 6 are tough matchups. See his injury status and history.
How difficult is Bo Nix's remaining fantasy schedule?
Difficult: of his next seven games, 2 come against a top-10 matchup for QBs and 3 against one of the stingiest defenses, by PPR points allowed to the position.