Davante Adams 2026 fantasy outlook and rest-of-season projection
- Age
- 33
- Height / weight
- 6'1", 204 lb
- Experience
- 13th season
- Drafted
- 2014 R2, #53
2026 Season
- PPR PPG
- 21.9
- Pos rank
- WR6
- Rostered
- 98%
Week 4 at Eagles, Sun Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET 12th vs. WRs, neutral
Davante Adams Rest-of-Season Outlook
Target-heavy WR1 every week
Preseason Projection vs. Reality
He finished WR9 last season at 15.9 points per game.
Our Take After Week 4
Through 3 games he's WR6 at 21.9 PPR points per game, against 15.9 over 14 games last season (WR9). He's running ahead of last season's pace.
Last season he ranked 23rd of 142 in target volume (19.6% target share), 30th of 142 in downfield role (26.6% air-yards share) and 34th of 142 in efficiency (1.94 yards per route run). His points come from his target volume. Matthew Stafford is his quarterback.
The job is secure: he's the listed starter and one of the best at his position. The main risk is health, and Cj Daniels is next on the depth chart if he misses time.
The next favorable matchups are the Bills in Week 5 (7th against WRs) and the Cardinals in Week 6 (4th against WRs).
Read our preseason outlook (June 2026)
Published June 17, 2026. Kept for reference; the take above replaces it.
Adams turned 14 scores into a WR27 finish over 14 games last year, but the underlying line screams touchdown dependence. His 52.6% catch rate and 1.95 yards after the catch per reception were career worst, and a 0.481 WOPR on a 19.6% target share marked a sharp drop from the 0.541 and 0.804 marks of his prior two seasons. The EPA per play (0.237) and 51.8% success rate look healthy, but they're propped up by 32 red-zone and 23 end-zone looks that funneled into elite scoring rather than steady yardage.
The 14-TD spike is the obvious regression flag; when he didn't find the end zone, his weekly output cratered. In Sean McVay's offense with Matthew Stafford, he still profiles as a clear starter, but Puka Nacua commands the alpha share, and Adams is now 33 with a lingering lower-body issue. Treat him as a touchdown-reliant WR3 in the fifth round, not a foundational piece.
What Drives His Outlook
His 2025 rank among the 142 receivers who played at least six games. Each bar is one receiver, best on the left; his is highlighted.
Target volume
Downfield role
Efficiency
- Average depth of target
- 12.7
- Drop rate
- 4.4%
- Red-zone targets
- 32
- Route participation
- 65.8%
- YAC per reception
- 1.9
What Could Change His Value
Upside
- A soft stretchThe Bills in Week 5 and the Cardinals in Week 6 are top-10 matchups for WRs.Wk 4 PHI, 12thWk 5 BUF, 7thWk 6 ARI, 4thWk 7 LV, 29th
- Heavy target volume19.6% target share, 23rd of 142 WRs in 2025.
- Downfield role26.6% air-yards share, 30th of 142 WRs in 2025.
Risk
- HealthHis role is secure; if he misses time, Cj Daniels is next on the depth chart.
- A tough matchupThe Raiders in Week 7 (29th) is among the stingiest defenses against WRs.
All Davante Adams stats & analysis
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Davante Adams Fantasy Outlook FAQ
What is Davante Adams's fantasy outlook for the rest of the 2026 season?
Davante Adams projects as a target-heavy WR1 every week for the rest of the 2026 season: a weekly starter in 12-team PPR, 10-team PPR and half-PPR leagues. His target volume (19.6% target share, 23rd of 142 WRs in 2025) supports that. See his live rank in Redraft Command.
What is Davante Adams's rest-of-season fantasy ranking?
Davante Adams is the WR6 in PPR points per game through Week 4. That puts him in WR1 territory, a weekly starter in 10-team PPR leagues.
What is Davante Adams's projected role going forward?
Davante Adams is the listed starting WR, with Cj Daniels next on the depth chart. Nothing on the chart threatens the job, so the role is his to lose on performance.
Will Davante Adams get more targets?
Davante Adams's targets are trending up: 11.5 a game over his last two games against 9.7 for the season. His share of the offense is what his fantasy value rides on.
What is Davante Adams's fantasy football upside?
Davante Adams's upside: his ceiling this season is 39.5 PPR points (Week 2, WR2), his target volume (19.6% target share, 23rd of 142 WRs in 2025) gives him a weekly floor to build on and the Bills in Week 5 and the Cardinals in Week 6 are top-10 matchups for WRs.
What could hurt Davante Adams's fantasy value?
Davante Adams's risks: Cj Daniels is next on the depth chart if he is benched or hurt and the Raiders in Week 7 is a tough matchup. See his injury status and history.
How difficult is Davante Adams's remaining fantasy schedule?
Favorable: of his next seven games, 4 come against a top-10 matchup for WRs and 1 against one of the stingiest defenses, by PPR points allowed to the position.