Dawson Knox 2026 fantasy outlook and rest-of-season projection
- Age
- 29
- Height / weight
- 6'4", 254 lb
- Experience
- 8th season
- Drafted
- 2019 R3, #96
2026 Season
- PPR PPG
- 3.9
- Pos rank
- TE41
- Rostered
- 2%
Week 4 vs. Patriots, Sun Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET 31st vs. TEs, tough
Dawson Knox Rest-of-Season Outlook
Efficient depth TE for deep leagues only
TE41 through Week 4 · 3.9 PPG · 1.45 yds/route run
Preseason Projection vs. Reality
He finished TE28 last season at 6.1 points per game.
Our Take After Week 4
Through 3 games he's TE41 at 3.9 PPR points per game, against 6.1 over 17 games last season (TE28). He's running behind last season's pace.
Last season he ranked 24th of 81 in route participation (53.9%), 26th of 82 in target share (10.2%) and 20th of 82 in efficiency (1.45 yards per route run). His points come from his efficiency. Josh Allen is his quarterback.
He's TE2 on the depth chart, so his value depends on the players ahead of him.
The next favorable matchup is the Raiders in Week 6 (4th against TEs).
Read our preseason outlook (June 2026)
Published June 16, 2026. Kept for reference; the take above replaces it.
Knox quietly turned in his most efficient season in 2025, finishing as TE28 with 36 grabs on 49 looks for 417 yards and four scores across 16 games. The underlying work backs it up: a 0.335 EPA per play, a 63.3% success rate, and 1.45 yards per route run, all firmly up from his 2024 line. He cleared 12 red-zone targets and seven end-zone looks, which is where his fantasy juice still lives, and his 73.5% catch rate with only two drops showed reliable hands.
The ceiling stays capped because the numbers come on a thin diet. A 10.2% target share and 53.9% route rate confirm a true time-share with Dalton Kincaid, leaving Knox as a touchdown-or-bust streamer. Drafted near the back of the position, he is best treated as a Kincaid handcuff who only earns standalone weeks if injury opens the room. Hold him for the scores, not the volume.
What Drives His Outlook
His 2025 rank among the 81 tight ends who played at least six games. Each bar is one tight end, best on the left; his is highlighted.
Route participation
Target share
Efficiency
- Average depth of target
- 6.7
- Drop rate
- 4.1%
- Red-zone targets
- 12
- Route participation
- 53.9%
- YAC per reception
- 5.1
What Could Change His Value
Upside
- A soft spotThe Raiders in Week 6 is a top-10 matchup for TEs.Wk 4 NE, 31stWk 5 LAR, 29thWk 6 LV, 4thWk 8 BAL, 20th
- Every-down route participation53.9% route participation, 24th of 81 TEs in 2025.
- Heavy target share10.2% target share, 26th of 82 TEs in 2025.
Risk
- RoleHe's TE2 on the depth chart.
- Tough matchupsThe Patriots in Week 4 (31st) and the Rams in Week 5 (29th) are among the stingiest defenses against TEs.
All Dawson Knox stats & analysis
TEs like Dawson Knox
Dawson Knox Fantasy Outlook FAQ
What is Dawson Knox's fantasy outlook for the rest of the 2026 season?
Dawson Knox projects as an efficient depth TE for deep leagues only for the rest of the 2026 season: a bench stash in TE-premium leagues and waiver-wire material in 12-team and 10-team leagues. His efficiency (1.45 yards per route run, 20th of 82 TEs in 2025) supports that. See his live rank in Redraft Command.
What is Dawson Knox's rest-of-season fantasy ranking?
Dawson Knox is the TE41 in PPR points per game through Week 4. That puts him in depth TE territory, waiver-wire material in 12-team leagues.
What is Dawson Knox's projected role going forward?
Dawson Knox is TE2 on the depth chart, so a bigger role needs an injury or a change ahead of him.
Will Dawson Knox get more targets?
Dawson Knox's targets are holding steady: 1.5 a game over his last two games against 1.3 for the season. His share of the offense is what his fantasy value rides on.
What is Dawson Knox's fantasy football upside?
Dawson Knox's upside: his ceiling this season is 8.5 PPR points (Week 2, TE18), his efficiency (1.45 yards per route run, 20th of 82 TEs in 2025) gives him a weekly floor to build on and the Raiders in Week 6 is a top-10 matchup for TEs.
What could hurt Dawson Knox's fantasy value?
Dawson Knox's risks: the Patriots in Week 4 and the Rams in Week 5 are tough matchups. See his injury status and history.
How difficult is Dawson Knox's remaining fantasy schedule?
Difficult: of his next seven games, 2 come against a top-10 matchup for TEs and 4 against one of the stingiest defenses, by PPR points allowed to the position.
