Drew Lock 2026 fantasy outlook and rest-of-season projection
- Age
- 29
- Height / weight
- 6'4", 228 lb
- Experience
- 8th season
- Drafted
- 2019 R2, #42
2026 Season
- PPR PPG
- 17.1
- Pos rank
- QB26
- Rostered
- 4%
Week 4 vs. Chargers, Sun Oct 4, 4:25 PM ET 15th vs. QBs, neutral
Drew Lock Rest-of-Season Outlook
QB3 with streaming weeks
Preseason Projection vs. Reality
He finished QB73 last season at 0.0 points per game.
Our Take After Week 4
Through 2 games he's QB26 at 17.1 PPR points per game, against 0.0 over 5 games last season (QB73). He's running ahead of last season's pace.
He's QB2 on the depth chart, so his value depends on the players ahead of him.
Read our preseason outlook (June 2026)
Published June 17, 2026. Kept for reference; the take above replaces it.
Lock's recent profile reinforces why he's a depth piece, not a fantasy asset. His 2024 sample in New York was the high-water mark: seven games, 1,071 yards, six touchdowns against five picks, but a 41.7% success rate, minus-0.145 EPA per play, and a minus-6.1 CPOE all flagged below-average efficiency. The 2025 cameo in Seattle was three attempts and a 0.1-point line, pure mop-up duty. Across three years his EPA per play has never cleared zero, and the turnover-prone tendencies (four fumbles in 2024 alone) cap any ceiling even in extended action.
The path forward is purely conditional. He's locked in behind Sam Darnold and now fending off Jalen Milroe for the No. 2 job, with an ADP near 389 and essentially no rosters. He matters only in Superflex builds, and only if Darnold misses time. Until then, treat Lock as a waiver-stash insurance policy rather than a draftable name.
What Drives His Outlook
His 2025 rank among the 41 quarterbacks who played at least six games. Each bar is one quarterback, best on the left; his is highlighted.
Passing volume
Fewer than 6 games in 2025, so not ranked.
Efficiency
Fewer than 6 games in 2025, so not ranked.
Rushing
Fewer than 6 games in 2025, so not ranked.
- Success rate
- 11.1%
- CPOE
- −14.3
- Sacks taken
- 0
- Pressure rate
- 0.0%
- Bad-throw rate
- 0.0%
- Deep-attempt rate
- 0.0%
What Could Change His Value
Upside
- The scheduleNone of his next four opponents is a top-10 matchup for QBs.Wk 4 LAC, 15thWk 5 SF, 25thWk 6 DEN, 20thWk 7 KC, 32nd
Risk
- RoleHe's QB2 on the depth chart.
- Tough matchupsThe 49ers in Week 5 (25th) and the Chiefs in Week 7 (32nd) are among the stingiest defenses against QBs.
- Pressure and sacks0 sacks and a 0.0% pressure rate in 2025.
All Drew Lock stats & analysis
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Drew Lock Fantasy Outlook FAQ
What is Drew Lock's fantasy outlook for the rest of the 2026 season?
Drew Lock projects as a qB3 with streaming weeks for the rest of the 2026 season: a weekly starter in superflex and 2QB leagues, a streamer in 12-team 1QB leagues and waiver-wire material in 10-team 1QB leagues. See his live rank in Redraft Command.
What is Drew Lock's rest-of-season fantasy ranking?
Drew Lock is the QB26 in PPR points per game through Week 4. That puts him in QB3 territory, a streamer in 12-team 1QB leagues.
What is Drew Lock's projected role going forward?
Drew Lock is QB2 on the depth chart, so a bigger role needs an injury or a change ahead of him.
What is Drew Lock's fantasy football upside?
Drew Lock's upside: his ceiling this season is 21.4 PPR points (Week 2, QB9).
What could hurt Drew Lock's fantasy value?
Drew Lock's risks: the 49ers in Week 5 and the Chiefs in Week 7 are tough matchups. See his injury status and history.
How difficult is Drew Lock's remaining fantasy schedule?
Difficult: of his next seven games, 1 comes against a top-10 matchup for QBs and 2 against one of the stingiest defenses, by PPR points allowed to the position.