Garrett Wilson 2026 fantasy outlook and rest-of-season projection
- Age
- 26
- Height / weight
- 6'0", 183 lb
- Experience
- 5th season
- Drafted
- 2022 R1, #10
2026 Season
- PPR PPG
- 19.1
- Pos rank
- WR7
- Rostered
- 98%
Week 4 at Bears, Sun Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET 25th vs. WRs, tough
Garrett Wilson Rest-of-Season Outlook
Efficient WR1 every week
Preseason Projection vs. Reality
He finished WR62 last season at 14.2 points per game.
Our Take After Week 4
Through 3 games he's WR7 at 19.1 PPR points per game, against 14.2 over 7 games last season (WR62). He's running ahead of last season's pace.
Last season he ranked 54th of 142 in target volume (12.5% target share), 60th of 142 in downfield role (15.7% air-yards share) and 28th of 142 in efficiency (2.03 yards per route run). His points come from his efficiency. Downfield role is the soft spot. Geno Smith is his quarterback.
Read our preseason outlook (June 2026)
Published June 17, 2026. Kept for reference; the take above replaces it.
A knee injury wrecked Wilson's 2025 after just seven games, but the underlying usage stayed elite while he played: 12.5% target share looks soft until you see he ran routes on barely a third of snaps, yet still drew 0.303 targets per route. The healthy version is the 2024 monster who posted a 26% target share, 0.624 WOPR, 101 grabs for 1,104 yards and a 52.3% success rate at +0.142 EPA per play. He has anchored this passing game for three years running, and three straight seasons north of 150 targets when on the field tells the real story.
The context finally improves. Geno Smith and Frank Reich replace a broken quarterback room, and Wilson remains the clear first read despite added complementary weapons. He's a strong WR2 with WR1 ceiling around an early-Round-4 ADP. Buy the volume; the floor and the upside both point up.
What Drives His Outlook
His 2025 rank among the 142 receivers who played at least six games. Each bar is one receiver, best on the left; his is highlighted.
Target volume
Downfield role
Efficiency
- Average depth of target
- 9.1
- Drop rate
- 5.1%
- Red-zone targets
- 4
- Route participation
- 35.4%
- YAC per reception
- 2.8
What Could Change His Value
Upside
- The scheduleNone of his next four opponents is a top-10 matchup for WRs.Wk 4 CHI, 25thWk 5 CLE, 11thWk 6 NE, 15thWk 7 MIA, 28th
- Strong efficiency2.03 yards per route run, 28th of 142 WRs in 2025.
Risk
- Tough matchupsThe Bears in Week 4 (25th) and the Dolphins in Week 7 (28th) are among the stingiest defenses against WRs.
All Garrett Wilson stats & analysis
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Garrett Wilson Fantasy Outlook FAQ
What is Garrett Wilson's fantasy outlook for the rest of the 2026 season?
Garrett Wilson projects as an efficient WR1 every week for the rest of the 2026 season: a weekly starter in 12-team PPR, 10-team PPR and half-PPR leagues. His efficiency (2.03 yards per route run, 28th of 142 WRs in 2025) supports that. His downfield role (15.7% air-yards share, 60th of 142 WRs in 2025) holds him back. See his live rank in Redraft Command.
What is Garrett Wilson's rest-of-season fantasy ranking?
Garrett Wilson is the WR7 in PPR points per game through Week 4. That puts him in WR1 territory, a weekly starter in 10-team PPR leagues.
What is Garrett Wilson's projected role going forward?
Garrett Wilson is the listed starting WR. Nothing on the chart threatens the job, so the role is his to lose on performance.
Will Garrett Wilson get more targets?
Garrett Wilson's targets are holding steady: 10.0 a game over his last two games against 9.0 for the season. His share of the offense is what his fantasy value rides on.
What is Garrett Wilson's fantasy football upside?
Garrett Wilson's upside: his ceiling this season is 26.7 PPR points (Week 3, WR3) and his efficiency (2.03 yards per route run, 28th of 142 WRs in 2025) gives him a weekly floor to build on.
What could hurt Garrett Wilson's fantasy value?
Garrett Wilson's risks: his downfield role (15.7% air-yards share, 60th of 142 WRs in 2025) limits his scoring and the Bears in Week 4 and the Dolphins in Week 7 are tough matchups. See his injury status and history.
How difficult is Garrett Wilson's remaining fantasy schedule?
Difficult: of his next seven games, 1 comes against a top-10 matchup for WRs and 4 against one of the stingiest defenses, by PPR points allowed to the position.