Ian Thomas 2026 fantasy outlook and rest-of-season projection
- Age
- 30
- Height / weight
- 6'3", 253 lb
- Experience
- 9th season
- Drafted
- 2018 R4, #101
2026 Season
- PPR PPG
- 0.7
- Pos rank
- TE75
- Rostered
- —
Week 4 vs. Chiefs, Sun Oct 4, 4:25 PM ET 15th vs. TEs, neutral
Ian Thomas Rest-of-Season Outlook
depth TE for deep leagues only
Preseason Projection vs. Reality
He finished TE72 last season at 1.7 points per game.
Our Take After Week 4
Through 3 games he's TE75 at 0.7 PPR points per game, against 1.7 over 14 games last season (TE72). He's running behind last season's pace.
Last season he ranked 63rd of 81 in route participation (25.0%), 66th of 82 in target share (2.6%) and 61st of 82 in efficiency (0.79 yards per route run). Target share is the soft spot. Kirk Cousins is his quarterback.
He's TE3 on the depth chart, so his value depends on the players ahead of him.
Read our preseason outlook (June 2026)
Published June 17, 2026. Kept for reference; the take above replaces it.
Thomas is a real-snaps, no-volume tight end, and the 2025 profile in Las Vegas spells it out: nine games, a 35.9% snap share, but just a 25% route participation and 13 targets all season. That worked out to a 2.6% target share and a microscopic 0.049 WOPR, ranking him TE64. He did catch all 13 looks for 114 yards (8.77 per grab) with a healthy 76.9% success rate and 0.39 EPA per play, but the volume is the story — zero red-zone targets, zero touchdowns, and only 0.79 yards per route run.
He re-upped on another one-year deal to stay in a blocking-first depth role behind the Raiders' pass-catching options, so the path to fantasy snaps simply isn't there. Modest projections of roughly four catches for 36 yards on the season confirm it. He's a streaming non-factor and waiver afterthought outside of the deepest two-TE formats.
What Drives His Outlook
His 2025 rank among the 81 tight ends who played at least six games. Each bar is one tight end, best on the left; his is highlighted.
Route participation
Target share
Efficiency
- Average depth of target
- 3.2
- Drop rate
- 0.0%
- Red-zone targets
- 0
- Route participation
- 25.0%
- YAC per reception
- 5.5
What Could Change His Value
Upside
- The scheduleNone of his next four opponents is a top-10 matchup for TEs.Wk 4 KC, 15thWk 5 NE, 31stWk 6 BUF, 24thWk 7 LAR, 29th
Risk
- RoleHe's TE3 on the depth chart.
- Limited route participation25.0% route participation, 63rd of 81 TEs in 2025.
- Tough matchupsThe Patriots in Week 5 (31st) and the Bills in Week 6 (24th) are among the stingiest defenses against TEs.
All Ian Thomas stats & analysis
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Ian Thomas Fantasy Outlook FAQ
What is Ian Thomas's fantasy outlook for the rest of the 2026 season?
Ian Thomas projects as a depth TE for deep leagues only for the rest of the 2026 season: a bench stash in TE-premium leagues and waiver-wire material in 12-team and 10-team leagues. His target share (2.6% target share, 66th of 82 TEs in 2025) holds him back. See his live rank in Redraft Command.
What is Ian Thomas's rest-of-season fantasy ranking?
Ian Thomas is the TE75 in PPR points per game through Week 4. That puts him in depth TE territory, waiver-wire material in 12-team leagues.
What is Ian Thomas's projected role going forward?
Ian Thomas is TE3 on the depth chart, so a bigger role needs an injury or a change ahead of him.
Will Ian Thomas get more targets?
Ian Thomas's targets are holding steady: 0.5 a game over his last two games against 0.3 for the season. His share of the offense is what his fantasy value rides on.
What is Ian Thomas's fantasy football upside?
Ian Thomas's upside: his ceiling this season is 2.1 PPR points (Week 2, TE44).
What could hurt Ian Thomas's fantasy value?
Ian Thomas's risks: his target share (2.6% target share, 66th of 82 TEs in 2025) limits his scoring and the Patriots in Week 5 and the Bills in Week 6 are tough matchups. See his injury status and history.
How difficult is Ian Thomas's remaining fantasy schedule?
Difficult: of his next seven games, 0 come against a top-10 matchup for TEs and 4 against one of the stingiest defenses, by PPR points allowed to the position.