Jalen Hurts 2026 fantasy outlook and rest-of-season projection
- Age
- 28
- Height / weight
- 6'1", 223 lb
- Experience
- 7th season
- Drafted
- 2020 R2, #53
2026 Season
- PPR PPG
- 18.8
- Pos rank
- QB12
- Rostered
- 97%
Week 4 vs. Rams, Sun Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET 21st vs. QBs, neutral
Jalen Hurts Rest-of-Season Outlook
Dual-threat QB1 every week
Preseason Projection vs. Reality
He finished QB9 last season at 19.1 points per game.
Our Take After Week 4
Through 3 games he's QB12 at 18.8 PPR points per game, against 19.1 over 16 games last season (QB9). The role is producing the same fantasy output two years running.
Last season he ranked 27th of 41 in passing volume (28.4 attempts per game), 16th of 41 in efficiency (0.074 EPA per play) and 10th of 41 in rushing (26.3 rush yards per game). His points come from his rushing. Passing volume is the soft spot. DeVonta Smith and Dontayvion Wicks are his top two targets.
The job is secure: he's the listed starter and one of the best at his position. The main risk is health, and Andy Dalton is next on the depth chart if he misses time.
The next favorable matchups are the Panthers in Week 6 (8th against QBs) and the Cowboys in Week 7 (3rd against QBs).
Read our preseason outlook (June 2026)
Published June 17, 2026. Kept for reference; the take above replaces it.
Hurts finished QB16 in 2025 with 301.1 fantasy points, his quietest line in years, and the advanced profile explains the cooling. His EPA per play slid to 0.074 from 0.153 the prior season, success rate dipped to 44.3%, and CPOE fell to 3.2 from 7.5. Most telling for fantasy: his ground game shrank to 421 rushing yards and eight scores on 105 carries, down from 630 and 14 the year before. He still threw 25 touchdowns against just six picks and hit 40 passes of 20-plus yards, so the arm held up even as the legs went quiet.
The rushing dropoff tracks with offensive-line injuries that derailed the back half of the season; healthy bookends should restore the designed-run volume that anchors his ceiling. Losing A.J. Brown stings, but DeVonta Smith, Dallas Goedert and a reshuffled corps keep enough around him, and the schedule grades out as the league's softest. At a QB6-7 price near pick 72, the rebound math is favorable.
What Drives His Outlook
His 2025 rank among the 41 quarterbacks who played at least six games. Each bar is one quarterback, best on the left; his is highlighted.
Passing volume
Efficiency
Rushing
- Success rate
- 44.3%
- CPOE
- +3.2
- Sacks taken
- 32
- Pressure rate
- 20.0%
- Bad-throw rate
- 16.7%
- Deep-attempt rate
- 13.4%
What Could Change His Value
Upside
- A soft stretchThe Panthers in Week 6 and the Cowboys in Week 7 are top-10 matchups for QBs.Wk 4 LAR, 21stWk 5 JAX, 30thWk 6 CAR, 8thWk 7 DAL, 3rd
- Major rushing26.3 rush yards per game, 10th of 41 QBs in 2025.
Risk
- HealthHis role is secure; if he misses time, Andy Dalton is next on the depth chart.
- A tough matchupThe Jaguars in Week 5 (30th) is among the stingiest defenses against QBs.
- Pressure and sacks32 sacks and a 20.0% pressure rate in 2025.
All Jalen Hurts stats & analysis
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Jalen Hurts Fantasy Outlook FAQ
What is Jalen Hurts's fantasy outlook for the rest of the 2026 season?
Jalen Hurts projects as a dual-threat QB1 every week for the rest of the 2026 season: a weekly starter in superflex and 2QB, 12-team 1QB and 10-team 1QB leagues. His rushing (26.3 rush yards per game, 10th of 41 QBs in 2025) supports that. His passing volume (28.4 attempts per game, 27th of 41 QBs in 2025) holds him back. See his live rank in Redraft Command.
What is Jalen Hurts's rest-of-season fantasy ranking?
Jalen Hurts is the QB12 in PPR points per game through Week 4. That puts him in QB1 territory, a weekly starter in 12-team 1QB leagues.
What is Jalen Hurts's projected role going forward?
Jalen Hurts is the listed starting QB, with Andy Dalton next on the depth chart. Nothing on the chart threatens the job, so the role is his to lose on performance.
Will Jalen Hurts get more pass attempts?
Jalen Hurts's pass attempts are holding steady: 31.0 a game over his last two games against 29.0 for the season. Game script drives much of that, and trailing teams throw more.
What is Jalen Hurts's fantasy football upside?
Jalen Hurts's upside: his ceiling this season is 24.7 PPR points (Week 1, QB8), his rushing (26.3 rush yards per game, 10th of 41 QBs in 2025) gives him a weekly floor to build on and the Panthers in Week 6 and the Cowboys in Week 7 are top-10 matchups for QBs.
What could hurt Jalen Hurts's fantasy value?
Jalen Hurts's risks: Andy Dalton is next on the depth chart if he is benched or hurt, his passing volume (28.4 attempts per game, 27th of 41 QBs in 2025) limits his scoring and the Jaguars in Week 5 is a tough matchup. See his injury status and history.
How difficult is Jalen Hurts's remaining fantasy schedule?
Favorable: of his next seven games, 3 come against a top-10 matchup for QBs and 2 against one of the stingiest defenses, by PPR points allowed to the position.