NFC East · 2026 Season
Philadelphia Eagles
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Philadelphia Eagles
Philadelphia Eagles Usage & Opportunity Report 2026
Updated through Week 4 · refreshed every Tuesday
Fantasy production follows opportunity, not the other way around — so this report tracks who's on the field and who the ball is going to, before the box score catches up. The essentials: target share (share of team pass attempts), snap share, and red-zone touches. The premium layer, in each player's expandable profile: first-read share (how often the play is designed for him), air-yards share (30%+ is the alpha-receiver threshold), and expected fantasy points (xFP) vs. fantasy points over expected (FPOE) — xFP is stable, repeatable volume; FPOE is efficiency that regresses. Route share (the % of dropbacks a player runs a route on — the stat that matters most for tight ends), targets per route run (TPRR) and yards per route run (YPRR — the best receiver efficiency stat there is) join the profiles when the league's route data is published. Since 2017, receivers at a 20%+ target share average 15.3 fantasy points per game; the 10–20% group averages 9.8. That cliff is why this table exists.
- Pass rate over expected−6.7%26thRuns more than game situations call for — a cap on the pass-catchers' volume and a floor under Barkley
- Red-zone pass rate46%27thRun-first inside the 20 — Hurts's legs cap the receivers' TDs
- Neutral pace34.1s26th fastestSeconds per play in neutral situations — a slow offense shrinks the pie
- Plays per game56.726thOffensive plays a game — fewer snaps to go around, so shares matter more
- Team xFP / game78.925thTotal expected fantasy points this offense creates — a thin pie, so only the top shares pay
The Target Tree
All 88 Eagles pass attempts through Week 4
- DeVonta Smith 30.7%
- Dontayvion Wicks 17.0%
- Makai Lemon 10.2%
- Dallas Goedert 8.0%
- Saquon Barkley 6.8%
- Shipley/Mundt/Bigsby 13.6%
- Everyone else 5.7%
- No target (throwaways, spikes, batted) 8.0%
The Backfield Split
Who owns which situations — the RB stat that actually predicts the box score.
- Saquon Barkley 54.1%
- Tank Bigsby 23.5%
- Will Shipley 22.4%
Share of the backs' carries + targets in each situation. Snap-by-snap splits need the league's participation data, which is published after the season.
- 15.3Barkley weighted opps/game — RB30 in the NFL
- 8Barkley high-value touches (in-10 carries + targets)
- 6.7Bigsby weighted opps/game
- −8.5Barkley wOpp/g vs. last season — a smaller role than last season
Why Barkley's floor holds in PPR: He keeps 43% of the backfield's targets as well as the early downs, so his catches don't depend on game script — a 17-catch pace. Trailing by 7+, he still gets 58% of the backs' work — no one takes the hurry-up snaps from him.
The Bigsby math if Barkley misses time: Bigsby backs up the early-down and red-zone roles (the valuable ones). A Barkley absence projects Bigsby to ~55% of weighted opportunities — about 15.4 a game, flex volume at best.
Run Direction — carries & yards per carry by gap
- 3.810 attLeft end
- 5.310 attLeft tackle
- 3.725 attMiddle
- 2.614 attRight tackle
- 6.05 attRight end
Designed runs only; "Middle" includes runs behind either guard.
The left side is the run game's engine: 5.3 yards per carry behind left tackle and 3.8 off left end — 31% of all designed runs go that way. Interior volume (25 attempts) does the clock work at 3.7; the left edge does the damage. When the line's left side sits out practice, that's a usage note, not just an injury note.
Where Hurts Attacks
Share of pass attempts & yards per attempt by field zone — through Week 4
- 2%0.0 YPADeep left
- 1%27.0 YPADeep middle
- 9%20.9 YPADeep right · Smith
Line of scrimmage · deep = 20+ air yards
- 26%5.3 YPAShort left · Smith
- 16%7.7 YPAShort middle
- 45%4.9 YPAShort right
The short middle is the efficiency engine (7.7 YPA). Hurts keeps 88% of his throws under 20 air yards, with the deep right his most explosive zone (20.9 YPA on 8 attempts). Gold = highest-YPA high-volume zone.
| Profile | Player | Opportunity (WOPR) | Target share | Snap share | RZ touches | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeVonta SmithWR1WR3 in target share, NFL | 0.80elite | 30.7%+6.8 vs W1 | 93%+5 vs W1 | 2 ▲0 · 1 · 1 | Set & forget | |
The alpha profile, fully formed. A 48.1% air-yards share clears the 30% alpha threshold, a 39.6% first-read share says the offense is designed through him, and a 12-yard aDOT sits in the sweet spot — deep enough for ceiling, not so deep it gets volatile. Production is running +1.2 over expected, so this is volume, not a hot streak. Bars show percentile vs. all NFL WRs. | ||||||
| Saquon BarkleyRB1, 55% of RB touchesRB30 in weighted opps/game, NFL | —touch share 55% | 6.8%steady | 48%steady | 5 ▲2 · 0 · 3 — leads team | Starter | |
A shared backfield. 54% of the weighted opportunities means another back takes a real cut every week, so his floor rises and falls with game script. He's −3.3 a game against expected: the volume is there and the box score hasn't caught up — a buy signal, not a warning. Bars show percentile vs. all NFL RBs. | ||||||
| Dontayvion WicksWR2WR46 in target share, NFL | 0.47strong — elite at 0.60 | 17.0%+3.2 vs W1 | 78%steady | 4 ▲1 · 1 · 2 | Starter | |
A starter's share without the alpha tag. A 17% target share and 10 expected points a game, with a 15.1% first-read share; a 30.2% air-yards share decides how much of that turns into yards. Production is running +0.9 over expected, so this is volume, not a hot streak. Bars show percentile vs. all NFL WRs. | ||||||
| Dallas GoedertTE1TE35 in target share, NFL | 0.18below startable | 8.0%−14.6 vs W1 | 39%−70 vs W1 | 22 · 0 · – | Volatile | |
Not enough of the pie. A 8% target share is under the line where weekly fantasy value lives, and a 9.4% first-read share says he's rarely the design. He needs an injury above him or a role change, not a better matchup. Bars show percentile vs. all NFL TEs. | ||||||
| Makai LemonWR3WR73 in target share, NFL | 0.21below startable | 10.2%steady | 65%+6 vs W1 | 00 · 0 · 0 | Volatile | |
The ceiling problem in two numbers: a 8.8% air-yards share and a 6.6 aDOT. His targets travel nowhere, so even a healthy target share converts to modest yardage. Production is running −0.9 against expected, so this is volume, not a hot streak. Bars show percentile vs. all NFL WRs. | ||||||
| Tank BigsbyRB2 · handcuff, 25% of RB touchesRB60 in weighted opps/game, NFL | —touch share 25% | 3.4%+3.8 vs W1 | 19%−7 vs W1 | 31 · 2 · 0 | Stash | |
Contingent value, quantified. The 25% touch share is standalone-flex-in-a-pinch at best; the real number is what it becomes if Barkley misses time — see The Backfield Split above. Bars show percentile vs. all NFL RBs. | ||||||
| Will ShipleyRB3 · handcuff, 19% of RB touchesRB62 in weighted opps/game, NFL | —touch share 19% | 5.7%+3.7 vs W1 | 34%+8 vs W1 | 40 · 4 · 0 | Stash | |
Contingent value, quantified. The 19% touch share is standalone-flex-in-a-pinch at best; the real number is what it becomes if Barkley misses time — see The Backfield Split above. Bars show percentile vs. all NFL RBs. | ||||||
| Jalen HurtsQB1QB17 in xFP/game, NFL | —every dropback | —the passer | 98%−8 vs W1 | 3 ▲0 · 1 · 2 | Volatile | |
The goal-line QB. 3 green-zone carries in 3 games and a 3.7% designed-run rate — with a 62% pass rate inside the 10, the most valuable real estate in fantasy goes to his legs as often as his arm. His xFP alone (QB17 league-wide) justifies the price before any efficiency. Bars show percentile vs. all NFL QBs. | ||||||
How to read this table
- Set & forget 20%+ target share or locked bell-cow role — start everywhere
- Starter 17–19% target share or a lead back's full workload — weekly lineup play
- Flex 15–16% share or a committee lead — matchup-dependent
- Volatile under 15% — deep leagues only
- Stash the role behind the role
- WOPR: 1.5 × target share + 0.7 × air-yards share
- + button: opens the full advanced profile — first-read share, air-yards share, xFP/FPOE — with percentile bars vs. the league
Buy low
Dontayvion Wicks
The role is arriving before the box score does. Trade for him this week — not after the two-touchdown game makes it obvious to your league.
- +3.2target share pts since W1
- 10xFP per game
Sell high
Dallas Goedert
Season totals still read like a starter, but the share is moving the wrong way. Name value currently exceeds trajectory.
- −14.6target share pts since W1
Usage trends are one of the core inputs behind our player pricing — Redraft Command re-runs every player's value as these shares move, so a riser like Wicks gets repriced before your leaguemates notice.
Data: nflverse play-by-play · nflverse snap counts (PFR) · FTN Data charting via nflverse (first-read share) · ffopportunity expected points (xFP). Regular season, through Week 4.
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Common questions
Who leads the Philadelphia Eagles in target share?
DeVonta Smith leads the Philadelphia Eagles with a 30.7% target share through Week 4, up 6.8 points since Week 1. Dontayvion Wicks is second at 17.0%.