Mitch Tinsley 2026 fantasy outlook and rest-of-season projection
- Age
- 27
- Height / weight
- 6'1", 205 lb
- Experience
- 4th season
2026 Season
- PPR PPG
- 7.9
- Pos rank
- WR118
- Rostered
- -
Week 5 at Dolphins, Sun Oct 11, 1:00 PM ET 30th vs. WRs, tough
Mitch Tinsley Rest-of-Season Outlook
depth WR for deep leagues only
Preseason Projection vs. Reality
He finished WR132 last season at 2.0 points per game.
Our Take After Week 4
Through 1 game he's WR118 at 7.9 PPR points per game, against 2.0 over 16 games last season (WR132). He's running ahead of last season's pace.
Last season he ranked 115th of 142 in target volume (3.9% target share), 98th of 142 in downfield role (7.5% air-yards share) and 124th of 142 in efficiency (0.79 yards per route run). Efficiency is the soft spot. Joe Burrow is his quarterback.
He's WR2 on the depth chart, so his value depends on the players ahead of him.
The next favorable matchups are the Ravens in Week 7 (5th against WRs) and the Falcons in Week 9 (6th against WRs).
Read our preseason outlook (June 2026)
Published June 16, 2026. Kept for reference; the take above replaces it.
Tinsley's 2025 line reads like a true field-stretcher: 14.75 air yards per target and a massive 44.25 air yards per reception fed a 0.11 EPA per play across his 24 looks. The problem was conversion. A 33.3% catch rate and matching 33.3% success rate left him at just 116 yards and 0.79 yards per route run, and his WR140 finish reflects a profile that lived on volatile downfield shots rather than reliable separation. Eight catches over eight games with one drop is thin, even by deep-threat standards.
The sliver of intrigue is usage near the goal line. Five red-zone targets and one end-zone look turned into two touchdowns and 23.6 fantasy points, so the touchdown equity is real if his snap share climbs from a modest 24.6%. With only a 3.9% target share and a 0.112 WOPR, Tinsley remains a speculative depth piece who needs an opportunity bump to matter in fantasy lineups this season.
What Drives His Outlook
His 2025 rank among the 142 receivers who played at least six games. Each bar is one receiver, best on the left; his is highlighted.
Target volume
Downfield role
Efficiency
- Average depth of target
- 14.8
- Drop rate
- 4.2%
- Red-zone targets
- 5
- Route participation
- 21.7%
- YAC per reception
- 2.0
What Could Change His Value
Upside
- A soft stretchThe Ravens in Week 7 and the Falcons in Week 9 are top-10 matchups for WRs.Wk 5 MIA, 30thWk 7 BAL, 5thWk 8 TEN, 13thWk 9 ATL, 6th
Risk
- RoleHe's WR2 on the depth chart.
- Low target volume3.9% target share, 115th of 142 WRs in 2025.
- A tough matchupThe Dolphins in Week 5 (30th) is among the stingiest defenses against WRs.
All Mitch Tinsley stats & analysis
WRs like Mitch Tinsley
Mitch Tinsley Fantasy Outlook FAQ
What is Mitch Tinsley's fantasy outlook for the rest of the 2026 season?
Mitch Tinsley projects as a depth WR for deep leagues only for the rest of the 2026 season: waiver-wire material in 12-team PPR, 10-team PPR and half-PPR leagues. His efficiency (0.79 yards per route run, 124th of 142 WRs in 2025) holds him back. See his live rank in Redraft Command.
What is Mitch Tinsley's rest-of-season fantasy ranking?
Mitch Tinsley is the WR118 in PPR points per game through Week 4. That puts him in depth WR territory, waiver-wire material in 10-team PPR leagues.
What is Mitch Tinsley's projected role going forward?
Mitch Tinsley is WR2 on the depth chart, so a bigger role needs an injury or a change ahead of him.
What is Mitch Tinsley's fantasy football upside?
Mitch Tinsley's upside: his ceiling this season is 7.9 PPR points (Week 4, WR54) and the Ravens in Week 7 and the Falcons in Week 9 are top-10 matchups for WRs.
What could hurt Mitch Tinsley's fantasy value?
Mitch Tinsley's risks: his efficiency (0.79 yards per route run, 124th of 142 WRs in 2025) limits his scoring and the Dolphins in Week 5 is a tough matchup. See his injury status and history.
How difficult is Mitch Tinsley's remaining fantasy schedule?
Favorable: of his next seven games, 3 come against a top-10 matchup for WRs and 1 against one of the stingiest defenses, by PPR points allowed to the position.