Nate Adkins 2026 fantasy outlook and rest-of-season projection
- Age
- 27
- Height / weight
- 6'3", 252 lb
- Experience
- 4th season
2026 Season
- PPR PPG
- 6.9
- Pos rank
- TE26
- Rostered
- —
Week 4 at 49ers, Sun Oct 4, 4:25 PM ET 21st vs. TEs, neutral
Nate Adkins Rest-of-Season Outlook
depth TE for deep leagues only
Preseason Projection vs. Reality
He finished TE81 last season at 2.1 points per game.
Our Take After Week 4
Through 3 games he's TE26 at 6.9 PPR points per game, against 2.1 over 8 games last season (TE81). He's running ahead of last season's pace.
Last season he ranked 79th of 81 in route participation (10.6%), 69th of 82 in target share (1.9%) and 63rd of 82 in efficiency (0.72 yards per route run). Route participation is the soft spot. Bo Nix is his quarterback.
He's TE3 on the depth chart, so his value depends on the players ahead of him.
The next favorable matchup is the Cardinals in Week 7 (6th against TEs).
Read our preseason outlook (June 2026)
Published June 16, 2026. Kept for reference; the take above replaces it.
Adkins is a fantasy non-factor, and our numbers spell out why. His 2025 campaign was a step backward: six games, a 32.8% snap share, and just 11 targets that produced a 1.9% target share, six catches, 48 yards and one score. The efficiency cratered, too, as he posted a minus-0.057 EPA per play, a 36.4% success rate, and a brutal 27.3% drop rate while ranking 85th at the position. Even his 0.72 yards per route run flagged him as a blocker first.
The one tease came in 2024, when 14 receptions on 0.73 YPRR carried a 73.3% success rate, a 0.605 EPA, three touchdowns and zero drops. That spike was tiny and tough to bank on. A one-year extension keeps him in Denver, but the role is clear: in-line blocker, not a pass-game asset. Leave him on waivers in all formats this season.
What Drives His Outlook
His 2025 rank among the 81 tight ends who played at least six games. Each bar is one tight end, best on the left; his is highlighted.
Route participation
Target share
Efficiency
- Average depth of target
- 3.2
- Drop rate
- 27.3%
- Red-zone targets
- 2
- Route participation
- 10.6%
- YAC per reception
- 4.3
What Could Change His Value
Upside
- A soft spotThe Cardinals in Week 7 is a top-10 matchup for TEs.Wk 4 SF, 21stWk 5 LAC, 19thWk 6 SEA, 18thWk 7 ARI, 6th
Risk
- RoleHe's TE3 on the depth chart.
- Limited route participation10.6% route participation, 79th of 81 TEs in 2025.
- DropsA 27.3% drop rate in 2025.
All Nate Adkins stats & analysis
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Nate Adkins Fantasy Outlook FAQ
What is Nate Adkins's fantasy outlook for the rest of the 2026 season?
Nate Adkins projects as a depth TE for deep leagues only for the rest of the 2026 season: a bench stash in TE-premium leagues and waiver-wire material in 12-team and 10-team leagues. His route participation (10.6% route participation, 79th of 81 TEs in 2025) holds him back. See his live rank in Redraft Command.
What is Nate Adkins's rest-of-season fantasy ranking?
Nate Adkins is the TE26 in PPR points per game through Week 4. That puts him in depth TE territory, waiver-wire material in 12-team leagues.
What is Nate Adkins's projected role going forward?
Nate Adkins is TE3 on the depth chart, so a bigger role needs an injury or a change ahead of him.
Will Nate Adkins get more targets?
Nate Adkins's targets are holding steady: 2.5 a game over his last two games against 1.7 for the season. His share of the offense is what his fantasy value rides on.
What is Nate Adkins's fantasy football upside?
Nate Adkins's upside: his ceiling this season is 12.8 PPR points (Week 2, TE11) and the Cardinals in Week 7 is a top-10 matchup for TEs.
What could hurt Nate Adkins's fantasy value?
Nate Adkins's risks: his route participation (10.6% route participation, 79th of 81 TEs in 2025) limits his scoring. See his injury status and history.
How difficult is Nate Adkins's remaining fantasy schedule?
Favorable: of his next seven games, 2 come against a top-10 matchup for TEs and 0 against one of the stingiest defenses, by PPR points allowed to the position.