Pat Bryant 2026 fantasy outlook and rest-of-season projection
- Age
- 23
- Height / weight
- 6'2", 204 lb
- Experience
- 2nd season
- Drafted
- 2025 R3, #74
2026 Season
- PPR PPG
- 8.1
- Pos rank
- WR48
- Rostered
- 16%
Week 4 at 49ers, Sun Oct 4, 4:25 PM ET 23rd vs. WRs, tough
Pat Bryant Rest-of-Season Outlook
WR4 for deep leagues only
Preseason Projection vs. Reality
He finished WR85 last season at 5.0 points per game.
Our Take After Week 4
Through 3 games he's WR48 at 8.1 PPR points per game, against 5.0 over 15 games last season (WR85). He's running ahead of last season's pace.
Last season he ranked 80th of 142 in target volume (8.4% target share), 88th of 142 in downfield role (9.1% air-yards share) and 84th of 142 in efficiency (1.30 yards per route run). Downfield role is the soft spot. Bo Nix is his quarterback.
The main risk is the job itself. He's the listed starter with Marvin Mims JR. next on the depth chart, and a benching or an injury would take his value to zero overnight.
The next favorable matchup is the Cardinals in Week 7 (4th against WRs).
Read our preseason outlook (June 2026)
Published June 16, 2026. Kept for reference; the take above replaces it.
Bryant's rookie tape rewards a second look. Across 13 games he ran 291 routes on a 45.8% route share, drawing 49 targets for 31 grabs, 378 yards and a score. The efficiency markers pop: a 0.29 EPA per play, a 57.1% success rate, and eight red-zone looks with four trips inside the 10. He wasn't asked to do much downfield (8.4% target share, 1.3 yards per route run), yet he converted what came his way.
The problem is the opportunity ceiling, not the player. Denver added another mouth to feed, slotting Bryant behind Courtland Sutton and into a crowded battle with Troy Franklin and Marvin Mims for the No. 3 role. At a WR85 draft cost he's a late-round dart, not a roster lock. Bank the per-snap quality and the goal-line involvement as the upside; a midseason injury ahead of him is the realistic path to relevance.
What Drives His Outlook
His 2025 rank among the 142 receivers who played at least six games. Each bar is one receiver, best on the left; his is highlighted.
Target volume
Downfield role
Efficiency
- Average depth of target
- 8.4
- Drop rate
- 6.1%
- Red-zone targets
- 8
- Route participation
- 45.8%
- YAC per reception
- 4.7
What Could Change His Value
Upside
- A soft spotThe Cardinals in Week 7 is a top-10 matchup for WRs.Wk 4 SF, 23rdWk 5 LAC, 16thWk 6 SEA, 30thWk 7 ARI, 4th
Risk
- Job securityMarvin Mims JR. is next on the depth chart; a benching or injury hands him the job.
- Tough matchupsThe 49ers in Week 4 (23rd) and the Seahawks in Week 6 (30th) are among the stingiest defenses against WRs.
- DropsA 6.1% drop rate in 2025.
All Pat Bryant stats & analysis
WRs like Pat Bryant
Pat Bryant Fantasy Outlook FAQ
What is Pat Bryant's fantasy outlook for the rest of the 2026 season?
Pat Bryant projects as a wR4 for deep leagues only for the rest of the 2026 season: a bench stash in 12-team PPR leagues, waiver-wire material in 10-team PPR leagues and a bench stash in half-PPR leagues. His downfield role (9.1% air-yards share, 88th of 142 WRs in 2025) holds him back. See his live rank in Redraft Command.
What is Pat Bryant's rest-of-season fantasy ranking?
Pat Bryant is the WR48 in PPR points per game through Week 4. That puts him in WR4 territory, waiver-wire material in 10-team PPR leagues.
What is Pat Bryant's projected role going forward?
Pat Bryant is the listed starting WR, with Marvin Mims JR. next on the depth chart. Nothing on the chart threatens the job, so the role is his to lose on performance.
Will Pat Bryant get more targets?
Pat Bryant's targets are trending down: 1.5 a game over his last two games against 3.0 for the season. His share of the offense is what his fantasy value rides on.
What is Pat Bryant's fantasy football upside?
Pat Bryant's upside: his ceiling this season is 14.4 PPR points (Week 3, WR27) and the Cardinals in Week 7 is a top-10 matchup for WRs.
What could hurt Pat Bryant's fantasy value?
Pat Bryant's risks: Marvin Mims JR. is next on the depth chart if he is benched or hurt, his downfield role (9.1% air-yards share, 88th of 142 WRs in 2025) limits his scoring and the 49ers in Week 4 and the Seahawks in Week 6 are tough matchups. See his injury status and history.
How difficult is Pat Bryant's remaining fantasy schedule?
Difficult: of his next seven games, 1 comes against a top-10 matchup for WRs and 5 against one of the stingiest defenses, by PPR points allowed to the position.