Roman Wilson headshot

Roman Wilson 2026 fantasy outlook and rest-of-season projection

Age
25
Height / weight
6'0", 192 lb
Experience
3rd season
Drafted
2024 R3, #84

2026 Season

PPR PPG
11.2
Pos rank
WR2
Rostered
3%

Week 5 vs. Colts, Sun Oct 11, 1:00 PM ET 9th vs. WRs, favorable

Roman Wilson Rest-of-Season Outlook

WR1 every week

WR2 through Week 4 · 11.2 PPG

12-team PPRWeekly starter
10-team PPRWeekly starter
Half-PPRWeekly starter

Preseason Projection vs. Reality

He finished WR122 last season at 3.0 points per game.

2025 final
WR122
3.0 PPG over 13 games
Through Week 4
WR2
11.2 PPG over 4 games
Rest of season
Live rank
Updated after every game

Our Take After Week 4

Through 4 games he's WR2 at 11.2 PPR points per game, against 3.0 over 13 games last season (WR122). He's running ahead of last season's pace.

Last season he ranked 113th of 142 in target volume (4.0% target share), 93rd of 142 in downfield role (8.4% air-yards share) and 102nd of 142 in efficiency (1.08 yards per route run). Target volume is the soft spot. Aaron Rodgers is his quarterback.

The job is secure: he's the listed starter and one of the best at his position. The main risk is health, and Kaden Wetjen is next on the depth chart if he misses time.

The next favorable matchup is the Colts in Week 5 (9th against WRs).

Read our preseason outlook (June 2026)

Published June 17, 2026. Kept for reference; the take above replaces it.

Wilson's first real action came in 2025: nine games, a modest 33.1 percent snap share, 154 routes, and 21 targets converted into 12 catches for 166 yards and two scores, good for 26.6 points and a WR127 finish. The efficiency was intriguing despite the thin volume, a 0.194 EPA per play, 1.08 yards per route, 13.19 air yards per target, and three catches of 20-plus including a 45-yard long, hinting at the field-stretching role the 2024 third-rounder (pick 84, Michigan) was drafted to fill. Availability remains the flag, with just seven games per year over two seasons.

The 2026 setup is mixed: he sits second on the Pittsburgh chart behind DK Metcalf, with Aaron Rodgers under center, but a low 4 percent target share leaves him reliant on a usage jump to matter weekly. He is a late-round dart and dynasty stash with real big-play juice, but until the target volume climbs he is a bench piece, not a startable flex in redraft.

What Drives His Outlook

His 2025 rank among the 142 receivers who played at least six games. Each bar is one receiver, best on the left; his is highlighted.

Target volume

Low
4.0%target share
1st113th of 142142nd

Downfield role

Moderate
8.4%air-yards share
1st93rd of 142142nd

Efficiency

Weak
1.08yards per route run
1st102nd of 142142nd
Average depth of target
13.2
Drop rate
0.0%
Red-zone targets
1
Route participation
26.6%
YAC per reception
5.5

What Could Change His Value

Upside

  • A soft spotThe Colts in Week 5 is a top-10 matchup for WRs.Wk 5 IND, 9thWk 6 TB, 26thWk 7 NO, 24thWk 8 CLE, 11th

Risk

  • HealthHis role is secure; if he misses time, Kaden Wetjen is next on the depth chart.
  • Low target volume4.0% target share, 113th of 142 WRs in 2025.
  • Tough matchupsThe Buccaneers in Week 6 (26th) and the Saints in Week 7 (24th) are among the stingiest defenses against WRs.
Weighing Wilson against another receiver on your roster?Compare them in Redraft Command

All Roman Wilson stats & analysis

WRs like Roman Wilson

Roman Wilson Fantasy Outlook FAQ

What is Roman Wilson's fantasy outlook for the rest of the 2026 season?

Roman Wilson projects as a wR1 every week for the rest of the 2026 season: a weekly starter in 12-team PPR, 10-team PPR and half-PPR leagues. His target volume (4.0% target share, 113th of 142 WRs in 2025) holds him back. See his live rank in Redraft Command.

What is Roman Wilson's rest-of-season fantasy ranking?

Roman Wilson is the WR2 in PPR points per game through Week 4. That puts him in WR1 territory, a weekly starter in 10-team PPR leagues.

What is Roman Wilson's projected role going forward?

Roman Wilson is the listed starting WR, with Kaden Wetjen next on the depth chart. Nothing on the chart threatens the job, so the role is his to lose on performance.

Will Roman Wilson get more targets?

Roman Wilson's targets are holding steady: 6.0 a game over his last two games against 6.0 for the season. His share of the offense is what his fantasy value rides on.

What is Roman Wilson's fantasy football upside?

Roman Wilson's upside: his ceiling this season is 16.4 PPR points (Week 4, WR2) and the Colts in Week 5 is a top-10 matchup for WRs.

What could hurt Roman Wilson's fantasy value?

Roman Wilson's risks: Kaden Wetjen is next on the depth chart if he is benched or hurt, his target volume (4.0% target share, 113th of 142 WRs in 2025) limits his scoring and the Buccaneers in Week 6 and the Saints in Week 7 are tough matchups. See his injury status and history.

How difficult is Roman Wilson's remaining fantasy schedule?

Difficult: of his next seven games, 1 comes against a top-10 matchup for WRs and 3 against one of the stingiest defenses, by PPR points allowed to the position.