Tetairoa McMillan Fantasy outlook, stats and Week 4 start/sit for 2026
- Age
- 23
- Height / weight
- 6'4", 220 lb
- Experience
- 2nd season
- Drafted
- 2025 R1, #8
2026 Season
- PPR PPG
- 9.8
- Pos rank
- WR40
- Rostered
- 98%
Week 4 vs. Lions, Sun Oct 4, 8:20 PM ET 2nd vs. WRs, favorable
Tetairoa McMillan Fantasy Football Stats & Analysis
Scoring rate
9.8 PPG
Played
3 games
Role
Depth
Trend
Stable
Tetairoa McMillan's 2026 Season, Week by Week
3 games played: two mid-range starts and one bust. The next four matchups include two of the league's softest pass defenses.
- Week 1, Loss,vs CHI,10.5,WR32
- Week 2, Win,at ATL,15.1,WR16
- Week 3, Loss,at CLE,3.7,WR87
- Up next. Week 4, Oct 4,vs DET,FavorableLions vs. WRs
- Week 5,Bye,No game
- Week 6, Oct 18,at PHI,NeutralEagles vs. WRs
- Week 7, Oct 25,vs TB,ToughBuccaneers vs. WRs
Matchup rank is PPR points allowed to WRs through Week 4. 1st allows the most, 32nd the fewest.
Should You Start or Roster Tetairoa McMillan?
McMillan is averaging 9.8 PPR points per game through 3 games, with 12 catches for 193 yards and 0 TD on 23 targets. That ranks WR40, which makes him a bench stash in most leagues.
His yards per target (8.4) is in the 56th percentile among WRs, the best of his efficiency marks; his catch rate (52.2%) is the weakest, in the 21st. His quarterback has been Bryce Young.
His best week was WR16 in Week 2 at the Falcons (15.1 points); his worst, WR87 in Week 3 at the Browns (3.7). Two favorable matchups are coming: the Lions (2nd vs. WRs) in Week 4 and the Packers (10th vs. WRs) in Week 8.
For the season-long call, whether to hold, trade or start him, check where McMillan ranks among all WRs in Redraft Command.
What's Driving His Production
Percentile vs. every WR with at least 12 targets in 2026. The line marks the league median.
Target share
21.3%47th percentile, about average
Yards per target
8.456th percentile, about average
Catch rate
52.2%21st percentile, below average
Fantasy points per target
1.2726th percentile, below average
Tetairoa McMillan 2026 Game Log
| Wk | Opp | Result | FPTS | Finish |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Bears | L 37–59 | 10.5 | WR32 |
| 2 | @ Falcons | W 34–3 | 15.1 | WR16 |
| 3 | @ Browns | L 18–21 | 3.7 | WR87 |
| Total | 1–2 | 29.3 | WR40 |
Career Fantasy Stats by Season
| Season | Team | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yds | Rec TD | FPTS | PPG | Finish |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | CAR | 3 | 23 | 12 | 193 | 0 | 29.3 | 9.8 | — |
| 2025 | CAR | 17 | 122 | 70 | 1,014 | 7 | 211.4 | 12.4 | WR16 |
| Career | 20 | 145 | 82 | 1,207 | 7 | 240.7 | 12.0 |
Rest-of-Season Outlook and Availability
Outlook
The path to a true breakout is paved by sheer opportunity. Fifteen red-zone targets and an 11.6-yard average depth signal a complete, every-down role with year-two upside. Behind him on the depth chart: David Moore. Full outlook
Injury status
Active, no designation
He has not missed a game this season. Career games missed to injury: 0. Injury history
- 2025anklePlayed through
- 2025unknownPlayed through
- 2025chestPlayed through
- 2025footPlayed through
WRs like Tetairoa McMillan
WR37Terry McLaurinCommanders30.1 PTS
WR38Jaylen WaddleBroncos29.4 PTS
WR39Wan'Dale RobinsonTitans29.4 PTS
WR40You are hereTetairoa McMillanPanthers29.3 PTS
WR41Keenan AllenColts29.0 PTS
WR42Mack HollinsPatriots27.6 PTS
WR43Rashod BatemanRavens27.5 PTS
Tetairoa McMillan Fantasy Football FAQ
Should I start Tetairoa McMillan in Week 4?
Tetairoa McMillan is depth in most leagues for Week 4 against the Lions, as the WR40 in PPR total points this season (9.8 a game). The Lions rank 2nd in PPR points allowed to WRs, a favorable matchup. Get the start/sit call for McMillan.
How many fantasy points is Tetairoa McMillan averaging in 2026?
Tetairoa McMillan is averaging 9.8 PPR fantasy points per game in 2026, 29.3 points across 3 games. His last game produced 3.7 points.
Where does Tetairoa McMillan rank in fantasy football in 2026?
Tetairoa McMillan ranks WR40 in PPR total points in 2026, through 3 games. That makes him depth in most leagues. View his complete season statistics.
Is Tetairoa McMillan worth rostering in fantasy football?
Yes, in the right league: Tetairoa McMillan is a bench stash in 12-team PPR leagues, waiver-wire material in 10-team PPR leagues and a bench stash in half-PPR leagues. He is rostered in 98% of Sleeper leagues.
What is Tetairoa McMillan's fantasy football role?
Tetairoa McMillan is the Panthers' starting WR, with David Moore behind him. He is averaging 7.7 targets a game, on 86% of the offensive snaps in 2026.
What are Tetairoa McMillan's upcoming fantasy football matchups?
Tetairoa McMillan's next three games are Week 4 vs. the Lions (2nd in PPR points allowed to WRs, favorable), Week 6 at the Eagles (12th in PPR points allowed to WRs, neutral) and Week 7 vs. the Buccaneers (26th in PPR points allowed to WRs, tough). One of them is favorable by points allowed to the position.
How consistent has Tetairoa McMillan been in fantasy football this season?
Tetairoa McMillan has finished as a top-12 WR in 0 of his 3 games this season and outside the top 36 in 1. His weekly scoring has a standard deviation of 5.7 points around his 9.8-point average.
What is Tetairoa McMillan's fantasy floor and ceiling?
This season Tetairoa McMillan's floor has been 3.7 PPR points (Week 3, WR87) and his ceiling 15.1 (Week 2, WR16). His median week has been 10.5 points. See McMillan's full game log.
Tetairoa McMillan 2026 Stats
2026 through Week 4 · Carolina PanthersHe hasn't scored a touchdown yet, so all of his fantasy production has come from volume.
Receiving
- Rec
- 12
- Yards
- 193
- TD
- 0
- Targets
- 23
16.1 Y/R52.2% Catch %
Fantasy (PPR)
- Points
- 29.3
- Pos rank
- WR40
15.1 Best Week 2 @ ATL3.7 Worst Week 3 @ CLE
Advanced Receiving Stats
McMillan is an intermediate target (11.4 yards per target last season), with a 21.3% target share this season.
| Stat | 2026 Thru Wk 4 | 2025 16 games | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Efficiency | ||||
| Yards per target | 8.4 | 52nd | 8.0 | 61st |
| Fantasy points per target | 0.75 | 28th | 1.16 | 62nd |
| Yards per route run | — | — | 1.91 | 74th |
| YAC per reception | 3.3 | 42nd | 3.9 | 57th |
| Catch rate | 52.2% | 28th | 56.9% | 26th |
| Usage | ||||
| Target share | 21.3% | 69th | 25.8% | 92nd |
| Snap share | 85.7% | 87th | 87.1% | 90th |
| Air-yards share | 26.3% | 66th | 41.4% | 99th |
| Red-zone targets | 5 | 92nd | 14 | 80th |
| Route participation | — | — | 94.5% | 96th |
| Style | ||||
| Average depth of target | 12.8 | 64th | 11.4 | 50th |
Percentiles: 2026 through Week 4 among 102 qualified WRs · 2025 (16 games, weeks 1–17) among 116. Grey bars describe style, not quality.
Profile: McMillan runs a route on most dropbacks and gets red-zone targets, but catches a low share of his targets and scores little per target.
For fantasy: his floor is his volume, 7.7 targets a game this season; efficiency decides how much of it becomes points.
Fantasy Points per Game, Every Season
9.8
Fantasy PPG
7.7
Targets/g
64
Rec yds/g
Tetairoa McMillan career stats by season
| Season | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yds | Rec TD | Rush yds | FPTS | PPG | Finish |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026to date | 3 | 23 | 12 | 193 | 0 | 0 | 29.3 | 9.8 | — |
| 2025 | 17 | 122 | 70 | 1,014 | 7 | 0 | 211.4 | 12.4 | WR16 |
| Career | 20 | 145 | 82 | 1,207 | 7 | 0 | 240.7 | 12.0 | — |
What His Career Numbers Say
12.0
Career PPG
20 games over 2 seasons
100%
Availability
Share of team games he played
35%
Top-24 weeks
Share of his games as a top-24 WR
6.7
Weekly swing
Standard deviation, low
McMillan has averaged 12.0 fantasy points per game over 20 games and 2 seasons, without a top-12 finish.
So far in 2026 he is at 9.8 per game, down 2.7 from 2025. His volume has held at about 7.7 targets a game, so the change is efficiency and scoring. His quarterback this season has been Bryce Young.
Career numbers describe the past; for what he is worth from here, see McMillan's rest-of-season rank and trade value in Redraft Command.
Career highs
- 1,014Rec yards2025
- 7Rec TD2025
- 211.4Fantasy pts2025 · WR16
- 1,207Career rec yds2025–2026
WRs like Tetairoa McMillan
WR37Terry McLaurinCommanders30.1 PTSWR38Jaylen WaddleBroncos29.4 PTSWR39Wan'Dale RobinsonTitans29.4 PTSWR40You are hereTetairoa McMillanPanthers29.3 PTSWR41Keenan AllenColts29.0 PTSWR42Mack HollinsPatriots27.6 PTSWR43Rashod BatemanRavens27.5 PTSTetairoa McMillan Stats FAQ
How many fantasy points does Tetairoa McMillan have in 2026?
Tetairoa McMillan has 29.3 PPR fantasy points in 2026 through Week 4, 9.8 per game across 3 games. That total ranks WR40 at the position. See how those numbers break down week by week.
How many receiving yards does Tetairoa McMillan have this season?
Tetairoa McMillan has 193 receiving yards in 2026 through Week 4, on 12 catches and 23 targets. His high was 101 yards, in Week 2 at the Falcons.
How many receptions does Tetairoa McMillan have this season?
Tetairoa McMillan has 12 receptions in 2026 through Week 4, 4.0 a game, on 23 targets. His high was 5 catches, in Week 1 against the Bears.
How many targets does Tetairoa McMillan have this season?
Tetairoa McMillan has drawn 23 targets in 2026 through Week 4, 7.7 a game, and caught 52% of them. His high was 10 targets, in Week 2 at the Falcons.
How many receiving touchdowns does Tetairoa McMillan have this season?
Tetairoa McMillan has no receiving touchdowns in 2026 through Week 4.
How many receiving yards per game is Tetairoa McMillan averaging?
Tetairoa McMillan is averaging 64.3 receiving yards per game in 2026, 193 yards across 3 games.
How many yards per reception is Tetairoa McMillan averaging?
Tetairoa McMillan is averaging 16.1 yards per reception in 2026, 193 yards on 12 catches.
How many games has Tetairoa McMillan played in 2026?
Tetairoa McMillan has played 3 games in the 2026 season through Week 4.
What were Tetairoa McMillan's stats last season?
In 2025, Tetairoa McMillan caught 70 of 122 targets for 1,014 yards and 7 touchdowns in 17 games. That was 211.4 PPR points (12.4 per game), a WR16 finish.
What are Tetairoa McMillan's career NFL stats?
Across 2 seasons and 20 games, Tetairoa McMillan has 82 catches for 1,207 yards and 7 touchdowns, for 240.7 PPR fantasy points (12.0 per game).
How many touchdowns does Tetairoa McMillan have in his career?
Tetairoa McMillan has 7 touchdowns in his NFL career: 0 rushing and 7 receiving, over 20 games.
How many career receiving yards does Tetairoa McMillan have?
Tetairoa McMillan has 1,207 career receiving yards over 2 seasons, on 82 catches.
Tetairoa McMillan Game Log 2026
Games played
3
FPTS/G (PPR)
9.8
Targets/g
7.7
Rec/g
4.0
Rec yds/g
64.3
Yds/rec
16.1
Across 3 games in 2026, Tetairoa McMillan has averaged 7.7 targets, 4.0 receptions and 9.8 PPR fantasy points per game. Tetairoa McMillan has finished as a top-12 WR in 0 of those weeks, and inside the top 24 in 1. The best week was Week 2 against ATL (15.1 points); the lowest was Week 3 against CLE (3.7).
| Wk | Opp | Result | FPTS | TGT | REC | REC YDS | REC TD | YPR | Finish |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CHI23rd | L 37-59 | 10.5 | 8 | 5 | 75 | 0 | 15.0 | WR32 |
Week 1 · CHI · L 37-59 · 10.5 pts
How the 10.5 points scored (PPR)
| |||||||||
| 2 | ATL6th | W 34-3 | 15.1 | 10 | 5 | 101 | 0 | 20.2 | WR16 |
Week 2 · ATL · W 34-3 · 15.1 pts
How the 15.1 points scored (PPR)
| |||||||||
| 3 | CLE12th | L 18-21 | 3.7 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 0 | 8.5 | WR87 |
Week 3 · CLE · L 18-21 · 3.7 pts
How the 3.7 points scored (PPR)
| |||||||||
Opponent rank is fantasy points allowed to WRs across 2026: 1st allows the most, 32nd the fewest.
Where His Weeks Finished
One WR1 week, one WR2 week and one bust. For a wide receiver ranked WR40 overall, the spread matters more than the average: you get a top-24 ceiling and a waiver-wire floor.
Game-by-Game Breakdown
Shut down by Cleveland
2/5, 17 yds.
Just 3.4 yards per target. A clean, mistake-free game that landed well below his season average.
WR1 week at Atlanta
5/10, 101 yds.
A clean, mistake-free game that landed well above his season average.
Steady in a loss vs. Chicago
5/8, 75 yds. 1 fumble lost.
One lost fumble in a game that landed right at his current season average.
Fantasy Points By Week
- Weekly points
- Season average (9.8)
Upcoming Matchups
View matchup — Carolina Panthers vs Detroit Lions
View matchup — Carolina Panthers vs Philadelphia Eagles
View matchup — Carolina Panthers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
View matchup — Carolina Panthers vs Green Bay Packers
Tetairoa McMillan Game Log 2025
Games played
17
FPTS/G (PPR)
12.4
Targets/g
7.2
Rec/g
4.1
Rec yds/g
59.6
Yds/rec
14.5
Across 17 games in 2025, Tetairoa McMillan has averaged 7.2 targets, 4.1 receptions and 12.4 PPR fantasy points per game. Tetairoa McMillan has finished as a top-12 WR in 2 of those weeks, and inside the top 24 in 6. The best week was Week 11 against ATL (33.0 points); the lowest was Week 17 against SEA (1.5).
| Wk | Opp | Result | FPTS | TGT | REC | REC YDS | REC TD | YPR | Finish |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | JAX16th | L 10-26 | 11.8 | 9 | 5 | 68 | 0 | 13.6 | WR30 |
Week 1 · JAX · L 10-26 · 11.8 pts
How the 11.8 points scored (PPR)
| |||||||||
| 2 | ARI18th | L 22-27 | 16.0 | 10 | 6 | 100 | 0 | 16.7 | WR22 |
Week 2 · ARI · L 22-27 · 16.0 pts
How the 16.0 points scored (PPR)
| |||||||||
| 3 | ATL11th | W 30-0 | 7.8 | 8 | 3 | 48 | 0 | 16.0 | WR48 |
Week 3 · ATL · W 30-0 · 7.8 pts
How the 7.8 points scored (PPR)
| |||||||||
| 4 | NE19th | L 13-42 | 10.2 | 8 | 4 | 62 | 0 | 15.5 | WR32 |
Week 4 · NE · L 13-42 · 10.2 pts
How the 10.2 points scored (PPR)
| |||||||||
| 5 | MIA20th | W 27-24 | 13.3 | 8 | 6 | 73 | 0 | 12.2 | WR25 |
Week 5 · MIA · W 27-24 · 13.3 pts
How the 13.3 points scored (PPR)
| |||||||||
| 6 | DAL1st | W 30-27 | 17.9 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 2 | 9.7 | WR13 |
Week 6 · DAL · W 30-27 · 17.9 pts
How the 17.9 points scored (PPR)
| |||||||||
| 7 | NYJ17th | W 13-6 | 6.3 | 5 | 3 | 33 | 0 | 11.0 | WR59 |
Week 7 · NYJ · W 13-6 · 6.3 pts
How the 6.3 points scored (PPR)
| |||||||||
| 8 | BUF28th | L 9-40 | 16.9 | 10 | 7 | 99 | 0 | 14.1 | WR11 |
Week 8 · BUF · L 9-40 · 16.9 pts
How the 16.9 points scored (PPR)
| |||||||||
| 9 | GB10th | W 16-13 | 8.6 | 6 | 4 | 46 | 0 | 11.5 | WR45 |
Week 9 · GB · W 16-13 · 8.6 pts
How the 8.6 points scored (PPR)
| |||||||||
| 10 | NO22nd | L 7-17 | 11.0 | 8 | 5 | 60 | 0 | 12.0 | WR33 |
Week 10 · NO · L 7-17 · 11.0 pts
How the 11.0 points scored (PPR)
| |||||||||
| 11 | ATL11th | W 30-27 | 33.0 | 12 | 8 | 130 | 2 | 16.3 | WR2 |
Week 11 · ATL · W 30-27 · 33.0 pts
How the 33.0 points scored (PPR)
| |||||||||
| 12 | SF9th | L 9-20 | 11.5 | 7 | 2 | 35 | 1 | 17.5 | WR29 |
Week 12 · SF · L 9-20 · 11.5 pts
How the 11.5 points scored (PPR)
| |||||||||
| 13 | LAR5th | W 31-28 | 11.3 | 2 | 1 | 43 | 1 | 43.0 | WR30 |
Week 13 · LAR · W 31-28 · 11.3 pts
How the 11.3 points scored (PPR)
| |||||||||
| 14 | Bye week | ||||||||
| 15 | NO22nd | L 17-20 | 4.5 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 0 | 12.5 | WR73 |
Week 15 · NO · L 17-20 · 4.5 pts
How the 4.5 points scored (PPR)
| |||||||||
| 16 | TB15th | W 23-20 | 19.3 | 10 | 6 | 73 | 1 | 12.2 | WR14 |
Week 16 · TB · W 23-20 · 19.3 pts
How the 19.3 points scored (PPR)
| |||||||||
| 17 | SEA26th | L 10-27 | 1.5 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 5.0 | WR109 |
Week 17 · SEA · L 10-27 · 1.5 pts
How the 1.5 points scored (PPR)
| |||||||||
| 18 | TB15th | L 14-16 | 10.5 | 6 | 4 | 85 | 0 | 21.3 | WR24 |
Week 18 · TB · L 14-16 · 10.5 pts
How the 10.5 points scored (PPR)
| |||||||||
Opponent rank is fantasy points allowed to WRs across 2025: 1st allows the most, 32nd the fewest.
Where His Weeks Finished
Six WR1 weeks, six WR2 weeks and five busts. For a wide receiver who finished WR24 overall, the spread mattered more than the average: you got a top-5 ceiling and a waiver-wire floor.
Wk 1 WR30 · Wk 2 WR22 · Wk 3 WR48 · Wk 4 WR32 · Wk 5 WR25 · Wk 6 WR13 · Wk 7 WR59 · Wk 8 WR11 · Wk 9 WR45 · Wk 10 WR33 · Wk 11 WR2 · Wk 12 WR29 · Wk 13 WR30 · Wk 15 WR73 · Wk 16 WR14 · Wk 17 WR109 · Wk 18 WR24
Game-by-Game Breakdown
WR1 week at Tampa Bay
4/6, 85 yds. 1 fumble lost.
One lost fumble in a game that landed well below his season average.
Shut down by Seattle
1/4, 5 yds.
Just 1.3 yards per target. A clean, mistake-free game that landed well below his season average.
WR1 week vs. Tampa Bay
6/10, 73 yds, 1 TD.
A clean, mistake-free game that landed well above his season average.
Shut down by New Orleans
2/4, 25 yds.
Just 6.3 yards per target. A clean, mistake-free game that landed well below his season average.
Efficient in a home win
1/2, 43 yds, 1 TD.
A clean, mistake-free game that landed right at his season average.
Steady in a loss at San Francisco
2/7, 35 yds, 1 TD.
Just 5.0 yards per target. A clean, mistake-free game that landed right at his season average.
Season high in a win
8/12, 130 yds, 2 TD.
A clean, mistake-free game that landed well above his season average.
Steady in a loss vs. New Orleans
5/8, 60 yds.
A clean, mistake-free game that landed well below his season average.
Held in check by Green Bay
4/6, 46 yds.
A clean, mistake-free game that landed well below his season average.
WR1 week vs. Buffalo
7/10, 99 yds.
A clean, mistake-free game that landed well above his season average.
Held in check by the Jets
3/5, 33 yds.
Just 6.6 yards per target. A clean, mistake-free game that landed well below his season average.
WR1 week vs. Dallas
3/5, 29 yds, 2 TD.
Just 5.8 yards per target. A clean, mistake-free game that landed well above his season average.
Steady in a win vs. Miami
6/8, 73 yds.
A clean, mistake-free game that landed right at his season average.
Steady in a loss at New England
4/8, 62 yds.
A clean, mistake-free game that landed well below his season average.
Held in check by Atlanta
3/8, 48 yds.
Just 6.0 yards per target. A clean, mistake-free game that landed well below his season average.
WR1 week at Arizona
6/10, 100 yds.
A clean, mistake-free game that landed well above his season average.
Steady in a loss at Jacksonville
5/9, 68 yds.
A clean, mistake-free game that landed right at his season average.
WRs like Tetairoa McMillan
WR37Terry McLaurinCommanders30.1 PTSWR38Jaylen WaddleBroncos29.4 PTSWR39Wan'Dale RobinsonTitans29.4 PTSWR40You are hereTetairoa McMillanPanthers29.3 PTSWR41Keenan AllenColts29.0 PTSWR42Mack HollinsPatriots27.6 PTSWR43Rashod BatemanRavens27.5 PTSTetairoa McMillan Game Log FAQ
How did Tetairoa McMillan do in his last game?
Tetairoa McMillan scored 3.7 PPR points in Week 3 at the Browns, a 21–18 loss, a WR87 finish. He caught 2 of 5 targets for 17 yards. View his 2026 season totals.
How many fantasy points did Tetairoa McMillan score in his last game?
Tetairoa McMillan scored 3.7 PPR fantasy points in his last game, Week 3 at the Browns, a WR87 finish for the week. That was 6.1 below his season average of 9.8.
How many receiving yards did Tetairoa McMillan have in his last game?
Tetairoa McMillan had 17 receiving yards on 2 catches in Week 3 at the Browns, from 5 targets.
How many touchdowns did Tetairoa McMillan score in his last game?
Tetairoa McMillan did not score a touchdown in Week 3 at the Browns; his 3.7 points came from yardage and catches.
How many receptions did Tetairoa McMillan have in his last game?
Tetairoa McMillan caught 2 of 5 targets for 17 yards in Week 3 at the Browns.
What were Tetairoa McMillan's stats in Week 2?
In Week 2 at the Falcons, a 34–3 win, Tetairoa McMillan caught 5 of 10 targets for 101 yards. That was 15.1 PPR points, a WR16 finish.
What was Tetairoa McMillan's best game this season?
Tetairoa McMillan's best 2026 game was Week 2 at the Falcons: 15.1 PPR points, a WR16 finish. He caught 5 of 10 targets for 101 yards.
What was Tetairoa McMillan's worst game this season?
Tetairoa McMillan's lowest-scoring 2026 game was Week 3 at the Browns: 3.7 PPR points, a WR87 finish. He caught 2 of 5 targets for 17 yards.
How many games has Tetairoa McMillan scored a touchdown in this season?
Tetairoa McMillan has scored a touchdown in 0 of his 3 games this season.
Can I see Tetairoa McMillan's game logs from previous seasons?
Yes. The season selector above the game log switches it to McMillan's weekly results from 2025.
Tetairoa McMillan Rest-of-Season Outlook
Downfield WR4 for deep leagues only
Preseason Projection vs. Reality
He finished WR16 last season at 12.4 points per game.
Our Take After Week 4
Through 3 games he's WR40 at 9.8 PPR points per game, against 12.4 over 17 games last season (WR16). He's running behind last season's pace.
Last season he ranked 10th of 142 in target volume (25.4% target share), 2nd of 142 in downfield role (40.9% air-yards share) and 33rd of 142 in efficiency (1.96 yards per route run). His points come from his downfield role. Bryce Young is his quarterback.
The main risk is the job itself. He's the listed starter with David Moore next on the depth chart, and a benching or an injury would take his value to zero overnight.
The next favorable matchups are the Lions in Week 4 (2nd against WRs) and the Packers in Week 8 (10th against WRs).
Read our preseason outlook (June 2026)
Published June 16, 2026. Kept for reference; the take above replaces it.
McMillan's rookie résumé screams alpha. He commanded a 25.4% target share and a staggering 40.9% air-yards share on 122 looks, posting 70 grabs for 1,014 yards and seven scores across all 17 games. The underlying numbers back the workload: 0.236 targets per route, a 0.667 WOPR, 1.96 yards per route run, and a plus-0.207 EPA per play with a 50% success rate. That production landed him at WR14 despite an offense that gave him little margin.
The path to a true breakout is paved by sheer opportunity. Fifteen red-zone targets and an 11.6-yard average depth signal a complete, every-down role with year-two upside. The catch rate (57.4%) and eight drops leave obvious room to climb, and any quarterback stability lifts his ceiling further. An ankle issue bears monitoring, but a healthy camp keeps him squarely in the early-Round-3 conversation as a high-floor WR1 bet.
What Drives His Outlook
His 2025 rank among the 142 receivers who played at least six games. Each bar is one receiver, best on the left; his is highlighted.
Target volume
Downfield role
Efficiency
- Average depth of target
- 11.6
- Drop rate
- 6.6%
- Red-zone targets
- 15
- Route participation
- 94.3%
- YAC per reception
- 3.8
What Could Change His Value
Upside
- A soft stretchThe Lions in Week 4 and the Packers in Week 8 are top-10 matchups for WRs.Wk 4 DET, 2ndWk 6 PHI, 12thWk 7 TB, 26thWk 8 GB, 10th
- Heavy target volume25.4% target share, 10th of 142 WRs in 2025.
- Downfield role40.9% air-yards share, 2nd of 142 WRs in 2025.
Risk
- Job securityDavid Moore is next on the depth chart; a benching or injury hands him the job.
- A tough matchupThe Buccaneers in Week 7 (26th) is among the stingiest defenses against WRs.
- DropsA 6.6% drop rate in 2025.
WRs like Tetairoa McMillan
WR37Terry McLaurinCommanders30.1 PTSWR38Jaylen WaddleBroncos29.4 PTSWR39Wan'Dale RobinsonTitans29.4 PTSWR40You are hereTetairoa McMillanPanthers29.3 PTSWR41Keenan AllenColts29.0 PTSWR42Mack HollinsPatriots27.6 PTSWR43Rashod BatemanRavens27.5 PTSTetairoa McMillan Fantasy Outlook FAQ
What is Tetairoa McMillan's fantasy outlook for the rest of the 2026 season?
Tetairoa McMillan projects as a downfield WR4 for deep leagues only for the rest of the 2026 season: a bench stash in 12-team PPR leagues, waiver-wire material in 10-team PPR leagues and a bench stash in half-PPR leagues. His downfield role (40.9% air-yards share, 2nd of 142 WRs in 2025) supports that. See his live rank in Redraft Command.
What is Tetairoa McMillan's rest-of-season fantasy ranking?
Tetairoa McMillan is the WR40 in PPR points per game through Week 4. That puts him in WR4 territory, waiver-wire material in 10-team PPR leagues.
What is Tetairoa McMillan's projected role going forward?
Tetairoa McMillan is the listed starting WR, with David Moore next on the depth chart. Nothing on the chart threatens the job, so the role is his to lose on performance.
Will Tetairoa McMillan get more targets?
Tetairoa McMillan's targets are holding steady: 7.5 a game over his last two games against 7.7 for the season. His share of the offense is what his fantasy value rides on.
What is Tetairoa McMillan's fantasy football upside?
Tetairoa McMillan's upside: his ceiling this season is 15.1 PPR points (Week 2, WR16), his downfield role (40.9% air-yards share, 2nd of 142 WRs in 2025) gives him a weekly floor to build on and the Lions in Week 4 and the Packers in Week 8 are top-10 matchups for WRs.
What could hurt Tetairoa McMillan's fantasy value?
Tetairoa McMillan's risks: David Moore is next on the depth chart if he is benched or hurt and the Buccaneers in Week 7 is a tough matchup. See his injury status and history.
How difficult is Tetairoa McMillan's remaining fantasy schedule?
About average: of his next seven games, 3 come against a top-10 matchup for WRs and 3 against one of the stingiest defenses, by PPR points allowed to the position.
Tetairoa McMillan Injury Update & History
Practice participation
Week 4 reports: Wed, Thu, FriMcMillan hasn't appeared on an injury report this season.
Injury History at a Glance
Five logged injuries in two seasons. None of them has cost him a regular-season game.
Durability
100/100
Games missed
Injuries
Longest absence
No games missed to injury
Where He's Been Hurt
Marker size shows games missed. A dashed ring means he played through it.
| Body part | Injuries | Games missed |
|---|---|---|
| Ankle | 1 | 0 |
| Calf / shin | 1 | 0 |
| Chest / ribs | 1 | 0 |
| Hamstring | 1 | 0 |
| Other | 1 | 0 |
| Total | 5 | 0 |
Injury risk profile: Moderate
- No body part injured twice
- Questionable in 2025, played through
- 0 games in 2 seasons
- 5 injuries spread across 5 body parts
Tetairoa McMillan Injury History
Every logged injury, most recent first. Games missed are regular-season games.
- 2026
Healthy 0 games missed
No injury has cost McMillan a game this season.
- 2025
Questionable Played through
Questionable
- 2025
Illness Played through
McMillan was a late addition to the injury report and listed as questionable to play against the Seahawks due to an illness.
- 2025
Foot/Ankle Played through
After missing Wednesday's practice, McMillan was a limited participant on Thursday with foot and ankle issues. Questionable: Soreness
- 2025
Calf Played through
Did not practice on Wednesday with a calf injury and was listed as questionable for the game.
- 2025
Hamstring Played through
Missed a practice during the preseason in August due to what was described as a minor hamstring injury. Appeared on the injury report late in the week and was listed as questionable with a hamstring injury, but was expected to play.
If McMillan Misses Time
Next man up: David Moore
David Moore is next on the Panthers depth chart at wide receiver. The targets would likely spread across the offense rather than pass to one player, so he's a waiver add only if McMillan misses time.
Who else it affects
His absence would move work to the rest of the offense, and Bryce Young would lose one of his main options.
WRs like Tetairoa McMillan
WR37Terry McLaurinCommanders30.1 PTSWR38Jaylen WaddleBroncos29.4 PTSWR39Wan'Dale RobinsonTitans29.4 PTSWR40You are hereTetairoa McMillanPanthers29.3 PTSWR41Keenan AllenColts29.0 PTSWR42Mack HollinsPatriots27.6 PTSWR43Rashod BatemanRavens27.5 PTSTetairoa McMillan Injury FAQ
Is Tetairoa McMillan injured?
No. As of October 2, 2026, Tetairoa McMillan is active with no injury designation. He has played every game in 2026.
Is Tetairoa McMillan playing this week?
Tetairoa McMillan has no injury designation for Week 4 against the Lions on Sunday, October 4, so he is on track to play. Should you start him?
Has Tetairoa McMillan missed any games this season?
No. Tetairoa McMillan has played in every Panthers game in 2026, 3 games so far.
What is Tetairoa McMillan's injury history?
Tetairoa McMillan has 5 logged NFL injuries, none of which has cost him a regular-season game. No body part has been injured twice.
What was Tetairoa McMillan's most recent injury?
Tetairoa McMillan's most recent logged injury was a questionable injury in Week 18 of 2025. He played through it and missed no regular-season games.
Does Tetairoa McMillan have any recurring injuries?
No. Tetairoa McMillan's five logged injuries were to five different body parts, so the record shows no recurring pattern.
Latest Tetairoa McMillan News & Updates
McMillan struggles at Cleveland
2 REC, 17 YDS (5 TGT)
3.7 fantasy points · WR87
McMillan caught 2 of 5 targets for 17 yards in the 21–18 loss at Cleveland. That was 12% of the team's targets.
Season Timeline
Every update this season, grouped by week, newest first.
Week 2Sep 20W 34–3 @ ATL
Fantasy impact: Positive. McMillan solid in win at Atlanta
15.1 fantasy points · WR16 · 5.3 above his 9.8 average
McMillan caught 5 of 10 targets for 101 yards in the 34–3 win at Atlanta. That was 31% of the team's targets.
Game logFantasy impact: Neutral. Clears century mark in win (opens in new tab)
Topped 100 receiving yards in the victory.
Fantasy take: He played in Week 2: 15.1 PPR points, a WR16 finish.
Read full report (opens in new tab)Week 1Sep 13L 37–59 vs CHI
Fantasy impact: Neutral. Salvages day in second half in Week 1 (opens in new tab)
Bounced back with a productive second half after a quiet start in Week 1.
Fantasy take: He played in Week 1: 10.5 PPR points, a WR32 finish.
Read full report (opens in new tab)Fantasy impact: Neutral. McMillan solid in loss vs. Chicago
10.5 fantasy points · WR32 · 0.7 above his 9.8 average
McMillan caught 5 of 8 targets for 75 yards in the 59–37 loss vs. Chicago. That was 24% of the team's targets.
Game log
No updates of this type yet this season.
Panthers Teammates News
Updates on McMillan's quarterback and target competition.
- Jalen Coker: Practicing again Friday (opens in new tab)Jalen Coker, WR. 22 targets this season. Via Dynasty CommandNeutral
- Jalen Coker: Working on side field Wednesday (opens in new tab)Jalen Coker, WR. 22 targets this season. Via Dynasty CommandNeutral
- Jalen Coker: Nursing quad strain, could play Week 4 (opens in new tab)Jalen Coker, WR. 22 targets this season. Via Dynasty CommandPositive
- Jalen Coker: Active in Week 3 (opens in new tab)Jalen Coker, WR. 22 targets this season. Via Dynasty CommandNeutral
- Jalen Coker: Listed questionable for Sunday (opens in new tab)Jalen Coker, WR. 22 targets this season. Via Dynasty CommandPositive
- Jalen Coker: Still bothered by ankle Thursday (opens in new tab)Jalen Coker, WR. 22 targets this season. Via Dynasty CommandPositive
Around the Panthers
WRs like Tetairoa McMillan
WR37Terry McLaurinCommanders30.1 PTSWR38Jaylen WaddleBroncos29.4 PTSWR39Wan'Dale RobinsonTitans29.4 PTSWR40You are hereTetairoa McMillanPanthers29.3 PTSWR41Keenan AllenColts29.0 PTSWR42Mack HollinsPatriots27.6 PTSWR43Rashod BatemanRavens27.5 PTSTetairoa McMillan News FAQ
What is the latest news on Tetairoa McMillan?
The latest McMillan update, from September 27: McMillan struggles at Cleveland. McMillan caught 2 of 5 targets for 17 yards in the 21–18 loss at Cleveland. That was 12% of the team's targets.
How does the latest Tetairoa McMillan news affect his fantasy value?
Negatively: he scored 3.7 fantasy points, a WR87 finish, 6.1 below his 9.8 average. See the updated fantasy outlook.
Tetairoa McMillan Bio
Tetairoa McMillan is a wide receiver for the Carolina Panthers, where he wears No. 4. Born April 5, 2003, in Waimānalo, HI, he attended Servite and played college football at Arizona.
The Carolina Panthers selected McMillan in round 1, pick 8, of the 2025 NFL Draft.
In 20 regular-season games since 2025, he has caught 82 passes for 1,207 yards and 7 touchdowns.
Career Timeline
1 stop with 1 team in 2 seasons. Each block's width is the time he spent there.
What happened at each stop
Carolina Panthers Current team2025–present
Selected in round 1, pick 8, of the 2025 NFL Draft. He was a starter, playing at least half the offensive snaps in 20 of 20 games.
College: Arizona
Transactions
- SignedSigned with the Carolina Panthers.
- DraftedSelected by the Carolina Panthers in round 1, pick 8.
WRs like Tetairoa McMillan
WR37Terry McLaurinCommanders30.1 PTSWR38Jaylen WaddleBroncos29.4 PTSWR39Wan'Dale RobinsonTitans29.4 PTSWR40You are hereTetairoa McMillanPanthers29.3 PTSWR41Keenan AllenColts29.0 PTSWR42Mack HollinsPatriots27.6 PTSWR43Rashod BatemanRavens27.5 PTSAbout Tetairoa McMillan: Bio FAQ
How old is Tetairoa McMillan?
Tetairoa McMillan is 23 years old. He was born on April 5, 2003. 2026 is his 2nd NFL season.
How tall is Tetairoa McMillan?
Tetairoa McMillan is 6 feet 4 inches tall (6'4"), listed at 220 pounds, and plays wide receiver for the Carolina Panthers.
How much does Tetairoa McMillan weigh?
Tetairoa McMillan weighs 220 pounds, his listed weight on the Carolina Panthers roster. He is listed at 6'4".
What number does Tetairoa McMillan wear?
Tetairoa McMillan wears number 4 for the Carolina Panthers. He plays wide receiver.
What position does Tetairoa McMillan play?
Tetairoa McMillan plays wide receiver for the Carolina Panthers, wearing number 4. 2026 is his 2nd season in the NFL.
What team does Tetairoa McMillan play for?
Tetairoa McMillan plays for the Carolina Panthers as a wide receiver. He has been with the Panthers since 2025.
Where did Tetairoa McMillan go to college?
Tetairoa McMillan played college football at Arizona, after attending Servite (CA). The Carolina Panthers drafted him out of Arizona in 2025.
When was Tetairoa McMillan drafted?
The Carolina Panthers selected Tetairoa McMillan in the first round of the 2025 NFL Draft with the 8th overall pick, out of Arizona.
What round was Tetairoa McMillan drafted in?
Tetairoa McMillan was a first-round pick in the 2025 NFL Draft, taken 8th overall by the Carolina Panthers.
What pick was Tetairoa McMillan in the NFL Draft?
Tetairoa McMillan was the 8th overall pick of the 2025 NFL Draft, selected by the Carolina Panthers in the first round.
Where is Tetairoa McMillan from?
Tetairoa McMillan went to high school in California, at Servite, before playing college football at Arizona.
When is Tetairoa McMillan's birthday?
Tetairoa McMillan's birthday is April 5. He was born on April 5, 2003 and is 23 years old.
How long has Tetairoa McMillan been in the NFL?
2026 is Tetairoa McMillan's 2nd NFL season; he entered the league in 2025 as a first-round pick of the Carolina Panthers. View his career statistics.
What teams has Tetairoa McMillan played for?
Tetairoa McMillan has played for the Carolina Panthers. View his career statistics.
What year did Tetairoa McMillan enter the NFL?
Tetairoa McMillan entered the NFL in 2025, when the Carolina Panthers drafted him in the first round. 2026 is his 2nd season.