Tez Johnson 2026 fantasy outlook and rest-of-season projection
- Age
- 24
- Height / weight
- 5'10", 165 lb
- Experience
- 2nd season
- Drafted
- 2025 R7, #235
2026 Season
- PPR PPG
- 2.4
- Pos rank
- WR113
- Rostered
- —
Week 4 vs. Packers, Sun Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET 10th vs. WRs, favorable
Tez Johnson Rest-of-Season Outlook
depth WR for deep leagues only
Preseason Projection vs. Reality
He finished WR67 last season at 5.8 points per game.
Our Take After Week 4
Through 3 games he's WR113 at 2.4 PPR points per game, against 5.8 over 16 games last season (WR67). He's running behind last season's pace.
Last season he ranked 84th of 142 in target volume (8.1% target share), 75th of 142 in downfield role (11.5% air-yards share) and 98th of 142 in efficiency (1.16 yards per route run). Efficiency is the soft spot. Baker Mayfield is his quarterback.
He's WR2 on the depth chart, so his value depends on the players ahead of him.
The next favorable matchup is the Packers in Week 4 (10th against WRs).
Read our preseason outlook (June 2026)
Published June 17, 2026. Kept for reference; the take above replaces it.
Johnson, a 2025 seventh-round flier (Pick 235, Oregon), carved a rotational role in Tampa Bay, playing 15 games on a 47.1 percent snap share. His efficiency belied his draft slot: a 0.371 EPA per play, 50 percent success rate and 63.6 catch rate on 44 targets, turning 28 grabs into 322 yards. The headline was five touchdowns, which inflated his 64.4 fantasy points well past what his 8.1 percent target share and 1.16 yards per route run would normally support.
That TD dependence is the warning: with seven red-zone targets driving the scoring, regression looms if usage does not climb. As an undersized complementary piece behind Tampa Bay top options, his fantasy value is situational and format-dependent. The upside case is an expanded route share in year two unlocking PPR appeal, but the realistic 2026 outlook is a deep-league dart and bye-week streamer. Leave him on the waiver wire in standard redraft until volume proves real.
What Drives His Outlook
His 2025 rank among the 142 receivers who played at least six games. Each bar is one receiver, best on the left; his is highlighted.
Target volume
Downfield role
Efficiency
- Average depth of target
- 11.7
- Drop rate
- 4.5%
- Red-zone targets
- 7
- Route participation
- 46.7%
- YAC per reception
- 3.9
What Could Change His Value
Upside
- A soft spotThe Packers in Week 4 is a top-10 matchup for WRs.Wk 4 GB, 10thWk 5 DAL, 17thWk 6 PIT, 20thWk 7 CAR, 31st
Risk
- RoleHe's WR2 on the depth chart.
- Weak efficiency1.16 yards per route run, 98th of 142 WRs in 2025.
- A tough matchupThe Panthers in Week 7 (31st) is among the stingiest defenses against WRs.
All Tez Johnson stats & analysis
WRs like Tez Johnson
Tez Johnson Fantasy Outlook FAQ
What is Tez Johnson's fantasy outlook for the rest of the 2026 season?
Tez Johnson projects as a depth WR for deep leagues only for the rest of the 2026 season: waiver-wire material in 12-team PPR, 10-team PPR and half-PPR leagues. His efficiency (1.16 yards per route run, 98th of 142 WRs in 2025) holds him back. See his live rank in Redraft Command.
What is Tez Johnson's rest-of-season fantasy ranking?
Tez Johnson is the WR113 in PPR points per game through Week 4. That puts him in depth WR territory, waiver-wire material in 10-team PPR leagues.
What is Tez Johnson's projected role going forward?
Tez Johnson is WR2 on the depth chart, so a bigger role needs an injury or a change ahead of him.
Will Tez Johnson get more targets?
Tez Johnson's targets are holding steady: 3.0 a game over his last two games against 2.3 for the season. His share of the offense is what his fantasy value rides on.
What is Tez Johnson's fantasy football upside?
Tez Johnson's upside: his ceiling this season is 5.9 PPR points (Week 2, WR64) and the Packers in Week 4 is a top-10 matchup for WRs.
What could hurt Tez Johnson's fantasy value?
Tez Johnson's risks: his efficiency (1.16 yards per route run, 98th of 142 WRs in 2025) limits his scoring and the Panthers in Week 7 is a tough matchup. See his injury status and history.
How difficult is Tez Johnson's remaining fantasy schedule?
Favorable: of his next seven games, 3 come against a top-10 matchup for WRs and 2 against one of the stingiest defenses, by PPR points allowed to the position.