Trey McBride 2026 fantasy outlook and rest-of-season projection
- Age
- 26
- Height / weight
- 6'4", 246 lb
- Experience
- 5th season
- Drafted
- 2022 R2, #55
2026 Season
- PPR PPG
- 19.7
- Pos rank
- TE1
- Rostered
- 99%
Week 4 at Giants, Sun Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET 17th vs. TEs, neutral
Trey McBride Rest-of-Season Outlook
Target-heavy TE1 every week
Preseason Projection vs. Reality
He finished TE1 last season at 18.6 points per game.
Our Take After Week 4
Through 3 games he's TE1 at 19.7 PPR points per game, against 18.6 over 17 games last season (TE1). He's running ahead of last season's pace.
Last season he ranked 2nd of 81 in route participation (94.1%), 1st of 82 in target share (27.4%) and 6th of 82 in efficiency (1.86 yards per route run). His points come from his target share. Jacoby Brissett is his quarterback.
The job is secure: he's the listed starter and one of the best at his position. The main risk is health, and Elijah Higgins is next on the depth chart if he misses time.
The next favorable matchup is the Lions in Week 5 (1st against TEs).
Read our preseason outlook (June 2026)
Published June 16, 2026. Kept for reference; the take above replaces it.
McBride isn't a tight end so much as a featured No. 1 receiver who happens to line up inline. He posted a 27.4% target share on 169 looks in 2025, ran a route on 94.1% of dropbacks, and turned that volume into 126 catches for 1,239 yards. The underlying efficiency backs the workload: a 0.436 EPA per play, a 60.4% success rate, and just two drops on 128 catchable balls. He's been a target magnet for three straight years, and at 25 the usage floor is rock solid.
The only real caution is the 11 touchdowns, which more than quintupled his 2024 total of two and won't fully repeat. Even halved, his receiving profile keeps him in the elite tier, and his 33 red-zone targets argue he'll stay involved near the goal line. A new coaching staff and added backfield investment could trim Arizona's league-leading pass volume, but no tight end pairs this target share with this efficiency. Draft him as the position's clear top option.
What Drives His Outlook
His 2025 rank among the 81 tight ends who played at least six games. Each bar is one tight end, best on the left; his is highlighted.
Route participation
Target share
Efficiency
- Average depth of target
- 6.7
- Drop rate
- 1.2%
- Red-zone targets
- 33
- Route participation
- 94.1%
- YAC per reception
- 4.6
What Could Change His Value
Upside
- A soft spotThe Lions in Week 5 is a top-10 matchup for TEs.Wk 4 NYG, 17thWk 5 DET, 1stWk 6 LAR, 29thWk 7 DEN, 13th
- Every-down route participation94.1% route participation, 2nd of 81 TEs in 2025.
- Heavy target share27.4% target share, 1st of 82 TEs in 2025.
Risk
- HealthHis role is secure; if he misses time, Elijah Higgins is next on the depth chart.
- A tough matchupThe Rams in Week 6 (29th) is among the stingiest defenses against TEs.
All Trey McBride stats & analysis
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Trey McBride Fantasy Outlook FAQ
What is Trey McBride's fantasy outlook for the rest of the 2026 season?
Trey McBride projects as a target-heavy TE1 every week for the rest of the 2026 season: a weekly starter in TE-premium, 12-team and 10-team leagues. His target share (27.4% target share, 1st of 82 TEs in 2025) supports that. See his live rank in Redraft Command.
What is Trey McBride's rest-of-season fantasy ranking?
Trey McBride is the TE1 in PPR points per game through Week 4. That puts him in TE1 territory, a weekly starter in 12-team leagues.
What is Trey McBride's projected role going forward?
Trey McBride is the listed starting TE, with Elijah Higgins next on the depth chart. Nothing on the chart threatens the job, so the role is his to lose on performance.
Will Trey McBride get more targets?
Trey McBride's targets are holding steady: 10.5 a game over his last two games against 11.3 for the season. His share of the offense is what his fantasy value rides on.
What is Trey McBride's fantasy football upside?
Trey McBride's upside: his ceiling this season is 24.5 PPR points (Week 1, TE2), his target share (27.4% target share, 1st of 82 TEs in 2025) gives him a weekly floor to build on and the Lions in Week 5 is a top-10 matchup for TEs.
What could hurt Trey McBride's fantasy value?
Trey McBride's risks: Elijah Higgins is next on the depth chart if he is benched or hurt and the Rams in Week 6 is a tough matchup. See his injury status and history.
How difficult is Trey McBride's remaining fantasy schedule?
About average: of his next seven games, 2 come against a top-10 matchup for TEs and 2 against one of the stingiest defenses, by PPR points allowed to the position.