Tua Tagovailoa 2026 fantasy outlook and rest-of-season projection
- Age
- 28
- Height / weight
- 6'1", 225 lb
- Experience
- 7th season
2025 Season
- PPR PPG
- 12.6
- Pos rank
- QB33
- Rostered
- 5%
Week 4 at Saints, Mon Oct 5, 8:15 PM ET 17th vs. QBs, neutral
Tua Tagovailoa Rest-of-Season Outlook
QB3 with streaming weeks
Preseason Projection vs. Reality
He finished QB25 last season at 12.6 points per game.
Our 2026 Preseason Outlook
The arrow is pointing the wrong way. After ranking as the QB1 in 2023 (4,624 yards, 29 scores, 270.4 fantasy points), Tagovailoa cratered to QB22 last year, throwing for just 2,660 yards with a 20-to-15 touchdown-to-interception split across 14 games. His efficiency collapsed too: EPA per play fell from 0.195 in 2024 to a near-flat 0.004, and his success rate slid to 43.8%. That is not a quarterback you draft on reputation.
Now in Atlanta on a one-year deal, he steps into an open competition with Michael Penix Jr. and is no lock to start, even with Penix rehabbing a knee. The schedule is soft and Drake London plus Kyle Pitts give him real weapons, but the QB31-range price tag tells the story. Leave him on waivers in single-quarterback formats and treat him as a late dart only in superflex.
What Drives His Outlook
His 2025 rank among the 41 quarterbacks who played at least six games. Each bar is one quarterback, best on the left; his is highlighted.
Passing volume
Efficiency
Rushing
- Success rate
- 43.8%
- CPOE
- +2.0
- Sacks taken
- 30
- Pressure rate
- 21.9%
- Bad-throw rate
- 15.9%
- Deep-attempt rate
- 8.0%
What Could Change His Value
Upside
- The scheduleNone of his next four opponents is a top-10 matchup for QBs.Wk 4 NO, 17thWk 5 BAL, 19thWk 6 CHI, 11thWk 7 SF, 25th
Risk
- RoleHe's QB2 on the depth chart.
- Light passing volume27.4 attempts per game, 29th of 41 QBs in 2025.
- A tough matchupThe 49ers in Week 7 (25th) is among the stingiest defenses against QBs.
All Tua Tagovailoa stats & analysis
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Tua Tagovailoa Fantasy Outlook FAQ
What is Tua Tagovailoa's fantasy outlook for the rest of the 2026 season?
Tua Tagovailoa projects as a qB3 with streaming weeks for the rest of the 2026 season: a weekly starter in superflex and 2QB leagues, a streamer in 12-team 1QB leagues and waiver-wire material in 10-team 1QB leagues. His rushing (3.1 rush yards per game, 37th of 41 QBs in 2025) holds him back. See his live rank in Redraft Command.
What is Tua Tagovailoa's rest-of-season fantasy ranking?
Tua Tagovailoa is the QB25 in PPR points per game. That puts him in QB3 territory, a streamer in 12-team 1QB leagues.
What is Tua Tagovailoa's projected role going forward?
Tua Tagovailoa is QB2 on the depth chart, so a bigger role needs an injury or a change ahead of him.
What could hurt Tua Tagovailoa's fantasy value?
Tua Tagovailoa's risks: his rushing (3.1 rush yards per game, 37th of 41 QBs in 2025) limits his scoring and the 49ers in Week 7 is a tough matchup. See his injury status and history.
How difficult is Tua Tagovailoa's remaining fantasy schedule?
Difficult: of his next seven games, 0 come against a top-10 matchup for QBs and 3 against one of the stingiest defenses, by PPR points allowed to the position.