Start Jaxon Smith-Njigba. Smith-Njigba is projected for 23.0 PPR points vs 15.0 for A.J. Brown, and faces the 10th-toughest defense against WRs this week.
Updated Oct 30, 7:29 AM ET
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba WR · SEA | A.J. Brown WR · NE | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 8, avg of sources) | 23.0 | 15.0 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 20.8 | 13.4 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 25.0 | 16.6 |
| StatChasers projection | 22.6 (WR2) | 14.5 (WR14) |
| Opponent | vs CHI | vs MIA |
| Opponent vs. position | 10th-toughest (29.2 pts/g allowed) | 3rd-toughest (23.8 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 36% target share (last 3) | 22% target share (last 3) |
| Position | WR | WR |
| Our call | START · Strong WR1 | START · WR2 |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
Start Jaxon Smith-Njigba. Smith-Njigba projects for 23.0 PPR points vs CHI, against 15.0 for A.J. Brown vs MIA: a 8.0-point edge.
The projection is the average of every source that carries each player this week, and a player listed Out or Doubtful is never the start.
Jaxon Smith-Njigba is projected to score more: 23.0 PPR points to 15.0 for A.J. Brown.
The sources range from 20.8 to 25.0 for Smith-Njigba and from 13.4 to 16.6 for Brown. Even Brown's highest projection is below Smith-Njigba's lowest.
Jaxon Smith-Njigba is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Smith-Njigba at 20.8 PPR points, against 13.4 for A.J. Brown.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Jaxon Smith-Njigba has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Smith-Njigba at 25.0 PPR points, against 16.6 for A.J. Brown.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Jaxon Smith-Njigba plays CHI and A.J. Brown plays MIA in Week 8.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Smith-Njigba faces the 10th-toughest defense against WRs and Brown faces the 3rd-toughest defense against WRs, so Jaxon Smith-Njigba has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games Jaxon Smith-Njigba has drawn 36% of his team's targets, and A.J. Brown 22% of his team's targets.
Jaxon Smith-Njigba has the bigger role, and volume is the steadiest thing a projection rests on.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets, which here is Jaxon Smith-Njigba.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Jaxon Smith-Njigba nor A.J. Brown has an injury designation for Week 8.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Jaxon Smith-Njigba is projected by 5 of them and A.J. Brown by 5.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.