Start Jonah Coleman. Coleman is projected for 14.9 PPR points vs 14.2 for Derrick Henry, and faces the 2nd-softest defense against RBs this week.
Updated Nov 7, 4:39 PM ET
| Jonah Coleman RB · DEN | Derrick Henry RB · BAL | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 9, avg of sources) | 14.9 | 14.2 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 13.7 | 11.9 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 16.6 | 16.9 |
| StatChasers projection | 16.6 (RB10) | 13.9 (RB18) |
| Opponent | vs CAR | vs JAX |
| Opponent vs. position | 2nd-softest (28.3 pts/g allowed) | 1st-toughest (16.8 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 39% carry share (last 3) | 65% carry share (last 3) |
| Position | RB | RB |
| Our call | START · Strong RB1 | START · RB2 |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
Start Jonah Coleman. Coleman projects for 14.9 PPR points vs CAR, against 14.2 for Derrick Henry vs JAX: a 0.7-point edge.
The projection is the average of every source that carries each player this week, and a player listed Out or Doubtful is never the start.
Jonah Coleman is projected to score more: 14.9 PPR points to 14.2 for Derrick Henry.
The sources range from 13.7 to 16.6 for Coleman and from 11.9 to 16.9 for Henry. The ranges overlap, so Henry outscoring Coleman is a realistic result.
Jonah Coleman is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Coleman at 13.7 PPR points, against 11.9 for Derrick Henry.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Derrick Henry has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Henry at 16.9 PPR points, against 16.6 for Jonah Coleman.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Jonah Coleman plays CAR and Derrick Henry plays JAX in Week 9.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Coleman faces the 2nd-softest defense against RBs and Henry faces the 1st-toughest defense against RBs, so Jonah Coleman has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games Jonah Coleman has drawn 39% of his team's carries, and Derrick Henry 65% of his team's carries.
Derrick Henry has the bigger role, and volume is the steadiest thing a projection rests on.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Jonah Coleman nor Derrick Henry has an injury designation for Week 9.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Jonah Coleman is projected by 6 of them and Derrick Henry by 6.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.