Start Saquon Barkley. Barkley is projected for 12.8 PPR points vs 12.2 for DJ Moore, and faces the 11th-toughest defense against RBs this week.
Updated Nov 7, 4:39 PM ET
| Saquon Barkley RB · PHI | DJ Moore WR · BUF | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 9, avg of sources) | 12.8 | 12.2 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 11.5 | 11.3 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 14.7 | 13.1 |
| StatChasers projection | 12.5 (RB24) | 11.3 (WR28) |
| Opponent | vs NYG | vs MIN |
| Opponent vs. position | 11th-toughest (19.8 pts/g allowed) | 4th-toughest (25.9 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 27% carry share (last 3) | 21% target share (last 3) |
| Position | RB | WR |
| Our call | START · RB2 | START · WR3 |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
Start Saquon Barkley. Barkley projects for 12.8 PPR points vs NYG, against 12.2 for DJ Moore vs MIN: a 0.6-point edge.
The projection is the average of every source that carries each player this week, and a player listed Out or Doubtful is never the start.
Saquon Barkley is projected to score more: 12.8 PPR points to 12.2 for DJ Moore.
The sources range from 11.5 to 14.7 for Barkley and from 11.3 to 13.1 for Moore. The ranges overlap, so Moore outscoring Barkley is a realistic result.
Saquon Barkley is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Barkley at 11.5 PPR points, against 11.3 for DJ Moore.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Saquon Barkley has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Barkley at 14.7 PPR points, against 13.1 for DJ Moore.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Saquon Barkley plays NYG and DJ Moore plays MIN in Week 9.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Barkley faces the 11th-toughest defense against RBs and Moore faces the 4th-toughest defense against WRs, so Saquon Barkley has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games Saquon Barkley has drawn 27% of his team's carries, and DJ Moore 21% of his team's targets.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets, which here is DJ Moore.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Saquon Barkley nor DJ Moore has an injury designation for Week 9.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Saquon Barkley is projected by 6 of them and DJ Moore by 6.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.