Start Ja'Marr Chase. Chase is projected for 21.1 PPR points vs 14.9 for Luther Burden III, and faces the 15th-toughest defense against WRs this week.
Updated Nov 7, 4:39 PM ET
| Ja'Marr Chase WR · CIN | Luther Burden III WR · CHI | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 9, avg of sources) | 21.1 | 14.9 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 19.2 | 13.9 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 22.9 | 15.8 |
| StatChasers projection | 20.4 (WR3) | 15.3 (WR15) |
| Opponent | vs ATL | vs TB |
| Opponent vs. position | 15th-toughest (30.1 pts/g allowed) | 8th-toughest (28.0 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 31% target share (last 3) | 22% target share (last 3) |
| Position | WR | WR |
| Our call | START · Strong WR1 | START · WR2 |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
Start Ja'Marr Chase. Chase projects for 21.1 PPR points vs ATL, against 14.9 for Luther Burden III vs TB: a 6.2-point edge.
The projection is the average of every source that carries each player this week, and a player listed Out or Doubtful is never the start.
Ja'Marr Chase is projected to score more: 21.1 PPR points to 14.9 for Luther Burden III.
The sources range from 19.2 to 22.9 for Chase and from 13.9 to 15.8 for Burden III. Even Burden III's highest projection is below Chase's lowest.
Ja'Marr Chase is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Chase at 19.2 PPR points, against 13.9 for Luther Burden III.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Ja'Marr Chase has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Chase at 22.9 PPR points, against 15.8 for Luther Burden III.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Ja'Marr Chase plays ATL and Luther Burden III plays TB in Week 9.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Chase faces the 15th-toughest defense against WRs and Burden III faces the 8th-toughest defense against WRs, so Ja'Marr Chase has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games Ja'Marr Chase has drawn 31% of his team's targets, and Luther Burden III 22% of his team's targets.
Ja'Marr Chase has the bigger role, and volume is the steadiest thing a projection rests on.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets, which here is Ja'Marr Chase.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Ja'Marr Chase nor Luther Burden III has an injury designation for Week 9.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Ja'Marr Chase is projected by 6 of them and Luther Burden III by 6.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.