Start Travis Kelce. Kelce is projected for 11.3 PPR points vs 8.6 for Kyle Pitts Sr., and faces the 3rd-toughest defense against TEs this week.
Updated Oct 24, 4:47 PM ET
| Travis Kelce TE · KC | Kyle Pitts Sr. TE · ATL | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 7, avg of sources) | 11.3 | 8.6 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 10.1 | 6.9 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 12.1 | 9.8 |
| StatChasers projection | — | — |
| Opponent | vs SEA | vs SF |
| Opponent vs. position | 3rd-toughest (9.1 pts/g allowed) | 4th-toughest (9.4 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 14% target share (last 3) | 19% target share (last 3) |
| Position | TE | TE |
| Our call | START · TE1 | SIT · Bench |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
Start Travis Kelce. Kelce projects for 11.3 PPR points vs SEA, against 8.6 for Kyle Pitts Sr. vs SF: a 2.7-point edge.
The projection is the average of every source that carries each player this week, and a player listed Out or Doubtful is never the start.
Travis Kelce is projected to score more: 11.3 PPR points to 8.6 for Kyle Pitts Sr..
The sources range from 10.1 to 12.1 for Kelce and from 6.9 to 9.8 for Pitts Sr.. Even Pitts Sr.'s highest projection is below Kelce's lowest.
Travis Kelce is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Kelce at 10.1 PPR points, against 6.9 for Kyle Pitts Sr..
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Travis Kelce has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Kelce at 12.1 PPR points, against 9.8 for Kyle Pitts Sr..
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Travis Kelce plays SEA and Kyle Pitts Sr. plays SF in Week 7.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Kelce faces the 3rd-toughest defense against TEs and Pitts Sr. faces the 4th-toughest defense against TEs, so Kyle Pitts Sr. has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games Travis Kelce has drawn 14% of his team's targets, and Kyle Pitts Sr. 19% of his team's targets.
Kyle Pitts Sr. has the bigger role, and volume is the steadiest thing a projection rests on.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets, which here is Kyle Pitts Sr..
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Travis Kelce nor Kyle Pitts Sr. has an injury designation for Week 7.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Travis Kelce is projected by 4 of them and Kyle Pitts Sr. by 4.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.