Start Trey McBride. McBride is projected for 15.1 PPR points vs 9.9 for Kyle Pitts Sr., and faces the 5th-toughest defense against TEs this week.
Updated Nov 7, 4:39 PM ET
| Trey McBride TE · ARI | Kyle Pitts Sr. TE · ATL | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 9, avg of sources) | 15.1 | 9.9 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 14.2 | 8.9 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 16.2 | 10.6 |
| StatChasers projection | 16.2 (TE3) | 10.6 (TE14) |
| Opponent | vs SEA | vs CIN |
| Opponent vs. position | 5th-toughest (10.2 pts/g allowed) | 8th-softest (16.5 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 25% target share (last 3) | 19% target share (last 3) |
| Position | TE | TE |
| Our call | START · Strong TE1 | FLEX · Streamer |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
Start Trey McBride. McBride projects for 15.1 PPR points vs SEA, against 9.9 for Kyle Pitts Sr. vs CIN: a 5.2-point edge.
The projection is the average of every source that carries each player this week, and a player listed Out or Doubtful is never the start.
Trey McBride is projected to score more: 15.1 PPR points to 9.9 for Kyle Pitts Sr..
The sources range from 14.2 to 16.2 for McBride and from 8.9 to 10.6 for Pitts Sr.. Even Pitts Sr.'s highest projection is below McBride's lowest.
Trey McBride is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has McBride at 14.2 PPR points, against 8.9 for Kyle Pitts Sr..
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Trey McBride has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has McBride at 16.2 PPR points, against 10.6 for Kyle Pitts Sr..
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Trey McBride plays SEA and Kyle Pitts Sr. plays CIN in Week 9.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, McBride faces the 5th-toughest defense against TEs and Pitts Sr. faces the 8th-softest defense against TEs, so Kyle Pitts Sr. has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games Trey McBride has drawn 25% of his team's targets, and Kyle Pitts Sr. 19% of his team's targets.
Trey McBride has the bigger role, and volume is the steadiest thing a projection rests on.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets, which here is Trey McBride.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Trey McBride nor Kyle Pitts Sr. has an injury designation for Week 9.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Trey McBride is projected by 5 of them and Kyle Pitts Sr. by 5.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.