Start Luther Burden III. Burden III is projected for 12.6 PPR points vs 11.4 for Michael Wilson, and faces the 16th-toughest defense against WRs this week.
Updated Oct 24, 4:47 PM ET
| Luther Burden III WR · CHI | Michael Wilson WR · ARI | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 7, avg of sources) | 12.6 | 11.4 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 12.6 | 9.6 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 12.7 | 12.6 |
| StatChasers projection | — | — |
| Opponent | vs NE | vs DEN |
| Opponent vs. position | 16th-toughest (31.7 pts/g allowed) | 7th-toughest (29.3 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 19% target share (last 3) | 24% target share (last 3) |
| Position | WR | WR |
| Our call | START · WR2 | START · WR3 |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
Start Luther Burden III. Burden III projects for 12.6 PPR points vs NE, against 11.4 for Michael Wilson vs DEN: a 1.2-point edge.
The projection is the average of every source that carries each player this week, and a player listed Out or Doubtful is never the start.
Luther Burden III is projected to score more: 12.6 PPR points to 11.4 for Michael Wilson.
The sources range from 12.6 to 12.7 for Burden III and from 9.6 to 12.6 for Wilson. The ranges overlap, so Wilson outscoring Burden III is a realistic result.
Luther Burden III is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Burden III at 12.6 PPR points, against 9.6 for Michael Wilson.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Luther Burden III has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Burden III at 12.7 PPR points, against 12.6 for Michael Wilson.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Luther Burden III plays NE and Michael Wilson plays DEN in Week 7.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Burden III faces the 16th-toughest defense against WRs and Wilson faces the 7th-toughest defense against WRs, so Luther Burden III has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games Luther Burden III has drawn 19% of his team's targets, and Michael Wilson 24% of his team's targets.
Michael Wilson has the bigger role, and volume is the steadiest thing a projection rests on.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets, which here is Michael Wilson.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Luther Burden III nor Michael Wilson has an injury designation for Week 7.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Luther Burden III is projected by 4 of them and Michael Wilson by 4.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.