Start Stefon Diggs. Diggs is projected for 13.7 PPR points vs 12.8 for Zay Flowers, and faces the 5th-toughest defense against WRs this week.
Updated Nov 7, 4:39 PM ET
| Stefon Diggs WR · WAS | Zay Flowers WR · BAL | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 9, avg of sources) | 13.7 | 12.8 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 11.5 | 11.3 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 16.0 | 13.9 |
| StatChasers projection | 11.5 (WR25) | 11.3 (WR30) |
| Opponent | vs LAR | vs JAX |
| Opponent vs. position | 5th-toughest (26.8 pts/g allowed) | 6th-softest (36.9 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 23% target share (last 3) | 30% target share (last 3) |
| Position | WR | WR |
| Our call | START · WR3 | START · WR3 |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
Start Stefon Diggs. Diggs projects for 13.7 PPR points vs LAR, against 12.8 for Zay Flowers vs JAX: a 0.9-point edge.
The projection is the average of every source that carries each player this week, and a player listed Out or Doubtful is never the start.
Stefon Diggs is projected to score more: 13.7 PPR points to 12.8 for Zay Flowers.
The sources range from 11.5 to 16.0 for Diggs and from 11.3 to 13.9 for Flowers. The ranges overlap, so Flowers outscoring Diggs is a realistic result.
Stefon Diggs is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Diggs at 11.5 PPR points, against 11.3 for Zay Flowers.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Stefon Diggs has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Diggs at 16.0 PPR points, against 13.9 for Zay Flowers.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Stefon Diggs plays LAR and Zay Flowers plays JAX in Week 9.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Diggs faces the 5th-toughest defense against WRs and Flowers faces the 6th-softest defense against WRs, so Zay Flowers has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games Stefon Diggs has drawn 23% of his team's targets, and Zay Flowers 30% of his team's targets.
Zay Flowers has the bigger role, and volume is the steadiest thing a projection rests on.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets, which here is Zay Flowers.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Stefon Diggs nor Zay Flowers has an injury designation for Week 9.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Stefon Diggs is projected by 6 of them and Zay Flowers by 6.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.