Final2021 Week 4

Empower Field at Mile High, Denver, CO

Baltimore Ravens vs Denver Broncos, Week 4 2021

Baltimore Ravens

AwayWon

23

Denver Broncos

Home

7

Scoring by quarter
TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ravens0170623
Broncos07007

BAL 23DEN 7 Final

  • Passing leader

    Lamar Jackson

    BAL · QB

    19.4PPR pts

    22/37, 316 YDS, 1 TD

  • Top fantasy scorer

    Hollywood Brown

    BAL

    19.1PPR pts

    4 REC, 91 YDS, 1 TD

  • Broncos leader

    Noah Fant

    DEN · TE

    16.6PPR pts

    6 REC, 46 YDS, 1 TD

  • Defensive playmaker

    Anthony Averett

    BAL

    1 INT, 4 TKL

Ravens 23, Broncos 7: Baltimore beats Denver

Baltimore led 17–7 at halftime after a 17-point second quarter and outscored Denver 6–0 after the break to win 23–7. The Ravens finished with a 406–254 edge in total offense and averaged 5.8 yards per play.

The gap showed up everywhere. The Broncos went 3-for-14 on third down and committed one turnover, while the Ravens kept the ball for 33:07 and finished without a giveaway.

Key advantages

  • +1.5 yards/play BAL 5.8 · DEN 4.3
  • +1 turnover margin BAL 0 turnovers
  • +152 total yards BAL 406 · DEN 254

Game Highlights

Official NFL highlights · Opens from YouTube

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Why the Ravens Won

Baltimore won the efficiency, turnover, third-down, and time of possession battles.

Team stats comparison, Ravens vs Broncos
RavensStatBroncos
5.8Yards per play4.3
0Turnovers1
406Total yards254
Other team stats
70Plays59
41%Third-down conversion21%
33:07Time of possession26:53

Scoring Summary

The Ravens scored two touchdowns and three field goals; the Broncos scored one touchdown.

Scoring plays, Ravens vs Broncos
TimeTeamPlayBALDEN
1st quarter
No scoring
2nd quarter
14:18DENTeddy Bridgewater → Noah Fant, 3-yard TD Takes leadBrandon McManus XP07
10:21BALLatavius Murray 11-yard TD run Ties gameJustin Tucker XP77
7:09BALLamar Jackson → Marquise Brown, 49-yard TD Takes leadJustin Tucker XP147
0:00BALJustin Tucker 40-yard FG Extends lead177
3rd quarter
No scoring
4th quarter
13:37BALJustin Tucker 46-yard FG Extends lead207
1:51BALJustin Tucker 20-yard FG Extends lead237

Fantasy Points: Ravens vs Broncos, Week 4 2021

Fantasy leaders

  1. Lamar JacksonBALQB19.4 PTSQB16
  2. Marquise BrownBALWR19.1 PTSWR14
  3. Noah FantDENTE16.6 PTSTE9
  4. James ProcheBALWR12.4 PTSWR35

Player Stats

Quarterbacks

Quarterback statistics
PlayerFPTSFINCMP/ATTPass YDSTDINTRush ATTRush YDSRush TDRateStart/Sit
Lamar JacksonBALQB19.4QB1622/3731610728096.2Start/Sit →
Drew LockDENQB3.5QB3412/2111301———52.3Start/Sit →
Teddy BridgewaterDENQB6.8QB337/16651012076.3

WRs, RBs, & TEs

Receiver, running back and tight end statistics
PlayerFPTSFINPOSRush ATTRush YDSRush TDTGTRECRec YDSRec TDStart/Sit
Marquise BrownBALWR19.1WR14WR———54911
Noah FantDENTE16.6TE9TE———106461Start/Sit →
James ProcheBALWR12.4WR35WR———65740
Latavius MurrayBALRB11.9RB26RB18591————
Mark AndrewsBALTE11.7TE14TE———85670Start/Sit →
Javonte WilliamsDENRB8.9RB37RB748033110Start/Sit →
Sammy WatkinsBALWR8.9WR56WR———74490
Melvin GordonDENRB8.7RB39RB956042110
Courtland SuttonDENWR7.7WR62WR———83470Start/Sit →
Tim PatrickDENWR6.9WR66WR———63390
Devin DuvernayBALWR6.1WR73WR———63310Start/Sit →
Kendall HintonDENWR2.3WR102WR———31130
Albert OkwuegbunamDENTE2.1TE44TE———21110
Le'Veon BellBALRB1.1RB70RB41101000
Devonta FreemanBALRB0.4RB74RB140————
Diontae SpencerDENWR0.0—WR———1000
Josh OliverBALTE0.0—TE———1000

Fantasy Usage

Baltimore Ravens

Snap Share

  1. Sammy WatkinsWR53 snaps73%
  2. Mark AndrewsTE46 snaps63%
  3. Latavius MurrayRB45 snaps62%
  4. Marquise BrownWR45 snaps62%
  5. Devin DuvernayWR33 snaps45%

Target Share34 targets

  1. Mark Andrews24%, 8 targets
  2. Sammy Watkins21%, 7 targets
  3. Devin Duvernay18%, 6 targets
  4. James Proche18%, 6 targets
  5. Marquise Brown15%, 5 targets
  6. Other6%, 2 targets

Carry Share30 carries

  1. Latavius Murray60%, 18 carries
  2. Lamar Jackson23%, 7 carries
  3. Le'Veon Bell13%, 4 carries
  4. Devonta Freeman3%, 1 carries

Denver Broncos

Snap Share

  1. Courtland SuttonWR58 snaps95%
  2. Noah FantTE57 snaps93%
  3. Tim PatrickWR56 snaps92%
  4. Javonte WilliamsRB31 snaps51%
  5. Melvin GordonRB30 snaps49%

Target Share37 targets

  1. Noah Fant27%, 10 targets
  2. Courtland Sutton22%, 8 targets
  3. Tim Patrick16%, 6 targets
  4. Melvin Gordon11%, 4 targets
  5. Kendall Hinton8%, 3 targets
  6. Other16%, 6 targets

Carry Share17 carries

  1. Melvin Gordon53%, 9 carries
  2. Javonte Williams41%, 7 carries
  3. Teddy Bridgewater6%, 1 carries
View full usage tableHide full usage table
Offensive snaps and share for the skill positions
PlayerSNAPSSNAP %TGTTGT %CAR
Courtland SuttonDENWR5895%822%0
Noah FantDENTE5793%1027%0
Tim PatrickDENWR5692%616%0
Sammy WatkinsBALWR5373%721%0
Mark AndrewsBALTE4663%824%0
Latavius MurrayBALRB4562%00%18
Marquise BrownBALWR4562%515%0
Javonte WilliamsDENRB3151%38%7
Melvin GordonDENRB3049%411%9
Devin DuvernayBALWR3345%618%0
Kendall HintonDENWR2643%38%0
Eric TomlinsonBALTE2534%00%0
James ProcheBALWR2433%618%0
David MooreDENWR1931%00%0
Le'Veon BellBALRB2027%13%4
Albert OkwuegbunamDENTE1626%25%0
Josh OliverBALTE1419%13%0
Eric SaubertDENTE813%00%0
Devonta FreemanBALRB68%00%1
Diontae SpencerDENWR35%13%0
Andrew BeckDENRB12%00%0
Tylan WallaceBALWR11%00%0

Fantasy Points vs Expected

Expected points (xFP) are what a player's pass attempts, carries and targets are worth at the league's average rates; the difference is what the player made of them.

  • Biggest overperformer+10.7Hollywood Brown19.1 PTS vs 8.4 xFP
  • Biggest underperformer−5.8Courtland Sutton7.7 PTS vs 13.5 xFP
  • Highest expected volume20.8 xFPLamar Jackson19.4 PTS scored
Usage and expected fantasy points
PlayerPTSxFPvs xFPSnap%UsageRte%Pass attCarCar%TgtTgt%
Lamar JacksonBAL · QB19.420.8−1.4100%37 att—37723%00%
Noah FantDEN · TE16.616.8−0.293%27% tgt—000%1027%
Courtland SuttonDEN · WR7.713.5−5.895%22% tgt—000%822%
Mark AndrewsBAL · TE11.713.5−1.863%23% tgt—000%823%
Melvin Gordon IIIDEN · RB8.712.5−3.849%53% car—0953%411%
Sammy WatkinsBAL · WR8.911.8−2.973%20% tgt—000%720%
Latavius MurrayBAL · RB11.911.6+0.362%60% car—01860%00%
Devin DuvernayBAL · WR6.110.1−4.045%17% tgt—000%617%
James Proche IIBAL · WR12.410.1+2.333%17% tgt—000%617%
Tim PatrickDEN · WR6.910.1−3.292%16% tgt—000%616%
Javonte WilliamsDEN · RB8.99.5−0.651%41% car—0741%38%
Drew LockDEN · QB3.59.2−5.749%21 att—2100%00%
Hollywood BrownBAL · —19.18.4+10.7—14% tgt—000%514%
Teddy BridgewaterDEN · QB6.87.7−0.951%16 att—1616%00%
Kendall HintonDEN · WR2.35.1−2.843%8% tgt—000%38%
Le'Veon BellBAL · RB1.14.3−3.227%13% car—0413%13%
Albert Okwuegbunam Jr.DEN · TE2.13.4−1.326%5% tgt—000%25%
Diontae SpencerDEN · WR0.01.7−1.75%3% tgt—000%13%
Josh OliverBAL · TE0.01.7−1.719%3% tgt—000%13%
Patrick RicardBAL · RB1.41.7−0.3—3% tgt—000%13%
Devonta FreemanBAL · RB0.40.6−0.28%3% car—013%00%

Team totals: Ravens 35 targets and 30 carries; Broncos 37 targets and 17 carries. Shares are from the box score. Snap counts are from the weekly player logs (Sleeper), and include plays wiped out by penalties. Route counts, air yards and red-zone touches appear when the tracking feed is connected. League-average rates from the 2021 season: 1.68 PPR points per target (67% catch rate), 0.64 per carry and 0.44 per pass attempt. They don't adjust for field position or target depth.

Fantasy Verdicts

Lamar Jackson

BAL · QB · 19.4 pts on 20.8 expected

22 of 37 passing for 316 yards, 1 touchdown; 7 carries for 28 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 20.8 expected.

Start/Sit: Lamar Jackson →

Drew Lock Unlucky

DEN · QB · 3.5 pts on 9.2 expected

12 of 21 passing for 113 yards, 1 interception.

Verdict: The role was there, worth 9.2 points at league-average rates; the production wasn't.

Start/Sit: Drew Lock →

Mark Andrews

BAL · TE · 11.7 pts on 13.5 expected

8 targets (23% of the team's), 5 catches for 67 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 13.5 expected.

Start/Sit: Mark Andrews →

Sammy Watkins

BAL · WR · 8.9 pts on 11.8 expected

7 targets (20% of the team's), 4 catches for 49 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 11.8 expected.

Noah Fant

DEN · TE · 16.6 pts on 16.8 expected

10 targets (27% of the team's), 6 catches for 46 yards and 1 touchdown.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 16.8 expected.

Start/Sit: Noah Fant →

Courtland Sutton Unlucky

DEN · WR · 7.7 pts on 13.5 expected

8 targets (22% of the team's), 3 catches for 47 yards.

Verdict: The role was there, worth 13.5 points at league-average rates; the production wasn't.

Start/Sit: Courtland Sutton →

Hollywood Brown Ran hot

BAL · — · 19.1 pts on 8.4 expected

5 targets (14% of the team's), 4 catches for 91 yards and 1 touchdown.

Verdict: The opportunities were worth 8.4 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.

Latavius Murray Strong role

BAL · RB · 11.9 pts on 11.6 expected

18 carries (60% of the team's) for 59 yards and 1 touchdown.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 11.6 expected.

Stock Up, Stock Down

Baltimore Ravens

  • Stock up: Latavius Murray played 62% of the snaps, up from a 33% season average.
  • Stock up: James Proche II played 33% of the snaps, up from a 13% season average.
  • Stock down: Mark Andrews played 63% of the snaps, down from a 78% season average.

Denver Broncos

  • Stock up: Javonte Williams led the backfield with 51% of the snaps after trailing Melvin Gordon III before this game.
  • Stock up: Courtland Sutton played 95% of the snaps, up from a 78% season average.
  • Stock up: Tim Patrick played 92% of the snaps, up from a 73% season average.

Fantasy Matchups

Fantasy points allowed per game by position, 2021 through Week 18.

Fantasy points allowed per game by position, Ravens defense and Broncos defense
Points allowed toRavens DBroncos D
QBs19.515.8
RBs20.821.4
WRs38.229.8
TEs15.48.5

Regular season, summed from each game's box score and scored with this page's rules.

How the Game Swung

Denver opened at 53% win probability and fell below 2% in the fourth quarter.

Broncos win probability

Broncos win probability by game minuteBroncos started at 53%, stood at 16% at halftime and finished at 0%, across 6 scoring plays.Q1Q2Q3Q4100%50%0%

Key Swings

  1. +22Bridgewater → Fant, 3-yd TD53% → 75%Q2 14:18
  2. −23Murray 11-yd TD run76% → 52%Q2 10:21
  3. −25Jackson → Brown, 49-yd TD52% → 27%Q2 7:09
  4. −9Tucker 40-yd FG25% → 16%Q2 0:00
  5. −4Tucker 46-yd FG6% → 2%Q4 13:37

Swing in Broncos win probability, in points

Play Calling and Possessions

Play calling, Ravens vs Broncos
Baltimore RavensMeasureDenver Broncos
70Plays59
57%Pass rate71%
7.6Yds / dropback3.5
3.4Yds / carry6.2
7/17Third downs3/14

Efficiency edge Baltimore ran 11 more plays and gained 4.1 more yards per dropback.

  • Top targets
  • BAL Andrews 23% · Watkins 20% · Duvernay 17%
  • DEN Fant 27% · Sutton 22% · Patrick 16%

Possession Results

How each possession ended, Ravens vs Broncos
ResultBALDEN
Touchdowns21
Field goals30
Punts710
Turnovers01

BAL turnover edge: +1

  • The Broncos opened the scoring on their fourth possession, a 5-play, 57-yard drive that ended in a touchdown.
  • The Ravens drained the clock with two second-half drives of five to seven minutes.
All 25 possessions, drive by drive
Drive chart
TeamStartPlaysYardsTimeResult
DENQ1 15:006173:02Punt
BALQ1 11:586132:50Punt
DENQ1 9:084201:30Punt
BALQ1 7:384282:41Punt
DENQ1 4:575192:34Punt
BALQ1 2:23330:58Punt
DENQ1 1:255572:07Touchdown
BALQ2 14:188753:57Touchdown
DENQ2 10:213-31:45Punt
BALQ2 8:364601:27Touchdown
DENQ2 7:095293:10Punt
BALQ2 3:594342:57Punt
DENQ2 1:023-50:31Punt
BALQ2 0:31540:31Field goal
BALQ3 15:00341:39Punt
DENQ3 13:218224:44Punt
BALQ3 8:37451:42Punt
DENQ3 6:555132:37Punt
BALQ3 4:1813485:41Field goal
DENQ4 13:37351:04Punt
BALQ4 12:33392:06Punt
DENQ4 10:27402:01Punt
BALQ4 8:2615786:35Field goal
DENQ4 1:518701:48Interception
BALQ4 0:03150:03End of game
About these numbers

Possessions that ended with the clock running out at the half or the end of the game aren't counted.

Personnel groupings, average depth of target and pass rate over expected appear when the tracking feed is connected.

Ravens vs Broncos Head-to-Head

The Ravens and Broncos first met in 1996 and have played 17 times since.

All-time series
11–6Ravens lead, 17 meetings since 1996
Postseason
2–0Ravens won in 2000 and 2012
Largest Ravens win
41–102024
Largest Broncos win
49–272013

Since 2021

3–0 Ravens lead

3 meetings since the 2021 season, regular season and playoffs.

Oldest to newest. R = Ravens win, B = Broncos win, outlined = this game.

Recent Meetings

Season to Date (Through Week 18)

The 2021 regular season, from each game's box score.

Season to date, Ravens vs Broncos
RavensStatBroncos
8-9Record7-10
22.8Points per game19.7
378.8Yards per game330.5
5.4Yards per play5.4
23.1Points allowed per game18.9
363.4Yards allowed per game326.1

Ravens vs Broncos Odds and Results

How this game finished against the betting lines.

Spread
DEN −1Broncos failed to cover by 17
Total
44Under: 30 points scored (by 14)

Expected vs Actual Scoring

Implied team totals against the actual score
TeamImpliedActualDifference
Broncos22.57−15.5
Ravens21.523+1.5

The Ravens beat their implied total and the Broncos fell short of theirs; the Fantasy tab has the player lines behind it.

Betting Trends

Each team's 2021 season through this game. Over/under is overs first.

Baltimore Ravens

Against the spread
2–2
Over/under
2–2
ATS as favorite
0–2
ATS as underdog
2–0
ATS on the road
1–2

Denver Broncos

Against the spread
3–1
Over/under
0–4
ATS as favorite
3–1
ATS at home
1–1

Lines: ESPN's consensus, captured at kickoff. Individual sportsbooks varied.

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Betting availability depends on your state.

Ravens and Broncos in Fantasy

The two teams don't meet again this season. If you roster a Raven or a Bronco, these answer the week-to-week question.

Keep Exploring

2021 Game Logs for Players in This Game

Ravens vs Broncos Game FAQ

Who won the 2021 Ravens vs Broncos Week 4 game?

The Baltimore Ravens beat the Denver Broncos 23–7 in Week 4 of the 2021 season. The game was played at Empower Field at Mile High in Denver, CO, on October 3, 2021. See the Ravens' 2021 schedule.

What was the final score of Ravens vs Broncos?

The final score was Ravens 23, Broncos 7. The Ravens led 17–7 at halftime, and the second half went Ravens 6, Broncos 0.

What happened in the Ravens vs Broncos game?

Baltimore led 17–7 at halftime after a 17-point second quarter and outscored Denver 6–0 after the break to win 23–7. The Ravens finished with a 406–254 edge in total offense and averaged 5.8 yards per play. Lamar Jackson led all players with 22 of 37 passing for 316 yards and a touchdown, plus 7 carries for 28 rushing yards. The Broncos committed 1 turnover, the Ravens none.

Who scored the most fantasy points in Ravens vs Broncos?

Lamar Jackson led the game with 19.4 PPR fantasy points, the QB16 of Week 4, on 22 of 37 passing for 316 yards and a touchdown, plus 7 carries for 28 rushing yards. Marquise Brown was next with 19.1 (WR14). See Lamar Jackson's 2021 game log.

Who led Ravens vs Broncos in passing, rushing and receiving?

Lamar Jackson (BAL) led all passers with 22 of 37 for 316 yards and a touchdown. Latavius Murray (BAL) led in rushing with 18 carries for 59 yards and a touchdown. Marquise Brown (BAL) led in receiving with 4 catches for 91 yards and a touchdown.

Who outperformed and underperformed expected fantasy points in Ravens vs Broncos?

Hollywood Brown outperformed his expected fantasy points the most, scoring 19.1 PPR points on 8.4 xFP (+10.7). Courtland Sutton fell furthest short, with 7.7 points on 13.5 xFP (−5.8). A gap either way reflects efficiency and touchdowns in one game; it is not a forecast. For matchups ahead, see fantasy points allowed by position.

Who had the highest expected fantasy points in Ravens vs Broncos?

Lamar Jackson had the most fantasy opportunity in the game, worth 20.8 expected PPR points (xFP) at league-average rates, and scored 19.4. Expected points measure the volume of a player's pass attempts, carries and targets, not how well he used them.

How did the Ravens come back to beat the Broncos?

The Ravens' chances of winning fell as low as 24% in the first half. Lamar Jackson's 49-yard touchdown pass to Marquise Brown in the second quarter was the biggest swing of the game. They finished the comeback with a 23–7 win.

Which team won the turnover battle in Ravens vs Broncos?

The Ravens won the turnover battle 1–0: the Broncos gave the ball away 1 time and the Ravens not at all. The Ravens won the game.

What is the all-time Ravens vs Broncos record?

The Ravens lead the all-time series 11–6 across 17 meetings since 1996, including a 2–0 record in the postseason.

When did the Ravens and Broncos last play before this game?

Before Week 4 of 2021, they last met in the 2018 season on September 23, 2018, when the Ravens beat the Broncos 27–14.

Have the Ravens and Broncos met in the playoffs?

Yes, 2 times, most recently in the 2012 playoffs. The Ravens are 2–0 against the Broncos in the postseason.

What was the closing spread for Ravens vs Broncos?

The consensus closing spread at kickoff was Broncos −1, making the Denver Broncos 1-point favorites, with a closing total of 44. That implied about 22.5 points for the Broncos and 21.5 for the Ravens.

Did Ravens vs Broncos go over or under the total?

The game went under. The consensus closing total was 44, and the teams combined for 30 points, 14 under the number.

Who covered the spread in Ravens vs Broncos?

The Ravens covered as 1-point underdogs against the closing line of Broncos −1. The final margin was 16 points.