Cincinnati Bengals vs Buffalo Bills, Divisional Round 2022
Cincinnati Bengals
AwayWon, advanced
27
Buffalo Bills
Home
10
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bengals | 14 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 27 |
| Bills | 0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 10 |
CIN 27BUF 10 Final
Passing leader
18.2PPR pts
25/42, 264 YDS, 1 INT, 1 RUSH TD
Top fantasy scorer
Joe Mixon
20.3PPR pts
20 ATT, 105 YDS, 1 TD, 2 REC, 18 REC YDS
Bills leader
11.5PPR pts
5 REC, 65 YDS
Defensive playmaker
Cam Taylor-Britt
1 INT, 6 TKL
Bengals 27, Bills 10: Cincinnati controls the 2022 Divisional Round from start to finish
Cincinnati led 17–7 at halftime and outscored Buffalo 10–3 after the break to win 27–10. The Bengals finished with a 412–325 edge in total offense and averaged 5.8 yards per play.
The gap showed up everywhere. The Bills went 5-for-12 on third down and committed one turnover, while the Bengals kept the ball for 33:54 and finished without a giveaway.
The Bengals' run ended in the Conference Championship, a 23–20 loss to the Chiefs.
Key advantages
- +0.6 yards/play CIN 5.8 · BUF 5.2
- +1 turnover margin CIN 0 turnovers
- +87 total yards CIN 412 · BUF 325
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Why the Bengals Won
Cincinnati won the efficiency, turnover, third-down, and time of possession battles.
| Bengals | Stat | Bills |
|---|---|---|
| 5.8 | Yards per play | 5.2 |
| 0 | Turnovers | 1 |
| 412 | Total yards | 325 |
| Other team stats | ||
| 71 | Plays | 62 |
| 60% | Third-down conversion | 42% |
| 33:54 | Time of possession | 26:06 |
Scoring Summary
The Bengals scored three touchdowns and two field goals; the Bills scored one touchdown and one field goal.
| Time | Team | Play | CIN | BUF |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st quarter | ||||
| 11:40 | CIN | Joe Burrow → Ja'Marr Chase, 28-yard TD Takes leadEvan McPherson XP | 7 | 0 |
| 3:47 | CIN | Joe Burrow → Hayden Hurst, 15-yard TD Extends leadEvan McPherson XP | 14 | 0 |
| 2nd quarter | ||||
| 7:25 | BUF | Josh Allen 1-yard TD runTyler Bass XP | 14 | 7 |
| 1:49 | CIN | Evan McPherson 28-yard FG Extends lead | 17 | 7 |
| 3rd quarter | ||||
| 7:42 | BUF | Tyler Bass 25-yard FG | 17 | 10 |
| 1:17 | CIN | Joe Mixon 1-yard TD run Extends leadEvan McPherson XP | 24 | 10 |
| 4th quarter | ||||
| 11:22 | CIN | Evan McPherson 20-yard FG Extends lead | 27 | 10 |
Playoff game: these points don't count in most season-long fantasy leagues.
Fantasy Points vs Expected
Expected points (xFP) are what a player's pass attempts, carries and targets are worth at the league's average rates; the difference is what the player made of them.
- Biggest overperformer+6.9Hayden Hurst16.9 PTS vs 10.0 xFP
- Biggest underperformer−9.2Stefon Diggs7.5 PTS vs 16.7 xFP
- Highest expected volume22.9 xFPJosh Allen18.2 PTS scored
| Player | PTS | xFP | vs xFP | Snap% | Usage | Rte% | Pass att | Car | Car% | Tgt | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh AllenBUF · QB | 18.2 | 22.9 | −4.7 | — | 42 att | — | 42 | 8 | 42% | 0 | 0% |
| Joe BurrowCIN · QB | 20.8 | 19.1 | +1.7 | — | 36 att | — | 36 | 6 | 18% | 0 | 0% |
| Joe MixonCIN · RB | 20.3 | 17.9 | +2.4 | — | 59% car | — | 0 | 20 | 59% | 3 | 9% |
| Devin SingletaryBUF · RB | 11.2 | 17.2 | −6.0 | — | 32% car | — | 0 | 6 | 32% | 8 | 20% |
| Stefon DiggsBUF · WR | 7.5 | 16.7 | −9.2 | — | 25% tgt | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 10 | 25% |
| Ja'Marr ChaseCIN · WR | 17.4 | 14.0 | +3.4 | — | 25% tgt | — | 0 | 1 | 3% | 8 | 25% |
| Samaje PerineCIN · RB | 11.4 | 12.8 | −1.4 | — | 21% car | — | 0 | 7 | 21% | 5 | 16% |
| Dawson KnoxBUF · TE | 11.5 | 11.7 | −0.2 | — | 18% tgt | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 7 | 18% |
| Hayden HurstCIN · TE | 16.9 | 10.0 | +6.9 | — | 19% tgt | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 6 | 19% |
| Cole BeasleyBUF · WR | 6.3 | 6.7 | −0.4 | — | 10% tgt | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 4 | 10% |
| Gabe DavisBUF · WR | 5.4 | 6.7 | −1.3 | — | 10% tgt | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 4 | 10% |
| Tee HigginsCIN · WR | 5.8 | 6.7 | −0.9 | — | 13% tgt | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 4 | 13% |
| Isaiah McKenzieBUF · WR | 3.0 | 3.3 | −0.3 | — | 5% tgt | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 2 | 5% |
| Khalil ShakirBUF · WR | 6.0 | 3.3 | +2.7 | — | 5% tgt | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 2 | 5% |
| Mitchell WilcoxCIN · TE | 1.9 | 3.3 | −1.4 | — | 6% tgt | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 2 | 6% |
| Quintin MorrisBUF · TE | 1.6 | 3.3 | −1.7 | — | 5% tgt | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 2 | 5% |
| Trenton IrwinCIN · WR | 2.3 | 3.3 | −1.0 | — | 6% tgt | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 2 | 6% |
| Tyler BoydCIN · WR | 3.3 | 3.3 | 0.0 | — | 6% tgt | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 2 | 6% |
| James Cook IIIBUF · RB | 1.3 | 3.2 | −1.9 | — | 26% car | — | 0 | 5 | 26% | 0 | 0% |
| Nyheim HinesBUF · — | 1.4 | 1.7 | −0.3 | — | 3% tgt | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1 | 3% |
Team totals: Bengals 32 targets and 34 carries; Bills 40 targets and 19 carries. Shares are from the box score. Snap counts aren't available for this game. Route counts, air yards and red-zone touches appear when the tracking feed is connected. League-average rates from the 2022 season: 1.67 PPR points per target (67% catch rate), 0.64 per carry and 0.42 per pass attempt. They don't adjust for field position or target depth.
Fantasy Verdicts
Joe Burrow
23 of 36 passing for 242 yards, 2 touchdowns; 6 carries for 31 yards.
Verdict: The points matched the role, 19.1 expected.
Josh Allen
25 of 42 passing for 264 yards, 1 interception; 8 carries for 26 yards and 1 touchdown.
Verdict: The points matched the role, 22.9 expected.
Joe Mixon
3 targets (9% of the team's), 2 catches for 18 yards; 20 carries (59% of the team's) for 105 yards and 1 touchdown.
Verdict: The points matched the role, 17.9 expected.
Best score since Week 9.
Ja'Marr Chase
8 targets (25% of the team's), 5 catches for 61 yards and 1 touchdown; 1 carry (3% of the team's) for 3 yards.
Verdict: The points matched the role, 14.0 expected.
A touchdown in 6 of the last 8 games.
Devin Singletary Unlucky
8 targets (20% of the team's), 5 catches for 37 yards; 6 carries (32% of the team's) for 25 yards.
Verdict: The role was there, worth 17.2 points at league-average rates; the production wasn't.
Stefon Diggs Unlucky
10 targets (25% of the team's), 4 catches for 35 yards.
Verdict: The role was there, worth 16.7 points at league-average rates; the production wasn't.
Hayden Hurst Ran hot
6 targets (19% of the team's), 5 catches for 59 yards and 1 touchdown.
Verdict: The opportunities were worth 10.0 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.
Best score since Week 5.
Fantasy Matchups
Fantasy points allowed per game by position, 2022 through Week 18.
| Points allowed to | Bengals D | Bills D |
|---|---|---|
| QBs | 14.3 | 14.4 |
| RBs | 20.0 | 19.9 |
| WRs | 30.8 | 35.5 |
| TEs | 12.4 | 8.7 |
Regular season, summed from each game's box score and scored with this page's rules.
How the Game Swung
Buffalo opened at 67% win probability and fell below 2% in the fourth quarter.
Bills win probability
Key Swings
- −21Burrow → Chase, 28-yd TD67% → 46%Q1 11:40
- −20Burrow → Hurst, 15-yd TD43% → 23%Q1 3:47
- +21Allen 1-yd TD run17% → 38%Q2 7:25
- +11Bass 25-yd FG18% → 28%Q3 7:42
- −18Mixon 1-yd TD run22% → 4%Q3 1:17
Swing in Bills win probability, in points
Play Calling and Possessions
| Cincinnati Bengals | Measure | Buffalo Bills |
|---|---|---|
| 71 | Plays | 62 |
| 52% | Pass rate | 69% |
| 6.5 | Yds / dropback | 6.1 |
| 5.1 | Yds / carry | 3.4 |
| 6/10 | Third downs | 5/12 |
Efficiency edge Cincinnati ran 9 more plays and gained 1.7 more yards per carry.
- Top targets
- CIN Chase 25% · Hurst 19% · Perine 16%
- BUF Diggs 25% · Singletary 20% · Knox 18%
Possession Results
| Result | CIN | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| Touchdowns | 3 | 1 |
| Field goals | 2 | 1 |
| Punts | 2 | 4 |
| Turnovers | 0 | 1 |
| Turnovers on downs | 0 | 1 |
CIN turnover edge: +1
- The Bengals opened the scoring on their first possession, a 6-play, 79-yard drive that ended in a touchdown.
- The Bengals scored touchdowns on two of their first three drives, then drained the clock with two second-half drives of four to seven minutes.
All 17 possessions, drive by drive
| Team | Start | Plays | Yards | Time | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CIN | Q1 15:00 | 6 | 79 | 3:20 | Touchdown |
| BUF | Q1 11:40 | 3 | 6 | 1:38 | Punt |
| CIN | Q1 10:02 | 10 | 72 | 6:15 | Touchdown |
| BUF | Q1 3:47 | 3 | 5 | 1:36 | Punt |
| CIN | Q1 2:11 | 6 | 14 | 2:05 | Punt |
| BUF | Q1 0:06 | 15 | 75 | 7:41 | Touchdown |
| CIN | Q2 7:25 | 14 | 65 | 5:36 | Field goal |
| BUF | Q2 1:49 | 7 | 39 | 1:09 | Punt |
| CIN | Q2 0:40 | 6 | 44 | 0:40 | End of half |
| BUF | Q3 15:00 | 14 | 65 | 7:18 | Field goal |
| CIN | Q3 7:42 | 12 | 75 | 6:25 | Touchdown |
| BUF | Q3 1:17 | 3 | 8 | 1:15 | Punt |
| CIN | Q3 0:02 | 9 | 61 | 3:40 | Field goal |
| BUF | Q4 11:22 | 10 | 59 | 3:59 | Downs |
| CIN | Q4 7:23 | 8 | 29 | 4:51 | Punt |
| BUF | Q4 2:32 | 8 | 53 | 1:30 | Interception |
| CIN | Q4 1:02 | 2 | -1 | 1:02 | End of game |
About these numbers
Possessions that ended with the clock running out at the half or the end of the game aren't counted.
Personnel groupings, average depth of target and pass rate over expected appear when the tracking feed is connected.
Bengals vs Bills Head-to-Head
The Bengals and Bills first met in 1968 and have played 35 times since.
- All-time series
- 18–17Bills lead, 35 meetings since 1968
- Postseason
- 3–0Bengals won in 1981, 1988, and 2022
- Largest Bengals win
- 52–211984
- Largest Bills win
- 51–241979
Since 2021
2–1 Bengals lead
3 meetings since the 2021 season, regular season and playoffs.
Oldest to newest. CIN = Bengals win, BUF = Bills win, outlined = this game.
Recent Meetings
- 2025 Wk 14 Bengals at Bills, 2025 Wk 14 recap BUF 39 CIN 34 BUF W
- 2023 Wk 9 Bills at Bengals, 2023 Wk 9 recap CIN 24 BUF 18 CIN W
- 2022 Divisional Round Bengals at Bills CIN 27 BUF 10 CIN W
Season to Date (Through Week 18)
The 2022 regular season, from each game's box score.
| Bengals | Stat | Bills |
|---|---|---|
| 12-4 | Record | 13-3 |
| 26.1 | Points per game | 28.4 |
| 360.5 | Yards per game | 397.6 |
| 5.5 | Yards per play | 6.1 |
| 20.1 | Points allowed per game | 17.9 |
| 335.7 | Yards allowed per game | 319.1 |
Bengals vs Bills Odds and Results
How this game finished against the betting lines.
- Spread
- BUF −6Bills failed to cover by 23
- Total
- 48Under: 37 points scored (by 11)
Expected vs Actual Scoring
| Team | Implied | Actual | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bills | 27.0 | 10 | −17.0 |
| Bengals | 21.0 | 27 | +6.0 |
The Bengals beat their implied total and the Bills fell short of theirs; the Fantasy tab has the player lines behind it.
Betting Trends
Each team's 2022 season through this game. Over/under is overs first.
Cincinnati Bengals
- Against the spread
- 13–5
- Over/under
- 7–10–1
- ATS as favorite
- 10–5
- ATS as underdog
- 3–0
- ATS on the road
- 8–2
Buffalo Bills
- Against the spread
- 8–10
- Over/under
- 7–11
- ATS as favorite
- 8–10
- ATS at home
- 4–6
Lines: ESPN's consensus, captured at kickoff. Individual sportsbooks varied.
21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Betting availability depends on your state.
Bengals and Bills in Fantasy
The two teams don't meet again this season. If you roster a Bengal or a Bill, these answer the week-to-week question.
- Start/Sit ToolShould your Bengals or Bills player start this week? Compare the decision against your other options.
- Fantasy Football ProjectionsSee the latest weekly and rest-of-season projections for Bengals and Bills players.
- Fantasy Points Allowed by PositionHow the Bengals and Bills defenses have treated QBs, RBs, WRs and TEs.
- Strength of ScheduleWhere each team's remaining games fall in your fantasy playoff run.
- Redraft CommandConnect your league for personalized lineup, trade and roster advice.
Keep Exploring
2022 Game Logs for Players in This Game
Bengals vs Bills Game FAQ
Who won the 2022 Bengals vs Bills Divisional Round game?
The Cincinnati Bengals beat the Buffalo Bills 27–10 in the Divisional Round of the 2022 playoffs. The game was played at Highmark Stadium (Old) in Orchard Park, NY, on January 22, 2023. See the Bengals' 2022 schedule.
What was the final score of Bengals vs Bills?
The final score was Bengals 27, Bills 10. The Bengals led 17–7 at halftime, and the second half went Bengals 10, Bills 3.
What happened in the Bengals vs Bills game?
Cincinnati led 17–7 at halftime and outscored Buffalo 10–3 after the break to win 27–10. The Bengals finished with a 412–325 edge in total offense and averaged 5.8 yards per play. The Bills committed 1 turnover, the Bengals none.
How did the Bengals beat the Bills?
The Bengals beat the Bills 27–10 because they averaged 5.8 yards per play to 5.2, won the turnover battle 1–0, and outgained them 412–325.
Which team won the turnover battle in Bengals vs Bills?
The Bengals won the turnover battle 1–0: the Bills gave the ball away 1 time and the Bengals not at all. The Bengals won the game.
What is the all-time Bengals vs Bills record?
The Bills lead the all-time series 18–17 across 35 meetings since 1968, including a 0–3 record in the postseason.
When did the Bengals and Bills last play before this game?
Before the 2022 Divisional Round, they last met in the 2019 season on September 22, 2019, when the Bills beat the Bengals 21–17.
Have the Bengals and Bills met in the playoffs?
Yes, 3 times, most recently in the 2022 playoffs. The Bengals are 3–0 against the Bills in the postseason.
What is the Bengals vs Bills record since 2021?
The Bengals lead 2–1 across 3 meetings since the 2021 season, including this game.
What was the closing spread for Bengals vs Bills?
The consensus closing spread at kickoff was Bills −6, making the Buffalo Bills 6-point favorites, with a closing total of 48. That implied about 27.0 points for the Bills and 21.0 for the Bengals.
Did Bengals vs Bills go over or under the total?
The game went under. The consensus closing total was 48, and the teams combined for 37 points, 11 under the number.
Who covered the spread in Bengals vs Bills?
The Bengals covered as 6-point underdogs against the closing line of Bills −6. The final margin was 17 points.