Final2025 Week 15

Caesars Superdome, New Orleans, LA

Carolina Panthers vs New Orleans Saints, Week 15 2025

Carolina Panthers

Away

17

New Orleans Saints

HomeWon

20

Scoring by quarter
TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Panthers737017
Saints0731020

CAR 17NO 20 Final

  • Passing leader

    Tyler Shough

    NO · QB

    18.1PPR pts

    24/32, 272 YDS, 1 TD

  • Top fantasy scorer

    Chris Olave

    NO · WR

    20.5PPR pts

    6 REC, 85 YDS, 1 TD

  • Panthers leader

    Bryce Young

    CAR · QB

    15.4PPR pts

    15/24, 163 YDS, 1 TD

  • Defensive playmaker

    DJ Wonnum

    CAR

    2 SACK, 4 TKL

Saints 20, Panthers 17: New Orleans rallies from 3 down at halftime

New Orleans erased a 10–7 halftime deficit, outscoring Carolina 13–7 after the break to win 20–17. The Saints finished with a 337–281 edge in total offense and averaged 5.3 yards per play.

The gap showed up everywhere. The Panthers went 7-for-14 on third down and committed one turnover, while the Saints finished without a giveaway.

The two teams meet again in Week 10 of 2026. If you roster anyone from either side, run the start/sit call in Redraft Command and it will weigh your lineup, your opponent and your league scoring, not only the player rankings.

Key advantages

  • +0.3 yards/play NO 5.3 · CAR 5.0
  • +1 turnover margin NO 0 turnovers
  • +56 total yards NO 337 · CAR 281

Game Highlights

Official NFL highlights · Opens from YouTube

Got a Panther or Saint on your fantasy team?

Check their next matchup with the Start/Sit Tool, compare their value in the Fantasy Trade Calculator, or connect your league for personalized advice in Redraft Command.

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Why the Saints Won

New Orleans won the efficiency, turnover, third-down, and time of possession battles.

Team stats comparison, Panthers vs Saints
PanthersStatSaints
5.0Yards per play5.3
1Turnovers0
281Total yards337
Other team stats
56Plays63
50%Third-down conversion55%
28:16Time of possession31:44

Scoring Summary

The Saints scored two touchdowns and two field goals; the Panthers scored two touchdowns and one field goal.

Scoring plays, Panthers vs Saints
TimeTeamPlayCARNO
1st quarter
6:39CARRico Dowdle 4-yard TD run Takes leadRyan Fitzgerald XP70
2nd quarter
3:32NODevin Neal 4-yard TD run Ties gameCharlie Smyth XP77
0:21CARRyan Fitzgerald 40-yard FG Takes lead107
3rd quarter
9:54CARBryce Young → Jalen Coker, 32-yard TD Extends leadRyan Fitzgerald XP177
1:56NOCharlie Smyth 42-yard FG1710
4th quarter
2:29NOTyler Shough → Chris Olave, 12-yard TD Ties gameCharlie Smyth XP1717
0:02NOCharlie Smyth 47-yard FG Game winner1720

Fantasy Points: Panthers vs Saints, Week 15 2025

Fantasy leaders

  1. Chris OlaveNOWR20.5 PTSWR9
  2. Tyler ShoughNOQB18.1 PTSQB16
  3. Bryce YoungCARQB15.4 PTSQB21
  4. Jalen CokerCARWR14.0 PTSWR25

Player Stats

Quarterbacks

Quarterback statistics
PlayerFPTSFINCMP/ATTPass YDSTDINTRush ATTRush YDSRush TDRateStart/Sit
Tyler ShoughNOQB18.1QB1624/32272108320110.4Start/Sit →
Bryce YoungCARQB15.4QB2115/2416310749096.4Start/Sit →
Spencer RattlerNOQB0.0—0/1000———39.6Start/Sit →

WRs, RBs, & TEs

Receiver, running back and tight end statistics
PlayerFPTSFINPOSRush ATTRush YDSRush TDTGTRECRec YDSRec TDStart/Sit
Chris OlaveNOWR20.5WR9WR———96851Start/Sit →
Jalen CokerCARWR14.0WR25WR———44601Start/Sit →
Rico DowdleCARRB12.4RB22RB164911150Start/Sit →
Devaughn VeleNOWR11.9WR32WR———65690Start/Sit →
Devin NealNORB10.2RB28RB72811140
Audric EstimeNORB8.0RB37RB311033390
Juwan JohnsonNOTE7.0TE22TE———44300Start/Sit →
Kevin AustinNOWR6.3WR59WR———53330
Xavier LegetteCARWR5.9WR62WR———32390Start/Sit →
Chuba HubbardCARRB4.8RB50RB82901190Start/Sit →
Tetairoa McMillanCARWR4.5WR73WR———42250Start/Sit →
Tommy TrembleCARTE3.3TE41TE———42130Start/Sit →
Ja'Tavion SandersCARTE2.5TE48TE———2250Start/Sit →
Jack StollNOTE1.7TE54TE———1170
Jimmy HornCARWR1.7WR96WR———1170
Evan HullNORB1.2RB70RB4120————Start/Sit →
Mason TiptonNOWR1.1WR101WR1-402150Start/Sit →
Taysom HillNOTE0.2TE58TE220————

Fantasy Usage

Carolina Panthers

Snap Share

  1. Tetairoa McMillanWR48 snaps84%
  2. Xavier LegetteWR42 snaps74%
  3. Jalen CokerWR39 snaps68%
  4. Rico DowdleRB34 snaps60%
  5. Ja'Tavion SandersTE30 snaps53%

Target Share20 targets

  1. Tommy Tremble20%, 4 targets
  2. Jalen Coker20%, 4 targets
  3. Tetairoa McMillan20%, 4 targets
  4. Xavier Legette15%, 3 targets
  5. Ja'Tavion Sanders10%, 2 targets
  6. Other15%, 3 targets

Carry Share31 carries

  1. Rico Dowdle52%, 16 carries
  2. Chuba Hubbard26%, 8 carries
  3. Bryce Young23%, 7 carries

New Orleans Saints

Snap Share

  1. Chris OlaveWR58 snaps84%
  2. Mason TiptonWR55 snaps80%
  3. Juwan JohnsonTE42 snaps61%
  4. Devaughn VeleWR38 snaps55%
  5. Foster MoreauTE29 snaps42%

Target Share31 targets

  1. Chris Olave29%, 9 targets
  2. Devaughn Vele19%, 6 targets
  3. Kevin Austin16%, 5 targets
  4. Juwan Johnson13%, 4 targets
  5. Audric Estime10%, 3 targets
  6. Other13%, 4 targets

Carry Share25 carries

  1. Tyler Shough32%, 8 carries
  2. Devin Neal28%, 7 carries
  3. Evan Hull16%, 4 carries
  4. Audric Estime12%, 3 carries
  5. Taysom Hill8%, 2 carries
  6. Other4%, 1 carries
View full usage tableHide full usage table
Offensive snaps and share for the skill positions
PlayerSNAPSSNAP %TGTTGT %CAR
Tetairoa McMillanCARWR4884%420%0
Chris OlaveNOWR5884%929%0
Mason TiptonNOWR5580%26%1
Xavier LegetteCARWR4274%315%0
Jalen CokerCARWR3968%420%0
Juwan JohnsonNOTE4261%413%0
Rico DowdleCARRB3460%15%16
Devaughn VeleNOWR3855%619%0
Ja'Tavion SandersCARTE3053%210%0
Tommy TrembleCARTE2849%420%0
Mitchell EvansCARTE2544%00%0
Chuba HubbardCARRB2442%15%8
Foster MoreauNOTE2942%00%0
Kevin AustinNOWR2638%516%0
Audric EstimeNORB2536%310%3
Evan HullNORB2232%00%4
Devin NealNORB2232%13%7
Taysom HillNOTE1522%00%2
Jack StollNOTE1014%13%0
Brycen TremayneCARWR814%00%0
Jimmy HornCARWR47%15%0
Dante PettisNOWR23%00%0

Fantasy Points vs Expected

Expected points (xFP) are what a player's pass attempts, carries and targets are worth at the league's average rates; the difference is what the player made of them.

Usage and expected fantasy points
PlayerPTSxFPvs xFPSnap%UsageRte%Pass attCarCar%TgtTgt%
Tyler ShoughNO · QB18.119.4−1.399%32 att—32832%00%
Chris OlaveNO · WR20.515.3+5.284%29% tgt—000%929%
Bryce YoungCAR · QB15.415.2+0.2100%24 att—24723%00%
Rico DowdleCAR · RB12.412.0+0.460%52% car—01652%15%
Devaughn VeleNO · WR11.910.2+1.755%19% tgt—000%619%
Kevin Austin Jr.NO · WR6.38.5−2.238%16% tgt—000%516%
Audric EstimeNO · RB8.07.1+0.936%12% car—0312%310%
Chuba HubbardCAR · RB4.86.9−2.142%26% car—0826%15%
Jalen CokerCAR · WR14.06.8+7.268%20% tgt—000%420%
Juwan JohnsonNO · TE7.06.8+0.261%13% tgt—000%413%
Tetairoa McMillanCAR · WR4.56.8−2.384%20% tgt—000%420%
Tommy TrembleCAR · TE3.36.8−3.549%20% tgt—000%420%
Devin NealNO · RB10.26.2+4.032%28% car—0728%13%
Xavier LegetteCAR · WR5.95.1+0.874%15% tgt—000%315%
Mason TiptonNO · WR1.14.1−3.080%6% tgt—014%26%
Ja'Tavion SandersCAR · TE2.53.4−0.953%10% tgt—000%210%
Evan HullNO · RB1.22.6−1.432%16% car—0416%00%
Jack StollNO · TE1.71.70.014%3% tgt—000%13%
Jimmy Horn Jr.CAR · WR1.71.70.07%5% tgt—000%15%
Taysom HillNO · TE0.21.3−1.122%8% car—028%00%
Spencer RattlerNO · QB0.00.4−0.41%1 att—100%00%

Team totals: Panthers 20 targets and 31 carries; Saints 31 targets and 25 carries. Shares are from the box score. Snap counts are from the weekly player logs (Sleeper), and include plays wiped out by penalties. Route counts, air yards and red-zone touches appear when the tracking feed is connected. League-average rates from the 2025 season: 1.70 PPR points per target (67% catch rate), 0.65 per carry and 0.44 per pass attempt. They don't adjust for field position or target depth.

Fantasy Verdicts

Bryce Young

CAR · QB · 15.4 pts on 15.2 expected

15 of 24 passing for 163 yards, 1 touchdown; 7 carries for 49 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 15.2 expected.

Start/Sit: Bryce Young →

Tyler Shough

NO · QB · 18.1 pts on 19.4 expected

24 of 32 passing for 272 yards, 1 touchdown; 8 carries for 32 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 19.4 expected.

Start/Sit: Tyler Shough →

Rico Dowdle

CAR · RB · 12.4 pts on 12.0 expected

1 target (5% of the team's), 1 catch for 5 yards; 16 carries (52% of the team's) for 49 yards and 1 touchdown.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 12.0 expected.

Start/Sit: Rico Dowdle →

Chuba Hubbard

CAR · RB · 4.8 pts on 6.9 expected

1 target (5% of the team's), 1 catch for 9 yards; 8 carries (26% of the team's) for 29 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 6.9 expected.

Start/Sit: Chuba Hubbard →

Chris Olave Ran hot

NO · WR · 20.5 pts on 15.3 expected

9 targets (29% of the team's), 6 catches for 85 yards and 1 touchdown.

Verdict: The opportunities were worth 15.3 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.

Start/Sit: Chris Olave →

Devaughn Vele

NO · WR · 11.9 pts on 10.2 expected

6 targets (19% of the team's), 5 catches for 69 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 10.2 expected.

Start/Sit: Devaughn Vele →

Jalen Coker Ran hot

CAR · WR · 14.0 pts on 6.8 expected

4 targets (20% of the team's), 4 catches for 60 yards and 1 touchdown.

Verdict: The opportunities were worth 6.8 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.

Start/Sit: Jalen Coker →

Audric Estime

NO · RB · 8.0 pts on 7.1 expected

3 targets (10% of the team's), 3 catches for 39 yards; 3 carries (12% of the team's) for 11 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 7.1 expected.

Stock Up, Stock Down

New Orleans Saints

  • Stock up: Audric Estime led the backfield with 36% of the snaps after trailing Devin Neal before this game.
  • Stock up: Kevin Austin Jr. played 38% of the snaps, up from a 15% season average.
  • Stock up: Mason Tipton played 80% of the snaps, up from a 27% season average.

Fantasy Matchups

Fantasy points allowed per game by position, 2025 through Week 18.

Fantasy points allowed per game by position, Panthers defense and Saints defense
Points allowed toPanthers DSaints D
QBs14.714.5
RBs23.519.6
WRs27.127.4
TEs13.712.5

Regular season, summed from each game's box score and scored with this page's rules.

How the Game Swung

New Orleans opened at 43% win probability, fell as low as <1%, then rallied to win.

Saints win probability

Saints win probability by game minuteSaints started at 43%, stood at 33% at halftime and finished at 100%, across 7 scoring plays.Q1Q2Q3Q4100%50%0%

Key Swings

  1. −20Dowdle 4-yd TD run43% → 23%Q1 6:39
  2. +24Neal 4-yd TD run20% → 44%Q2 3:32
  3. −22Young → Coker, 32-yd TD32% → 10%Q3 9:54
  4. +48Shough → Olave, 12-yd TD<1% → 48%Q4 2:29
  5. +50Smyth 47-yd FG50% → >99%Q4 0:02

Swing in Saints win probability, in points

Play Calling and Possessions

Play calling, Panthers vs Saints
Carolina PanthersMeasureNew Orleans Saints
56Plays63
45%Pass rate60%
6.2Yds / dropback6.7
4.1Yds / carry3.2
7/14Third downs6/11

Efficiency edge New Orleans ran 7 more plays and gained 0.5 more yards per dropback.

  • Top targets
  • CAR Coker 20% · McMillan 20% · Tremble 20%
  • NO Olave 29% · Vele 19% · Austin 16%

Possession Results

How each possession ended, Panthers vs Saints
ResultCARNO
Touchdowns22
Field goals12
Punts32
Turnovers10
Turnovers on downs11

NO turnover edge: +1

  • The Panthers opened the scoring on their first possession, a 13-play, 74-yard drive that ended in a touchdown.
  • The Saints drained the clock with two second-half drives of four to eight minutes.
All 16 possessions, drive by drive
Drive chart
TeamStartPlaysYardsTimeResult
NOQ1 15:00341:03Punt
CARQ1 13:5713747:18Touchdown
NOQ1 6:396173:54Punt
CARQ1 2:456272:51Punt
NOQ2 14:54179511:22Touchdown
CARQ2 3:329513:11Field goal
NOQ2 0:211-10:21End of half
CARQ3 15:008705:06Touchdown
NOQ3 9:5414487:58Field goal
CARQ3 1:5611326:00Downs
NOQ4 10:569424:03Downs
CARQ4 6:53392:16Punt
NOQ4 4:377782:08Touchdown
CARQ4 2:296141:32Punt
NOQ4 0:578620:55Field goal
CARQ4 0:021-110:02Fumble
About these numbers

Possessions that ended with the clock running out at the half or the end of the game aren't counted.

Personnel groupings, average depth of target and pass rate over expected appear when the tracking feed is connected.

Panthers vs Saints Head-to-Head

The Panthers and Saints first met in 1995 and have played 63 times since. They have been NFC South rivals since 1995.

All-time series
34–29Saints lead, 63 meetings since 1995
Postseason
1–0Saints won in 2017
Largest Panthers win
45–131999
Largest Saints win
47–102024

Since 2021

6–4 Saints lead

10 meetings since the 2021 season, regular season and playoffs.

Oldest to newest. S = Saints win, P = Panthers win, outlined = this game.

2026 Meetings

  • Week 10 Panthers at Saints Upcoming
  • Week 14 Saints at Panthers Upcoming

Recent Meetings

Season to Date (Through Week 18)

The 2025 regular season, from each game's box score.

Season to date, Panthers vs Saints
PanthersStatSaints
8-9Record6-11
18.3Points per game18.0
295.6Yards per game313.6
5.0Yards per play5.0
22.4Points allowed per game22.5
327.2Yards allowed per game299.8

Panthers vs Saints Odds and Results

How this game finished against the betting lines.

Spread
CAR −2.5Panthers failed to cover by 5.5
Total
41.5Under: 37 points scored (by 4.5)

Expected vs Actual Scoring

Implied team totals against the actual score
TeamImpliedActualDifference
Panthers22.017−5.0
Saints19.520+0.5

The Saints beat their implied total and the Panthers fell short of theirs; the Fantasy tab has the player lines behind it.

Betting Trends

Last 5 meetings: Panthers 3–2 ATS, unders 5–0.

Each team's 2025 season through this game. Over/under is overs first.

Carolina Panthers

Against the spread
1–2
Over/under
1–2
ATS as favorite
0–1
ATS as underdog
1–1
ATS on the road
0–2

New Orleans Saints

Against the spread
2–1
Over/under
1–2
ATS as underdog
2–0
ATS at home
1–0

Lines: ESPN's consensus, captured at kickoff. Individual sportsbooks varied.

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Betting availability depends on your state.

Panthers vs Saints Fantasy Outlook for 2026

Two meetings are left on the 2026 schedule: Week 10 in New Orleans and Week 14 in Carolina. Here's how to decide who to play in your league.

Keep Exploring

2025 Game Logs for Players in This Game

Panthers vs Saints Game FAQ

Who won the 2025 Panthers vs Saints Week 15 game?

The New Orleans Saints beat the Carolina Panthers 20–17 in Week 15 of the 2025 season. The game was played at Caesars Superdome in New Orleans, LA, on December 14, 2025. See the Saints' 2025 schedule.

What was the final score of Panthers vs Saints?

The final score was Saints 20, Panthers 17. The Panthers led 10–7 at halftime, and the second half went Panthers 7, Saints 13.

What happened in the Panthers vs Saints game?

New Orleans erased a 10–7 halftime deficit, outscoring Carolina 13–7 after the break to win 20–17. The Saints finished with a 337–281 edge in total offense and averaged 5.3 yards per play. Chris Olave led all players with 6 catches for 85 yards and a touchdown. The Panthers committed 1 turnover, the Saints none.

What was the game-winning score in Panthers vs Saints?

Charlie Smyth's 47-yard field goal with 0:02 left in the fourth quarter gave the Saints a 20–17 lead they never gave up. It was the final score of the game.

Who scored the most fantasy points in Panthers vs Saints?

Chris Olave led the game with 20.5 PPR fantasy points, the WR9 of Week 15, on 6 catches for 85 yards and a touchdown. Tyler Shough was next with 18.1 (QB16). See Chris Olave's 2025 game log.

Who led Panthers vs Saints in passing, rushing and receiving?

Tyler Shough (NO) led all passers with 24 of 32 for 272 yards and a touchdown. Rico Dowdle (CAR) led in rushing with 16 carries for 49 yards and a touchdown. Chris Olave (NO) led in receiving with 6 catches for 85 yards and a touchdown.

How many fantasy points did Chris Olave score against the Panthers?

Chris Olave scored 20.5 points in PPR leagues, 17.5 in half-PPR and 14.5 in standard scoring against the Panthers in Week 15 of the 2025 season, on 6 catches for 85 yards and a touchdown. He drew 29% of his team's targets.

Who outperformed and underperformed expected fantasy points in Panthers vs Saints?

Jalen Coker outperformed his expected fantasy points the most, scoring 14.0 PPR points on 6.8 xFP (+7.2). Tommy Tremble fell furthest short, with 3.3 points on 6.8 xFP (−3.5). A gap either way reflects efficiency and touchdowns in one game; it is not a forecast. For matchups ahead, see fantasy points allowed by position.

How did the Saints come back to beat the Panthers?

The Saints' chances of winning fell as low as <1% in the fourth quarter. Charlie Smyth's 47-yard field goal in the fourth quarter was the biggest swing of the game. Charlie Smyth's 47-yard field goal then put them ahead for good.

What is the all-time Panthers vs Saints record?

The Saints lead the all-time series 34–29 across 63 meetings since 1995, including a 1–0 record in the postseason.

When did the Panthers and Saints last play before this game?

Before Week 15 of 2025, they last met in the 2025 season on November 9, 2025, when the Saints beat the Panthers 17–7.

Have the Panthers and Saints met in the playoffs?

Yes, 1 time, most recently in the 2017 playoffs. The Panthers are 0–1 against the Saints in the postseason.

What was the closing spread for Panthers vs Saints?

The consensus closing spread at kickoff was Panthers −2.5, making the Carolina Panthers 2.5-point favorites, with a closing total of 41.5. That implied about 22.0 points for the Panthers and 19.5 for the Saints.

Did Panthers vs Saints go over or under the total?

The game went under. The consensus closing total was 41.5, and the teams combined for 37 points, 4.5 under the number.

Who covered the spread in Panthers vs Saints?

The Saints covered as 2.5-point underdogs against the closing line of Panthers −2.5. The final margin was 3 points.