New Orleans Saints vs Carolina Panthers, Week 10 2025
New Orleans Saints
AwayWon
17
Carolina Panthers
Home
7
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saints | 3 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 17 |
| Panthers | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
NO 17CAR 7 Final
Passing leader
19.0PPR pts
19/27, 282 YDS, 2 TD
Top fantasy scorer
21.4PPR pts
5 REC, 104 YDS, 1 TD
Panthers leader
15.3PPR pts
18 ATT, 53 YDS, 1 TD, 3 REC, 10 REC YDS
Defensive playmaker
Alontae Taylor
1 INT, 6 TKL
Saints 17, Panthers 7: New Orleans beats Carolina
New Orleans led 10–7 at halftime and outscored Carolina 7–0 after the break to win 17–7. The Saints finished with a 388–175 edge in total offense and averaged 5.8 yards per play.
The gap showed up everywhere. The Panthers went 3-for-9 on third down and committed two turnovers, while the Saints kept the ball for 33:21.
The two teams meet again in Week 10 of 2026. If you roster anyone from either side, run the start/sit call in Redraft Command and it will weigh your lineup, your opponent and your league scoring, not only the player rankings.
Key advantages
- +2.3 yards/play NO 5.8 · CAR 3.5
- +1 turnover margin NO 1 · CAR 2 turnovers
- +213 total yards NO 388 · CAR 175
Game Highlights
Official NFL highlights · Opens from YouTube
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Why the Saints Won
New Orleans won the efficiency, turnover, third-down, and time of possession battles.
| Saints | Stat | Panthers |
|---|---|---|
| 5.8 | Yards per play | 3.5 |
| 1 | Turnovers | 2 |
| 388 | Total yards | 175 |
| Other team stats | ||
| 67 | Plays | 50 |
| 47% | Third-down conversion | 33% |
| 33:21 | Time of possession | 26:39 |
Scoring Summary
The Saints scored two touchdowns and one field goal; the Panthers scored one touchdown.
| Time | Team | Play | NO | CAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st quarter | ||||
| 7:59 | CAR | Rico Dowdle 5-yard TD run Takes leadRyan Fitzgerald XP | 0 | 7 |
| 2:52 | NO | Blake Grupe 20-yard FG | 3 | 7 |
| 2nd quarter | ||||
| 9:21 | NO | Tyler Shough → Chris Olave, 62-yard TD Takes leadBlake Grupe XP | 10 | 7 |
| 3rd quarter | ||||
| No scoring | ||||
| 4th quarter | ||||
| 10:20 | NO | Tyler Shough → Juwan Johnson, 30-yard TD Extends leadBlake Grupe XP | 17 | 7 |
Fantasy Points: Saints vs Panthers, Week 10 2025
Fantasy leaders
- Chris Olave21.4 PTSWR6
- Juwan Johnson19.2 PTSTE3
- Tyler Shough19.0 PTSQB12
- Rico Dowdle15.3 PTSRB14
Player Stats
Quarterbacks
| Player | FPTS | FIN | CMP/ATT | Pass YDS | TD | INT | Rush ATT | Rush YDS | Rush TD | Rate | Start/Sit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Shough | 19.0 | QB12 | 19/27 | 282 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -3 | 0 | 128.9 | Start/Sit → |
| Bryce Young | 2.6 | QB29 | 17/25 | 124 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 62.8 | Start/Sit → |
WRs, RBs, & TEs
| Player | FPTS | FIN | POS | Rush ATT | Rush YDS | Rush TD | TGT | REC | Rec YDS | Rec TD | Start/Sit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Olave | 21.4 | WR6 | WR | — | — | — | 8 | 5 | 104 | 1 | Start/Sit → |
| Juwan Johnson | 19.2 | TE3 | TE | — | — | — | 4 | 4 | 92 | 1 | Start/Sit → |
| Rico Dowdle | 15.3 | RB14 | RB | 18 | 53 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 0 | Start/Sit → |
| Alvin Kamara | 14.5 | RB17 | RB | 22 | 83 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 0 | Start/Sit → |
| Tetairoa McMillan | 11.0 | WR33 | WR | — | — | — | 8 | 5 | 60 | 0 | Start/Sit → |
| Ja'Tavion Sanders | 8.2 | TE19 | TE | — | — | — | 5 | 5 | 32 | 0 | Start/Sit → |
| Devin Neal | 6.1 | RB39 | RB | 4 | 22 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 0 | |
| Jalen Coker | 5.1 | WR58 | WR | — | — | — | 4 | 3 | 21 | 0 | Start/Sit → |
| Foster Moreau | 3.6 | TE33 | TE | — | — | — | 3 | 2 | 16 | 0 | Start/Sit → |
| Chuba Hubbard | 2.5 | RB51 | RB | 3 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | Start/Sit → |
| Devaughn Vele | 2.5 | WR78 | WR | — | — | — | 3 | 1 | 15 | 0 | Start/Sit → |
| Zaire Mitchell-Paden | 2.4 | TE41 | TE | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | 14 | 0 | Start/Sit → |
| Taysom Hill | 2.0 | TE43 | TE | 7 | 20 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Xavier Legette | 0.0 | — | WR | — | — | — | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Start/Sit → |
| Mitchell Evans | 0.0 | — | TE | — | — | — | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Start/Sit → |
Fantasy Usage
New Orleans Saints
Snap Share
Target Share26 targets
- Chris Olave31%, 8 targets
- Juwan Johnson15%, 4 targets
- Alvin Kamara12%, 3 targets
- Foster Moreau12%, 3 targets
- Devaughn Vele12%, 3 targets
- Other19%, 5 targets
Carry Share37 carries
- , 22 carries
- , 7 carries
- , 4 carries
- , 4 carries
Carolina Panthers
Snap Share
Target Share23 targets
- Tetairoa McMillan35%, 8 targets
- Ja'Tavion Sanders22%, 5 targets
- Jalen Coker17%, 4 targets
- Rico Dowdle13%, 3 targets
- Chuba Hubbard4%, 1 targets
- Other9%, 2 targets
Carry Share23 carries
- , 18 carries
- , 3 carries
- , 2 carries
View full usage tableHide full usage table
| Player | SNAPS | SNAP % | TGT | TGT % | CAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tetairoa McMillan | 48 | 91% | 8 | 35% | 0 |
| Devaughn Vele | 59 | 87% | 3 | 12% | 0 |
| Rico Dowdle | 42 | 79% | 3 | 13% | 18 |
| Jalen Coker | 40 | 75% | 4 | 17% | 0 |
| Xavier Legette | 37 | 70% | 1 | 4% | 0 |
| Tommy Tremble | 36 | 68% | 0 | 0% | 0 |
| Alvin Kamara | 43 | 63% | 3 | 12% | 22 |
| Foster Moreau | 42 | 62% | 3 | 12% | 0 |
| Chris Olave | 37 | 54% | 8 | 31% | 0 |
| Brandin Cooks | 34 | 50% | 0 | 0% | 0 |
| Juwan Johnson | 34 | 50% | 4 | 15% | 0 |
| Zaire Mitchell-Paden | 26 | 38% | 1 | 4% | 0 |
| Taysom Hill | 25 | 37% | 1 | 4% | 7 |
| Ja'Tavion Sanders | 19 | 36% | 5 | 22% | 0 |
| Devin Neal | 24 | 35% | 3 | 12% | 4 |
| Mason Tipton | 23 | 34% | 0 | 0% | 0 |
| Mitchell Evans | 17 | 32% | 1 | 4% | 0 |
| Chuba Hubbard | 11 | 21% | 1 | 4% | 3 |
| Jimmy Horn | 11 | 21% | 0 | 0% | 0 |
| Dan Chisena | 4 | 8% | 0 | 0% | 0 |
| Audric Estime | 3 | 4% | 0 | 0% | 0 |
Fantasy Points vs Expected
Expected points (xFP) are what a player's pass attempts, carries and targets are worth at the league's average rates; the difference is what the player made of them.
- Biggest overperformer+12.4Juwan Johnson19.2 PTS vs 6.8 xFP
- Biggest underperformer−9.8Bryce Young2.6 PTS vs 12.4 xFP
- Highest expected volume19.3 xFPAlvin Kamara14.5 PTS scored
| Player | PTS | xFP | vs xFP | Snap% | Usage | Rte% | Pass att | Car | Car% | Tgt | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alvin KamaraNO · RB | 14.5 | 19.3 | −4.8 | 63% | 59% car | — | 0 | 22 | 59% | 3 | 12% |
| Rico DowdleCAR · RB | 15.3 | 16.7 | −1.4 | 79% | 78% car | — | 0 | 18 | 78% | 3 | 13% |
| Tyler ShoughNO · QB | 19.0 | 14.6 | +4.4 | 82% | 27 att | — | 27 | 4 | 11% | 0 | 0% |
| Chris OlaveNO · WR | 21.4 | 13.6 | +7.8 | 54% | 31% tgt | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 8 | 31% |
| Tetairoa McMillanCAR · WR | 11.0 | 13.6 | −2.6 | 91% | 35% tgt | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 8 | 35% |
| Bryce YoungCAR · QB | 2.6 | 12.4 | −9.8 | 100% | 25 att | — | 25 | 2 | 9% | 0 | 0% |
| Ja'Tavion SandersCAR · TE | 8.2 | 8.5 | −0.3 | 36% | 22% tgt | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 5 | 22% |
| Devin NealNO · RB | 6.1 | 7.7 | −1.6 | 35% | 12% tgt | — | 0 | 4 | 11% | 3 | 12% |
| Jalen CokerCAR · WR | 5.1 | 6.8 | −1.7 | 75% | 17% tgt | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 4 | 17% |
| Juwan JohnsonNO · TE | 19.2 | 6.8 | +12.4 | 50% | 15% tgt | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 4 | 15% |
| Taysom HillNO · TE | 2.0 | 6.7 | −4.7 | 37% | 19% car | — | 1 | 7 | 19% | 1 | 4% |
| Devaughn VeleNO · WR | 2.5 | 5.1 | −2.6 | 87% | 12% tgt | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 3 | 12% |
| Foster MoreauNO · TE | 3.6 | 5.1 | −1.5 | 62% | 12% tgt | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 3 | 12% |
| Chuba HubbardCAR · RB | 2.5 | 3.6 | −1.1 | 21% | 13% car | — | 0 | 3 | 13% | 1 | 4% |
| Mitchell EvansCAR · TE | 0.0 | 1.7 | −1.7 | 32% | 4% tgt | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1 | 4% |
| Xavier LegetteCAR · WR | 0.0 | 1.7 | −1.7 | 70% | 4% tgt | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1 | 4% |
| Zaire Mitchell-PadenNO · TE | 2.4 | 1.7 | +0.7 | 38% | 4% tgt | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1 | 4% |
Team totals: Saints 26 targets and 37 carries; Panthers 23 targets and 23 carries. Shares are from the box score. Snap counts are from the weekly player logs (Sleeper), and include plays wiped out by penalties. Route counts, air yards and red-zone touches appear when the tracking feed is connected. League-average rates from the 2025 season: 1.70 PPR points per target (67% catch rate), 0.65 per carry and 0.44 per pass attempt. They don't adjust for field position or target depth.
Fantasy Verdicts
Tyler Shough
19 of 27 passing for 282 yards, 2 touchdowns; 4 carries for -3 yards.
Verdict: The points matched the role, 14.6 expected.
Best fantasy game of the season.
Bryce Young Unlucky
17 of 25 passing for 124 yards, 1 interception; 2 carries for 6 yards.
Verdict: The role was there, worth 12.4 points at league-average rates; the production wasn't.
Lowest-scoring game of the season.
Alvin Kamara
3 targets (12% of the team's), 3 catches for 32 yards; 22 carries (59% of the team's) for 83 yards.
Verdict: The points matched the role, 19.3 expected.
Season high in carries (22). Best score since Week 2.
Chris Olave Ran hot
8 targets (31% of the team's), 5 catches for 104 yards and 1 touchdown.
Verdict: The opportunities were worth 13.6 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.
Rico Dowdle Volume, no payoff
3 targets (13% of the team's), 3 catches for 10 yards; 18 carries (78% of the team's) for 53 yards and 1 touchdown.
Verdict: The points matched the role, 16.7 expected.
A touchdown in 5 of the last 8 games.
Tetairoa McMillan Volume, no payoff
8 targets (35% of the team's), 5 catches for 60 yards.
Verdict: The points matched the role, 13.6 expected.
Juwan Johnson Ran hot
4 targets (15% of the team's), 4 catches for 92 yards and 1 touchdown.
Verdict: The opportunities were worth 6.8 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.
Best fantasy game of the season.
Taysom Hill
0 of 1 passing for 0 yards; 1 target (4% of the team's), 0 catches for 0 yards; 7 carries (19% of the team's) for 20 yards.
Verdict: The points matched the role, 6.7 expected.
Fewest points since Week 5.
Stock Up, Stock Down
New Orleans Saints
- Stock up: Taysom Hill played 37% of the snaps, up from a 16% season average.
- Stock up: Devaughn Vele played 87% of the snaps, up from a 30% season average.
- Stock up: Foster Moreau played 62% of the snaps, up from a 30% season average.
Carolina Panthers
- Stock up: Rico Dowdle led the backfield with 79% of the snaps after trailing Chuba Hubbard before this game.
- Stock up: Jalen Coker played 75% of the snaps, up from a 56% season average.
- Stock down: Chuba Hubbard lost the backfield lead: 21% of the snaps to Rico Dowdle's 79%.
Fantasy Matchups
Fantasy points allowed per game by position, 2025 through Week 18.
| Points allowed to | Saints D | Panthers D |
|---|---|---|
| QBs | 14.5 | 14.7 |
| RBs | 19.6 | 23.5 |
| WRs | 27.4 | 27.1 |
| TEs | 12.5 | 13.7 |
Regular season, summed from each game's box score and scored with this page's rules.
How the Game Swung
Carolina opened at 50% win probability and fell below 2% in the fourth quarter.
Panthers win probability
Key Swings
- +21Dowdle 5-yd TD run50% → 71%Q1 7:59
- −9Grupe 20-yd FG72% → 63%Q1 2:52
- −25Shough → Olave, 62-yd TD64% → 39%Q2 9:21
- −26Shough → Johnson, 30-yd TD30% → 4%Q4 10:20
Swing in Panthers win probability, in points
Play Calling and Possessions
| New Orleans Saints | Measure | Carolina Panthers |
|---|---|---|
| 67 | Plays | 50 |
| 45% | Pass rate | 54% |
| 8.9 | Yds / dropback | 3.8 |
| 3.3 | Yds / carry | 3.2 |
| 8/17 | Third downs | 3/9 |
Efficiency edge New Orleans ran 17 more plays and gained 5.1 more yards per dropback.
- Top targets
- NO Olave 31% · Johnson 15% · Kamara 12%
- CAR McMillan 35% · Sanders 22% · Coker 17%
Possession Results
| Result | NO | CAR |
|---|---|---|
| Touchdowns | 2 | 1 |
| Field goals | 1 | 0 |
| Punts | 4 | 4 |
| Turnovers | 0 | 3 |
| Turnovers on downs | 0 | 1 |
| Missed field goals | 0 | 1 |
NO turnover edge: +3
- The Panthers opened the scoring on their first possession, a 12-play, 67-yard drive that ended in a touchdown.
All 19 possessions, drive by drive
| Team | Start | Plays | Yards | Time | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAR | Q1 15:00 | 12 | 67 | 7:01 | Touchdown |
| NO | Q1 7:59 | 10 | 78 | 5:07 | Field goal |
| CAR | Q1 2:52 | 4 | 19 | 2:05 | Punt |
| NO | Q1 0:47 | 3 | 7 | 0:59 | Punt |
| CAR | Q2 14:48 | 3 | -12 | 1:30 | Punt |
| NO | Q2 13:18 | 7 | 75 | 3:57 | Touchdown |
| CAR | Q2 9:21 | 3 | 7 | 1:38 | Punt |
| NO | Q2 7:43 | 5 | 32 | 1:34 | Punt |
| CAR | Q2 6:09 | 3 | 3 | 2:15 | Punt |
| NO | Q2 3:54 | 9 | 39 | 3:33 | Punt |
| CAR | Q2 0:21 | 3 | 14 | 0:21 | End of half |
| NO | Q3 15:00 | 3 | 8 | 2:10 | Punt |
| CAR | Q3 12:50 | 11 | 60 | 6:21 | Missed FG |
| CAR | Q3 6:29 | 4 | 11 | 1:59 | Fumble |
| CAR | Q4 13:38 | 2 | 5 | 0:44 | Interception |
| CAR | Q4 13:38 | 2 | 5 | 0:44 | Interception |
| NO | Q4 12:54 | 5 | 43 | 2:34 | Touchdown |
| CAR | Q4 10:20 | 6 | 27 | 2:45 | Downs |
| NO | Q4 7:35 | 14 | 48 | 7:35 | End of game |
About these numbers
Possessions that ended with the clock running out at the half or the end of the game aren't counted.
Personnel groupings, average depth of target and pass rate over expected appear when the tracking feed is connected.
Saints vs Panthers Head-to-Head
The Saints and Panthers first met in 1995 and have played 63 times since. They have been NFC South rivals since 1995.
- All-time series
- 34–29Saints lead, 63 meetings since 1995
- Postseason
- 1–0Saints won in 2017
- Largest Saints win
- 47–102024
- Largest Panthers win
- 45–131999
Since 2021
6–4 Saints lead
10 meetings since the 2021 season, regular season and playoffs.
Oldest to newest. S = Saints win, P = Panthers win, outlined = this game.
2026 Meetings
- Week 10 Panthers at Saints Upcoming
- Week 14 Saints at Panthers Upcoming
Recent Meetings
- 2025 Wk 15 Panthers at Saints, 2025 Wk 15 recap NO 20 CAR 17 NO W
- 2025 Wk 10 Saints at Panthers NO 17 CAR 7 NO W
- 2024 Wk 9 Saints at Panthers, 2024 Wk 9 recap CAR 23 NO 22 CAR W
- 2024 Wk 1 Panthers at Saints, 2024 Wk 1 recap NO 47 CAR 10 NO W
- 2023 Wk 14 Panthers at Saints, 2023 Wk 14 recap NO 28 CAR 6 NO W
- 2023 Wk 2 Saints at Panthers, 2023 Wk 2 recap NO 20 CAR 17 NO W
- 2022 Wk 18 Panthers at Saints, 2022 Wk 18 recap CAR 10 NO 7 CAR W
- 2022 Wk 3 Saints at Panthers, 2022 Wk 3 recap CAR 22 NO 14 CAR W
- 2021 Wk 17 Panthers at Saints, 2021 Wk 17 recap NO 18 CAR 10 NO W
- 2021 Wk 2 Saints at Panthers, 2021 Wk 2 recap CAR 26 NO 7 CAR W
Season to Date (Through Week 18)
The 2025 regular season, from each game's box score.
| Saints | Stat | Panthers |
|---|---|---|
| 6-11 | Record | 8-9 |
| 18.0 | Points per game | 18.3 |
| 313.6 | Yards per game | 295.6 |
| 5.0 | Yards per play | 5.0 |
| 22.5 | Points allowed per game | 22.4 |
| 299.8 | Yards allowed per game | 327.2 |
Saints vs Panthers Fantasy Outlook for 2026
Two meetings are left on the 2026 schedule: Week 10 in New Orleans and Week 14 in Carolina. Here's how to decide who to play in your league.
- Start/Sit ToolShould your Saints or Panthers player start in Week 10? Compare the decision against your other options.
- Fantasy Football ProjectionsSee the latest weekly and rest-of-season projections for Saints and Panthers players.
- Fantasy Points Allowed by PositionHow the Saints and Panthers defenses have treated QBs, RBs, WRs and TEs.
- Strength of ScheduleWhere these two matchups fall in each team's fantasy playoff run.
- Redraft CommandConnect your league for personalized lineup, trade and roster advice.
Keep Exploring
2025 Game Logs for Players in This Game
Saints vs Panthers Game FAQ
Who won the 2025 Saints vs Panthers Week 10 game?
The New Orleans Saints beat the Carolina Panthers 17–7 in Week 10 of the 2025 season. The game was played at Bank of America Stadium in Charlotte, NC, on November 9, 2025. See the Saints' 2025 schedule.
What was the final score of Saints vs Panthers?
The final score was Saints 17, Panthers 7. The Saints led 10–7 at halftime, and the second half went Saints 7, Panthers 0.
What happened in the Saints vs Panthers game?
New Orleans led 10–7 at halftime and outscored Carolina 7–0 after the break to win 17–7. The Saints finished with a 388–175 edge in total offense and averaged 5.8 yards per play. Chris Olave led all players with 5 catches for 104 yards and a touchdown. The Panthers committed 2 turnovers, the Saints 1.
Who scored the most fantasy points in Saints vs Panthers?
Chris Olave led the game with 21.4 PPR fantasy points, the WR6 of Week 10, on 5 catches for 104 yards and a touchdown. Juwan Johnson was next with 19.2 (TE3). See Chris Olave's 2025 game log.
Who led Saints vs Panthers in passing, rushing and receiving?
Tyler Shough (NO) led all passers with 19 of 27 for 282 yards and 2 touchdowns. Alvin Kamara (NO) led in rushing with 22 carries for 83 yards. Chris Olave (NO) led in receiving with 5 catches for 104 yards and a touchdown.
How many fantasy points did Chris Olave score against the Panthers?
Chris Olave scored 21.4 points in PPR leagues, 18.9 in half-PPR and 16.4 in standard scoring against the Panthers in Week 10 of the 2025 season, on 5 catches for 104 yards and a touchdown. He drew 31% of his team's targets.
Who outperformed and underperformed expected fantasy points in Saints vs Panthers?
Juwan Johnson outperformed his expected fantasy points the most, scoring 19.2 PPR points on 6.8 xFP (+12.4). Bryce Young fell furthest short, with 2.6 points on 12.4 xFP (−9.8). A gap either way reflects efficiency and touchdowns in one game; it is not a forecast. For matchups ahead, see fantasy points allowed by position.
Who had the highest expected fantasy points in Saints vs Panthers?
Alvin Kamara had the most fantasy opportunity in the game, worth 19.3 expected PPR points (xFP) at league-average rates, and scored 14.5. Expected points measure the volume of a player's pass attempts, carries and targets, not how well he used them.
How did the Saints beat the Panthers?
The Saints beat the Panthers 17–7 because they averaged 5.8 yards per play to 3.5, won the turnover battle 2–1, and outgained them 388–175.
Which team won the turnover battle in Saints vs Panthers?
The Saints won the turnover battle 2–1: the Panthers gave the ball away 2 times and the Saints 1 time. The Saints won the game.
What was the turning point of Saints vs Panthers?
Tyler Shough's 30-yard touchdown pass to Juwan Johnson with 10:20 left in the fourth quarter was the biggest swing of the game, moving the Panthers' win probability from 30% to 4%.
What is the all-time Saints vs Panthers record?
The Saints lead the all-time series 34–29 across 63 meetings since 1995, including a 1–0 record in the postseason.
When did the Saints and Panthers last play before this game?
Before Week 10 of 2025, they last met in the 2024 season on November 3, 2024, when the Panthers beat the Saints 23–22.
Have the Saints and Panthers met in the playoffs?
Yes, 1 time, most recently in the 2017 playoffs. The Saints are 1–0 against the Panthers in the postseason.
What is the Saints vs Panthers record since 2021?
The Saints lead 6–4 across 10 meetings since the 2021 season, including this game.