Final2023 Week 11

Empower Field at Mile High, Denver, CO

Minnesota Vikings vs Denver Broncos, Week 11 2023

Minnesota Vikings

Away

20

Denver Broncos

HomeWon

21

Scoring by quarter
TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Vikings0107320
Broncos3601221

MIN 20DEN 21 Final

  • Passing leader

    Russell Wilson

    DEN · QB

    14.5PPR pts

    27/35, 259 YDS, 1 TD

  • Top fantasy scorer

    Courtland Sutton

    DEN · WR

    16.6PPR pts

    4 REC, 66 YDS, 1 TD

  • Vikings leader

    Joshua Dobbs

    MIN · QB

    17.9PPR pts

    20/32, 221 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT, 1 RUSH TD

  • Defensive playmaker

    Ja'Quan McMillian

    DEN

    1 INT, 2 TKL

Broncos 21, Vikings 20: Denver rallies from 1 down at halftime

Denver erased a 10–9 halftime deficit, outscoring Minnesota 12–10 after the break to win 21–20. Minnesota outgained the Broncos 385–295, but the Broncos averaged 5.7 yards per play.

The Vikings went 6-for-15 on third down and committed three turnovers, while the Broncos finished without a giveaway.

Key advantages

  • +0.2 yards/play DEN 5.7 · MIN 5.5
  • +3 turnover margin DEN 0 turnovers

Game Highlights

Official NFL highlights · Opens from YouTube

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Why the Broncos Won

Denver won the efficiency and turnover battles.

Team stats comparison, Vikings vs Broncos
VikingsStatBroncos
5.5Yards per play5.7
3Turnovers0
Other team stats
385Total yards295
70Plays52
40%Third-down conversion17%
34:58Time of possession25:02

Scoring Summary

The Broncos scored one touchdown and five field goals; the Vikings scored two touchdowns and two field goals.

Scoring plays, Vikings vs Broncos
TimeTeamPlayMINDEN
1st quarter
10:28DENWil Lutz 31-yard FG Takes lead03
2nd quarter
14:53MINJoshua Dobbs → Josh Oliver, 3-yard TD Takes leadGreg Joseph XP73
8:09MINGreg Joseph 34-yard FG Extends lead103
4:08DENWil Lutz 31-yard FG106
0:00DENWil Lutz 52-yard FG109
3rd quarter
7:55MINJoshua Dobbs 10-yard TD run Extends leadGreg Joseph XP179
4th quarter
12:40DENWil Lutz 37-yard FG1712
10:37DENWil Lutz 28-yard FG1715
3:17MINGreg Joseph 30-yard FG Extends lead2015
1:03DENRussell Wilson → Courtland Sutton, 15-yard TD Game winner2-pt try failed2021

Fantasy Points: Vikings vs Broncos, Week 11 2023

Fantasy leaders

  1. Joshua DobbsMINQB17.9 PTSQB14
  2. Courtland SuttonDENWR16.6 PTSWR14
  3. Ty ChandlerMINRB15.0 PTSRB15
  4. Josh OliverMINTE14.7 PTSTE3

Player Stats

Quarterbacks

Quarterback statistics
PlayerFPTSFINCMP/ATTPass YDSTDINTRush ATTRush YDSRush TDRateStart/Sit
Russell WilsonDENQB14.5QB1827/3525910210106.7
Joshua DobbsMINQB17.9QB1420/3222111821180.3Start/Sit →

WRs, RBs, & TEs

Receiver, running back and tight end statistics
PlayerFPTSFINPOSRush ATTRush YDSRush TDTGTRECRec YDSRec TDStart/Sit
Courtland SuttonDENWR16.6WR14WR———54661Start/Sit →
Ty ChandlerMINRB15.0RB15RB1073044370
Josh OliverMINTE14.7TE3TE———44471
Samaje PerineDENRB13.7RB17RB17077600Start/Sit →
Jerry JeudyDENWR10.8WR30WR———75580Start/Sit →
T.J. HockensonMINTE9.5TE10TE———74550Start/Sit →
Jordan AddisonMINWR7.4WR49WR———63440Start/Sit →
Javonte WilliamsDENRB7.3RB30RB1137022160Start/Sit →
Alexander MattisonMINRB7.0RB32RB1881021-10
Jaleel McLaughlinDENRB6.5RB34RB11055140Start/Sit →
Brandon PowellMINWR6.2WR56WR———43320
Adam TrautmanDENTE5.3TE23TE———22330Start/Sit →
Marvin MimsDENWR3.2WR80WR———32120
K.J. OsbornMINWR1.7WR92WR———2170Start/Sit →
Lil'Jordan HumphreyDENWR0.0—WR———1000Start/Sit →

Fantasy Usage

Minnesota Vikings

Snap Share

  1. K.J. OsbornWR71 snaps96%
  2. Jordan AddisonWR70 snaps95%
  3. T.J. HockensonTE52 snaps70%
  4. Alexander MattisonRB48 snaps65%
  5. Brandon PowellWR44 snaps59%

Target Share29 targets

  1. T.J. Hockenson24%, 7 targets
  2. Jordan Addison21%, 6 targets
  3. Brandon Powell14%, 4 targets
  4. Josh Oliver14%, 4 targets
  5. Ty Chandler14%, 4 targets
  6. Other14%, 4 targets

Carry Share36 carries

  1. Alexander Mattison50%, 18 carries
  2. Ty Chandler28%, 10 carries
  3. Joshua Dobbs22%, 8 carries

Denver Broncos

Snap Share

  1. Courtland SuttonWR44 snaps80%
  2. Adam TrautmanTE43 snaps78%
  3. Jerry JeudyWR39 snaps71%
  4. Marvin MimsWR31 snaps56%
  5. Javonte WilliamsRB27 snaps49%

Target Share32 targets

  1. Samaje Perine22%, 7 targets
  2. Jerry Jeudy22%, 7 targets
  3. Courtland Sutton16%, 5 targets
  4. Jaleel McLaughlin16%, 5 targets
  5. Marvin Mims9%, 3 targets
  6. Other16%, 5 targets

Carry Share15 carries

  1. Javonte Williams73%, 11 carries
  2. Russell Wilson13%, 2 carries
  3. Samaje Perine7%, 1 carries
  4. Jaleel McLaughlin7%, 1 carries
View full usage tableHide full usage table
Offensive snaps and share for the skill positions
PlayerSNAPSSNAP %TGTTGT %CAR
K.J. OsbornMINWR7196%27%0
Jordan AddisonMINWR7095%621%0
Courtland SuttonDENWR4480%516%0
Adam TrautmanDENTE4378%26%0
Jerry JeudyDENWR3971%722%0
T.J. HockensonMINTE5270%724%0
Alexander MattisonMINRB4865%27%18
Brandon PowellMINWR4459%414%0
Marvin MimsDENWR3156%39%0
Javonte WilliamsDENRB2749%26%11
Josh OliverMINTE3446%414%0
Samaje PerineDENRB2036%722%1
Lil'Jordan HumphreyDENWR1935%13%0
Chris ManhertzDENTE1833%00%0
Ty ChandlerMINRB2331%414%10
Johnny MundtMINTE1318%00%0
Nate AdkinsDENTE815%00%0
Jaleel McLaughlinDENRB815%516%1
David SillsDENWR713%00%0
Jalen NailorMINWR34%00%0
N'Keal HarryMINTE23%00%0

Fantasy Points vs Expected

Expected points (xFP) are what a player's pass attempts, carries and targets are worth at the league's average rates; the difference is what the player made of them.

  • Biggest overperformer+8.3Courtland Sutton16.6 PTS vs 8.3 xFP
  • Biggest underperformer−7.4Alexander Mattison7.0 PTS vs 14.4 xFP
  • Highest expected volume18.4 xFPJoshua Dobbs17.9 PTS scored
Usage and expected fantasy points
PlayerPTSxFPvs xFPSnap%UsageRte%Pass attCarCar%TgtTgt%
Joshua DobbsMIN · QB17.918.4−0.5100%32 att—32822%00%
Russell WilsonDEN · QB14.516.0−1.5100%35 att—35213%00%
Alexander MattisonMIN · RB7.014.4−7.465%50% car—01850%27%
Ty ChandlerMIN · RB15.012.8+2.231%28% car—01028%414%
Samaje PerineDEN · RB13.712.3+1.436%22% tgt—017%722%
Jerry JeudyDEN · WR10.811.7−0.971%22% tgt—000%722%
T.J. HockensonMIN · TE9.511.7−2.270%24% tgt—000%724%
Javonte WilliamsDEN · RB7.310.1−2.849%73% car—01173%26%
Jordan AddisonMIN · WR7.410.0−2.695%21% tgt—000%621%
Jaleel McLaughlinDEN · RB6.59.0−2.515%16% tgt—017%516%
Courtland SuttonDEN · WR16.68.3+8.380%16% tgt—000%516%
Brandon PowellMIN · WR6.26.7−0.559%14% tgt—000%414%
Josh OliverMIN · TE14.76.7+8.046%14% tgt—000%414%
Marvin Mims Jr.DEN · WR3.25.0−1.856%9% tgt—000%39%
Adam TrautmanDEN · TE5.33.3+2.078%6% tgt—000%26%
K.J. OsbornMIN · WR1.73.3−1.696%7% tgt—000%27%
Lil'Jordan HumphreyDEN · WR0.01.7−1.735%3% tgt—000%13%

Team totals: Vikings 29 targets and 36 carries; Broncos 32 targets and 15 carries. Shares are from the box score. Snap counts are from the weekly player logs (Sleeper), and include plays wiped out by penalties. Route counts, air yards and red-zone touches appear when the tracking feed is connected. League-average rates from the 2023 season: 1.67 PPR points per target (67% catch rate), 0.61 per carry and 0.42 per pass attempt. They don't adjust for field position or target depth.

Fantasy Verdicts

Joshua Dobbs

MIN · QB · 17.9 pts on 18.4 expected

20 of 32 passing for 221 yards, 1 touchdown, 1 interception; 8 carries for 21 yards and 1 touchdown.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 18.4 expected.

Start/Sit: Joshua Dobbs →

Russell Wilson

DEN · QB · 14.5 pts on 16.0 expected

27 of 35 passing for 259 yards, 1 touchdown; 2 carries for 1 yard.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 16.0 expected.

Alexander Mattison Unlucky

MIN · RB · 7.0 pts on 14.4 expected

2 targets (7% of the team's), 1 catch for -1 yards; 18 carries (50% of the team's) for 81 yards.

Verdict: The role was there, worth 14.4 points at league-average rates; the production wasn't.

Ty Chandler

MIN · RB · 15.0 pts on 12.8 expected

4 targets (14% of the team's), 4 catches for 37 yards; 10 carries (28% of the team's) for 73 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 12.8 expected.

Samaje Perine

DEN · RB · 13.7 pts on 12.3 expected

7 targets (22% of the team's), 7 catches for 60 yards; 1 carry (7% of the team's) for 7 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 12.3 expected.

Start/Sit: Samaje Perine →

Jerry Jeudy

DEN · WR · 10.8 pts on 11.7 expected

7 targets (22% of the team's), 5 catches for 58 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 11.7 expected.

Start/Sit: Jerry Jeudy →

Courtland Sutton Ran hot

DEN · WR · 16.6 pts on 8.3 expected

5 targets (16% of the team's), 4 catches for 66 yards and 1 touchdown.

Verdict: The opportunities were worth 8.3 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.

Start/Sit: Courtland Sutton →

Josh Oliver Ran hot

MIN · TE · 14.7 pts on 6.7 expected

4 targets (14% of the team's), 4 catches for 47 yards and 1 touchdown.

Verdict: The opportunities were worth 6.7 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.

Stock Up, Stock Down

Minnesota Vikings

  • Stock up: Ty Chandler played 31% of the snaps, up from a 13% season average.
  • Stock up: Jordan Addison played 95% of the snaps, up from a 78% season average.
  • Stock up: Brandon Powell played 59% of the snaps, up from a 39% season average.

Denver Broncos

  • Stock up: Marvin Mims Jr. played 56% of the snaps, up from a 34% season average.

Fantasy Matchups

Fantasy points allowed per game by position, 2023 through Week 18.

Fantasy points allowed per game by position, Vikings defense and Broncos defense
Points allowed toVikings DBroncos D
QBs17.017.6
RBs19.426.6
WRs37.431.6
TEs11.515.7

Regular season, summed from each game's box score and scored with this page's rules.

How the Game Swung

Denver opened at 50% win probability, fell as low as <1%, then rallied to win.

Broncos win probability

Broncos win probability by game minuteBroncos started at 50%, stood at 46% at halftime and finished at 100%, across 10 scoring plays.Q1Q2Q3Q4100%50%0%

Key Swings

  1. −24Dobbs → Oliver, 3-yd TD60% → 37%Q2 14:53
  2. −28Dobbs 10-yd TD run45% → 17%Q3 7:55
  3. +17Lutz 28-yd FG19% → 36%Q4 10:37
  4. −21Joseph 30-yd FG26% → 6%Q4 3:17
  5. +71Wilson → Sutton, 15-yd TD<1% → 71%Q4 1:03

Swing in Broncos win probability, in points

Play Calling and Possessions

Play calling, Vikings vs Broncos
Minnesota VikingsMeasureDenver Broncos
70Plays52
49%Pass rate71%
6.2Yds / dropback6.7
4.9Yds / carry3.1
6/15Third downs2/12

Efficiency edge Denver ran 18 fewer plays but gained 0.5 more yards per dropback.

  • Top targets
  • MIN Hockenson 24% · Addison 21% · Powell 14%
  • DEN Jeudy 22% · Perine 22% · Sutton 16%

Possession Results

How each possession ended, Vikings vs Broncos
ResultMINDEN
Touchdowns21
Field goals25
Punts24
Turnovers30
Turnovers on downs10

DEN turnover edge: +3

  • The Broncos opened the scoring on their first possession, a 6-play, 17-yard drive that ended in a field goal.
All 21 possessions, drive by drive
Drive chart
TeamStartPlaysYardsTimeResult
MINQ1 15:00391:30Fumble
DENQ1 13:306173:02Field goal
MINQ1 10:286283:45Punt
DENQ1 6:43381:42Punt
MINQ1 5:0110655:08Touchdown
DENQ2 14:53371:36Punt
MINQ2 13:179555:08Field goal
DENQ2 8:097634:01Field goal
MINQ2 4:086272:57Punt
DENQ2 1:117461:11Field goal
DENQ3 15:004-22:27Punt
MINQ3 12:339694:38Touchdown
DENQ3 7:55371:32Punt
MINQ3 6:236463:35Fumble
DENQ3 2:489475:08Field goal
MINQ4 12:401-100:10Interception
DENQ4 12:304-11:53Field goal
MINQ4 10:3714637:20Field goal
DENQ4 3:1710752:14Touchdown
MINQ4 1:038-40:47Downs
DENQ4 0:161-10:16End of game
About these numbers

Possessions that ended with the clock running out at the half or the end of the game aren't counted.

Personnel groupings, average depth of target and pass rate over expected appear when the tracking feed is connected.

Vikings vs Broncos Head-to-Head

The Vikings and Broncos first met in 1972 and have played 16 times since.

All-time series
8–8Series tied, 16 meetings since 1972
Postseason
0No playoff meetings
Largest Vikings win
28–202003
Largest Broncos win
42–211984

Since 2021

1–0 Broncos lead

1 meeting since the 2021 season, regular season and playoffs.

Oldest to newest. B = Broncos win, V = Vikings win, outlined = this game.

Recent Meetings

  • 2023 Wk 11 Vikings at Broncos DEN 21 MIN 20 DEN W

Season to Date (Through Week 18)

The 2023 regular season, from each game's box score.

Season to date, Vikings vs Broncos
VikingsStatBroncos
7-10Record8-9
20.2Points per game21.0
347.8Yards per game298.4
5.5Yards per play5.0
21.3Points allowed per game24.3
333.2Yards allowed per game370.8

Vikings and Broncos in Fantasy

The two teams don't meet again this season. If you roster a Viking or a Bronco, these answer the week-to-week question.

Keep Exploring

2023 Game Logs for Players in This Game

Vikings vs Broncos Game FAQ

Who won the 2023 Vikings vs Broncos Week 11 game?

The Denver Broncos beat the Minnesota Vikings 21–20 in Week 11 of the 2023 season. The game was played at Empower Field at Mile High in Denver, CO, on November 19, 2023. See the Broncos' 2023 schedule.

What was the final score of Vikings vs Broncos?

The final score was Broncos 21, Vikings 20. The Vikings led 10–9 at halftime, and the second half went Vikings 10, Broncos 12.

What happened in the Vikings vs Broncos game?

Denver erased a 10–9 halftime deficit, outscoring Minnesota 12–10 after the break to win 21–20. Minnesota outgained the Broncos 385–295, but the Broncos averaged 5.7 yards per play. Joshua Dobbs led all players with 20 of 32 passing for 221 yards and a touchdown, plus 8 carries for 21 rushing yards and a touchdown. The Vikings committed 3 turnovers, the Broncos none.

What was the game-winning score in Vikings vs Broncos?

Russell Wilson's 15-yard touchdown pass to Courtland Sutton with 1:03 left in the fourth quarter gave the Broncos a 21–20 lead they never gave up. It was the final score of the game.

Who scored the most fantasy points in Vikings vs Broncos?

Joshua Dobbs led the game with 17.9 PPR fantasy points, the QB14 of Week 11, on 20 of 32 passing for 221 yards and a touchdown, plus 8 carries for 21 rushing yards and a touchdown. Courtland Sutton was next with 16.6 (WR14). See Joshua Dobbs's 2023 game log.

Who led Vikings vs Broncos in passing, rushing and receiving?

Russell Wilson (DEN) led all passers with 27 of 35 for 259 yards and a touchdown. Alexander Mattison (MIN) led in rushing with 18 carries for 81 yards. Courtland Sutton (DEN) led in receiving with 4 catches for 66 yards and a touchdown.

Who outperformed and underperformed expected fantasy points in Vikings vs Broncos?

Courtland Sutton outperformed his expected fantasy points the most, scoring 16.6 PPR points on 8.3 xFP (+8.3). Alexander Mattison fell furthest short, with 7.0 points on 14.4 xFP (−7.4). A gap either way reflects efficiency and touchdowns in one game; it is not a forecast. For matchups ahead, see fantasy points allowed by position.

Who had the highest expected fantasy points in Vikings vs Broncos?

Joshua Dobbs had the most fantasy opportunity in the game, worth 18.4 expected PPR points (xFP) at league-average rates, and scored 17.9. Expected points measure the volume of a player's pass attempts, carries and targets, not how well he used them.

How did the Broncos come back to beat the Vikings?

The Broncos' chances of winning fell as low as <1% in the fourth quarter. Russell Wilson's 15-yard touchdown pass to Courtland Sutton in the fourth quarter was the biggest swing of the game. Russell Wilson's 15-yard touchdown pass to Courtland Sutton then put them ahead for good.

Which team won the turnover battle in Vikings vs Broncos?

The Broncos won the turnover battle 3–0: the Vikings gave the ball away 3 times and the Broncos not at all. The Broncos won the game.

What was the turning point of Vikings vs Broncos?

Russell Wilson's 15-yard touchdown pass to Courtland Sutton with 1:03 left in the fourth quarter was the biggest swing of the game, moving the Broncos' win probability from <1% to 71%.

What is the all-time Vikings vs Broncos record?

The all-time series is tied 8–8 across 16 meetings since 1972.

When did the Vikings and Broncos last play before this game?

Before Week 11 of 2023, they last met in the 2019 season on November 17, 2019, when the Vikings beat the Broncos 27–23.