Final2023 Week 10

Highmark Stadium (Old), Orchard Park, NY

Denver Broncos vs Buffalo Bills, Week 10 2023

Denver Broncos

AwayWon

24

Buffalo Bills

Home

22

Scoring by quarter
TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Broncos3120924
Bills087722

DEN 24BUF 22 Final

  • Passing leader

    Russell Wilson

    DEN · QB

    18.7PPR pts

    24/29, 193 YDS, 2 TD

  • Top fantasy scorer

    Javonte Williams

    DEN · RB

    21.0PPR pts

    21 ATT, 79 YDS, 4 REC, 31 REC YDS, 1 REC TD

  • Bills leader

    Josh Allen

    BUF · QB

    16.4PPR pts

    15/26, 177 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT, 1 RUSH TD

  • Defensive playmaker

    Fabian Moreau

    DEN

    1 INT, 5 TKL

Broncos 24, Bills 22: Denver holds off Buffalo

Denver led 15–8 at halftime and won 24–22, though Buffalo took the second half 14–9. Buffalo outgained the Broncos 369–300.

The Bills went 3-for-8 on third down and committed four turnovers, while the Broncos kept the ball for 37:21.

The two teams meet again in Week 16 of 2026. If you roster anyone from either side, run the start/sit call in Redraft Command and it will weigh your lineup, your opponent and your league scoring, not only the player rankings.

Key advantages

  • +3 turnover margin DEN 1 · BUF 4 turnovers
  • +4% third-down rate DEN 42% · BUF 38%
  • +14:42 time of possession DEN 37:21 · BUF 22:39

Game Highlights

Official NFL highlights · Opens from YouTube

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Why the Broncos Won

Denver won the turnover, third-down, and time of possession battles.

Team stats comparison, Broncos vs Bills
BroncosStatBills
1Turnovers4
42%Third-down conversion38%
37:21Time of possession22:39
Other team stats
300Total yards369
4.2Yards per play7.1
71Plays52

Scoring Summary

The Broncos scored two touchdowns and four field goals; the Bills scored three touchdowns.

Scoring plays, Broncos vs Bills
TimeTeamPlayDENBUF
1st quarter
12:39DENWil Lutz 40-yard FG Takes lead30
2nd quarter
7:17DENRussell Wilson → Courtland Sutton, 7-yard TD Extends leadXP missed90
3:36BUFJosh Allen → Dalton Kincaid, 22-yard TDJosh Allen → Gabe Davis, 2-pt conversion98
0:45DENWil Lutz 49-yard FG Extends lead128
0:00DENWil Lutz 40-yard FG Extends lead158
3rd quarter
6:42BUFLatavius Murray 3-yard TD run Ties gameTyler Bass XP1515
4th quarter
5:06DENRussell Wilson → Javonte Williams, 3-yard TD Takes lead2-pt try failed2115
1:55BUFJosh Allen 6-yard TD run Takes leadTyler Bass XP2122
0:00DENWil Lutz 36-yard FG Game winner2422

Fantasy Points: Broncos vs Bills, Week 10 2023

Fantasy leaders

  1. Javonte WilliamsDENRB21.0 PTSRB5
  2. Russell WilsonDENQB18.7 PTSQB11
  3. Courtland SuttonDENWR17.3 PTSWR14
  4. Josh AllenBUFQB16.4 PTSQB15

Player Stats

Quarterbacks

Quarterback statistics
PlayerFPTSFINCMP/ATTPass YDSTDINTRush ATTRush YDSRush TDRateStart/Sit
Russell WilsonDENQB18.7QB1124/29193209300117.4
Josh AllenBUFQB16.4QB1515/2617712413159.3Start/Sit →

WRs, RBs, & TEs

Receiver, running back and tight end statistics
PlayerFPTSFINPOSRush ATTRush YDSRush TDTGTRECRec YDSRec TDStart/Sit
Javonte WilliamsDENRB21.0RB5RB2179044311Start/Sit →
Courtland SuttonDENWR17.3WR14WR———118531Start/Sit →
Dalton KincaidBUFTE16.1TE4TE———65511Start/Sit →
Latavius MurrayBUFRB14.9RB16RB96813210
James CookBUFRB12.0RB23RB12109022110
Gabe DavisBUFWR9.6WR36WR———62560
Samaje PerineDENRB7.3RB35RB18033350Start/Sit →
Jerry JeudyDENWR6.5WR52WR———33350Start/Sit →
Stefon DiggsBUFWR6.4WR53WR———53340Start/Sit →
Adam TrautmanDENTE3.5TE30TE———22150Start/Sit →
Khalil ShakirBUFWR3.4WR74WR———21240Start/Sit →
Jaleel McLaughlinDENRB3.2RB47RB6802240Start/Sit →
Lil'Jordan HumphreyDENWR2.4WR86WR———11140Start/Sit →
Chris ManhertzDENTE1.6TE41TE———1160Start/Sit →
Ty JohnsonBUFRB0.2RB67RB120————Start/Sit →
Deonte HartyBUFWR0.0—WR———1000
Lucas KrullDENTE0.0—TE———1000Start/Sit →
Marvin MimsDENWR-0.3—WR1-301000

Fantasy Usage

Denver Broncos

Snap Share

  1. Courtland SuttonWR65 snaps87%
  2. Marvin MimsWR52 snaps69%
  3. Jerry JeudyWR49 snaps65%
  4. Adam TrautmanTE48 snaps64%
  5. Javonte WilliamsRB39 snaps52%

Target Share29 targets

  1. Courtland Sutton38%, 11 targets
  2. Javonte Williams14%, 4 targets
  3. Samaje Perine10%, 3 targets
  4. Jerry Jeudy10%, 3 targets
  5. Adam Trautman7%, 2 targets
  6. Other21%, 6 targets

Carry Share38 carries

  1. Javonte Williams55%, 21 carries
  2. Russell Wilson24%, 9 carries
  3. Jaleel McLaughlin16%, 6 carries
  4. Samaje Perine3%, 1 carries
  5. Marvin Mims3%, 1 carries

Buffalo Bills

Snap Share

  1. Stefon DiggsWR53 snaps98%
  2. Gabe DavisWR53 snaps98%
  3. Khalil ShakirWR41 snaps76%
  4. Dalton KincaidTE41 snaps76%
  5. Latavius MurrayRB28 snaps52%

Target Share25 targets

  1. Gabe Davis24%, 6 targets
  2. Dalton Kincaid24%, 6 targets
  3. Stefon Diggs20%, 5 targets
  4. Latavius Murray12%, 3 targets
  5. Khalil Shakir8%, 2 targets
  6. Other12%, 3 targets

Carry Share26 carries

  1. James Cook46%, 12 carries
  2. Latavius Murray35%, 9 carries
  3. Josh Allen15%, 4 carries
  4. Ty Johnson4%, 1 carries
View full usage tableHide full usage table
Offensive snaps and share for the skill positions
PlayerSNAPSSNAP %TGTTGT %CAR
Stefon DiggsBUFWR5398%520%0
Gabe DavisBUFWR5398%624%0
Courtland SuttonDENWR6587%1138%0
Khalil ShakirBUFWR4176%28%0
Dalton KincaidBUFTE4176%624%0
Marvin MimsDENWR5269%13%1
Jerry JeudyDENWR4965%310%0
Adam TrautmanDENTE4864%27%0
Javonte WilliamsDENRB3952%414%21
Latavius MurrayBUFRB2852%312%9
James CookBUFRB2546%28%12
Chris ManhertzDENTE3040%13%0
Samaje PerineDENRB2533%310%1
Lucas KrullDENTE2027%13%0
Quintin MorrisBUFTE1426%00%0
Lil'Jordan HumphreyDENWR1419%13%0
Trent SherfieldBUFWR917%00%0
Jaleel McLaughlinDENRB1115%27%6
Deonte HartyBUFWR47%14%0
David SillsDENWR45%00%0
Ty JohnsonBUFRB12%00%1
Reggie GilliamBUFRB12%00%0

Fantasy Points vs Expected

Expected points (xFP) are what a player's pass attempts, carries and targets are worth at the league's average rates; the difference is what the player made of them.

Usage and expected fantasy points
PlayerPTSxFPvs xFPSnap%UsageRte%Pass attCarCar%TgtTgt%
Javonte WilliamsDEN · RB21.019.6+1.452%55% car—02155%414%
Courtland SuttonDEN · WR17.318.4−1.187%38% tgt—000%1138%
Russell WilsonDEN · QB18.717.7+1.0100%29 att—29924%00%
Josh AllenBUF · QB16.413.4+3.0100%26 att—26415%00%
James Cook IIIBUF · RB12.010.7+1.346%46% car—01246%28%
Latavius MurrayBUF · RB14.910.5+4.452%35% car—0935%312%
Dalton KincaidBUF · TE16.110.0+6.176%24% tgt—000%624%
Gabe DavisBUF · WR9.610.0−0.498%24% tgt—000%624%
Stefon DiggsBUF · WR6.48.3−1.998%20% tgt—000%520%
Jaleel McLaughlinDEN · RB3.27.0−3.815%16% car—0616%27%
Samaje PerineDEN · RB7.35.6+1.733%10% tgt—013%310%
Jerry JeudyDEN · WR6.55.0+1.565%10% tgt—000%310%
Adam TrautmanDEN · TE3.53.3+0.264%7% tgt—000%27%
Khalil ShakirBUF · WR3.43.3+0.176%8% tgt—000%28%
Marvin Mims Jr.DEN · WR-0.32.3−2.669%3% tgt—013%13%
Chris ManhertzDEN · TE1.61.7−0.140%3% tgt—000%13%
Deonte HartyBUF · WR0.01.7−1.77%4% tgt—000%14%
Lil'Jordan HumphreyDEN · WR2.41.7+0.719%3% tgt—000%13%
Lucas KrullDEN · TE0.01.7−1.727%3% tgt—000%13%
Ty JohnsonBUF · RB0.20.6−0.42%4% car—014%00%

Team totals: Broncos 29 targets and 38 carries; Bills 25 targets and 26 carries. Shares are from the box score. Snap counts are from the weekly player logs (Sleeper), and include plays wiped out by penalties. Route counts, air yards and red-zone touches appear when the tracking feed is connected. League-average rates from the 2023 season: 1.67 PPR points per target (67% catch rate), 0.61 per carry and 0.42 per pass attempt. They don't adjust for field position or target depth.

Fantasy Verdicts

Russell Wilson

DEN · QB · 18.7 pts on 17.7 expected

24 of 29 passing for 193 yards, 2 touchdowns; 9 carries for 30 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 17.7 expected.

Josh Allen

BUF · QB · 16.4 pts on 13.4 expected

15 of 26 passing for 177 yards, 1 touchdown, 2 interceptions; 4 carries for 13 yards and 1 touchdown.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 13.4 expected.

Start/Sit: Josh Allen →

Javonte Williams

DEN · RB · 21.0 pts on 19.6 expected

4 targets (14% of the team's), 4 catches for 31 yards and 1 touchdown; 21 carries (55% of the team's) for 79 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 19.6 expected.

Start/Sit: Javonte Williams →

Courtland Sutton Volume, no payoff

DEN · WR · 17.3 pts on 18.4 expected

11 targets (38% of the team's), 8 catches for 53 yards and 1 touchdown.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 18.4 expected.

Start/Sit: Courtland Sutton →

James Cook III

BUF · RB · 12.0 pts on 10.7 expected

2 targets (8% of the team's), 2 catches for 11 yards; 12 carries (46% of the team's) for 109 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 10.7 expected.

Latavius Murray

BUF · RB · 14.9 pts on 10.5 expected

3 targets (12% of the team's), 2 catches for 1 yard; 9 carries (35% of the team's) for 68 yards and 1 touchdown.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 10.5 expected.

Dalton Kincaid Ran hot

BUF · TE · 16.1 pts on 10.0 expected

6 targets (24% of the team's), 5 catches for 51 yards and 1 touchdown.

Verdict: The opportunities were worth 10.0 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.

Start/Sit: Dalton Kincaid →

Marvin Mims Jr.

DEN · WR · -0.3 pts on 2.3 expected

1 target (3% of the team's), 0 catches for 0 yards; 1 carry (3% of the team's) for -3 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 2.3 expected.

Stock Up, Stock Down

Denver Broncos

  • Stock up: Marvin Mims Jr. played 69% of the snaps, up from a 29% season average.
  • Stock down: Adam Trautman played 64% of the snaps, down from a 80% season average.

Buffalo Bills

  • Stock up: Latavius Murray led the backfield with 52% of the snaps after trailing James Cook III before this game.
  • Stock up: Khalil Shakir played 76% of the snaps, up from a 35% season average.
  • Stock down: James Cook III lost the backfield lead: 46% of the snaps to Latavius Murray's 52%.

Fantasy Matchups

Fantasy points allowed per game by position, 2023 through Week 18.

Fantasy points allowed per game by position, Broncos defense and Bills defense
Points allowed toBroncos DBills D
QBs17.614.8
RBs26.620.9
WRs31.629.5
TEs15.710.3

Regular season, summed from each game's box score and scored with this page's rules.

How the Game Swung

Buffalo opened at 50% win probability, climbed as high as >99%, then lost.

Bills win probability

Bills win probability by game minuteBills started at 50%, stood at 23% at halftime and finished at 0%, across 9 scoring plays.Q1Q2Q3Q4100%50%0%

Key Swings

  1. +27Allen → Kincaid, 22-yd TD19% → 46%Q2 3:36
  2. +31Murray 3-yd TD run19% → 50%Q3 6:42
  3. −44Wilson → Williams, 3-yd TD50% → 6%Q4 5:06
  4. +65Allen 6-yd TD run1% → 66%Q4 1:55
  5. −100Lutz 36-yd FG>99% → <1%Q4 0:00

Swing in Bills win probability, in points

Play Calling and Possessions

Play calling, Broncos vs Bills
Denver BroncosMeasureBuffalo Bills
71Plays52
46%Pass rate50%
5.4Yds / dropback6.8
3.2Yds / carry7.4
8/19Third downs3/8

Efficiency edge Denver ran 19 more plays than Buffalo.

  • Top targets
  • DEN Sutton 38% · Williams 14% · Jeudy 10%
  • BUF Kincaid 24% · Davis 24% · Diggs 20%

Possession Results

How each possession ended, Broncos vs Bills
ResultDENBUF
Touchdowns23
Field goals40
Punts53
Turnovers14
Turnovers on downs01

DEN turnover edge: +3

  • The Broncos opened the scoring on their first possession, a 4-play, 6-yard drive that ended in a field goal.
  • The Broncos drained the clock with two second-half drives of four to eight minutes.
All 23 possessions, drive by drive
Drive chart
TeamStartPlaysYardsTimeResult
BUFQ1 15:00130:08Fumble
DENQ1 14:52462:13Field goal
BUFQ1 12:398474:17Interception
DENQ1 8:227303:58Punt
BUFQ1 4:245131:54Punt
DENQ1 2:308334:43Punt
BUFQ2 12:47351:37Punt
DENQ2 11:107523:53Touchdown
BUFQ2 7:178813:41Touchdown
DENQ2 3:368452:51Field goal
BUFQ2 0:45100:08Interception
DENQ2 0:37490:37Field goal
DENQ3 15:003-22:51Punt
BUFQ3 12:09490:47Downs
DENQ3 11:22321:31Fumble
BUFQ3 9:517543:09Touchdown
DENQ3 6:42684:12Punt
BUFQ3 2:303371:17Fumble
DENQ3 1:13341:21Punt
BUFQ4 14:526262:30Punt
DENQ4 12:2212547:16Touchdown
BUFQ4 5:066753:11Touchdown
DENQ4 1:5510571:55Field goal
About these numbers

Possessions that ended with the clock running out at the half or the end of the game aren't counted.

Personnel groupings, average depth of target and pass rate over expected appear when the tracking feed is connected.

Broncos vs Bills Head-to-Head

The Broncos and Bills first met in 1960 and have played 43 times since.

All-time series
24–18–1Bills lead, 43 meetings since 1960
Postseason
2–1Bills won in 1991 and 2024; Broncos won in 2025
Largest Broncos win
37–71984
Largest Bills win
48–192020

Since 2021

2–1 Broncos lead

3 meetings since the 2021 season, regular season and playoffs.

Oldest to newest. DEN = Broncos win, BUF = Bills win, outlined = this game.

2026 Meetings

  • Week 16 Bills at Broncos Upcoming

Recent Meetings

Season to Date (Through Week 18)

The 2023 regular season, from each game's box score.

Season to date, Broncos vs Bills
BroncosStatBills
8-9Record11-6
21.0Points per game26.5
298.4Yards per game374.5
5.0Yards per play5.7
24.3Points allowed per game18.3
370.8Yards allowed per game307.2

Broncos vs Bills Fantasy Outlook for 2026

One meeting is left on the 2026 schedule: Week 16 in Denver. Here's how to decide who to play in your league.

Keep Exploring

2023 Game Logs for Players in This Game

Broncos vs Bills Game FAQ

Who won the 2023 Broncos vs Bills Week 10 game?

The Denver Broncos beat the Buffalo Bills 24–22 in Week 10 of the 2023 season. The game was played at Highmark Stadium (Old) in Orchard Park, NY, on November 13, 2023. See the Broncos' 2023 schedule.

What was the final score of Broncos vs Bills?

The final score was Broncos 24, Bills 22. The Broncos led 15–8 at halftime, and the second half went Broncos 9, Bills 14.

What happened in the Broncos vs Bills game?

Denver led 15–8 at halftime and won 24–22, though Buffalo took the second half 14–9. Buffalo outgained the Broncos 369–300. Javonte Williams led all players with 4 catches for 31 yards and a touchdown, plus 21 carries for 79 rushing yards. The Bills committed 4 turnovers, the Broncos 1.

What was the game-winning score in Broncos vs Bills?

Wil Lutz's 36-yard field goal with 0:00 left in the fourth quarter gave the Broncos a 24–22 lead they never gave up. It was the final score of the game.

Who scored the most fantasy points in Broncos vs Bills?

Javonte Williams led the game with 21.0 PPR fantasy points, the RB5 of Week 10, on 4 catches for 31 yards and a touchdown, plus 21 carries for 79 rushing yards. Russell Wilson was next with 18.7 (QB11). See Javonte Williams's 2023 game log.

Who led Broncos vs Bills in passing, rushing and receiving?

Russell Wilson (DEN) led all passers with 24 of 29 for 193 yards and 2 touchdowns. James Cook (BUF) led in rushing with 12 carries for 109 yards. Gabe Davis (BUF) led in receiving with 2 catches for 56 yards.

How many fantasy points did Javonte Williams score against the Bills?

Javonte Williams scored 21.0 points in PPR leagues, 19.0 in half-PPR and 17.0 in standard scoring against the Bills in Week 10 of the 2023 season, on 4 catches for 31 yards and a touchdown, plus 21 carries for 79 rushing yards. He handled 55% of his team's carries.

Who outperformed and underperformed expected fantasy points in Broncos vs Bills?

Dalton Kincaid outperformed his expected fantasy points the most, scoring 16.1 PPR points on 10.0 xFP (+6.1). Jaleel McLaughlin fell furthest short, with 3.2 points on 7.0 xFP (−3.8). A gap either way reflects efficiency and touchdowns in one game; it is not a forecast. For matchups ahead, see fantasy points allowed by position.

Who had the highest expected fantasy points in Broncos vs Bills?

Javonte Williams had the most fantasy opportunity in the game, worth 19.6 expected PPR points (xFP) at league-average rates, and scored 21.0. Expected points measure the volume of a player's pass attempts, carries and targets, not how well he used them.

How did the Broncos come back to beat the Bills?

The Broncos' chances of winning fell as low as <1% in overtime. Wil Lutz's 36-yard field goal in the fourth quarter was the biggest swing of the game. Wil Lutz's 36-yard field goal then put them ahead for good.

Which team won the turnover battle in Broncos vs Bills?

The Broncos won the turnover battle 4–1: the Bills gave the ball away 4 times and the Broncos 1 time. The Broncos won the game.

What was the turning point of Broncos vs Bills?

Wil Lutz's 36-yard field goal with 0:00 left in the fourth quarter was the biggest swing of the game, moving the Bills' win probability from >99% to <1%.

What is the all-time Broncos vs Bills record?

The Bills lead the all-time series 24–18–1 across 43 meetings since 1960, including a 2–1 record in the postseason.

When did the Broncos and Bills last play before this game?

Before Week 10 of 2023, they last met in the 2020 season on December 19, 2020, when the Bills beat the Broncos 48–19.

Have the Broncos and Bills met in the playoffs?

Yes, 3 times, most recently in the 2025 playoffs. The Broncos are 1–2 against the Bills in the postseason.