Final2025 Week 18

U.S. Bank Stadium, Minneapolis, MN

Green Bay Packers vs Minnesota Vikings, Week 18 2025

Green Bay Packers

Away

3

Minnesota Vikings

HomeWon

16

Scoring by quarter
TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Packers00033
Vikings3100316

GB 3MIN 16 Final

  • Passing leader

    J.J. McCarthy

    MIN · QB

    8.0PPR pts

    14/23, 182 YDS

  • Top fantasy scorer

    Justin Jefferson

    MIN · WR

    18.4PPR pts

    8 REC, 101 YDS

  • Packers leader

    Chris Brooks

    GB · RB

    6.1PPR pts

    13 ATT, 61 YDS

  • Defensive playmaker

    Dallas Turner

    MIN

    2 SACK, 6 TKL

Vikings 16, Packers 3: Minnesota beats Green Bay

Minnesota led 13–0 at halftime to win 16–3. The Vikings finished with a 363–121 edge in total offense and averaged 5.7 yards per play.

Green Bay didn't get on the board until the fourth quarter.

The Packers went 3-for-12 on third down, while the Vikings kept the ball for 33:30.

The two teams meet again in Week 10 of 2026. If you roster anyone from either side, run the start/sit call in Redraft Command and it will weigh your lineup, your opponent and your league scoring, not only the player rankings.

Key advantages

  • +3.3 yards/play MIN 5.7 · GB 2.4
  • +242 total yards MIN 363 · GB 121
  • +7:00 time of possession MIN 33:30 · GB 26:30

Game Highlights

Official NFL highlights · Opens from YouTube

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Why the Vikings Won

Minnesota won the efficiency and time of possession battles.

Team stats comparison, Packers vs Vikings
PackersStatVikings
2.4Yards per play5.7
121Total yards363
26:30Time of possession33:30
Other team stats
50Plays64
0Turnovers1
25%Third-down conversion20%

Scoring Summary

The Vikings scored one touchdown and three field goals; the Packers scored one field goal.

Scoring plays, Packers vs Vikings
TimeTeamPlayGBMIN
1st quarter
10:27MINWill Reichard 43-yard FG Takes lead03
2nd quarter
3:02MINWill Reichard 25-yard FG Extends lead06
0:23MINC.J. Ham 1-yard TD run Extends leadWill Reichard XP013
3rd quarter
No scoring
4th quarter
4:09MINWill Reichard 37-yard FG Extends lead016
0:00GBBrandon McManus 24-yard FG316

Fantasy Points: Packers vs Vikings, Week 18 2025

Fantasy leaders

  1. Justin JeffersonMINWR18.4 PTSWR9
  2. Jordan MasonMINRB9.4 PTSRB25
  3. J.J. McCarthyMINQB8.0 PTSQB26
  4. Jalen NailorMINWR7.9 PTSWR37

Player Stats

Quarterbacks

Quarterback statistics
PlayerFPTSFINCMP/ATTPass YDSTDINTRush ATTRush YDSRush TDRateStart/Sit
J.J. McCarthyMINQB8.0QB2614/231820027085.8Start/Sit →
Max BrosmerMINQB0.3QB387/85700———96.4
Clayton TuneGBQB3.7QB326/113400423060.4

WRs, RBs, & TEs

Receiver, running back and tight end statistics
PlayerFPTSFINPOSRush ATTRush YDSRush TDTGTRECRec YDSRec TDStart/Sit
Justin JeffersonMINWR18.4WR9WR1301181010Start/Sit →
Jordan MasonMINRB9.4RB25RB14940————
Jalen NailorMINWR7.9WR37WR———33490Start/Sit →
Ty ChandlerMINRB6.4RB40RB1023043110
Chris BrooksGBRB6.1RB44RB13610————Start/Sit →
Emanuel WilsonGBRB5.8RB48RB184401140Start/Sit →
Josh OliverMINTE4.9TE34TE———22290
Jakobie Keeney-JamesGBWR3.5WR68WR———22150
Ben SimsMINTE2.8TE42TE———41180
Zavier ScottMINRB2.7RB65RB3901180Start/Sit →
Ben YurosekMINTE1.9TE50TE———1190
Jordan AddisonMINWR1.8WR91WR———3180Start/Sit →
Matthew GoldenGBWR1.8WR92WR———3180Start/Sit →
Josh WhyleGBTE1.4TE59TE———1140Start/Sit →
Drake DabneyGBTE1.3TE60TE———2130
Bo MeltonGBWR0.0—WR———1000Start/Sit →

Fantasy Points vs Expected

Expected points (xFP) are what a player's pass attempts, carries and targets are worth at the league's average rates; the difference is what the player made of them.

  • Biggest overperformer+5.3C.J. Ham7.7 PTS vs 2.4 xFP
  • Biggest underperformer−7.5Emanuel Wilson5.8 PTS vs 13.3 xFP
  • Highest expected volume19.4 xFPJustin Jefferson18.4 PTS scored
Usage and expected fantasy points
PlayerPTSxFPvs xFPSnap%UsageRte%Pass attCarCar%TgtTgt%
Justin JeffersonMIN · WR18.419.4−1.0—37% tgt—013%1137%
Emanuel WilsonGB · RB5.813.3−7.5—51% car—01851%110%
Ty ChandlerMIN · RB6.413.3−6.9—32% car—01032%413%
J.J. McCarthyMIN · QB8.011.5−3.5—23 att—2326%00%
Jordan MasonMIN · RB9.49.0+0.4—45% car—01445%00%
Chris BrooksGB · RB6.18.4−2.3—37% car—01337%00%
Clayton TuneGB · QB3.77.5−3.8—11 att—11411%00%
Ben SimsMIN · TE2.86.8−4.0—13% tgt—000%413%
Jalen NailorMIN · WR7.95.1+2.8—10% tgt—000%310%
Jordan AddisonMIN · WR1.85.1−3.3—10% tgt—000%310%
Matthew GoldenGB · WR1.85.1−3.3—30% tgt—000%330%
Max BrosmerMIN · QB0.33.6−3.3—8 att—800%00%
Zavier ScottMIN · RB2.73.6−0.9—10% car—0310%13%
Drake DabneyGB · TE1.33.4−2.1—20% tgt—000%220%
Jakobie Keeney-JamesGB · WR3.53.4+0.1—20% tgt—000%220%
Josh OliverMIN · TE4.93.4+1.5—7% tgt—000%27%
C.J. HamMIN · RB7.72.4+5.3—3% tgt—013%13%
Ben YurosekMIN · TE1.91.7+0.2—3% tgt—000%13%
Bo MeltonGB · WR0.01.7−1.7—10% tgt—000%110%
Josh WhyleGB · TE1.41.7−0.3—10% tgt—000%110%

Team totals: Packers 10 targets and 35 carries; Vikings 30 targets and 31 carries. Shares are from the box score. Snap counts aren't available for this game. Route counts, air yards and red-zone touches appear when the tracking feed is connected. League-average rates from the 2025 season: 1.70 PPR points per target (67% catch rate), 0.65 per carry and 0.44 per pass attempt. They don't adjust for field position or target depth.

Fantasy Verdicts

Clayton Tune

GB · QB · 3.7 pts on 7.5 expected

6 of 11 passing for 34 yards; 4 carries for 23 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 7.5 expected.

J.J. McCarthy

MIN · QB · 8.0 pts on 11.5 expected

14 of 23 passing for 182 yards; 2 carries for 7 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 11.5 expected.

Start/Sit: J.J. McCarthy →

Emanuel Wilson Unlucky

GB · RB · 5.8 pts on 13.3 expected

1 target (10% of the team's), 1 catch for 4 yards; 18 carries (51% of the team's) for 44 yards.

Verdict: The role was there, worth 13.3 points at league-average rates; the production wasn't.

Start/Sit: Emanuel Wilson →

Chris Brooks

GB · RB · 6.1 pts on 8.4 expected

13 carries (37% of the team's) for 61 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 8.4 expected.

Start/Sit: Chris Brooks →

Justin Jefferson Volume, no payoff

MIN · WR · 18.4 pts on 19.4 expected

11 targets (37% of the team's), 8 catches for 101 yards; 1 carry (3% of the team's) for 3 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 19.4 expected.

Start/Sit: Justin Jefferson →

Ty Chandler Unlucky

MIN · RB · 6.4 pts on 13.3 expected

4 targets (13% of the team's), 3 catches for 11 yards; 10 carries (32% of the team's) for 23 yards.

Verdict: The role was there, worth 13.3 points at league-average rates; the production wasn't.

Trend: Season high in carries (10).

C.J. Ham Ran hot

MIN · RB · 7.7 pts on 2.4 expected

1 target (3% of the team's), 1 catch for 6 yards; 1 carry (3% of the team's) for 1 yard and 1 touchdown.

Verdict: The opportunities were worth 2.4 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.

Fantasy Matchups

Fantasy points allowed per game by position, 2025 through Week 18.

Fantasy points allowed per game by position, Packers defense and Vikings defense
Points allowed toPackers DVikings D
QBs15.211.5
RBs21.119.0
WRs31.023.5
TEs12.110.7

Regular season, summed from each game's box score and scored with this page's rules.

How the Game Swung

Minnesota opened at 84% win probability and passed 98% before halftime on the way to the win.

Vikings win probability

Vikings win probability by game minuteVikings started at 84%, stood at 98% at halftime and finished at 100%, across 5 scoring plays.Q1Q2Q3Q4100%50%0%

Key Swings

  1. +5Reichard 43-yd FG83% → 88%Q1 10:27
  2. +6Reichard 25-yd FG85% → 91%Q2 3:02
  3. +7Ham 1-yd TD run91% → 98%Q2 0:23

Swing in Vikings win probability, in points

Play Calling and Possessions

Play calling, Packers vs Vikings
Green Bay PackersMeasureMinnesota Vikings
50Plays64
30%Pass rate52%
-0.5Yds / dropback6.8
3.7Yds / carry4.4
3/12Third downs2/10

Efficiency edge Minnesota ran 14 more plays and gained 7.3 more yards per dropback.

  • Top targets
  • GB Golden 30% · Dabney 20% · Keeney-James 20%
  • MIN Jefferson 37% · Sims 13% · Chandler 13%

Possession Results

How each possession ended, Packers vs Vikings
ResultGBMIN
Touchdowns01
Field goals13
Punts84
Turnovers01

GB turnover edge: +1

  • The Vikings opened the scoring on their first possession, a 8-play, 46-yard drive that ended in a field goal.
  • The Vikings drained the clock with two second-half drives of five to six minutes.
All 19 possessions, drive by drive
Drive chart
TeamStartPlaysYardsTimeResult
MINQ1 15:008464:33Field goal
GBQ1 10:27311:25Punt
MINQ1 9:024202:37Punt
GBQ1 6:25422:25Punt
MINQ1 4:005213:23Punt
GBQ1 0:373122:03Punt
MINQ2 13:34341:00Punt
GBQ2 12:346173:30Punt
MINQ2 9:0414846:02Field goal
GBQ2 3:023-141:15Punt
MINQ2 1:479591:24Touchdown
GBQ2 0:231-10:23End of half
GBQ3 15:007264:25Punt
MINQ3 10:355193:27Punt
GBQ3 7:088285:16Punt
MINQ3 1:529745:29Fumble
GBQ4 11:233-61:39Punt
MINQ4 9:4410635:35Field goal
GBQ4 4:0913564:09Field goal
About these numbers

Possessions that ended with the clock running out at the half or the end of the game aren't counted.

Personnel groupings, average depth of target and pass rate over expected appear when the tracking feed is connected.

Packers vs Vikings Head-to-Head

The Packers and Vikings first met in 1961 and have played 132 times since. They have been NFC North rivals since 1970.

All-time series
67–62–3Packers lead, 132 meetings since 1961
Postseason
1–1Packers won in 2012; Vikings won in 2004
Largest Packers win
45–72011
Largest Vikings win
42–71986

Since 2021

7–4 Vikings lead

11 meetings since the 2021 season, regular season and playoffs.

Oldest to newest. V = Vikings win, P = Packers win, outlined = this game.

2026 Meetings

  • Week 10 Vikings at Packers Upcoming

Recent Meetings

Season to Date (Through Week 18)

The 2025 regular season, from each game's box score.

Season to date, Packers vs Vikings
PackersStatVikings
9-7-1Record9-8
23.0Points per game20.2
332.6Yards per game275.0
5.6Yards per play4.9
21.2Points allowed per game19.6
311.8Yards allowed per game282.6

Packers vs Vikings Odds and Results

How this game finished against the betting lines.

Spread
MIN −13.5Vikings failed to cover by 0.5
Total
37.5Under: 19 points scored (by 18.5)

Expected vs Actual Scoring

Implied team totals against the actual score
TeamImpliedActualDifference
Vikings25.516−9.5
Packers12.03−9.0

Both offenses finished under the market's expectation, which matches the low fantasy output in the Fantasy tab.

Betting Trends

Last 5 meetings: Packers 3–2 ATS, overs 3–2.

Each team's 2025 season through this game. Over/under is overs first.

Green Bay Packers

Against the spread
3–3
Over/under
4–2
ATS as favorite
1–2
ATS as underdog
1–1
ATS on the road
2–2

Minnesota Vikings

Against the spread
4–2
Over/under
1–5
ATS as favorite
2–1
ATS as underdog
2–1
ATS at home
2–1

Lines: ESPN's consensus, captured at kickoff. Individual sportsbooks varied.

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Betting availability depends on your state.

Packers vs Vikings Fantasy Outlook for 2026

One meeting is left on the 2026 schedule: Week 10 in Green Bay. Here's how to decide who to play in your league.

Keep Exploring

2025 Game Logs for Players in This Game

Packers vs Vikings Game FAQ

Who won the 2025 Packers vs Vikings Week 18 game?

The Minnesota Vikings beat the Green Bay Packers 16–3 in Week 18 of the 2025 season. The game was played at U.S. Bank Stadium in Minneapolis, MN, on January 4, 2026. See the Vikings' 2025 schedule.

What was the final score of Packers vs Vikings?

The final score was Vikings 16, Packers 3. The Vikings led 13–0 at halftime, and the second half went Packers 3, Vikings 3.

What happened in the Packers vs Vikings game?

Minnesota led 13–0 at halftime to win 16–3. The Vikings finished with a 363–121 edge in total offense and averaged 5.7 yards per play. Justin Jefferson led all players with 8 catches for 101 yards, plus a carry for 3 rushing yards. The Vikings committed 1 turnover, the Packers none.

Who scored the most fantasy points in Packers vs Vikings?

Justin Jefferson led the game with 18.4 PPR fantasy points, the WR9 of Week 18, on 8 catches for 101 yards, plus a carry for 3 rushing yards. Jordan Mason was next with 9.4 (RB25). See Justin Jefferson's 2025 game log.

Who led Packers vs Vikings in passing, rushing and receiving?

J.J. McCarthy (MIN) led all passers with 14 of 23 for 182 yards. Jordan Mason (MIN) led in rushing with 14 carries for 94 yards. Justin Jefferson (MIN) led in receiving with 8 catches for 101 yards.

How many fantasy points did Justin Jefferson score against the Packers?

Justin Jefferson scored 18.4 points in PPR leagues, 14.4 in half-PPR and 10.4 in standard scoring against the Packers in Week 18 of the 2025 season, on 8 catches for 101 yards, plus a carry for 3 rushing yards. He drew 37% of his team's targets.

Who outperformed and underperformed expected fantasy points in Packers vs Vikings?

C.J. Ham outperformed his expected fantasy points the most, scoring 7.7 PPR points on 2.4 xFP (+5.3). Emanuel Wilson fell furthest short, with 5.8 points on 13.3 xFP (−7.5). A gap either way reflects efficiency and touchdowns in one game; it is not a forecast. For matchups ahead, see fantasy points allowed by position.

How did the Vikings beat the Packers?

The Vikings beat the Packers 16–3 because they averaged 5.7 yards per play to 2.4 and outgained them 363–121.

Which team won the turnover battle in Packers vs Vikings?

The Packers won the turnover battle 1–0: the Vikings gave the ball away 1 time and the Packers not at all. The Vikings won the game anyway.

What is the all-time Packers vs Vikings record?

The Packers lead the all-time series 67–62–3 across 132 meetings since 1961, including a 1–1 record in the postseason.

When did the Packers and Vikings last play before this game?

Before Week 18 of 2025, they last met in the 2025 season on November 23, 2025, when the Packers beat the Vikings 23–6.

Have the Packers and Vikings met in the playoffs?

Yes, 2 times, most recently in the 2012 playoffs. The Packers are 1–1 against the Vikings in the postseason.

What was the closing spread for Packers vs Vikings?

The consensus closing spread at kickoff was Vikings −13.5, making the Minnesota Vikings 13.5-point favorites, with a closing total of 37.5. That implied about 25.5 points for the Vikings and 12.0 for the Packers.

Did Packers vs Vikings go over or under the total?

The game went under. The consensus closing total was 37.5, and the teams combined for 19 points, 18.5 under the number.

Who covered the spread in Packers vs Vikings?

The Packers covered as 13.5-point underdogs against the closing line of Vikings −13.5. The final margin was 13 points.