Final2025 NFC Wild Card

Soldier Field, Chicago, IL

Green Bay Packers vs Chicago Bears, Wild Card 2025

Green Bay Packers

Away

27

Chicago Bears

HomeWon, advanced

31

Scoring by quarter
TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Packers7140627
Bears3032531

GB 27CHI 31 Final

  • Passing leader

    Caleb Williams

    CHI · QB

    24.4PPR pts

    24/48, 361 YDS, 2 TD, 2 INT

  • Top fantasy scorer

    Romeo Doubs

    GB · WR

    26.4PPR pts

    8 REC, 124 YDS, 1 TD

  • Packers leader

    Jordan Love

    GB · QB

    30.0PPR pts

    24/46, 323 YDS, 4 TD

  • Defensive playmaker

    Carrington Valentine

    GB

    1 INT, 3 TKL

Bears 31, Packers 27: Chicago rallies from 18 down at halftime in the 2025 Wild Card

Chicago erased a 21–3 halftime deficit, outscoring Green Bay 28–6 after the break to win 31–27. The Bears finished with a narrow 445–421 edge in total offense.

The Packers went 6-for-15 on third down, while the Bears kept the ball for 32:41.

The Bears' run ended in the Divisional Round, a 20–17 loss to the Rams.

The two teams meet again in Week 5 of 2026. If you roster anyone from either side, run the start/sit call in Redraft Command and it will weigh your lineup, your opponent and your league scoring, not only the player rankings.

Key advantages

  • +24 total yards CHI 445 · GB 421
  • +13% third-down rate CHI 53% · GB 40%
  • +5:22 time of possession CHI 32:41 · GB 27:19

Game Highlights

Official NFL highlights · Opens from YouTube

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Why the Bears Won

Chicago won the third-down and time of possession battles.

Team stats comparison, Packers vs Bears
PackersStatBears
421Total yards445
40%Third-down conversion53%
27:19Time of possession32:41
Other team stats
6.0Yards per play5.8
70Plays77
0Turnovers2

Scoring Summary

The Bears scored three touchdowns and three field goals; the Packers scored four touchdowns.

Scoring plays, Packers vs Bears
TimeTeamPlayGBCHI
1st quarter
7:02CHICairo Santos 27-yard FG Takes lead03
2:06GBJordan Love → Christian Watson, 7-yard TD Takes leadBrandon McManus XP73
2nd quarter
6:46GBJordan Love → Jayden Reed, 18-yard TD Extends leadBrandon McManus XP143
1:56GBJordan Love → Romeo Doubs, 1-yard TD Extends leadBrandon McManus XP213
3rd quarter
10:07CHICairo Santos 34-yard FG216
4th quarter
13:29CHICairo Santos 51-yard FG219
10:08CHID'Andre Swift 6-yard TD runCairo Santos XP2116
6:36GBJordan Love → Matthew Golden, 23-yard TD Extends leadXP missed2716
4:18CHICaleb Williams → Olamide Zaccheaus, 8-yard TDCaleb Williams → Colston Loveland, 2-pt conversion2724
1:43CHICaleb Williams → DJ Moore, 25-yard TD Game winnerCairo Santos XP2731

Playoff game: these points don't count in most season-long fantasy leagues.

Fantasy Points vs Expected

Expected points (xFP) are what a player's pass attempts, carries and targets are worth at the league's average rates; the difference is what the player made of them.

Usage and expected fantasy points
PlayerPTSxFPvs xFPSnap%UsageRte%Pass attCarCar%TgtTgt%
Colston LovelandCHI · TE23.725.6−1.9—33% tgt—000%1533%
Caleb WilliamsCHI · QB24.423.9+0.5—48 att—48414%00%
Jordan LoveGB · QB30.021.1+8.9—46 att—4614%00%
Romeo DoubsGB · WR26.418.8+7.6—29% tgt—000%1129%
Josh JacobsGB · RB6.817.4−10.6—83% car—01983%38%
DJ MooreCHI · WR17.912.6+5.3—15% tgt—014%715%
Jayden ReedGB · WR15.712.6+3.1—18% tgt—014%718%
Luther Burden IIICHI · WR6.812.6−5.8—15% tgt—014%715%
Christian WatsonGB · WR12.611.9+0.7—18% tgt—000%718%
D'Andre SwiftCHI · RB17.211.8+5.4—46% car—01346%24%
Kyle MonangaiCHI · RB5.910.3−4.4—29% car—0829%37%
Rome OdunzeCHI · WR6.410.2−3.8—13% tgt—000%613%
Matthew GoldenGB · WR18.48.5+9.9—13% tgt—000%513%
Cole KmetCHI · TE0.14.1−4.0—4% tgt—014%24%
Durham SmytheCHI · TE1.63.4−1.8—4% tgt—000%24%
Luke MusgraveGB · TE1.93.4−1.5—5% tgt—000%25%
Olamide ZaccheausCHI · WR7.83.4+4.4—4% tgt—000%24%
Chris BrooksGB · RB3.72.4+1.3—4% car—014%13%
Darian KinnardGB · —1.61.7−0.1—3% tgt—000%13%
Josh WhyleGB · TE1.71.70.0—3% tgt—000%13%
Emanuel WilsonGB · RB0.30.6−0.3—4% car—014%00%

Team totals: Packers 38 targets and 23 carries; Bears 46 targets and 28 carries. Shares are from the box score. Snap counts aren't available for this game. Route counts, air yards and red-zone touches appear when the tracking feed is connected. League-average rates from the 2025 season: 1.70 PPR points per target (67% catch rate), 0.65 per carry and 0.44 per pass attempt. They don't adjust for field position or target depth.

Fantasy Verdicts

Jordan Love Ran hot

GB · QB · 30.0 pts on 21.1 expected

24 of 46 passing for 323 yards, 4 touchdowns; 1 carry for 11 yards.

Verdict: The opportunities were worth 21.1 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.

Start/Sit: Jordan Love →

Caleb Williams

CHI · QB · 24.4 pts on 23.9 expected

24 of 48 passing for 361 yards, 2 touchdowns, 2 interceptions; 4 carries for 20 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 23.9 expected.

Start/Sit: Caleb Williams →

Romeo Doubs Ran hot

GB · WR · 26.4 pts on 18.8 expected

11 targets (29% of the team's), 8 catches for 124 yards and 1 touchdown.

Verdict: The opportunities were worth 18.8 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.

Start/Sit: Romeo Doubs →

Josh Jacobs Volume, no payoff

GB · RB · 6.8 pts on 17.4 expected

3 targets (8% of the team's), 1 catch for 3 yards; 19 carries (83% of the team's) for 55 yards.

Verdict: The role was there, worth 17.4 points at league-average rates; the production wasn't.

Start/Sit: Josh Jacobs →

Colston Loveland Volume, no payoff

CHI · TE · 23.7 pts on 25.6 expected

15 targets (33% of the team's), 8 catches for 137 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 25.6 expected.

Start/Sit: Colston Loveland →

DJ Moore Ran hot

CHI · WR · 17.9 pts on 12.6 expected

7 targets (15% of the team's), 6 catches for 64 yards and 1 touchdown; 1 carry (4% of the team's) for -5 yards.

Verdict: The opportunities were worth 12.6 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.

Start/Sit: DJ Moore →

Luther Burden III Unlucky

CHI · WR · 6.8 pts on 12.6 expected

7 targets (15% of the team's), 3 catches for 42 yards; 1 carry (4% of the team's) for -4 yards.

Verdict: The role was there, worth 12.6 points at league-average rates; the production wasn't.

D'Andre Swift Ran hot

CHI · RB · 17.2 pts on 11.8 expected

2 targets (4% of the team's), 2 catches for 38 yards; 13 carries (46% of the team's) for 54 yards and 1 touchdown.

Verdict: The opportunities were worth 11.8 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.

Start/Sit: D'Andre Swift →

Fantasy Matchups

Fantasy points allowed per game by position, 2025 through Week 18.

Fantasy points allowed per game by position, Packers defense and Bears defense
Points allowed toPackers DBears D
QBs15.219.1
RBs21.121.7
WRs31.035.5
TEs12.113.1

Regular season, summed from each game's box score and scored with this page's rules.

How the Game Swung

Chicago opened at 46% win probability, fell as low as <1%, then rallied to win.

Bears win probability

Bears win probability by game minuteBears started at 46%, stood at 3% at halftime and finished at 100%, across 10 scoring plays.Q1Q2Q3Q4100%50%0%

Key Swings

  1. −23Love → Watson, 7-yd TD56% → 33%Q1 2:06
  2. −19Love → Reed, 18-yd TD32% → 13%Q2 6:46
  3. +16Swift 6-yd TD run1% → 17%Q4 10:08
  4. +19Williams → Zaccheaus, 8-yd TD<1% → 19%Q4 4:18
  5. +87Williams → Moore, 25-yd TD9% → 96%Q4 1:43

Swing in Bears win probability, in points

Play Calling and Possessions

Play calling, Packers vs Bears
Green Bay PackersMeasureChicago Bears
70Plays77
67%Pass rate64%
6.9Yds / dropback7.2
4.3Yds / carry3.3
6/15Third downs10/19

Efficiency edge Chicago ran 7 more plays than Green Bay.

  • Top targets
  • GB Doubs 29% · Watson 18% · Reed 18%
  • CHI Loveland 33% · Moore 15% · Burden 15%

Possession Results

How each possession ended, Packers vs Bears
ResultGBCHI
Touchdowns43
Field goals03
Punts40
Turnovers02
Turnovers on downs02
Missed field goals20

GB turnover edge: +2

  • The Bears opened the scoring on their first possession, a 16-play, 59-yard drive that ended in a field goal.
All 21 possessions, drive by drive
Drive chart
TeamStartPlaysYardsTimeResult
CHIQ1 15:0016597:58Field goal
GBQ1 7:029854:56Touchdown
CHIQ1 2:068304:43Interception
GBQ2 12:2310875:37Touchdown
CHIQ2 6:46451:31Downs
GBQ2 5:158323:19Touchdown
CHIQ2 1:565281:24Downs
GBQ2 0:326270:32Missed FG
GBQ3 15:003-21:07Punt
CHIQ3 13:538473:46Field goal
GBQ3 10:07381:39Punt
CHIQ3 8:289765:17Interception
GBQ3 3:115132:36Punt
CHIQ3 0:35722:06Field goal
GBQ4 13:293-100:51Punt
CHIQ4 12:387662:30Touchdown
GBQ4 10:086543:32Touchdown
CHIQ4 6:3610762:18Touchdown
GBQ4 4:188431:27Missed FG
CHIQ4 2:516661:08Touchdown
GBQ4 1:4311441:43End of game
About these numbers

Possessions that ended with the clock running out at the half or the end of the game aren't counted.

Personnel groupings, average depth of target and pass rate over expected appear when the tracking feed is connected.

Packers vs Bears Head-to-Head

The Packers and Bears first met in 1921 and have played 213 times since. They have been NFC North rivals since 1970.

All-time series
109–98–6Packers lead, 213 meetings since 1921
Postseason
2–1Bears won in 1941 and 2025; Packers won in 2010
Largest Packers win
49–01962
Largest Bears win
61–71980

Since 2021

8–3 Packers lead

11 meetings since the 2021 season, regular season and playoffs.

Oldest to newest. P = Packers win, B = Bears win, outlined = this game.

2026 Meetings

  • Week 5 Bears at Packers Upcoming
  • Week 16 Packers at Bears Upcoming

Recent Meetings

Season to Date (Through Week 18)

The 2025 regular season, from each game's box score.

Season to date, Packers vs Bears
PackersStatBears
9-7-1Record11-6
23.0Points per game25.9
332.6Yards per game369.5
5.6Yards per play5.7
21.2Points allowed per game24.4
311.8Yards allowed per game361.8

Packers vs Bears Odds and Results

How this game finished against the betting lines.

Spread
GB −1.5Packers failed to cover by 5.5
Total
46.5Over: 58 points scored (by 11.5)

Expected vs Actual Scoring

Implied team totals against the actual score
TeamImpliedActualDifference
Packers24.027+3.0
Bears22.531+8.5

Both offenses beat the market's expectation, and the Fantasy tab shows who cashed in.

Betting Trends

Last 6 meetings: Packers 4–2 ATS, overs 4–2.

Each team's 2025 season through this game. Over/under is overs first.

Green Bay Packers

Against the spread
3–4
Over/under
5–2
ATS as favorite
1–3
ATS as underdog
1–1
ATS on the road
2–3

Chicago Bears

Against the spread
5–2
Over/under
3–4
ATS as favorite
2–1
ATS as underdog
3–1
ATS at home
3–1

Lines: ESPN's consensus, captured at kickoff. Individual sportsbooks varied.

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Betting availability depends on your state.

Packers vs Bears Fantasy Outlook for 2026

Two meetings are left on the 2026 schedule: Week 5 in Green Bay and Week 16 in Chicago. Here's how to decide who to play in your league.

Keep Exploring

2025 Game Logs for Players in This Game

Packers vs Bears Game FAQ

Who won the 2025 Packers vs Bears Wild Card game?

The Chicago Bears beat the Green Bay Packers 31–27 in the Wild Card round of the 2025 playoffs. The game was played at Soldier Field in Chicago, IL, on January 10, 2026. See the Bears' 2025 schedule.

What was the final score of Packers vs Bears?

The final score was Bears 31, Packers 27. The Packers led 21–3 at halftime, and the second half went Packers 6, Bears 28.

What happened in the Packers vs Bears game?

Chicago erased a 21–3 halftime deficit, outscoring Green Bay 28–6 after the break to win 31–27. The Bears finished with a narrow 445–421 edge in total offense. The Bears committed 2 turnovers, the Packers none.

What was the game-winning score in Packers vs Bears?

Caleb Williams' 25-yard touchdown pass to DJ Moore with 1:43 left in the fourth quarter gave the Bears a 31–27 lead they never gave up. It was the final score of the game.

How did the Bears come back to beat the Packers?

The Bears' chances of winning fell as low as <1% in the fourth quarter. Caleb Williams' 25-yard touchdown pass to DJ Moore in the fourth quarter was the biggest swing of the game. Caleb Williams' 25-yard touchdown pass to DJ Moore then put them ahead for good.

Which team won the turnover battle in Packers vs Bears?

The Packers won the turnover battle 2–0: the Bears gave the ball away 2 times and the Packers not at all. The Bears won the game anyway.

What was the turning point of Packers vs Bears?

Caleb Williams' 25-yard touchdown pass to DJ Moore with 1:43 left in the fourth quarter was the biggest swing of the game, moving the Bears' win probability from 9% to 96%.

What is the all-time Packers vs Bears record?

The Packers lead the all-time series 109–98–6 across 213 meetings since 1921, including a 1–2 record in the postseason.

When did the Packers and Bears last play before this game?

Before the 2025 Wild Card round, they last met in the 2025 season on December 20, 2025, when the Bears beat the Packers 22–16.

Have the Packers and Bears met in the playoffs?

Yes, 3 times, most recently in the 2025 playoffs. The Packers are 1–2 against the Bears in the postseason.

What is the Packers vs Bears record since 2021?

The Packers lead 8–3 across 11 meetings since the 2021 season, including this game.

What was the closing spread for Packers vs Bears?

The consensus closing spread at kickoff was Packers −1.5, making the Green Bay Packers 1.5-point favorites, with a closing total of 46.5. That implied about 24.0 points for the Packers and 22.5 for the Bears.

Did Packers vs Bears go over or under the total?

The game went over. The consensus closing total was 46.5, and the teams combined for 58 points, 11.5 over the number.

Who covered the spread in Packers vs Bears?

The Bears covered as 1.5-point underdogs against the closing line of Packers −1.5. The final margin was 4 points.