Final2021 Week 7

Lambeau Field, Green Bay, WI

Washington Commanders vs Green Bay Packers, Week 7 2021

Washington Commanders

Away

10

Green Bay Packers

HomeWon

24

Scoring by quarter
TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Commanders700310
Packers777324

WAS 10GB 24 Final

  • Passing leader

    Aaron Rodgers

    GB · QB

    24.7PPR pts

    27/35, 274 YDS, 3 TD

  • Top fantasy scorer

    Terry McLaurin

    WAS · WR

    25.2PPR pts

    7 REC, 122 YDS, 1 TD

  • Commanders leader

    Taylor Heinicke

    WAS · QB

    21.2PPR pts

    25/37, 268 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT

  • Defensive playmaker

    Chandon Sullivan

    GB

    1 INT, 4 TKL

Packers 24, Commanders 10: Green Bay pulls away from Washington

Green Bay led 14–7 at halftime and outscored Washington 10–3 after the break to win 24–10. Washington outgained the Packers 430–304.

The Commanders went 4-for-11 on third down and committed two turnovers.

Key advantages

  • +1 turnover margin GB 1 · WAS 2 turnovers
  • +14% third-down rate GB 50% · WAS 36%

Game Highlights

Official NFL highlights · Opens from YouTube

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Why the Packers Won

Green Bay won the turnover and third-down battles.

Team stats comparison, Commanders vs Packers
CommandersStatPackers
2Turnovers1
36%Third-down conversion50%
Other team stats
430Total yards304
6.1Yards per play5.7
70Plays53
32:54Time of possession27:06

Scoring Summary

The Packers scored three touchdowns and one field goal; the Commanders scored one touchdown and one field goal.

Scoring plays, Commanders vs Packers
TimeTeamPlayWASGB
1st quarter
7:11GBAaron Rodgers → Davante Adams, 17-yard TD Takes leadMason Crosby XP07
2:26WASTaylor Heinicke → Terry McLaurin, 40-yard TD Ties gameChris Blewitt XP77
2nd quarter
0:15GBAaron Rodgers → Allen Lazard, 10-yard TD Takes leadMason Crosby XP714
3rd quarter
12:30GBAaron Rodgers → Robert Tonyan, 20-yard TD Extends leadMason Crosby XP721
4th quarter
11:21GBMason Crosby 39-yard FG Extends lead724
2:25WASChris Blewitt 45-yard FG1024

Fantasy Points: Commanders vs Packers, Week 7 2021

Fantasy leaders

  1. Terry McLaurinWASWR25.2 PTSWR5
  2. Aaron RodgersGBQB24.7 PTSQB4
  3. Davante AdamsGBWR19.6 PTSWR9
  4. Taylor HeinickeWASQB19.2 PTSQB12

Player Stats

Quarterbacks

Quarterback statistics
PlayerFPTSFINCMP/ATTPass YDSTDINTRush ATTRush YDSRush TDRateStart/Sit
Aaron RodgersGBQB24.7QB427/35274302170127.6Start/Sit →
Taylor HeinickeWASQB19.2QB1225/37268111095086.3

WRs, RBs, & TEs

Receiver, running back and tight end statistics
PlayerFPTSFINPOSRush ATTRush YDSRush TDTGTRECRec YDSRec TDStart/Sit
Terry McLaurinWASWR25.2WR5WR———1271221Start/Sit →
Davante AdamsGBWR19.6WR9WR———76761Start/Sit →
Allen LazardGBWR17.0WR14WR———65601
Robert TonyanGBTE16.3TE5TE———54631Start/Sit →
Ricky Seals-JonesWASTE11.1TE10TE———76510
J.D. McKissicWASRB9.6RB29RB422064340
Aaron JonesGBRB8.9RB32RB619055200
Antonio GibsonWASRB6.6RB35RB145102250
Adam HumphriesWASWR6.6WR47WR———43360
Marcedes LewisGBTE6.1TE24TE———33310
Randall CobbGBWR5.2WR54WR———43220
Dax MilneWASWR3.6WR70WR———42160
DeAndre CarterWASWR3.1WR74WR12701140
Equanimeous St. BrownGBWR1.3WR90WR11301000
Kylin HillGBRB0.2RB70RB3201000
AJ DillonGBRB-2.2—RB3602120Start/Sit →

Fantasy Usage

Washington Commanders

Snap Share

  1. Ricky Seals-JonesTE72 snaps100%
  2. Terry McLaurinWR66 snaps92%
  3. Adam HumphriesWR50 snaps69%
  4. J.D. McKissicRB46 snaps64%
  5. DeAndre CarterWR39 snaps54%

Target Share36 targets

  1. Terry McLaurin33%, 12 targets
  2. Ricky Seals-Jones19%, 7 targets
  3. J.D. McKissic17%, 6 targets
  4. Adam Humphries11%, 4 targets
  5. Dax Milne11%, 4 targets
  6. Other8%, 3 targets

Carry Share29 carries

  1. Antonio Gibson48%, 14 carries
  2. Taylor Heinicke34%, 10 carries
  3. J.D. McKissic14%, 4 carries
  4. DeAndre Carter3%, 1 carries

Green Bay Packers

Snap Share

  1. Allen LazardWR51 snaps91%
  2. Davante AdamsWR48 snaps86%
  3. Aaron JonesRB41 snaps73%
  4. Robert TonyanTE38 snaps68%
  5. Randall CobbWR35 snaps63%

Target Share34 targets

  1. Davante Adams21%, 7 targets
  2. Allen Lazard18%, 6 targets
  3. Aaron Jones15%, 5 targets
  4. Robert Tonyan15%, 5 targets
  5. Randall Cobb12%, 4 targets
  6. Other21%, 7 targets

Carry Share15 carries

  1. Aaron Jones40%, 6 carries
  2. AJ Dillon20%, 3 carries
  3. Kylin Hill20%, 3 carries
  4. Aaron Rodgers13%, 2 carries
  5. Equanimeous St. Brown7%, 1 carries
View full usage tableHide full usage table
Offensive snaps and share for the skill positions
PlayerSNAPSSNAP %TGTTGT %CAR
Ricky Seals-JonesWASTE72100%719%0
Terry McLaurinWASWR6692%1233%0
Allen LazardGBWR5191%618%0
Davante AdamsGBWR4886%721%0
Aaron JonesGBRB4173%515%6
Adam HumphriesWASWR5069%411%0
Robert TonyanGBTE3868%515%0
J.D. McKissicWASRB4664%617%4
Randall CobbGBWR3563%412%0
DeAndre CarterWASWR3954%13%1
Antonio GibsonWASRB3042%26%14
Dax MilneWASWR2940%411%0
Marcedes LewisGBTE2138%39%0
AJ DillonGBRB1323%26%3
Equanimeous St. BrownGBWR1221%13%1
Josiah DeguaraGBTE1120%00%0
John BatesWASTE1115%00%0
Dyami BrownWASWR1014%00%0
Kylin HillGBRB59%13%3
Antonio Gandy-GoldenWASTE68%00%0
Amari RodgersGBWR47%00%0
Tyler DavisGBTE12%00%0
Jaret PattersonWASRB11%00%0

Fantasy Points vs Expected

Expected points (xFP) are what a player's pass attempts, carries and targets are worth at the league's average rates; the difference is what the player made of them.

  • Biggest overperformer+8.0Aaron Rodgers24.7 PTS vs 16.7 xFP
  • Biggest underperformer−5.5AJ Dillon-0.2 PTS vs 5.3 xFP
  • Highest expected volume22.7 xFPTaylor Heinicke21.2 PTS scored
Usage and expected fantasy points
PlayerPTSxFPvs xFPSnap%UsageRte%Pass attCarCar%TgtTgt%
Taylor HeinickeWAS · QB21.222.7−1.5100%37 att—371034%00%
Terry McLaurinWAS · WR25.220.2+5.092%33% tgt—000%1233%
Aaron RodgersGB · QB24.716.7+8.0100%35 att—35213%00%
J.D. McKissicWAS · RB9.612.7−3.164%17% tgt—0414%617%
Antonio GibsonWAS · RB7.612.4−4.842%48% car—01448%26%
Aaron Jones Sr.GB · RB8.912.3−3.473%40% car—0640%515%
Davante AdamsGB · WR19.611.8+7.886%21% tgt—000%721%
Ricky Seals-JonesWAS · TE11.111.8−0.7100%19% tgt—000%719%
Allen LazardGB · WR17.010.1+6.991%18% tgt—000%618%
Robert TonyanGB · TE16.38.4+7.968%15% tgt—000%515%
Adam HumphriesWAS · WR6.66.7−0.169%11% tgt—000%411%
Dax MilneWAS · WR3.66.7−3.140%11% tgt—000%411%
Randall CobbGB · WR5.26.7−1.563%12% tgt—000%412%
AJ DillonGB · RB-0.25.3−5.523%20% car—0320%26%
Marcedes LewisGB · TE6.15.1+1.038%9% tgt—000%39%
Kylin HillGB · RB0.23.6−3.49%20% car—0320%13%
DeAndre CarterWAS · WR4.12.3+1.854%3% car—013%13%
Equanimeous St. BrownGB · WR1.32.3−1.021%7% car—017%13%

Team totals: Commanders 36 targets and 29 carries; Packers 34 targets and 15 carries. Shares are from the box score. Snap counts are from the weekly player logs (Sleeper), and include plays wiped out by penalties. Route counts, air yards and red-zone touches appear when the tracking feed is connected. League-average rates from the 2021 season: 1.68 PPR points per target (67% catch rate), 0.64 per carry and 0.44 per pass attempt. They don't adjust for field position or target depth.

Fantasy Verdicts

Taylor Heinicke

WAS · QB · 21.2 pts on 22.7 expected

25 of 37 passing for 268 yards, 1 touchdown, 1 interception; 10 carries for 95 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 22.7 expected.

Aaron Rodgers Ran hot

GB · QB · 24.7 pts on 16.7 expected

27 of 35 passing for 274 yards, 3 touchdowns; 2 carries for 17 yards.

Verdict: The opportunities were worth 16.7 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.

Start/Sit: Aaron Rodgers →

Terry McLaurin Ran hot

WAS · WR · 25.2 pts on 20.2 expected

12 targets (33% of the team's), 7 catches for 122 yards and 1 touchdown.

Verdict: The opportunities were worth 20.2 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.

Start/Sit: Terry McLaurin →

J.D. McKissic

WAS · RB · 9.6 pts on 12.7 expected

6 targets (17% of the team's), 4 catches for 34 yards; 4 carries (14% of the team's) for 22 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 12.7 expected.

Aaron Jones Sr.

GB · RB · 8.9 pts on 12.3 expected

5 targets (15% of the team's), 5 catches for 20 yards; 6 carries (40% of the team's) for 19 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 12.3 expected.

Davante Adams Ran hot

GB · WR · 19.6 pts on 11.8 expected

7 targets (21% of the team's), 6 catches for 76 yards and 1 touchdown.

Verdict: The opportunities were worth 11.8 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.

Start/Sit: Davante Adams →

Allen Lazard Ran hot

GB · WR · 17.0 pts on 10.1 expected

6 targets (18% of the team's), 5 catches for 60 yards and 1 touchdown.

Verdict: The opportunities were worth 10.1 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.

Robert Tonyan Ran hot

GB · TE · 16.3 pts on 8.4 expected

5 targets (15% of the team's), 4 catches for 63 yards and 1 touchdown.

Verdict: The opportunities were worth 8.4 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.

Start/Sit: Robert Tonyan →

Stock Up, Stock Down

Washington Commanders

  • Stock up: J.D. McKissic led the backfield with 64% of the snaps after trailing Antonio Gibson before this game.
  • Stock up: Ricky Seals-Jones played 100% of the snaps, up from a 56% season average.
  • Stock up: Dax Milne played 40% of the snaps, up from a 16% season average.

Green Bay Packers

  • Stock up: Allen Lazard played 91% of the snaps, up from a 75% season average.
  • Stock up: Randall Cobb played 63% of the snaps, up from a 36% season average.

Fantasy Matchups

Fantasy points allowed per game by position, 2021 through Week 18.

Fantasy points allowed per game by position, Commanders defense and Packers defense
Points allowed toCommanders DPackers D
QBs22.118.3
RBs21.920.8
WRs36.033.4
TEs12.913.2

Regular season, summed from each game's box score and scored with this page's rules.

How the Game Swung

Green Bay opened at 74% win probability and passed 98% in the third quarter on the way to the win.

Packers win probability

Packers win probability by game minutePackers started at 74%, stood at 88% at halftime and finished at 100%, across 6 scoring plays.Q1Q2Q3Q4100%50%0%

Key Swings

  1. +15Rodgers → Adams, 17-yd TD72% → 87%Q1 7:11
  2. −16Heinicke → McLaurin, 40-yd TD87% → 71%Q1 2:26
  3. +21Rodgers → Lazard, 10-yd TD67% → 88%Q2 0:15
  4. +9Rodgers → Tonyan, 20-yd TD88% → 97%Q3 12:30

Swing in Packers win probability, in points

Play Calling and Possessions

Play calling, Commanders vs Packers
Washington CommandersMeasureGreen Bay Packers
70Plays53
59%Pass rate72%
5.7Yds / dropback6.5
6.7Yds / carry3.8
4/11Third downs6/12

Efficiency edge Green Bay ran 17 fewer plays but gained 0.8 more yards per dropback.

  • Top targets
  • WAS McLaurin 33% · Seals-Jones 19% · McKissic 17%
  • GB Adams 21% · Lazard 18% · Jones 15%

Possession Results

How each possession ended, Commanders vs Packers
ResultWASGB
Touchdowns13
Field goals11
Punts03
Turnovers21
Turnovers on downs30
Missed field goals11

GB turnover edge: +1

  • The Packers opened the scoring on their first possession, a 13-play, 75-yard drive that ended in a touchdown.
All 19 possessions, drive by drive
Drive chart
TeamStartPlaysYardsTimeResult
GBQ1 15:0013757:49Touchdown
WASQ1 7:118834:45Touchdown
GBQ1 2:263-111:09Punt
WASQ1 1:179394:55Missed FG
GBQ2 11:2210526:05Missed FG
WASQ2 5:175452:19Downs
GBQ2 2:589722:43Touchdown
WASQ2 0:151-10:15End of half
WASQ3 15:00240:53Fumble
GBQ3 14:073271:37Touchdown
WASQ3 12:3011766:38Downs
GBQ3 5:52351:48Punt
WASQ3 4:047562:59Downs
GBQ3 1:059754:43Field goal
WASQ4 11:2213654:53Interception
GBQ4 6:292180:50Fumble
WASQ4 5:396113:14Field goal
GBQ4 2:253-10:22Punt
WASQ4 2:0310652:03End of game
About these numbers

Possessions that ended with the clock running out at the half or the end of the game aren't counted.

Personnel groupings, average depth of target and pass rate over expected appear when the tracking feed is connected.

Commanders vs Packers Head-to-Head

The Commanders and Packers first met in 1932 and have played 41 times since.

All-time series
23–17–1Packers lead, 41 meetings since 1932
Postseason
2–1Packers won in 1936 and 2015; Commanders won in 1972
Largest Commanders win
30–01949
Largest Packers win
37–02001

Since 2021

2–1 Packers lead

3 meetings since the 2021 season, regular season and playoffs.

Oldest to newest. P = Packers win, C = Commanders win, outlined = this game.

Recent Meetings

Season to Date (Through Week 18)

The 2021 regular season, from each game's box score.

Season to date, Commanders vs Packers
CommandersStatPackers
7-10Record13-4
19.7Points per game26.5
323.6Yards per game365.6
5.1Yards per play5.8
25.5Points allowed per game21.8
359.3Yards allowed per game328.2

Commanders vs Packers Odds and Results

How this game finished against the betting lines.

Spread
GB −8.5Packers covered by 5.5
Total
48Under: 34 points scored (by 14)

Expected vs Actual Scoring

Implied team totals against the actual score
TeamImpliedActualDifference
Packers28.324−4.3
Commanders19.810−9.8

Both offenses finished under the market's expectation, which matches the low fantasy output in the Fantasy tab.

Betting Trends

Each team's 2021 season through this game. Over/under is overs first.

Washington Commanders

Against the spread
1–6
Over/under
4–3
ATS as favorite
1–2
ATS as underdog
0–4
ATS on the road
1–2

Green Bay Packers

Against the spread
6–1
Over/under
2–5
ATS as favorite
5–1
ATS as underdog
1–0
ATS at home
3–0

Lines: ESPN's consensus, captured at kickoff. Individual sportsbooks varied.

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Commanders and Packers in Fantasy

The two teams don't meet again this season. If you roster a Commander or a Packer, these answer the week-to-week question.

Keep Exploring

2021 Game Logs for Players in This Game

Commanders vs Packers Game FAQ

Who won the 2021 Commanders vs Packers Week 7 game?

The Green Bay Packers beat the Washington Commanders 24–10 in Week 7 of the 2021 season. The game was played at Lambeau Field in Green Bay, WI, on October 24, 2021. See the Packers' 2021 schedule.

What was the final score of Commanders vs Packers?

The final score was Packers 24, Commanders 10. The Packers led 14–7 at halftime, and the second half went Commanders 3, Packers 10.

What happened in the Commanders vs Packers game?

Green Bay led 14–7 at halftime and outscored Washington 10–3 after the break to win 24–10. Washington outgained the Packers 430–304. Terry McLaurin led all players with 7 catches for 122 yards and a touchdown. The Commanders committed 2 turnovers, the Packers 1.

Who scored the most fantasy points in Commanders vs Packers?

Terry McLaurin led the game with 25.2 PPR fantasy points, the WR5 of Week 7, on 7 catches for 122 yards and a touchdown. Aaron Rodgers was next with 24.7 (QB4). See Terry McLaurin's 2021 game log.

Who led Commanders vs Packers in passing, rushing and receiving?

Aaron Rodgers (GB) led all passers with 27 of 35 for 274 yards and 3 touchdowns. Taylor Heinicke (WAS) led in rushing with 10 carries for 95 yards. Terry McLaurin (WAS) led in receiving with 7 catches for 122 yards and a touchdown.

How many fantasy points did Terry McLaurin score against the Packers?

Terry McLaurin scored 25.2 points in PPR leagues, 21.7 in half-PPR and 18.2 in standard scoring against the Packers in Week 7 of the 2021 season, on 7 catches for 122 yards and a touchdown. He drew 33% of his team's targets.

Who outperformed and underperformed expected fantasy points in Commanders vs Packers?

Aaron Rodgers outperformed his expected fantasy points the most, scoring 24.7 PPR points on 16.7 xFP (+8.0). AJ Dillon fell furthest short, with -0.2 points on 5.3 xFP (−5.5). A gap either way reflects efficiency and touchdowns in one game; it is not a forecast. For matchups ahead, see fantasy points allowed by position.

How did the Packers beat the Commanders?

The Packers beat the Commanders 24–10 because they won the turnover battle 2–1.

Which team won the turnover battle in Commanders vs Packers?

The Packers won the turnover battle 2–1: the Commanders gave the ball away 2 times and the Packers 1 time. The Packers won the game.

What is the all-time Commanders vs Packers record?

The Packers lead the all-time series 23–17–1 across 41 meetings since 1932, including a 2–1 record in the postseason.

When did the Commanders and Packers last play before this game?

Before Week 7 of 2021, they last met in the 2019 season on December 8, 2019, when the Packers beat the Commanders 20–15.

Have the Commanders and Packers met in the playoffs?

Yes, 3 times, most recently in the 2015 playoffs. The Commanders are 1–2 against the Packers in the postseason.

What was the closing spread for Commanders vs Packers?

The consensus closing spread at kickoff was Packers −8.5, making the Green Bay Packers 8.5-point favorites, with a closing total of 48. That implied about 28.3 points for the Packers and 19.8 for the Commanders.

Did Commanders vs Packers go over or under the total?

The game went under. The consensus closing total was 48, and the teams combined for 34 points, 14 under the number.

Who covered the spread in Commanders vs Packers?

The Packers covered by 5.5 against the closing line of Packers −8.5. The final margin was 14 points.