Final2021 Week 17

MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs New York Jets, Week 17 2021

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

AwayWon

28

New York Jets

Home

24

Scoring by quarter
TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Buccaneers7371128
Jets7107024

TB 28NYJ 24 Final

  • Passing leader

    Tom Brady

    TB · QB

    27.4PPR pts

    34/50, 410 YDS, 3 TD, 1 INT

  • Top fantasy scorer

    Braxton Berrios

    NYJ · WR

    25.7PPR pts

    8 REC, 65 YDS, 1 TD, 1 RUSH TD

  • Jets leader

    Ty Johnson

    NYJ · RB

    17.2PPR pts

    5 ATT, 35 YDS, 1 TD, 3 REC, 47 REC YDS

  • Defensive playmaker

    Brandin Echols

    NYJ

    1 INT, 4 TKL

Buccaneers 28, Jets 24: Tampa Bay rallies from 7 down at halftime

Tampa Bay erased a 17–10 halftime deficit, outscoring New York 18–7 after the break to win 28–24. The Buccaneers finished with a 467–374 edge in total offense and averaged 6.5 yards per play.

The Jets went 6-for-11 on third down and committed one turnover, while the Buccaneers kept the ball for 33:03.

Key advantages

  • +0.3 yards/play TB 6.5 · NYJ 6.2
  • +93 total yards TB 467 · NYJ 374
  • +5% third-down rate TB 60% · NYJ 55%

Game Highlights

Official NFL highlights · Opens from YouTube

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Why the Buccaneers Won

Tampa Bay won the efficiency, third-down, and time of possession battles.

Team stats comparison, Buccaneers vs Jets
BuccaneersStatJets
6.5Yards per play6.2
467Total yards374
60%Third-down conversion55%
Other team stats
72Plays60
1Turnovers1
33:03Time of possession26:57

Scoring Summary

The Buccaneers scored three touchdowns and two field goals; the Jets scored three touchdowns and one field goal.

Scoring plays, Buccaneers vs Jets
TimeTeamPlayTBNYJ
1st quarter
12:04NYJBraxton Berrios 1-yard TD run Takes leadEddy Pineiro XP07
5:43TBTom Brady → Mike Evans, 4-yard TD Ties gameRyan Succop XP77
2nd quarter
13:43NYJZach Wilson → Braxton Berrios, 9-yard TD Takes leadEddy Pineiro XP714
10:50TBRyan Succop 39-yard FG1014
0:01NYJEddy Pineiro 51-yard FG Extends lead1017
3rd quarter
6:56NYJTy Johnson 1-yard TD run Extends leadEddy Pineiro XP1024
0:29TBTom Brady → Cameron Brate, 4-yard TDRyan Succop XP1724
4th quarter
7:36TBRyan Succop 27-yard FG2024
0:15TBTom Brady → Cyril Grayson, 33-yard TD Game winnerLe'Veon Bell 2-pt run2824

Fantasy Points: Buccaneers vs Jets, Week 17 2021

Fantasy leaders

  1. Tom BradyTBQB27.4 PTSQB3
  2. Braxton BerriosNYJWR24.7 PTSWR5
  3. Cyril GraysonTBWR20.1 PTSWR10
  4. Rob GronkowskiTBTE18.5 PTSTE2

Player Stats

Quarterbacks

Quarterback statistics
PlayerFPTSFINCMP/ATTPass YDSTDINTRush ATTRush YDSRush TDRateStart/Sit
Tom BradyTBQB27.4QB334/5041031———104.6
Zach WilsonNYJQB13.4QB1619/332341020089.7

WRs, RBs, & TEs

Receiver, running back and tight end statistics
PlayerFPTSFINPOSRush ATTRush YDSRush TDTGTRECRec YDSRec TDStart/Sit
Braxton BerriosNYJWR24.7WR5WR2121128651Start/Sit →
Cyril GraysonTBWR20.1WR10WR———86811
Rob GronkowskiTBTE18.5TE2TE———1071150
Ty JohnsonNYJRB17.2RB18RB535143470Start/Sit →
Mike EvansTBWR14.7WR22WR———74471Start/Sit →
Tyler JohnsonTBWR9.0WR47WR———64500
Le'Veon BellTBRB8.5RB34RB35033300
Cameron BrateTBTE8.5TE16TE———3251
Michael CarterNYJRB7.3RB36RB35401190Start/Sit →
Ke'Shawn VaughnTBRB6.5RB39RB831032140
Breshad PerrimanTBWR6.1WR63WR———32410
Kenny YeboahNYJTE5.6TE27TE———22360
Antonio BrownTBWR5.6WR67WR———53260
Keelan ColeNYJWR5.5WR68WR———52350
Austin WalterNYJRB4.9RB46RB14490————
Daniel BrownNYJTE4.9TE30TE———22290
Ronald JonesTBRB3.7RB54RB102601110
Jeff SmithNYJWR2.3WR96WR———41130

Fantasy Usage

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Snap Share

  1. Rob GronkowskiTE70 snaps95%
  2. Mike EvansWR56 snaps76%
  3. Tyler JohnsonWR49 snaps66%
  4. Cyril GraysonWR47 snaps64%
  5. Antonio BrownWR26 snaps35%

Target Share49 targets

  1. Rob Gronkowski20%, 10 targets
  2. Cyril Grayson16%, 8 targets
  3. Mike Evans14%, 7 targets
  4. Tyler Johnson12%, 6 targets
  5. Antonio Brown10%, 5 targets
  6. Other27%, 13 targets

Carry Share21 carries

  1. Ronald Jones48%, 10 carries
  2. Ke'Shawn Vaughn38%, 8 carries
  3. Le'Veon Bell14%, 3 carries

New York Jets

Snap Share

  1. Jeff SmithWR59 snaps97%
  2. Braxton BerriosWR53 snaps87%
  3. Keelan ColeWR50 snaps82%
  4. Kenny YeboahTE37 snaps61%
  5. Ty JohnsonRB31 snaps51%

Target Share30 targets

  1. Braxton Berrios40%, 12 targets
  2. Keelan Cole17%, 5 targets
  3. Ty Johnson13%, 4 targets
  4. Jeff Smith13%, 4 targets
  5. Daniel Brown7%, 2 targets
  6. Other10%, 3 targets

Carry Share26 carries

  1. Austin Walter54%, 14 carries
  2. Ty Johnson19%, 5 carries
  3. Michael Carter12%, 3 carries
  4. Braxton Berrios8%, 2 carries
  5. Zach Wilson8%, 2 carries
View full usage tableHide full usage table
Offensive snaps and share for the skill positions
PlayerSNAPSSNAP %TGTTGT %CAR
Jeff SmithNYJWR5997%413%0
Rob GronkowskiTBTE7095%1020%0
Braxton BerriosNYJWR5387%1240%2
Keelan ColeNYJWR5082%517%0
Mike EvansTBWR5676%714%0
Tyler JohnsonTBWR4966%612%0
Cyril GraysonTBWR4764%816%0
Kenny YeboahNYJTE3761%27%0
Ty JohnsonNYJRB3151%413%5
Austin WalterNYJRB2541%00%14
Antonio BrownTBWR2635%510%0
Le'Veon BellTBRB2635%36%3
Ke'Shawn VaughnTBRB2432%36%8
Cameron BrateTBTE2128%36%0
Ronald JonesTBRB2027%12%10
Daniel BrownNYJTE1220%27%0
O.J. HowardTBTE1419%00%0
Breshad PerrimanTBWR1115%36%0
Michael CarterNYJRB813%13%3
D.J. MontgomeryNYJWR35%00%0

Fantasy Points vs Expected

Expected points (xFP) are what a player's pass attempts, carries and targets are worth at the league's average rates; the difference is what the player made of them.

  • Biggest overperformer+7.3Ty Johnson17.2 PTS vs 9.9 xFP
  • Biggest underperformer−4.4Ronald Jones3.7 PTS vs 8.1 xFP
  • Highest expected volume22.0 xFPTom Brady27.4 PTS scored
Usage and expected fantasy points
PlayerPTSxFPvs xFPSnap%UsageRte%Pass attCarCar%TgtTgt%
Tom BradyTB · QB27.422.0+5.4100%50 att—5000%00%
Braxton BerriosNYJ · WR25.721.5+4.287%40% tgt—028%1240%
Rob GronkowskiTB · TE18.516.8+1.795%20% tgt—000%1020%
Zach WilsonNYJ · QB13.415.8−2.4100%33 att—3328%00%
Cyril Grayson Jr.TB · WR20.113.5+6.664%16% tgt—000%816%
Mike EvansTB · WR14.711.8+2.976%14% tgt—000%714%
Ke'Shawn VaughnTB · RB6.510.2−3.732%38% car—0838%36%
Tyler JohnsonTB · WR9.010.1−1.166%12% tgt—000%612%
Ty JohnsonNYJ · RB17.29.9+7.351%19% car—0519%413%
Austin WalterNYJ · RB4.99.0−4.141%54% car—01454%00%
Antonio BrownTB · WR5.68.4−2.835%10% tgt—000%510%
Keelan Cole Sr.NYJ · WR5.58.4−2.982%17% tgt—000%517%
Ronald JonesTB · —3.78.1−4.427%48% car—01048%12%
Le'Veon BellTB · RB8.57.0+1.535%14% car—0314%36%
Jeff SmithNYJ · WR2.36.7−4.497%13% tgt—000%413%
Breshad PerrimanTB · WR6.15.1+1.015%6% tgt—000%36%
Cameron BrateTB · TE8.55.1+3.428%6% tgt—000%36%
Michael CarterNYJ · RB7.33.6+3.713%12% car—0312%13%
Daniel BrownNYJ · TE4.93.4+1.520%7% tgt—000%27%
Kenny YeboahNYJ · TE5.63.4+2.261%7% tgt—000%27%

Team totals: Buccaneers 49 targets and 21 carries; Jets 30 targets and 26 carries. Shares are from the box score. Snap counts are from the weekly player logs (Sleeper), and include plays wiped out by penalties. Route counts, air yards and red-zone touches appear when the tracking feed is connected. League-average rates from the 2021 season: 1.68 PPR points per target (67% catch rate), 0.64 per carry and 0.44 per pass attempt. They don't adjust for field position or target depth.

Fantasy Verdicts

Tom Brady Ran hot

TB · QB · 27.4 pts on 22.0 expected

34 of 50 passing for 410 yards, 3 touchdowns, 1 interception.

Verdict: The opportunities were worth 22.0 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.

Zach Wilson

NYJ · QB · 13.4 pts on 15.8 expected

19 of 33 passing for 234 yards, 1 touchdown; 2 carries for 0 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 15.8 expected.

Rob Gronkowski

TB · TE · 18.5 pts on 16.8 expected

10 targets (20% of the team's), 7 catches for 115 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 16.8 expected.

Cyril Grayson Jr. Ran hot

TB · WR · 20.1 pts on 13.5 expected

8 targets (16% of the team's), 6 catches for 81 yards and 1 touchdown.

Verdict: The opportunities were worth 13.5 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.

Braxton Berrios Strong role

NYJ · WR · 25.7 pts on 21.5 expected

12 targets (40% of the team's), 8 catches for 65 yards and 1 touchdown; 2 carries (8% of the team's) for 12 yards and 1 touchdown.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 21.5 expected.

Start/Sit: Braxton Berrios →

Ty Johnson Ran hot

NYJ · RB · 17.2 pts on 9.9 expected

4 targets (13% of the team's), 3 catches for 47 yards; 5 carries (19% of the team's) for 35 yards and 1 touchdown.

Verdict: The opportunities were worth 9.9 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.

Start/Sit: Ty Johnson →

Tyler Johnson

TB · WR · 9.0 pts on 10.1 expected

6 targets (12% of the team's), 4 catches for 50 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 10.1 expected.

Austin Walter

NYJ · RB · 4.9 pts on 9.0 expected

14 carries (54% of the team's) for 49 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 9.0 expected.

Stock Up, Stock Down

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

  • Stock up: Rob Gronkowski played 95% of the snaps, up from a 73% season average.
  • Stock up: Cyril Grayson Jr. played 64% of the snaps, up from a 37% season average.
  • Stock up: Tyler Johnson played 66% of the snaps, up from a 49% season average.

New York Jets

  • Stock up: Ty Johnson led the backfield with 51% of the snaps after trailing Michael Carter before this game.
  • Stock up: Braxton Berrios played 87% of the snaps, up from a 34% season average.
  • Stock up: Austin Walter played 41% of the snaps, up from a 15% season average.

Fantasy Matchups

Fantasy points allowed per game by position, 2021 through Week 18.

Fantasy points allowed per game by position, Buccaneers defense and Jets defense
Points allowed toBuccaneers DJets D
QBs17.517.8
RBs21.730.2
WRs34.833.8
TEs13.316.5

Regular season, summed from each game's box score and scored with this page's rules.

How the Game Swung

New York opened at 14% win probability, climbed as high as >99%, then lost.

Jets win probability

Jets win probability by game minuteJets started at 14%, stood at 49% at halftime and finished at 0%, across 9 scoring plays.Q1Q2Q3Q4100%50%0%

Key Swings

  1. +20Wilson → Berrios, 9-yd TD18% → 38%Q2 13:43
  2. +27Johnson 1-yd TD run58% → 86%Q3 6:56
  3. −25Brady → Brate, 4-yd TD93% → 68%Q3 0:29
  4. −18Succop 27-yd FG86% → 67%Q4 7:36
  5. −100Brady → Grayson, 33-yd TD>99% → <1%Q4 0:15

Swing in Jets win probability, in points

Play Calling and Possessions

Play calling, Buccaneers vs Jets
Tampa Bay BuccaneersMeasureNew York Jets
72Plays60
71%Pass rate57%
7.9Yds / dropback6.6
3.0Yds / carry5.8
9/15Third downs6/11

Efficiency edge Tampa Bay ran 12 more plays and gained 1.3 more yards per dropback.

  • Top targets
  • TB Gronkowski 20% · Grayson 16% · Evans 14%
  • NYJ Berrios 40% · Cole 17% · Smith 13%

Possession Results

How each possession ended, Buccaneers vs Jets
ResultTBNYJ
Touchdowns33
Field goals21
Punts34
Turnovers11
Turnovers on downs01
  • The Jets opened the scoring on their first possession, a 6-play, 72-yard drive that ended in a touchdown.
All 20 possessions, drive by drive
Drive chart
TeamStartPlaysYardsTimeResult
NYJQ1 15:006722:56Touchdown
TBQ1 12:0413756:21Touchdown
NYJQ1 5:4313747:00Touchdown
TBQ2 13:437542:53Field goal
NYJQ2 10:505352:06Punt
TBQ2 8:448386:20Punt
NYJQ2 2:246411:30Punt
TBQ2 0:545440:38Interception
NYJQ2 0:163190:15Field goal
TBQ2 0:01000:01End of half
TBQ3 15:00622:52Punt
NYJQ3 12:089665:12Touchdown
TBQ3 6:5613756:27Touchdown
NYJQ3 0:293-101:29Punt
TBQ4 14:005241:55Punt
NYJQ4 12:05300:50Punt
TBQ4 11:158383:39Field goal
NYJQ4 7:3611685:24Downs
TBQ4 2:129931:57Touchdown
NYJQ4 0:152100:15Fumble
About these numbers

Possessions that ended with the clock running out at the half or the end of the game aren't counted.

Personnel groupings, average depth of target and pass rate over expected appear when the tracking feed is connected.

Buccaneers vs Jets Head-to-Head

The Buccaneers and Jets first met in 1976 and have played 14 times since.

All-time series
10–4Jets lead, 14 meetings since 1976
Postseason
0No playoff meetings
Largest Buccaneers win
41–211984
Largest Jets win
62–281985

Since 2021

2–0 Buccaneers lead

2 meetings since the 2021 season, regular season and playoffs.

Oldest to newest. B = Buccaneers win, J = Jets win, outlined = this game.

Recent Meetings

Season to Date (Through Week 18)

The 2021 regular season, from each game's box score.

Season to date, Buccaneers vs Jets
BuccaneersStatJets
13-4Record4-13
30.1Points per game18.2
405.9Yards per game306.4
6.1Yards per play5.0
20.8Points allowed per game29.6
331.5Yards allowed per game397.6

Buccaneers vs Jets Odds and Results

How this game finished against the betting lines.

Spread
TB −14.5Buccaneers failed to cover by 10.5
Total
47.5Over: 52 points scored (by 4.5)

Expected vs Actual Scoring

Implied team totals against the actual score
TeamImpliedActualDifference
Buccaneers31.028−3.0
Jets16.524+7.5

The Jets beat their implied total and the Buccaneers fell short of theirs; the Fantasy tab has the player lines behind it.

Betting Trends

Each team's 2021 season through this game. Over/under is overs first.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Against the spread
8–8
Over/under
8–8
ATS as favorite
8–8
ATS on the road
3–6

New York Jets

Against the spread
6–10
Over/under
10–6
ATS as favorite
1–0
ATS as underdog
5–10
ATS at home
4–5

Lines: ESPN's consensus, captured at kickoff. Individual sportsbooks varied.

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Betting availability depends on your state.

Buccaneers and Jets in Fantasy

The two teams don't meet again this season. If you roster a Buccaneer or a Jet, these answer the week-to-week question.

Keep Exploring

2021 Game Logs for Players in This Game

Buccaneers vs Jets Game FAQ

Who won the 2021 Buccaneers vs Jets Week 17 game?

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers beat the New York Jets 28–24 in Week 17 of the 2021 season. The game was played at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, NJ, on January 2, 2022. See the Buccaneers' 2021 schedule.

What was the final score of Buccaneers vs Jets?

The final score was Buccaneers 28, Jets 24. The Jets led 17–10 at halftime, and the second half went Buccaneers 18, Jets 7.

What happened in the Buccaneers vs Jets game?

Tampa Bay erased a 17–10 halftime deficit, outscoring New York 18–7 after the break to win 28–24. The Buccaneers finished with a 467–374 edge in total offense and averaged 6.5 yards per play. Tom Brady led all players with 34 of 50 passing for 410 yards and 3 touchdowns.

What was the game-winning score in Buccaneers vs Jets?

Tom Brady's 33-yard touchdown pass to Cyril Grayson with 0:15 left in the fourth quarter gave the Buccaneers a 28–24 lead they never gave up. It was the final score of the game.

Who scored the most fantasy points in Buccaneers vs Jets?

Tom Brady led the game with 27.4 PPR fantasy points, the QB3 of Week 17, on 34 of 50 passing for 410 yards and 3 touchdowns. Braxton Berrios was next with 24.7 (WR5).

Who led Buccaneers vs Jets in passing, rushing and receiving?

Tom Brady (TB) led all passers with 34 of 50 for 410 yards, 3 touchdowns and an interception. Michael Carter (NYJ) led in rushing with 3 carries for 54 yards. Rob Gronkowski (TB) led in receiving with 7 catches for 115 yards.

How many fantasy points did Tom Brady score against the Jets?

Tom Brady scored 27.4 fantasy points against the Jets in Week 17 of the 2021 season, the same in PPR, half-PPR and standard scoring because he had no catches, on 34 of 50 passing for 410 yards and 3 touchdowns.

Who outperformed and underperformed expected fantasy points in Buccaneers vs Jets?

Ty Johnson outperformed his expected fantasy points the most, scoring 17.2 PPR points on 9.9 xFP (+7.3). Ronald Jones fell furthest short, with 3.7 points on 8.1 xFP (−4.4). A gap either way reflects efficiency and touchdowns in one game; it is not a forecast. For matchups ahead, see fantasy points allowed by position.

Who had the highest expected fantasy points in Buccaneers vs Jets?

Tom Brady had the most fantasy opportunity in the game, worth 22.0 expected PPR points (xFP) at league-average rates, and scored 27.4. Expected points measure the volume of a player's pass attempts, carries and targets, not how well he used them.

How did the Buccaneers come back to beat the Jets?

The Buccaneers' chances of winning fell as low as <1% in the fourth quarter. Tom Brady's 33-yard touchdown pass to Cyril Grayson in the fourth quarter was the biggest swing of the game. Tom Brady's 33-yard touchdown pass to Cyril Grayson then put them ahead for good.

What is the all-time Buccaneers vs Jets record?

The Jets lead the all-time series 10–4 across 14 meetings since 1976.

When did the Buccaneers and Jets last play before this game?

Before Week 17 of 2021, they last met in the 2017 season on November 12, 2017, when the Buccaneers beat the Jets 15–10.

What was the closing spread for Buccaneers vs Jets?

The consensus closing spread at kickoff was Buccaneers −14.5, making the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 14.5-point favorites, with a closing total of 47.5. That implied about 31.0 points for the Buccaneers and 16.5 for the Jets.

Did Buccaneers vs Jets go over or under the total?

The game went over. The consensus closing total was 47.5, and the teams combined for 52 points, 4.5 over the number.

Who covered the spread in Buccaneers vs Jets?

The Jets covered as 14.5-point underdogs against the closing line of Buccaneers −14.5. The final margin was 4 points.