Alec Pierce 2026 fantasy outlook and rest-of-season projection
- Age
- 26
- Height / weight
- 6'3", 211 lb
- Experience
- 5th season
- Drafted
- 2022 R2, #53
2026 Season
- PPR PPG
- 6.1
- Pos rank
- WR92
- Rostered
- 61%
Week 4 at Commanders, Sun Oct 4, 9:30 AM ET 1st vs. WRs, favorable
Alec Pierce Rest-of-Season Outlook
Downfield depth WR on the sideline for now
On injured reserve, heel.
Preseason Projection vs. Reality
He finished WR28 last season at 12.2 points per game.
Our Take After Week 4
Through 2 games he's WR92 at 6.1 PPR points per game, against 12.2 over 15 games last season (WR28). He's running behind last season's pace.
Last season he ranked 41st of 142 in target volume (15.8% target share), 7th of 142 in downfield role (36.4% air-yards share) and 20th of 142 in efficiency (2.22 yards per route run). His points come from his downfield role. Daniel Jones is his quarterback.
He's on injured reserve, heel. Until he's back, his value is a bench spot at most.
The next favorable matchup is the Commanders in Week 4 (1st against WRs).
Read our preseason outlook (June 2026)
Published June 17, 2026. Kept for reference; the take above replaces it.
Pierce broke through in 2025: 1,003 yards on just 47 grabs, a 21.3-yard average, 6 scores and a WR19 advanced finish. The efficiency is real and rare, a 0.664 EPA per play, 53.6% success rate, 2.22 yards per route and a 36.4% air-yards share that ranked him among the league's premier vertical threats. His hands held up too, one drop on 48 catchable balls. The catch: it was built on an 18.96 air-yards-per-target diet, the most volatile way to score fantasy points.
With Pittman gone, he's the nominal top target, yet the role demands underneath work he's never logged, and Tyler Warren plus Josh Downs will eat short-area volume. A 15.8% target share and 56% catch rate cap the floor, and his ceiling rides on Daniel Jones throwing deep. An offseason ankle procedure may cost early camp reps. Treat him as a sixth-round dart with WR2 upside and weekly variance.
What Drives His Outlook
His 2025 rank among the 142 receivers who played at least six games. Each bar is one receiver, best on the left; his is highlighted.
Target volume
Downfield role
Efficiency
- Average depth of target
- 19.0
- Drop rate
- 1.2%
- Red-zone targets
- 9
- Route participation
- 78.6%
- YAC per reception
- 3.7
What Could Change His Value
Upside
- A soft spotThe Commanders in Week 4 is a top-10 matchup for WRs.Wk 4 WAS, 1stWk 5 PIT, 20thWk 6 TEN, 14thWk 7 MIN, 13th
- Heavy target volume15.8% target share, 41st of 142 WRs in 2025.
- Downfield role36.4% air-yards share, 7th of 142 WRs in 2025.
Risk
- InjuryHe's on injured reserve, heel.
All Alec Pierce stats & analysis
WRs like Alec Pierce
Alec Pierce Fantasy Outlook FAQ
What is Alec Pierce's fantasy outlook for the rest of the 2026 season?
Alec Pierce projects as a downfield depth WR on the sideline for now for the rest of the 2026 season: waiver-wire material in 12-team PPR, 10-team PPR and half-PPR leagues. His downfield role (36.4% air-yards share, 7th of 142 WRs in 2025) supports that. See his live rank in Redraft Command.
What is Alec Pierce's rest-of-season fantasy ranking?
Alec Pierce is the WR92 in PPR points per game through Week 4. That puts him in depth WR territory, waiver-wire material in 10-team PPR leagues.
What is Alec Pierce's fantasy football upside?
Alec Pierce's upside: his ceiling this season is 10.1 PPR points (Week 1, WR34), his downfield role (36.4% air-yards share, 7th of 142 WRs in 2025) gives him a weekly floor to build on and the Commanders in Week 4 is a top-10 matchup for WRs.
What could hurt Alec Pierce's fantasy value?
Alec Pierce's risks: he is on injured reserve, heel. See his injury status and history.
How difficult is Alec Pierce's remaining fantasy schedule?
About average: of his next seven games, 1 comes against a top-10 matchup for WRs and 1 against one of the stingiest defenses, by PPR points allowed to the position.