Courtland Sutton 2026 fantasy outlook and rest-of-season projection
- Age
- 30
- Height / weight
- 6'4", 216 lb
- Experience
- 9th season
- Drafted
- 2018 R2, #40
2026 Season
- PPR PPG
- 5.4
- Pos rank
- WR75
- Rostered
- 80%
Week 4 at 49ers, Sun Oct 4, 4:25 PM ET 23rd vs. WRs, tough
Courtland Sutton Rest-of-Season Outlook
Downfield depth WR for deep leagues only
Preseason Projection vs. Reality
He finished WR13 last season at 12.9 points per game.
Our Take After Week 4
Through 3 games he's WR75 at 5.4 PPR points per game, against 12.9 over 17 games last season (WR13). He's running behind last season's pace.
Last season he ranked 18th of 142 in target volume (21.2% target share), 11th of 142 in downfield role (34.4% air-yards share) and 43rd of 142 in efficiency (1.74 yards per route run). His points come from his downfield role. Bo Nix is his quarterback.
The main risk is the job itself. He's the listed starter with Lil'jordan Humphrey next on the depth chart, and a benching or an injury would take his value to zero overnight.
The next favorable matchup is the Cardinals in Week 7 (4th against WRs).
Read our preseason outlook (June 2026)
Published June 16, 2026. Kept for reference; the take above replaces it.
Sutton's WR12 finish in 2025 was built on opportunity more than dominance: a 21.2% target share, 124 targets across 17 games, and a 34.4% air-yards share that kept him the engine of Denver's downfield game. The efficiency, though, slipped from the prior year, with EPA per play climbing to 0.359 but yards per route run dipping to 1.74 and a 0.212 target-per-route rate that trails his 2024 mark. Seven scores on 74 grabs and 19 red-zone looks carried the fantasy line.
That touchdown dependence is the worry now. Bo Nix has leaned on him two straight seasons, but the arrival of Jaylen Waddle splinters a passing tree with little fresh volume to absorb, nudging Sutton toward a 1B role. His 1,017 yards and contested deep work keep a floor intact, yet the ceiling narrows. Treat him as a WR3 worth grabbing around the mid-rounds rather than reaching early.
What Drives His Outlook
His 2025 rank among the 142 receivers who played at least six games. Each bar is one receiver, best on the left; his is highlighted.
Target volume
Downfield role
Efficiency
- Average depth of target
- 12.4
- Drop rate
- 6.5%
- Red-zone targets
- 19
- Route participation
- 92.1%
- YAC per reception
- 3.0
What Could Change His Value
Upside
- A soft spotThe Cardinals in Week 7 is a top-10 matchup for WRs.Wk 4 SF, 23rdWk 5 LAC, 16thWk 6 SEA, 30thWk 7 ARI, 4th
- Heavy target volume21.2% target share, 18th of 142 WRs in 2025.
- Downfield role34.4% air-yards share, 11th of 142 WRs in 2025.
Risk
- Job securityLil'jordan Humphrey is next on the depth chart; a benching or injury hands him the job.
- Tough matchupsThe 49ers in Week 4 (23rd) and the Seahawks in Week 6 (30th) are among the stingiest defenses against WRs.
- DropsA 6.5% drop rate in 2025.
All Courtland Sutton stats & analysis
WRs like Courtland Sutton
WR72Jaylin NoelTexans17.2 PTS
WR73Tyquan ThorntonChiefs16.8 PTS
WR74Darnell MooneyGiants16.4 PTS
WR75You are hereCourtland SuttonBroncos16.2 PTS
WR76Michael PittmanSteelers15.9 PTS
WR77Brian ThomasJaguars15.8 PTS
WR78Jack BechRaiders15.8 PTS
Courtland Sutton Fantasy Outlook FAQ
What is Courtland Sutton's fantasy outlook for the rest of the 2026 season?
Courtland Sutton projects as a downfield depth WR for deep leagues only for the rest of the 2026 season: waiver-wire material in 12-team PPR, 10-team PPR and half-PPR leagues. His downfield role (34.4% air-yards share, 11th of 142 WRs in 2025) supports that. See his live rank in Redraft Command.
What is Courtland Sutton's rest-of-season fantasy ranking?
Courtland Sutton is the WR75 in PPR points per game through Week 4. That puts him in depth WR territory, waiver-wire material in 10-team PPR leagues.
What is Courtland Sutton's projected role going forward?
Courtland Sutton is the listed starting WR, with Lil'jordan Humphrey next on the depth chart. Nothing on the chart threatens the job, so the role is his to lose on performance.
Will Courtland Sutton get more targets?
Courtland Sutton's targets are holding steady: 5.5 a game over his last two games against 5.3 for the season. His share of the offense is what his fantasy value rides on.
What is Courtland Sutton's fantasy football upside?
Courtland Sutton's upside: his ceiling this season is 7.6 PPR points (Week 3, WR56), his downfield role (34.4% air-yards share, 11th of 142 WRs in 2025) gives him a weekly floor to build on and the Cardinals in Week 7 is a top-10 matchup for WRs.
What could hurt Courtland Sutton's fantasy value?
Courtland Sutton's risks: Lil'jordan Humphrey is next on the depth chart if he is benched or hurt and the 49ers in Week 4 and the Seahawks in Week 6 are tough matchups. See his injury status and history.
How difficult is Courtland Sutton's remaining fantasy schedule?
Difficult: of his next seven games, 1 comes against a top-10 matchup for WRs and 5 against one of the stingiest defenses, by PPR points allowed to the position.