DJ Moore 2026 fantasy outlook and rest-of-season projection
- Age
- 29
- Height / weight
- 6'0", 213 lb
- Experience
- 9th season
- Drafted
- 2018 R1, #24
2026 Season
- PPR PPG
- 11.2
- Pos rank
- WR31
- Rostered
- 96%
Week 4 vs. Patriots, Sun Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET 15th vs. WRs, neutral
DJ Moore Rest-of-Season Outlook
Target-heavy WR3 with flex weeks
Preseason Projection vs. Reality
He finished WR35 last season at 10.0 points per game.
Our Take After Week 4
Through 3 games he's WR31 at 11.2 PPR points per game, against 10.0 over 17 games last season (WR35). He's running ahead of last season's pace.
Last season he ranked 40th of 142 in target volume (16.0% target share), 48th of 142 in downfield role (20.0% air-yards share) and 84th of 142 in efficiency (1.30 yards per route run). His points come from his target volume. Efficiency is the soft spot. Josh Allen is his quarterback.
The main risk is the job itself. He's the listed starter with Skyler Bell next on the depth chart, and a benching or an injury would take his value to zero overnight.
The next favorable matchup is the Ravens in Week 8 (6th against WRs).
Read our preseason outlook (June 2026)
Published June 16, 2026. Kept for reference; the take above replaces it.
Moore's 2025 was a study in collapse: a WR39 finish on just 682 yards, a 16% target share, and a career-low 1.30 yards per route as Chicago funneled work to Rome Odunze and Colston Loveland. His 0.162 targets per route and 45.9% success rate were both shadows of the 0.252 and 57.4% he posted in 2023, when he ranked sixth at the position with 1,364 yards and a sterling 0.487 EPA per play.
Buffalo flips the variable that mattered most. Pairing with Josh Allen reopens the explosive ceiling Moore showed at peak, even if a run-leaning attack and a crowded room cap his volume near the double-digit-target range he saw last year. The red-zone usage is thin and the floor is volatile, but the talent and quarterback upgrade make him a defensible Round 5 swing on rebound equity.
What Drives His Outlook
His 2025 rank among the 142 receivers who played at least six games. Each bar is one receiver, best on the left; his is highlighted.
Target volume
Downfield role
Efficiency
- Average depth of target
- 11.6
- Drop rate
- 4.7%
- Red-zone targets
- 11
- Route participation
- 88.1%
- YAC per reception
- 4.4
What Could Change His Value
Upside
- A soft spotThe Ravens in Week 8 is a top-10 matchup for WRs.Wk 4 NE, 15thWk 5 LAR, 19thWk 6 LV, 29thWk 8 BAL, 6th
- Heavy target volume16.0% target share, 40th of 142 WRs in 2025.
- Downfield role20.0% air-yards share, 48th of 142 WRs in 2025.
Risk
- Job securitySkyler Bell is next on the depth chart; a benching or injury hands him the job.
- A tough matchupThe Raiders in Week 6 (29th) is among the stingiest defenses against WRs.
WRs like DJ Moore
DJ Moore Fantasy Outlook FAQ
What is DJ Moore's fantasy outlook for the rest of the 2026 season?
DJ Moore projects as a target-heavy WR3 with flex weeks for the rest of the 2026 season: a flex play in 12-team PPR, 10-team PPR and half-PPR leagues. His target volume (16.0% target share, 40th of 142 WRs in 2025) supports that. His efficiency (1.30 yards per route run, 84th of 142 WRs in 2025) holds him back. See his live rank in Redraft Command.
What is DJ Moore's rest-of-season fantasy ranking?
DJ Moore is the WR31 in PPR points per game through Week 4. That puts him in WR3 territory, a flex play in 10-team PPR leagues.
What is DJ Moore's projected role going forward?
DJ Moore is the listed starting WR, with Skyler Bell next on the depth chart. Nothing on the chart threatens the job, so the role is his to lose on performance.
Will DJ Moore get more targets?
DJ Moore's targets are holding steady: 5.0 a game over his last two games against 6.0 for the season. His share of the offense is what his fantasy value rides on.
What is DJ Moore's fantasy football upside?
DJ Moore's upside: his ceiling this season is 21.0 PPR points (Week 1, WR9), his target volume (16.0% target share, 40th of 142 WRs in 2025) gives him a weekly floor to build on and the Ravens in Week 8 is a top-10 matchup for WRs.
What could hurt DJ Moore's fantasy value?
DJ Moore's risks: Skyler Bell is next on the depth chart if he is benched or hurt, his efficiency (1.30 yards per route run, 84th of 142 WRs in 2025) limits his scoring and the Raiders in Week 6 is a tough matchup. See his injury status and history.
How difficult is DJ Moore's remaining fantasy schedule?
Difficult: of his next seven games, 1 comes against a top-10 matchup for WRs and 2 against one of the stingiest defenses, by PPR points allowed to the position.