Geno Smith 2026 fantasy outlook and rest-of-season projection
- Age
- 35
- Height / weight
- 6'2", 221 lb
- Experience
- 14th season
- Drafted
- 2013 R2, #39
2026 Season
- PPR PPG
- 17.0
- Pos rank
- QB17
- Rostered
- 17%
Week 4 at Bears, Sun Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET 11th vs. QBs, neutral
Geno Smith Rest-of-Season Outlook
QB2 with streaming weeks
Preseason Projection vs. Reality
He finished QB23 last season at 12.7 points per game.
Our Take After Week 4
Through 3 games he's QB17 at 17.0 PPR points per game, against 12.7 over 15 games last season (QB23). He's running ahead of last season's pace.
Last season he ranked 20th of 41 in passing volume (29.9 attempts per game), 36th of 41 in efficiency (-0.14 EPA per play) and 31st of 41 in rushing (7.3 rush yards per game). Efficiency is the soft spot. Garrett Wilson and Adonai Mitchell are his top two targets.
The main risk is the job itself. He's the listed starter with Cade Klubnik next on the depth chart, and a benching or an injury would take his value to zero overnight.
The next favorable matchup is the Dolphins in Week 7 (6th against QBs).
Read our preseason outlook (June 2026)
Published June 17, 2026. Kept for reference; the take above replaces it.
The advanced profile is flashing warning signs. Smith's 2025 in Las Vegas was a sharp fall from his Seattle peak: a minus-0.137 EPA per play, a 41.9% success rate, and 17 interceptions against just 19 touchdowns across 15 games, finishing as the QB20 with 173.9 fantasy points. That follows a 2024 line that, while productive at 4,320 yards, already showed his EPA flatlining near zero. He took 55 sacks behind a leaky front, and his deep-attempt rate sat at a conservative 8.7%, capping the ceiling that fantasy QBs need.
He returns to the Jets as the Week 1 starter, reuniting with the franchise that drafted him in 2013. Garrett Wilson, rookie pass-catchers Kenyon Sadiq and Omar Cooper Jr., plus Breece Hall give him real support. But at 35 with negative efficiency trends, he's strictly a streaming or bye-week backup. Let someone else draft him in single-QB formats.
What Drives His Outlook
His 2025 rank among the 41 quarterbacks who played at least six games. Each bar is one quarterback, best on the left; his is highlighted.
Passing volume
Efficiency
Rushing
- Success rate
- 41.9%
- CPOE
- +0.7
- Sacks taken
- 55
- Pressure rate
- 22.8%
- Bad-throw rate
- 11.4%
- Deep-attempt rate
- 8.7%
What Could Change His Value
Upside
- A soft spotThe Dolphins in Week 7 is a top-10 matchup for QBs.Wk 4 CHI, 11thWk 5 CLE, 14thWk 6 NE, 29thWk 7 MIA, 6th
Risk
- Job securityCade Klubnik is next on the depth chart; a benching or injury hands him the job.
- Weak efficiency-0.14 EPA per play, 36th of 41 QBs in 2025.
- A tough matchupThe Patriots in Week 6 (29th) is among the stingiest defenses against QBs.
All Geno Smith stats & analysis
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Geno Smith Fantasy Outlook FAQ
What is Geno Smith's fantasy outlook for the rest of the 2026 season?
Geno Smith projects as a qB2 with streaming weeks for the rest of the 2026 season: a weekly starter in superflex and 2QB leagues and a streamer in 1QB leagues. His efficiency (-0.14 EPA per play, 36th of 41 QBs in 2025) holds him back. See his live rank in Redraft Command.
What is Geno Smith's rest-of-season fantasy ranking?
Geno Smith is the QB17 in PPR points per game through Week 4. That puts him in QB2 territory, a streamer in 12-team 1QB leagues.
What is Geno Smith's projected role going forward?
Geno Smith is the listed starting QB, with Cade Klubnik next on the depth chart. Nothing on the chart threatens the job, so the role is his to lose on performance.
Will Geno Smith get more pass attempts?
Geno Smith's pass attempts are trending up: 39.0 a game over his last two games against 34.0 for the season. Game script drives much of that, and trailing teams throw more.
What is Geno Smith's fantasy football upside?
Geno Smith's upside: his ceiling this season is 26.0 PPR points (Week 3, QB3) and the Dolphins in Week 7 is a top-10 matchup for QBs.
What could hurt Geno Smith's fantasy value?
Geno Smith's risks: Cade Klubnik is next on the depth chart if he is benched or hurt, his efficiency (-0.14 EPA per play, 36th of 41 QBs in 2025) limits his scoring and the Patriots in Week 6 is a tough matchup. See his injury status and history.
How difficult is Geno Smith's remaining fantasy schedule?
About average: of his next seven games, 2 come against a top-10 matchup for QBs and 2 against one of the stingiest defenses, by PPR points allowed to the position.