Luke Musgrave 2026 fantasy outlook and rest-of-season projection
- Age
- 26
- Height / weight
- 6'6", 253 lb
- Experience
- 4th season
- Drafted
- 2023 R2, #42
2025 Season
- PPR PPG
- 3.1
- Pos rank
- TE57
- Rostered
- —
Week 4 at Buccaneers, Sun Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET 11th vs. TEs, neutral
Luke Musgrave Rest-of-Season Outlook
depth TE on the sideline for now
Pup, undisclosed.
Preseason Projection vs. Reality
He finished TE53 last season at 3.1 points per game.
Our 2026 Preseason Outlook
The efficiency case is real and the volume case is broken. Across 13 games in 2025 Musgrave posted a 0.327 EPA per play and a 58.1% success rate while catching 77.4% of his targets, yet he ran routes on barely 40% of snaps and drew just 31 looks for a 6.7% target share. One red-zone target and zero touchdowns underline the problem: when the ball comes his way he produces, but Green Bay rarely points it there.\n\nThat snap profile has trended the wrong direction since his promising 2023 rookie line (46 targets, 65% snap rate), with injuries repeatedly stalling momentum. A crowded tight end room and a hard projected schedule cap the ceiling further, and modest 2026 forecasts near 20 catches and 200 yards reflect a clear backup role. He is a deep-league dart throw at best until the usage says otherwise.
What Drives His Outlook
His 2025 rank among the 81 tight ends who played at least six games. Each bar is one tight end, best on the left; his is highlighted.
Route participation
Target share
Efficiency
- Average depth of target
- 8.6
- Drop rate
- 3.2%
- Red-zone targets
- 1
- Route participation
- 40.6%
- YAC per reception
- 2.9
What Could Change His Value
Upside
- A soft stretchThe Cowboys in Week 6 and the Lions in Week 7 are top-10 matchups for TEs.Wk 4 TB, 11thWk 5 CHI, 26thWk 6 DAL, 8thWk 7 DET, 1st
Risk
- InjuryHe's pup, undisclosed.
- A tough matchupThe Bears in Week 5 (26th) is among the stingiest defenses against TEs.
All Luke Musgrave stats & analysis
TEs like Luke Musgrave
Luke Musgrave Fantasy Outlook FAQ
What is Luke Musgrave's fantasy outlook for the rest of the 2026 season?
Luke Musgrave projects as a depth TE on the sideline for now for the rest of the 2026 season: a bench stash in TE-premium leagues and waiver-wire material in 12-team and 10-team leagues. His route participation (40.6% route participation, 42nd of 81 TEs in 2025) holds him back. See his live rank in Redraft Command.
What is Luke Musgrave's rest-of-season fantasy ranking?
Luke Musgrave is the TE53 in PPR points per game. That puts him in depth TE territory, waiver-wire material in 12-team leagues.
What is Luke Musgrave's fantasy football upside?
Luke Musgrave's upside: the Cowboys in Week 6 and the Lions in Week 7 are top-10 matchups for TEs.
What could hurt Luke Musgrave's fantasy value?
Luke Musgrave's risks: he is pup, undisclosed, his route participation (40.6% route participation, 42nd of 81 TEs in 2025) limits his scoring and the Bears in Week 5 is a tough matchup. See his injury status and history.
How difficult is Luke Musgrave's remaining fantasy schedule?
Difficult: of his next seven games, 2 come against a top-10 matchup for TEs and 3 against one of the stingiest defenses, by PPR points allowed to the position.