Mack Hollins 2026 fantasy outlook and rest-of-season projection
- Age
- 33
- Height / weight
- 6'4", 221 lb
- Experience
- 10th season
- Drafted
- 2017 R4, #118
2026 Season
- PPR PPG
- 9.2
- Pos rank
- WR42
- Rostered
- 15%
Week 4 at Bills, Sun Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET 7th vs. WRs, favorable
Mack Hollins Rest-of-Season Outlook
Efficient WR4 for deep leagues only
Preseason Projection vs. Reality
He finished WR58 last season at 7.6 points per game.
Our Take After Week 4
Through 3 games he's WR42 at 9.2 PPR points per game, against 7.6 over 15 games last season (WR58). He's running ahead of last season's pace.
Last season he ranked 51st of 142 in target volume (13.5% target share), 51st of 142 in downfield role (18.5% air-yards share) and 41st of 142 in efficiency (1.77 yards per route run). His points come from his efficiency. Target volume is the soft spot. Drake Maye is his quarterback.
The next favorable matchup is the Bills in Week 4 (7th against WRs).
Read our preseason outlook (June 2026)
Published June 17, 2026. Kept for reference; the take above replaces it.
Hollins quietly turned in his most productive efficiency season yet, posting a 0.418 EPA per play and a 63.1% success rate across 14 games while finishing as the WR54. His 13.5% target share and 0.331 WOPR landed him 65 looks for 46 grabs, 550 yards and 2 scores, and the underlying profile screams deep threat: 13.1 air yards per target, 18.5 air yards per reception and a 54-yard long. He dropped zero of 46 catchable balls and won 70.8% of his targets, so the hands and downfield juice are real.
The problem is opportunity. At 32 and slotted as a complementary piece in New England's pecking order, he projects for roughly 11 catches and 127 yards by consensus, with an ADP outside the top 280. Last year's red-zone usage was thin (5 targets, 2 TDs), and his best-ever mark of 9.1 PPR points per game underscores a floor-over-ceiling reality. He's a deep-league dart, nothing more.
What Drives His Outlook
His 2025 rank among the 142 receivers who played at least six games. Each bar is one receiver, best on the left; his is highlighted.
Target volume
Downfield role
Efficiency
- Average depth of target
- 13.1
- Drop rate
- 0.0%
- Red-zone targets
- 5
- Route participation
- 56.5%
- YAC per reception
- 2.4
What Could Change His Value
Upside
- A soft spotThe Bills in Week 4 is a top-10 matchup for WRs.Wk 4 BUF, 7thWk 5 LV, 29thWk 6 NYJ, 22ndWk 7 CHI, 25th
- Strong efficiency1.77 yards per route run, 41st of 142 WRs in 2025.
Risk
- Tough matchupsThe Raiders in Week 5 (29th) and the Bears in Week 7 (25th) are among the stingiest defenses against WRs.
All Mack Hollins stats & analysis
WRs like Mack Hollins
Mack Hollins Fantasy Outlook FAQ
What is Mack Hollins's fantasy outlook for the rest of the 2026 season?
Mack Hollins projects as an efficient WR4 for deep leagues only for the rest of the 2026 season: a bench stash in 12-team PPR leagues, waiver-wire material in 10-team PPR leagues and a bench stash in half-PPR leagues. His efficiency (1.77 yards per route run, 41st of 142 WRs in 2025) supports that. His target volume (13.5% target share, 51st of 142 WRs in 2025) holds him back. See his live rank in Redraft Command.
What is Mack Hollins's rest-of-season fantasy ranking?
Mack Hollins is the WR42 in PPR points per game through Week 4. That puts him in WR4 territory, waiver-wire material in 10-team PPR leagues.
What is Mack Hollins's projected role going forward?
Mack Hollins is the listed starting WR. Nothing on the chart threatens the job, so the role is his to lose on performance.
Will Mack Hollins get more targets?
Mack Hollins's targets are holding steady: 5.5 a game over his last two games against 5.3 for the season. His share of the offense is what his fantasy value rides on.
What is Mack Hollins's fantasy football upside?
Mack Hollins's upside: his ceiling this season is 14.7 PPR points (Week 3, WR25), his efficiency (1.77 yards per route run, 41st of 142 WRs in 2025) gives him a weekly floor to build on and the Bills in Week 4 is a top-10 matchup for WRs.
What could hurt Mack Hollins's fantasy value?
Mack Hollins's risks: his target volume (13.5% target share, 51st of 142 WRs in 2025) limits his scoring and the Raiders in Week 5 and the Bears in Week 7 are tough matchups. See his injury status and history.
How difficult is Mack Hollins's remaining fantasy schedule?
About average: of his next seven games, 3 come against a top-10 matchup for WRs and 3 against one of the stingiest defenses, by PPR points allowed to the position.