Marcus Mariota 2026 fantasy outlook and rest-of-season projection
- Age
- 32
- Height / weight
- 6'4", 222 lb
- Experience
- 12th season
- Drafted
- 2015 R1, #2
2026 Season
- PPR PPG
- 14.6
- Pos rank
- QB30
- Rostered
- 13%
Week 4 vs. Colts, Sun Oct 4, 9:30 AM ET 5th vs. QBs, favorable
Marcus Mariota Rest-of-Season Outlook
Dual-threat QB3 for deep leagues only
Preseason Projection vs. Reality
He finished QB32 last season at 12.0 points per game.
Our Take After Week 4
Through 2 games he's QB30 at 14.6 PPR points per game, against 12.0 over 11 games last season (QB32). He's running ahead of last season's pace.
Last season he ranked 38th of 41 in passing volume (22.7 attempts per game), 24th of 41 in efficiency (0.012 EPA per play) and 7th of 41 in rushing (29.7 rush yards per game). His points come from his rushing. Passing volume is the soft spot. Stefon Diggs and Terry McLaurin are his top two targets.
He's QB2 on the depth chart, so his value depends on the players ahead of him.
The next favorable matchups are the Colts in Week 4 (5th against QBs) and the Eagles in Week 8 (7th against QBs).
Read our preseason outlook (June 2026)
Published June 17, 2026. Kept for reference; the take above replaces it.
Pressed into 10 games in 2025, Mariota showed he can still hold an offense together: 227 attempts, 1,695 yards, 10 TDs against 7 picks, plus 297 rush yards and a score on 50 carries for 125.5 fantasy points (QB32). The efficiency was merely league-average, though, a flat 0.012 EPA per play, a 61.2 percent completion rate and a 16.7 percent bad-throw rate, well off his pristine 2024 relief line (77.3 percent, 0.359 EPA, 16.6 CPOE in 3 games). At 31, he is what he is.
The rushing remains the fantasy hook: his 50 carries and 30 red-zone attempts in 2025 give a startable floor whenever he plays. But he sits firmly behind Jayden Daniels on Washington's depth chart, so his standalone value is purely contingent. He is a high-priority handcuff and emergency streamer with QB1 upside in any extended absence given the mobile profile, but in normal redraft leagues he is a waiver-wire stash, not a draftable asset.
What Drives His Outlook
His 2025 rank among the 41 quarterbacks who played at least six games. Each bar is one quarterback, best on the left; his is highlighted.
Passing volume
Efficiency
Rushing
- Success rate
- 46.8%
- CPOE
- +3.2
- Sacks taken
- 16
- Pressure rate
- 19.5%
- Bad-throw rate
- 16.7%
- Deep-attempt rate
- 16.5%
What Could Change His Value
Upside
- A soft stretchThe Colts in Week 4 and the Eagles in Week 8 are top-10 matchups for QBs.Wk 4 IND, 5thWk 5 NYG, 12thWk 6 SF, 25thWk 8 PHI, 7th
- Major rushing29.7 rush yards per game, 7th of 41 QBs in 2025.
Risk
- RoleHe's QB2 on the depth chart.
- Light passing volume22.7 attempts per game, 38th of 41 QBs in 2025.
- A tough matchupThe 49ers in Week 6 (25th) is among the stingiest defenses against QBs.
All Marcus Mariota stats & analysis
QBs like Marcus Mariota
QB27Jayden DanielsCommanders32.4 PTS
QB28Daniel JonesColts31.3 PTS
QB29Sam DarnoldSeahawks30.2 PTS
QB30You are hereMarcus MariotaCommanders29.2 PTS
QB31Drake MayePatriots27.6 PTS
QB32Jaxson DartGiants27.4 PTS
QB33Carson WentzVikings25.5 PTS
Marcus Mariota Fantasy Outlook FAQ
What is Marcus Mariota's fantasy outlook for the rest of the 2026 season?
Marcus Mariota projects as a dual-threat QB3 for deep leagues only for the rest of the 2026 season: a streamer in superflex and 2QB leagues and waiver-wire material in 1QB leagues. His rushing (29.7 rush yards per game, 7th of 41 QBs in 2025) supports that. His passing volume (22.7 attempts per game, 38th of 41 QBs in 2025) holds him back. See his live rank in Redraft Command.
What is Marcus Mariota's rest-of-season fantasy ranking?
Marcus Mariota is the QB30 in PPR points per game through Week 4. That puts him in QB3 territory, waiver-wire material in 12-team 1QB leagues.
What is Marcus Mariota's projected role going forward?
Marcus Mariota is QB2 on the depth chart, so a bigger role needs an injury or a change ahead of him.
What is Marcus Mariota's fantasy football upside?
Marcus Mariota's upside: his ceiling this season is 20.4 PPR points (Week 3, QB14), his rushing (29.7 rush yards per game, 7th of 41 QBs in 2025) gives him a weekly floor to build on and the Colts in Week 4 and the Eagles in Week 8 are top-10 matchups for QBs.
What could hurt Marcus Mariota's fantasy value?
Marcus Mariota's risks: his passing volume (22.7 attempts per game, 38th of 41 QBs in 2025) limits his scoring and the 49ers in Week 6 is a tough matchup. See his injury status and history.
How difficult is Marcus Mariota's remaining fantasy schedule?
Favorable: of his next seven games, 2 come against a top-10 matchup for QBs and 1 against one of the stingiest defenses, by PPR points allowed to the position.